• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand estimation

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Store-Release based Distributed Hydrologic Model with GIS (GIS를 이용한 기저-유출 바탕의 수문모델)

  • Kang, Kwang-Min;Yoon, Se-Eui
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.35-35
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    • 2012
  • Most grid-based distributed hydrologic models are complex in terms of data requirements, parameter estimation and computational demand. To address these issues, a simple grid-based hydrologic model is developed in a geographic information system (GIS) environment using storage-release concept. The model is named GIS Storage Release Model (GIS-StoRM). The storage-release concept uses the travel time within each cell to compute howmuch water is stored or released to the watershed outlet at each time step. The travel time within each cell is computed by combining the kinematic wave equation with Manning's equation. The input to GIS-StoRM includes geospatial datasets such as radar rainfall data (NEXRAD), land use and digital elevation model (DEM). The structural framework for GIS-StoRM is developed by exploiting geographic features in GIS as hydrologic modeling objects, which store and process geospatial and temporal information for hydrologic modeling. Hydrologic modeling objects developed in this study handle time series, raster and vector data within GIS to: (i) exchange input-output between modeling objects, (ii) extract parameters from GIS data; and (iii) simulate hydrologic processes. Conceptual and structural framework of GIS StoRM including its application to Pleasant Creek watershed in Indiana will be presented.

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Model of Simultaneous Travel time and Activity Duration for worker with Transportation Panel Data

  • Kim Soon-Gwan
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.09a
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    • pp.160-167
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    • 1998
  • Recent world-wide interest in activity-based travel behavior modeling has generated an entirely new perspective on how the profession views the travel demand process. This paper seeks to further promote the case of activity-based travel behavior models by providing some empirical evidence of relationship between travel time and activity duration decision for worker with transportation panel data. The travel time from home to work and from work to home, without activity involvement, is estimated by the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. And, the travel time to and from the selected activity and the activity duration are modeled simultaneously by the Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS) method due to the endogenous relationship between travel time and activity duration. Two kinds of models, OLS and 3SLS, include selectivity bias corrections in a discrete/continuous framework, because of the inter-relationship between the choice of activity type/travel mode (discrete) and the travel time/activity duration (continuous). Estimation is undertaken using a sample of over 1300 household two-day trip diaries collected from the same travelers in the Seattle area in 1989. The behavioral consequences of these models provide interesting and provocative findings that should be of value to transportation policy formulation and analysis.

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Estimation of Return Flow Rate According to Demand Water Movement on Geum River (금강수계의 용수이동에 의한 회귀율 추정)

  • Maeng, Seung-Jin;Lee, Sang-Jin;Hwang, Man-Ha;Koh, Ick-Hwan;Kim, Man-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.367-370
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    • 2007
  • 한국수자원공사에서 개발한 유출모의 모형인 RRFS의 입력자료로 사용되는 소유역별 각 용수에 대한 회귀율은 생공용수의 경우에는 65%, 농업용수의 경우에는 35%로 하여 일괄적으로 입력되어 있으나 이러한 값은 대략적으로 추정된 값이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 금강수계내 전체에 대한 용수체계도를 대청댐 상류, 청주권, 대전권, 대청댐 하류 및 하구언권으로 구분하여 각 권역별로 작성하여 유출체계에 의한 메커니즘을 도시하였다. 본 연구에서는 체계적인 용수이용별 물이용수급현황 분석을 통해 물이용현황을 파악하는 것에 목적을 삼고 용수계통도 작성을 통한 권역별 용수체계를 분석하고자 하였다. 금강유역내 총 14개의 소유역에 대한 용수계통도 작성을 통해 용수수급현황을 분석하고, 궁극적으로 용수수급현황도를 작성하고자 각 권역별 하천 수계현황 조사, 용수사용현황 조사, 주요 용수시설물 현장조사 및 용수계통도를 작성하였다.

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Estimation of Instream Flow at Dry Season through Prediction of water demand by Unit Watershed (단위유역별 용수수요량 추정을 통한 갈수시 하천유지유량 산정)

  • Gwon, Yong Hyeon;Choi, Gye Woon;Jang, Dong Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.356-356
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    • 2019
  • 우리나라는 강우량의 계절적 편기가 심하여 홍수기인 6월부터 9월까지의 년간 총강우량이 2/3을 차지하고 있으며 갈수기의 경우에는 강우량의 부족으로 물 부족현상을 겪고 있다. 이와 같은 현상은 최근 기후변화로 인해 더욱 증가되고 있으며 홍수기에도 국지적인 강우발생이 크게 증가하여 갈수기 가뭄이 더욱 심화되고 있다. 이와 같이 갈수시 가뭄에 대한 대책을 세우기 위해서는 하천에 유입되는 물과 하천 내에서 시간에 따라 유하되거나 조절되는 등 하천 자체 내에서 변화하는 하천유량의 변화 및 하천 외부로 유출되는 용수수요량을 정확히 분석하는 물수지분석이 필요하다. 이에, 본 연구에서는 송강천을 대상유역으로 선정하고 DEM을 통해 3개의 단위유역을 구분하였다. 단위유역별 생활용수, 공업용수, 농업용수 등에 대한 용수수요량 추정을 통해 유역별 용수수요 총량과 장래 수요증가량을 산정하였다. TANK 모형을 활용하여 단위유역별 기준갈수량을 산정하고 물수지분석을 통해 물 부족 여부를 판단하여 단위유역별 하천유지유량을 산정하였다. 분석결과, 단위유역별 하천으로 유입되는 회귀수량이 많아 목표연도별 갈수시 하천유지유량이 평균갈 수량 보다 크게 분석되었으며, 평균갈수시에도 하천의 정상적인 기능 및 상태를 유지하기 위한 최소한의 유량 확보가 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Schedule Optimization in Resource Leveling through Open BIM Based Computer Simulations

  • Kim, Hyun-Joo
    • Journal of KIBIM
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2019
  • In this research, schedule optimization is defined as balancing the number of workers while keeping the demand and needs of the project resources, creating the perfect schedule for each activity. Therefore, when one optimizes a schedule, multiple potentials of schedule changes are assessed to get an instant view of changes that avoid any over and under staffing while maximizing productivity levels for the available labor cost. Optimizing the number of workers in the scheduling process is not a simple task since it usually involves many different factors to be considered such as the development of quantity take-offs, cost estimating, scheduling, direct/indirect costs, and borrowing costs in cash flow while each factor affecting the others simultaneously. That is why the optimization process usually requires complex computational simulations/modeling. This research attempts to find an optimal selection of daily maximum workers in a project while considering the impacts of other factors at the same time through OPEN BIM based multiple computer simulations in resource leveling. This paper integrates several different processes such as quantity take-offs, cost estimating, and scheduling processes through computer aided simulations and prediction in generating/comparing different outcomes of each process. To achieve interoperability among different simulation processes, this research utilized data exchanges supported by building SMART-IFC effort in automating the data extraction and retrieval. Numerous computer simulations were run, which included necessary aspects of construction scheduling, to produce sufficient alternatives for a given project.

Environmental Noise Prediction using Scale Model: A Measurement Methodology

  • Kim, Tae-Min;Han, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jeung-Tae
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.42-49
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    • 2011
  • Today, rolling stock has become a fast and convenient mode of transportation and has witnessed increased demand. But the speed improvement has resulted in increased aerodynamic noise and therefore residential districts near the railroad tracks are exposed to ever increasing noise level. A study on methodologies for measuring and appraising rolling stock's environmental noise has therefore become an important area of endeavor. In the case of the environmental noise, there are no changes in tone so prediction can be made by reducing areas around the railway. The present study explores estimation of the noise around the railway using scale model, and the source of the noise has been investigated as well. The scale model of rolling stock will have to be able to measure high frequency noise and it is required to be generated in a short amount of time. Since popping a balloon or firing a gun fits this requirement the present study analyzed the characteristics of these two different noise sources. Measurement was made in a large vacant lot and the reflection due to the ground was also examined. The method proposed here can be used in the future for predicting the environmental noise of railway vehicles.

Estimation of Fish Habitat Suitability Index for Stream Water Quality - Case Species of Zacco platypus - (하천 수질에 대한 어류의 서식처적합도지수 산정 - 피라미를 대상으로 -)

  • Hong, Rokgi;Park, Jinseok;Jang, Seongju;Song, Inhong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2021
  • The conservation of stream habitats has been gaining more public attention and fish habitat suitability index (HSI) is an important measure for ecological stream habitat assessment. The fish habitat preference is affected not only by physical stream conditions but also by water quality of which HSI was not available due to the lack of field data. The purpose of this study is to estimate the HSI of Zacco platypus for water quality parameters of water temperature, dissolved oxygen (DO), and biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) using the water environment monitoring data provided by the Ministry of Environment (ME). Fish population data merged with water quality were constructed by spatio-temporal matching of nationwide water quality monitoring data with bio-monitoring data of the ME. Two types of the HSI were calculated by the Instream Flow and Aquatic Systems Group (IFASG) method and probability distribution (Weibull) fitting for the four major river basins. Both the HSIs by the IFASG and Weibull fitting appeared to represent the overall distribution and magnitude of fish population and this can be used in stream fish habitat evaluation considering water quality.

Performance-based earthquake engineering methodology for seismic analysis of nuclear cable tray system

  • Huang, Baofeng
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.2396-2406
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    • 2021
  • The Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER) Center has been developing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) methodology, which is based on explicit determination of performance, e.g., monetary losses, in a probabilistic manner where uncertainties in earthquake ground motion, structural response, damage estimation, and losses are explicitly considered. To carry out the PEER PBEE procedure for a component of the nuclear power plant (NPP) such as the cable tray system, hazard curve and spectra were defined for two hazard levels of the ground motions, namely, operation basis earthquake, and safe shutdown earthquake. Accordingly, two sets of spectral compatible ground motions were selected for dynamic analysis of the cable tray system. In general, the PBEE analysis of the cable tray in NPP was introduced where the resulting floor motions from the time history analysis (THA) of the NPP structure should be used as the input motion to the cable tray. However, for simplicity, a finite element model of the cable tray was developed for THA under the effect of the selected ground motions. Based on the structural analysis results, fragility curves were generated in terms of specific engineering demand parameters. Loss analysis was performed considering monetary losses corresponding to the predefined damage states. Then, overall losses were evaluated for different damage groups using the PEER PBEE methodology.

Productivity Growth of Vietnamese Commercial Banks: An Application of Non-Parametric Analysis

  • NGUYEN, Manh Hung
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of the research to evaluate the efficiency and productivity growth rate of some Vietnamese commercial banks in the period 2008-2020. Using input and output selection theory, the author selected 2 models, estimating the efficiency for model 1 and estimating the yield change for both the models. We have built a model to estimate the efficiency and calculate as well as decompose the productivity growth of Vietnamese commercial banks during the period of active mergers and acquisitions activities in the banking system. Based on the results of the efficiency estimation, TFP shows during mergers and acquisitions, efficiency fluctuates but in an inverted U-shape (increasing from 2008-2011 but decreasing from 2013 to 2020). The estimated results of the impact assessment model show that FDI reduces the efficiency of banks. Productivity analysis shows that 6 out of 23 banks in the study period had positive TFP growth (tfpch > 1) due to technical progress and management efficiency. The findings of this study suggest that Vietnam's commercial banking system has many opportunities to improve operational efficiency in many aspects. In which, there are opportunities to increase credit, improve governance as well as improve the technology level of each bank. In addition, along with traditional products such as deposits and loans, diversification with a wide range of products and services is an important factor to enhance customer experience and demand in commercial banks.

Fundamental vibration frequency prediction of historical masonry bridges

  • Onat, Onur
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.69 no.2
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2019
  • It is very common to find an empirical formulation in an earthquake design code to calculate fundamental vibration period of a structural system. Fundamental vibration period or frequency is a key parameter to provide adequate information pertinent to dynamic characteristics and performance assessment of a structure. This parameter enables to assess seismic demand of a structure. It is possible to find an empirical formulation related to reinforced concrete structures, masonry towers and slender masonry structures. Calculated natural vibration frequencies suggested by empirical formulation in the literatures has not suits in a high accuracy to the case of rest of the historical masonry bridges due to different construction techniques and wide variety of material properties. For the listed reasons, estimation of fundamental frequency gets harder. This paper aims to present an empirical formulation through Mean Square Error study to find ambient vibration frequency of historical masonry bridges by using a non-linear regression model. For this purpose, a series of data collected from literature especially focused on the finite element models of historical masonry bridges modelled in a full scale to get first global natural frequency, unit weight and elasticity modulus of used dominant material based on homogenization approach, length, height and width of the masonry bridge and main span length were considered to predict natural vibration frequency. An empirical formulation is proposed with 81% accuracy. Also, this study draw attention that this accuracy decreases to 35%, if the modulus of elasticity and unit weight are ignored.