• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision-support

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The development of water circulation model based on quasi-realtime hydrological data for drought monitoring (수문학적 가뭄 모니터링을 위한 실적자료 기반 물순환 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kim, Jang-Gyeng;Chun, Gun-il;Kang, Shin-uk;Lee, Jeong-Ju;Nam, Woo-Sung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.8
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    • pp.569-582
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    • 2020
  • Recently, Korea has faced a change in the pattern of water use due to urbanization, which has caused difficulties in understanding the rainfall-runoff process and optimizing the allocation of available water resources. In this perspective, spatially downscaled analysis of the water balance is required for the efficient operation of water resources in the National Water Management Plan and the River Basin Water Resource Management Plan. However, the existing water balance analysis does not fully consider water circulation and availability in the basin, thus, the obtained results provide limited information in terms of decision making. This study aims at developing a novel water circulation analysis model that is designed to support a quasi-real-time assessment of water availability along the river. The water circulation model proposed in this study improved the problems that appear in the existing water balance analysis. More importantly, the results showed a significant improvement over the existing model, especially in the low flow simulation. The proposed modeling framework is expected to provide primary information for more realistic hydrological drought monitoring and drought countermeasures by providing streamflow information in quasi-real-time through a more accurate natural flow estimation approach with highly complex network.

A Study on Exploring Weak Signals of Technology Innovation using Informetrics (계량정보분석을 활용한 기술혁신의 Weak Signal 탐색에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi;Park, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Kyung-Ho
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.109-130
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    • 2009
  • As recently the interest in the future industry grows high, the demand for forecasting the future shape of science and technology, especially exploring 'weak signals' of changes in science and technology, increases as well. The 'weak signals' means that currently they are uncertain and abnormal signals, but are preliminary signals which might lead future changes. Accordingly they can provide important clues to the future forecast. The study of 'weak signals' has its significance in providing important clues to the projection of the future technology earlier. As it has not a long history from its concept to exploration methods to utilization, more intensive study is required. Exploring 'weak signals' has been conducted mainly through the information analysis by experts with a high level of intelligence and sense. However, such an analysis is difficult and broad in scope, and furthermore the interpretation of analysis results is very limited, relying primarily on the decision of experts themselves. The purpose of this study is to provide a more objectified way to support these expert-based tasks. It derives quantitative results from non-structured article information and provides a logical basis for detecting the signals based on the results.

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Role of Korean Society of Pediatric Infectious Disease during the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) Outbreak in Korea, 2015 (2015년 우리나라에서 발생한 중동호흡기증후군과 대한소아감염학회의 역할)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hyo
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.136-142
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    • 2015
  • The Korean Society of Pediatric Infectious Diseases (KSPID) has participated in the task force team consisting of government authorities as well as civil medical experts and facilities to block the spread of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome in 2015. KSPID posted the "Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) Pop-up" in the homepage of The Korean Pediatric Society and The Korean Society of Pediatric Infectious Diseases. KSPID also released the "Guidelines for testing for MERS in children and adolescents" and the "Instructions for the Operation of National Safe Hospital" for children and adolescents in a timely manner. Such actions were aimed to prevent unnecessary anxieties, studies and isolation of pediatric patients with respiratory symptoms and signs caused by other common microbial etiologies as being suspected for MERS patients. This strategy relieved the doctors and parents from unnecessary fear and prevented the loss of unnecessary health care costs, and has proven to be a well-judged guideline and management protocol as evaluated after the final end of MERS outbreak. KSPID and its members should support the presence of pediatric infectious disease (PID) specialists in every medium size hospitals in Korea by developing the need for consultation fees for PID consultation in the hospital based practice and promoting the potential for cost savings related to prevention of health care associated infections and optimal prescription of antimicrobial agents. KSPID and its members need to approach and develop a communication plan to political decision makers to demonstrate and convince them of the importance of a PID specialist service.

A Survey on the Broadcasting Program Production by Video Journalists in Daejeon (비디오저널리스트(VJ)의 방송프로그램 제작 실태조사 - 대전지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jong-Tak;Jeong, Jong-Geon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.171-179
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    • 2009
  • This paper explores the current situation of the broadcasting program production by video journalists (VJs), one of the recent trends of broadcasting production, centering around the programs made in Daejeon. The result of the survey shows that VJ programs are considered to be one of the generalized broadcasting program production systems. Thus, production costs should be γeadjusted to a realistic level in order to secure the good quality VJ programs in the current situation. Local broadcasting stations should depart from the idea that they make a VJ program subcontract to produce programs at low cost. It is time to support good quality VJ programs financially and systematically. The survey also reveals that most video journalists cannot participate in the decision-making process regarding program production. Local broadcastings should cooperate with video journalists, as co-producers, in producing the programs. Besides, VJ programs have some disadvantages such as limitation of high definition image production, poor image quality, instability of images taken, etc Hence, video journalists should also try to make better image quality of their broadcasting programs. Local subcontractors should make efforts to overcome their poor manpower and production environments as well. By economizing their scale of production and updating their production equipment, subcontractors need to constantly develop the contents related to local community which make them more competitive.

Design and Implementation of A Distributed Information Integration System based on Metadata Registry (메타데이터 레지스트리 기반의 분산 정보 통합 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Kim, Jong-Hwan;Park, Hea-Sook;Moon, Chang-Joo;Baik, Doo-Kwon
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.10D no.2
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    • pp.233-246
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    • 2003
  • The mediator-based system integrates heterogeneous information systems with the flexible manner. But it does not give much attention on the query optimization issues, especially for the query reusing. The other thing is that it does not use standardized metadata for schema matching. To improve this two issues, we propose mediator-based Distributed Information Integration System (DIIS) which uses query caching regarding performance and uses ISO/IEC 11179 metadata registry in terms of standardization. The DIIS is designed to provide decision-making support, which logically integrates the distributed heterogeneous business information systems based on the Web environment. We designed the system in the aspect of three-layer expression formula architecture using the layered pattern to improve the system reusability and to facilitate the system maintenance. The functionality and flow of core components of three-layer architecture are expressed in terms of process line diagrams and assembly line diagrams of Eriksson Penker Extension Model (EPEM), a methodology of an extension of UML. For the implementation, Supply Chain Management (SCM) domain is used. And we used the Web-based environment for user interface. The DIIS supports functions of query caching and query reusability through Query Function Manager (QFM) and Query Function Repository (QFR) such that it enhances the query processing speed and query reusability by caching the frequently used queries and optimizing the query cost. The DIIS solves the diverse heterogeneity problems by mapping MetaData Registry (MDR) based on ISO/IEC 11179 and Schema Repository (SCR).

Grading meat quality of Hanwoo based on SFTA and AdaBoost (SFTA와 AdaBoost 기반 한우의 육질 등급 분석)

  • Cho, Hyunhak;Kim, Eun Kyeong;Jang, Eunseok;Kim, Kwang Baek;Kim, Sungshin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.433-438
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a grade prediction method to measure meat quality in Hanwoo (Korean Native Cattle) using classification and feature extraction algorithms. The applied classification algorithm is an AdaBoost and the texture features of the given ultrasound images are extracted using SFTA. In this paper, as an initial phase, we selected ultrasound images of Hanwoo for verifying experimental results; however, we ultimately aimed to develop a diagnostic decision support system for human body scan using ultrasound images. The advantages of using ultrasound images of Hanwoo are: accurate grade prediction without butchery, optimizing shipping and feeding schedule and economic benefits. Researches on grade prediction using biometric data such as ultrasound images have been studied in countries like USA, Japan, and Korea. Studies have been based on accurate prediction method of different images obtained from different machines. However, the prediction accuracy is low. Therefore, we proposed a prediction method of meat quality. From the experimental results compared with that of the real grades, the experimental results demonstrated that the proposed method is superior to the other methods.

A Selection Model of Suitable Tendering System for Public Construction Projects (공공건설공사의 최적 입찰방식 선정모델)

  • Yu, Il-Han;Kim, Kyung-Rai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.164-174
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    • 2008
  • It is crucial In decision making to select a project delivery system (PDS) adjusted accordingly to the project characteristics. Furthermore, selecting a tendering system is the kernel in the process of selecting PDS. In October 2007, the Ministry of Finance and the Economy of Korea launched two new project delivery systems, "Best Value Contract (Design-Bid-Build)" and "Bridging Contracts (Design-Build)" by revising enforcement ordinances of "Act on Contracts to Which the State is a Party" to provoke the tendering systems. In order to support the proposed purpose, this research developed a selection model for suitable tendering system, which helps a public owner select a tendering system appropriate to the project characteristics. First, the framework of the model was set throughout analyzing previous researches and interviewing relevant experts. Additionally, by analyzing the survey result from 265 experts engaged in architectural and civil engineering business, the relative weights of the selection factors and the effectiveness values of the alternatives were suggested as the quantitative evaluation references. Finally, the practical guideline was suggested to apply this model to three public projects scheduled to be delivered. The result of applying the model to three case projects showed that further researches were needed to make the selection process logical and to suggest the standard weights and effectiveness values according to project type.

GIS Mapping of Coastal Pollution Induced by Hebei Spirit Oil Spill (허베이 스피리트호 유류유출 사고에 따른 해안오염 GIS 지도 제작 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Moon;Choi, Hyun-Woo;Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.164-178
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    • 2009
  • This study was aimed to make GIS oiling thematic maps and analyze temporal oiling variation patterns for two months after 'Hebei Spirit' oil spill accident in December 7, 2007 using GIS and oiling status surveyed data. As a basic work for making of oiling thematic maps, geometric corrections were performed with IKONOS images using ground control points data. These corrected images were used to make detailed coastline from digital charts, and then spatial unit of coastline were defined using classified coastline types. And to know the representative parameters which reflect oiling situation, relationship between oiling status parameters extracted from four times oiling assessment reports and total petroleum hydrocarbons (TPHs) data (December 2007 and January 2008) monitored by Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute (KORDI). Using these representative oiling status parameters pollution value were calculated, and they were keyed into spatial unit of coastline as attributive value. GIS oiling status thematic maps made with coastline containing pollution value showed the initial two month's situations somewhat well. Also, to analyze temporal variation pattern of coastline types, about 13.4km length coastline around Malripo beach was defined as detailed study area where is the common spatial zone surveyed oiling status by each organizations. Based on this study results, it could be possible to provide oiling status maps quickly and to support decision making for oiling control action and scientific pollution monitoring.

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Analysis of Factors Affecting Big Data Use Intention of Korean Companies : Based on public data availability (국내기업의 빅데이터 이용의도에 미치는 영향요인 분석 : 공공데이터 활용여부를 기준으로)

  • Jeong, HwaMin;Lee, SangYun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.478-485
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    • 2019
  • This is an exploratory study to examine factors affecting South Korean companies' intentions to use big data technology and services based on whether the companies use public data or not. This study, using R, conducted chi-squared tests and logistic regression analysis. As a result of the logistic regression analysis, cost reduction had a positive effect on the big data-use intentions in companies that use public data, whereas with companies that do not use public data, customer satisfaction had a positive impact, and support for decision-making had a negative impact on the intention to use big data. Recently, the South Korean government has focused on improving the utilization of public data and big data. However, as a result of this study, the use of public data and big data in South Korea is still insufficient. Yet, considering that the data utilized for this study was created in 2017, additional study using public data and big data is also required.

Development of regression curve to estimate runoff ratio in accordance with forecasted rainfall for decision making support of dam operations (홍수기 댐 운영 의사결정 지원을 위한 강우량별 유출율 예측 회귀식 개발)

  • Kim, Mi Eun;Kim, Hyeon Sik;Jang, Yong Hoon;Lee, Jong Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.39-39
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라는 전체 국토의 약 70%가 산악지형으로 이루어져 있고 연중 강우가 6월에서 9월에 집중되는 기후적 특성을 가지고 있다. 최근 기후변화의 영향까지 더해지면서 시간당 300mm 이상의 집중호우를 보이는 이상강우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 대부분의 도시지역은 하천을 중심으로 발달되어 있어 인구 및 사회기반시설의 집약정도가 매우 높고 하천변 저지대 지역에 주거 및 상업시설이 밀집되어 있다. 기후적 지역적 특성으로 인한 홍수피해를 미연에 방지하고 피해를 최소화하기 위하여 치수 중심의 수자원 관리를 위해 노력하고 있다. 하지만 우리나라의 하천관리는 시기별 하천 수량의 급격한 변동으로 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이러한 어려움을 극복하고 효율적인 수자원 관리 및 홍수피해 저감을 위해 수계를 중심으로 20개의 다목적댐을 건설하여 운영 관리 중에 있다. 특히, 홍수기 시 댐 운영은 예상 강우에 따라 적절한 예비방류와 강우 시 효율적인 댐 운영계획이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 강우가 집중되는 홍수기 댐 운영 시에 예상 강우량에 따라 댐 유역 내 유량 증가에 기여하는 정도를 예측할 수 있는 유출율 예측 회귀식을 개발하였다. 유출율은 강우와 유출량의 비로 지역특성, 강우특성, 관개여부, 선행강우량, 강우이동 방향 등 다양한 요인에 의해 복잡한 메케니즘을 갖는다. 단순히 예상되는 총강우량에 따른 유출율 만으로 상호관계를 정의하기가 쉽지 않기 때문에 한국수자원공사에서 개발한 댐군 홍수조절 연계운영시스템(COSFIM)인 수문학적 연계운영모형을 활용하였다. 최근 10년간 홍수기에 발생한 강우사상별 시간단위의 수문자료(총강우량, 기저유량, 유출율, 무강우일수, 강우지속시간 등) 분석을 실시하였다. COSFIM 모형을 통한 결과를 토대로 고려항목 간 교차검증을 통해 사분위수범위의 이상치 경계를 설정하고 상관분석 결과에 따라 0.5 이상의 상관성이 높은 항목을 활용하여 예측 강우량에 따른 유출율 예측 회귀식을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 예측 강우에 따른 유출율 예측 산정식은 댐 유역에 예상되는 강우량에 대하여 하천의 유량 증가 예측 정도를 정량적으로 제시할 수 있으며, 실제 홍수기 댐 운영 시 예상 강우량에 따라 신속하고 적절한 수문 방류 계획 수립에서 용이하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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