• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand Analysis

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An Economic Analysis for the Domestic Natural Gas Demand Side Management : Case Study in Introducing the High Efficiency Gas Boiler (국내 천연가스 수요관리의 경제성 분석: 고효율 가스보일러 도입 사례연구)

  • 김봉진;이장우;박수억;박연홍
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 1998
  • We consider the economic analysis of the domestic natural gas DSM (Demand Side Management). Since the demand of the domestic natural gas decreases in the summer and dramatically increases in the winter, the necessity of the DSM that will smooth the demand pattern of the natural gas is emerged. The economic analysis of the DSM program is used as a main tool for screening the DSM. This paper suggests an economic evaluation method for the domestic gas DSM from the perspectives of participants, Korea Gas Corporation, local distribution company, non-participants, and total resource. The high-efficiency gas boiler is selected as a case study to illustrate the economic analysis of the natural gas DSM.

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A Study on Envelope Design Variables for Energy Conservation of General Hospital Ward Area by Sensitivity Analysis (민감도 분석을 통한 종합병원 병동부의 에너지 절감 외피 설계요소 도출)

  • Oh, Jihyun;Kwon, Soonjung;Kim, Sunsook
    • Journal of The Korea Institute of Healthcare Architecture
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Since the large hospitals are one of the most intensive energy users among building types in Korea, it is important to investigate and apply appropriate energy conservation measures. There are many researches on energy conservation measures for HVAC system in hospitals, but only few useful guidelines for envelope design variables were existed. The building envelope is one of the important factors to building energy consumption and patients' comfort. The purpose of this study is to suggest the most influential envelope design variables for each end-use energy demand. Methods: 100 samples were generated by LHS(Latin Hypercube Sampling) method. After energy performance simulation, global sensitivity analysis was performed by the regression method. DesignBuilder, Simlab 2.2 and JEPlus were used in this process. Results: The most influencing variables are SHGC, SHGC and VT for heating, cooling, and lighting, respectively. However, the most influencing variable for total energy demand is WWR(Window to Wall Ratio). The analysis was conducted based on the coefficient of variance results. Implications: The six envelop design variables were ranked according to the end-use energy demand.

Analysis of users of agricultural outlook information

  • Seungjee Hong;Ga Eul Kim;Seon Min Park;Sounghun Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.833-843
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    • 2022
  • Since the supply and demand of agricultural products are unstable, which causes instability in farm income and consumer prices, the government has sought to mitigate the problems caused by unstable supply and demand by generating and providing agricultural outlook information. However, research should be carried out to increase the quality and utilization of agricultural observation information, because the value of agricultural observation information increases only when more users use this information and apply it to their decisions. In this study, a survey was conducted targeting producers and experts who are users or potential users of agricultural outlook information, and the results were analyzed through quantitative model, specifically importance-performance analysis (IPA) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The results show that improvement of promptness was required among the seven items evaluated with regard to agricultural outlook. Also, measures for dissemination of agricultural outlook information and the contents of outlook information should be improved to increase its use. If the quality level and use of agricultural observation information are increased by reflecting the results of the above analysis, decision-making on the supply and demand of agricultural products in Korea will be improved, and it is thought that it will be possible to increase farm household income and stabilize consumer prices through stabilization of supply and demand of agricultural products.

A Study on Forecasting Manpower Demand for Smart Shipping and Port Logistics (스마트 해운항만물류 인력 수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Sang-Hoon Shin;Yong-John Shin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.155-166
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    • 2023
  • Trend analysis and time series analysis were conducted to predict the demand of manpower under the smartization of shipping and port logistics with transportation survey data of Statistic Korea during the period from 2000 to 2020 and Statistical Yearbook data of Korean Seafarers from 2004 to 2021. A linear regression model was adopted since the validity of the model was evaluated as the highest in forecasting manpower demand in the shipping and port logistics industry. As a result of forecasting the demand of manpower in autonomous ship, remote ship management, smart shipping business, smart port, smart warehouse, and port logistics service from 2021 to 2035, the demand for smart shipping and port logistics personnel was predicted to increase to 8,953 in 2023, 20,688 in 2030, and 26,557 in 2035. This study aimed to increase the predictability of manpower demand through objective estimation analysis, which has been rarely conducted in the smart shipping and port logistics industry. Finally, the result of this research may help establish future strategies for human resource development for professionals in smart shipping and port logistics by utilizing the demand forecasting model described in this paper.

Empirical Analysis of Supplier Induced Demand in Korea: Distinction between Induced Demand Effect and Availability Effect (우리나라 의원에서의 공급자 유인수요 실증분석: 유인수요 효과와 가용성 효과의 구분)

  • Yeo, Ji-Young;Jeong, Hyoung-Sun
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2015
  • Background: Supplier induced demand (SID) indicates the case when doctors increase the demand of the patients, following their (physicians') own best interests rather than patients'. This may occur when asymmetry of information exists between suppliers and consumers. This study aims to confirm whether SID exists in the Korean setting, particularly by dividing SID into both 'induced demand effect' and 'availability effect.' Methods: Induced demand effect and availability effect are differentiated following Carlsen & Grytten's theoretical frame which divides doctor density regions into high and low ones. Results: Positive correlation between doctors' density and utilization of their services was found, which could be interpreted as 'availability effect.' Conclusion: The result suggests that additional medical use for additional doctor, particularly in the area of low doctor density, can be interpreted to occur to meet the basic medical need of the people rather than as a result of unnecessary induced demand. It is important to make more medical doctors provided and to distribute them appropriately across the region in such a country like Korea where doctor's density is relatively low.

Elasticity of Demand for Urban Housing in Western China Based on Micro-data - A Case Study of Kunming

  • Zhang, Hong;Li, Shaokai;Kong, Yanhua
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - Considering the importance of housing needs to real estate market, domestic studies on real estate prices from the perspective of demand are basically based on macro-data, but relatively few are associated with micro-data of urban real estate demand. We try to find a reliable relation of elasticity of demand and commercial housing market. Research design, data, and methodology - In this paper, we have derived housing demand theoretic method and have utilized micro-data of residential family housing survey of downtown area in Kunming City in October, 2015 to estimate income elasticity and price elasticity of housing demand respectively and make a comparative analysis. Results - The results indicate that income elasticity and price elasticity of families with owner-occupied housing are both larger than those of families with rental housing. Income elasticity of housing demand of urban residential families in Kunming is far below the foreign average and eastern coastal cities level, however, the corresponding price elasticity is far higher. Conclusions - We suggest that housing affordability of urban families in western China are constrained by the level of economic development, and the current housing price level has exceeded the economic affordability and psychological expectation of ordinary residents. Furthermore, noticing the great rigidity of housing demand, the expansion space of housing market for improvement and for commodity is limited.

An Impact Analysis of FMD News on Pork Demand in Korea (구제역 발생이 돼지고기 소비에 미친 영향분석)

  • Gim, Uhn-Soon;Choi, Se-Hyun;Cho, Jae-Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Community Living Science
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2015
  • This study investigates the impact of livestock diseases, including FMD(foot-and-mouth disease) and MCD(mad-cow disease), on pork demand in Korea. TV news stories about the livestock diseases were considered as negative advertising, and therefore the carry-over effect of negative advertising was combined with the pork demand model in conjunction with an exponential distributed lag function. The asymmetry hypothesis was imposed, however it was accepted that demand response does not show different sensitivities to increases and decreases in the livestock disease news. FMD news had a negative effect on pork demand, whereas MCD news had a positive effect, yet FMD news had a greater effect on pork demand than MCD news. The pork demand elasticity estimates for FMD and MCD news were -0.0071 and 0.0028, respectively. The cross-elasticity of the imported beef price to pork demand was highly inelastic, but it was elastic during the beef import embargo.

Long-Term Maximum Power Demand Forecasting in Consideration of Dry Bulb Temperature (건구온파를 오인한 장기최대전력수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • 고희석;정재길
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 1985
  • Recently maximum power demand of our country has become to be under the great in fluence of electric cooling and air conditioning demand which are sensitive to weather conditions. This paper presents the technique and algorithm to forecast the long-term maximum power demand considering the characteristics of electric power and weather variable. By introducing a weather load model for forecasting long-term maximum power demand with the recent statistic data of power demand, annual maximum power demand is separated into two parts such as the base load component, affected little by weather, and the weather sensitive load component by means of multi-regression analysis method. And we derive the growth trend regression equations of above two components and their individual coefficients, the maximum power demand of each forecasting year can be forecasted with the sum of above two components. In this case we use the coincident dry bulb temperature as the weather variable at the occurence of one-day maximum power demand. As the growth trend regression equation we choose an exponential trend curve for the base load component, and real quadratic curve for the weather sensitive load component. The validity of the forecasting technique and algorithm proposed in this paper is proved by the case study for the present Korean power system.

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A Study on Economic Demand Response NBT and Performance (우리나라 전력시장에서 경제성 DR의 NBT 및 낙찰 관계 분석)

  • Yang, Min Seung;Lee, Sung Moo
    • Current Photovoltaic Research
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.100-104
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    • 2017
  • This paper analyzes the correlation between Net Benefit Test (NBT) and System marginal price (SMP), which has a significant impact on the allocation of demand response (DR) resources in resource scheduling and commitment (RSC) process, based on the performance data of the demand resource market which has been established in 2014. Demand resources compete with generation resources in the RSC process, and it is prescribed to use demand resources only when net benefit occurs. Analysis result shows that the larger the SMP than the Net Benefit Threshold Price (NBTP), the more the winning bid of demand response resource was. It is interpreted that the introduction of NBT in DR market is justified. The demand resource market has been steadily growing. It is required to expand the scope of resources up to the small-sized DR, and to expand the functionalities of demand resources not only in the current energy market but also in the reserve market in the future. In order for that, institutional improvements are required.

Analysis of Variance of Paddy Water Demand Depending on Rice Transplanting Period and Ponding Depth (이앙시기 및 담수심 변화에 따른 논벼 수요량 변화 분석)

  • Cho, Gun-Ho;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.3
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2021
  • This study evaluated variations in the paddy rice water demand based on the continuous changing in rice transplanting period and ponding depth at the four study paddy fields, which represent typical rice producing regions in Korea. Total 7 scenarios on rice transplanting periods were applied while minimum ponding depth of 0 and 20 mm were applied in accordance with maximum ponding depth ranging from 40 mm to 100 mm with 20 mm interval. The weather data from 2013 to 2019 was also considered. The results indicated that the highest rice water demand occurred at high temperature and low rainfall region. Increased rice transplanting periods showed higher rice water demand. The rice water demand for 51 transplanting days closely matched with the actual irrigation water supply. In case of ponding depth, the results showed that the minimum ponding depth had a proportional relationship with rice water demand, while maximum ponding depth showed the contrary results. Minimum ponding depth had a greater impact on rice water demand than the maximum ponding depth. Therefore, these results suggest that increasing the rice transplanting period, which reflects the current practice is desirable for a reliable estimation of rice water demand.