• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision-making capacity

검색결과 218건 처리시간 0.022초

메타개체군 이론을 활용한 도시개발에 따른 생물 종 영향 평가 활용 가능성 분석 (Analyzing the Impact of Species on Urban Development Using Meta Population Model)

  • 김은섭;모용원;박태윤;전윤호;최지영;이동근
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2023
  • 공간 스케일에 따른 생물 종 별 영향의 차이가 발생함에 따라, 도시 개발 사업에 따른 영향을 정량적으로 평가하기 위해서는 경관규모에서의 분석이 필요하다. 선행연구에서는 도시개발에 따라 변화하는 환경에 대한 생물종 영향을 분석하기위해 메타개체군 이론을 기반한 Incidence Function Model (IFM)을 활용하여 분석하고 있다. 하지만 해당 모델은 최소 점유영역이 10개 이상이 되어야 하므로, 모니터링이 어려운 생물종에 대한 활용은 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 보완하기 위해 삵(Prionailurus bengalensis)을 중심으로 종 분포 모델을 통해 구축된 데이터를 바탕으로 IFM 모델을 분석하고자 하였다. 또한, 본 모델을 통해 환경영향평가서 중 자연생태환경분야에서의 활용 가능성을 검토하였다. 연구결과, 도시개발에 따른 삵의 최소 점유율은 56.5%, 생존가능성은 28.7%로 감소하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 서식지 개수 감소에 따른 개체군 수용력에 대한 분석을 통해 230개소와 70개소에서 개체군의 수용 능력이 급격하게 감소함을 확인하였다. 본 연구는 환경계획 관점에서 서식지 면적 감소에 따른 삵의 환경영향을 평가하였으며, 삵을 보호하기 위한 최소한의 서식지 개수 및 면적 설정에 대한 의사결정을 지원할 수 있다. 이는 개발 프로젝트 전, 후 영향평가 및 저감방안 계획에 기초자료로 활용됨으로써, 저감방안의 실효성을 높여줄 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

소비자의 자원고갈이 제품구색간 의사결정에 미치는 효과 (The Effect of Resource Depletion on Deciding on Product Assortments Size)

  • 조연진;박청규;임현우
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - Prior research has suggested that consumers typically prefer to have a larger number of options. However, preference of assortment size may depend on how depleted resources in consumers' mind are. Reduced capacity for self-regulation by resource depletion makes people rely on more intuitive and less effortful decision processing. When they are mentally depleted, people are likely to focus on the choice difficulty from large assortment, which leads to preference for the small assortment when they make a decision. It could be an important question potentially how being in a depleted mode through effortful self-regulation will influence on the evaluation of assortment size. To answer this questioner, we hypothesized that being engaged in self-regulation, as compared with not being engaged in self-regulation, will influence on the evaluation of product assortment size such as attractiveness, difficulty of choice, and anticipated regret. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study, we first manipulated self-regulatory resource availability using a self-regulation task (i.e., instructing participants to solve Sudoku puzzle vs. to solve diagram cube by filling any diagrams that they prefer into cube instead of number) and asked to indicate the difficulty of the tasks available to them ("How much difficulty did you feel when you complete the task?") Next, participants were asked to imagine that they were planning to buy a laptop at one of the two stores (small assortment: 6 options vs. large assortment: 30 options), both offering good quality of products. After reading the product descriptions, participants were instructed to consider all the information and choose a store that they would like to shop. Finally we measured the choice difficulty, evaluation of product assortments, and anticipated regret on a 7-point scale. We conducted two-way ANOVA in testing the main hypothesis that depleted consumers will show poorer subsequent self-control than non-depleted consumers when they make a decision in large assortment. Results - Compared with non-depleted participants, depleted participants showed the bigger difference from the degree of choice difficulty and product attractiveness between large and small assortments, but the result revealed only a significant interaction effect of resource depletion and assortment size on choice difficulty. Also depleted participants showed the smaller difference from the degree of anticipated regret between large and small assortments than non-depleted participants. Conclusion - Depleted individuals by a prior task are relatively effortless and intuitive form of choosing products so that they try to avoid making effortful trade-offs among choice difficulty such as large assortment, compare with non-depleted individuals. However, for anticipated regret, non-depleted individuals in small assortment anticipate more regret by excluding or at least restricting the possibility of buying attractive items or another kind of potential items than depleted individuals, regardless less choice difficulty in small option. To sum up, it is important to note that individuals are influenced by self-regulatory resources and their self-regulatory conditions contribute to the overall positive or negative impact of product assortment on choice.

AHP를 활용한 머시닝센터의 밀링커터 선정 (Milling Cutter Selection in Machining Center Using AHP)

  • 이교선;박수용;이동형
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.164-170
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    • 2017
  • The CNC machine tool field is showing a growing trend with the recent rapid development of manufacturing industries such as semiconductors, automobiles, medical devices, various inspection and test equipment, mechanical metal processing equipment, aircraft, shipbuilding and electronic equipment. However, small and medium-sized machining companies that use CNC machine tools are experiencing difficulties in increasingly intense competition. Especially, small companies which are receiving orders from 3rd or 4th venders are very difficult in business management. In recent years, company S experienced difficulty to make product quality and delivery time due to the ignorance of the processing method when manufacturing cooling plate jig made of SUS304 material used for cell phone liquid crystal glass processing. In order to solve these problems, we redesigned the process according to the size of our company and tried to manage all processes with quantified data. In the meantime, we have found that there is a need to improve the cutter process, which accounts for most of the machining process. Therefore, we have investigated the correlation between RPM and FEED of three cutters that have been used in the past. As a result, we found that it is the most urgent problem to solve the roughing process during the cutter operation which occupies more than 70% of the total machining. In order to shorten the machining time and improve the quality in machining of SUS304 cooling plate jig, we select the main factors such as price, tool life, maintenance cost, productivity, quality, RPM, and FEED and use AHP to find the most suitable milling cutter. We also tried to solve the problem of delivery, quality and production capacity which was a big problem of S company through experiment operation with selected cutter tool. As a result, the following conclusions were drawn. First, the most efficient of the three cutters currently available in the machining center has proven to be an M-cutter. Second, although one additional facility was required, it was possible to produce the existing facilities without additional investment by supplementing the lack of production capacity due to productivity improvement. Third, the Company's difficulties in delivery and capacity shortfalls have been resolved. Fourth, annual sales increased by KRW 109 million and profits increased by KRW 32 million annually. Fifth, it can confirm the usefulness of AHP method in corporate decision making and it can be utilized in various facility investment and process improvement in the future.

다분류 SVM을 이용한 DEA기반 벤처기업 효율성등급 예측모형 (The Prediction of DEA based Efficiency Rating for Venture Business Using Multi-class SVM)

  • 박지영;홍태호
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2009
  • For the last few decades, many studies have tried to explore and unveil venture companies' success factors and unique features in order to identify the sources of such companies' competitive advantages over their rivals. Such venture companies have shown tendency to give high returns for investors generally making the best use of information technology. For this reason, many venture companies are keen on attracting avid investors' attention. Investors generally make their investment decisions by carefully examining the evaluation criteria of the alternatives. To them, credit rating information provided by international rating agencies, such as Standard and Poor's, Moody's and Fitch is crucial source as to such pivotal concerns as companies stability, growth, and risk status. But these types of information are generated only for the companies issuing corporate bonds, not venture companies. Therefore, this study proposes a method for evaluating venture businesses by presenting our recent empirical results using financial data of Korean venture companies listed on KOSDAQ in Korea exchange. In addition, this paper used multi-class SVM for the prediction of DEA-based efficiency rating for venture businesses, which was derived from our proposed method. Our approach sheds light on ways to locate efficient companies generating high level of profits. Above all, in determining effective ways to evaluate a venture firm's efficiency, it is important to understand the major contributing factors of such efficiency. Therefore, this paper is constructed on the basis of following two ideas to classify which companies are more efficient venture companies: i) making DEA based multi-class rating for sample companies and ii) developing multi-class SVM-based efficiency prediction model for classifying all companies. First, the Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) is a non-parametric multiple input-output efficiency technique that measures the relative efficiency of decision making units(DMUs) using a linear programming based model. It is non-parametric because it requires no assumption on the shape or parameters of the underlying production function. DEA has been already widely applied for evaluating the relative efficiency of DMUs. Recently, a number of DEA based studies have evaluated the efficiency of various types of companies, such as internet companies and venture companies. It has been also applied to corporate credit ratings. In this study we utilized DEA for sorting venture companies by efficiency based ratings. The Support Vector Machine(SVM), on the other hand, is a popular technique for solving data classification problems. In this paper, we employed SVM to classify the efficiency ratings in IT venture companies according to the results of DEA. The SVM method was first developed by Vapnik (1995). As one of many machine learning techniques, SVM is based on a statistical theory. Thus far, the method has shown good performances especially in generalizing capacity in classification tasks, resulting in numerous applications in many areas of business, SVM is basically the algorithm that finds the maximum margin hyperplane, which is the maximum separation between classes. According to this method, support vectors are the closest to the maximum margin hyperplane. If it is impossible to classify, we can use the kernel function. In the case of nonlinear class boundaries, we can transform the inputs into a high-dimensional feature space, This is the original input space and is mapped into a high-dimensional dot-product space. Many studies applied SVM to the prediction of bankruptcy, the forecast a financial time series, and the problem of estimating credit rating, In this study we employed SVM for developing data mining-based efficiency prediction model. We used the Gaussian radial function as a kernel function of SVM. In multi-class SVM, we adopted one-against-one approach between binary classification method and two all-together methods, proposed by Weston and Watkins(1999) and Crammer and Singer(2000), respectively. In this research, we used corporate information of 154 companies listed on KOSDAQ market in Korea exchange. We obtained companies' financial information of 2005 from the KIS(Korea Information Service, Inc.). Using this data, we made multi-class rating with DEA efficiency and built multi-class prediction model based data mining. Among three manners of multi-classification, the hit ratio of the Weston and Watkins method is the best in the test data set. In multi classification problems as efficiency ratings of venture business, it is very useful for investors to know the class with errors, one class difference, when it is difficult to find out the accurate class in the actual market. So we presented accuracy results within 1-class errors, and the Weston and Watkins method showed 85.7% accuracy in our test samples. We conclude that the DEA based multi-class approach in venture business generates more information than the binary classification problem, notwithstanding its efficiency level. We believe this model can help investors in decision making as it provides a reliably tool to evaluate venture companies in the financial domain. For the future research, we perceive the need to enhance such areas as the variable selection process, the parameter selection of kernel function, the generalization, and the sample size of multi-class.

KOSDAQ 시장의 관리종목 지정 탐지 모형 개발 (Development of a Detection Model for the Companies Designated as Administrative Issue in KOSDAQ Market)

  • 신동인;곽기영
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.157-176
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    • 2018
  • 관리종목은 상장폐지 가능성이 높은 기업들을 즉시 퇴출하기 보다는 시장 안에서 일정한 제약을 부여하고, 그러한 기업들에게 상장폐지 사유를 극복할 수 있는 시간적 기회를 주는 제도이다. 뿐만 아니라 이를 투자자 및 시장참여자들에게 공시하여 투자의사결정에 주의를 환기시키는 역할을 한다. 기업의 부실화로 인한 부도 예측에 관한 연구는 많이 있으나, 부실화 가능성이 높은 기업에 대한 사회, 경제적 경보체계라 할 수 있는 관리종목에 관한 연구는 상대적으로 매우 부족하다. 이에 본 연구는 코스닥 기업들 가운데 관리종목 지정 기업과 비관리종목 기업을 표본으로 삼아 로지스틱 회귀분석과 의사결정나무 분석을 이용하여 관리종목 지정 예측 모형을 개발하고 검증하였다. 분석결과에 따르면 로지스틱 회귀분석 모형은 ROE(세전계속사업이익), 자기자본현금흐름률, 총자산회전율을 사용하여 관리종목 지정을 예측하였으며, 전체 평균 예측 정확도는 검증용 데이터셋에 대해 86%의 높은 성능을 보여주었다. 의사결정나무 모형은 현금흐름/총자산과 ROA(당기순이익)를 통한 분류규칙을 적용하여 약 87%의 예측 정확도를 보여주었다. 로지스틱 회귀분석 기반의 관리종목 탐지 모형의 경우 ROE(세전계속사업이익)와 같은 구체적인 관리종목 지정 사유를 반영하면서 기업의 활동성에 초점을 맞추어 관리종목 지정 경향성을 설명하는 반면, 의사결정 관리종목 탐지 모형은 기업의 현금흐름을 중심으로 하여 관리종목 지정을 예측하는 것으로 나타났다.

지적정보 기반의 강우빈도별 침수지역 분석 (Analysis of Flooded Areas for Cadastral Information-Based Rainfall Frequencies)

  • 민관식;이형석
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2010
  • 태풍 및 국지성 폭우로 인한 침수 및 범람지역의 발생이 증가하고 있어 재해 이력에 대한 체계적 구축과 침수 예측에 대한 정략적 분석을 통한 재해 예방이 필요하다. 본 연구는 피해지역의 수치영상을 기반으로 피해조사 범위 산정의 기반 자료와 속성정보를 제공하기 위하여 지리정보체계 매핑 기술을 사용하여 수치영상과 피해지역 연속지적도의 속성정보 융합을 통해 현장 실사용 재해정보지도를 구축하였다. 또한, 재해정보의 고도화를 위해 홍수범람 시뮬레이션을 통해 대상 지역의 빈도별 홍수량을 산정하여 돌발홍수 예측지역을 표시하였으며 지적 정보를 활용하여 빈도별 침수면적 및 침수피해율을 산출하였다. 따라서, 집중호우에 따른 홍수 시나리오 분석을 통해 사전에 자연재해 예방 및 대책을 위한 의사결정을 지원함으로써 자연재해관리 업무 효율성 및 대응능력 강화에 기여할 수 있는 방안을 제시하였다.

하이브리드 진로코칭 모형 개발 및 효과분석 (Development of Hybrid Career Coaching Model and Effect Analysis)

  • 고은현;박혜림;김도현
    • 컴퓨터교육학회논문지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문의 목적은 진로 상담 분야에서 직접 코치와 학습자가 만나서 확인하고 상담하는 면대면 코칭과 인터넷을 통해 코치와 학습자가 상담하는 E-코칭을 조합한 하이브리드 진로코칭 모형을 개발하고 대학생들의 진로 지도에 적용하고 그 효과를 분석하는데 있다. 하이브리드 진로코칭에서는 프로파일, 적성 검사 등 인터넷 상에서 원격 접속하여 수행 가능하고 데이터 저장이 필요한 것은 E-코칭으로 처리하고, 점검, 상담 및 성찰 등 학생의 상황을 파악하고 대화가 필요한 부분은 면대면으로 설계하였다. 제안한 하이브리드 진로코칭 모형은 진로코칭 안내, 자기이해, 진로의사결정, 진로실행계획 수립, 실행계획 및 실행의지 점검, 실행결과 점검 6단계로 나누어 진행하였다. 하이브리드 진로코칭 모형을 대학생에게 적용하여 진로개발을 위한 인지적, 행동적 행동변화를 촉진하고 그 효과를 분석하였다. 연구 결과 진로준비행동이 높아졌으며, 코칭을 통해 자신의 현재 상태 분석과 실행 전략이 중요성 및 학습법과 자기조절능력 등을 획득하였다고 분석되었다. 이러한 결과를 토대로 이 연구에서 개발된 하이브리드 진로코칭 모형은 진로지도가 강화되는 대학에서 교수의 진로지도를 지원할 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

식생가뭄반응지수 (VegDRI)를 활용한 위성영상 기반 가뭄 평가 (Satellite-based Hybrid Drought Assessment using Vegetation Drought Response Index in South Korea (VegDRI-SKorea))

  • 남원호;;;장민원;홍석영
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2015
  • The development of drought index that provides detailed-spatial-resolution drought information is essential for improving drought planning and preparedness. The objective of this study was to develop the concept of using satellite-based hybrid drought index called the Vegetation Drought Response Index in South Korea (VegDRI-SKorea) that could improve spatial resolution for monitoring local and regional drought. The VegDRI-SKorea was developed using the Classification And Regression Trees (CART) algorithm based on remote sensing data such as Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from MODIS satellite images, climate drought indices such as Self Calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (SC-PDSI) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the biophysical data such as land cover, eco region, and soil available water capacity. A case study has been done for the 2012 drought to evaluate the VegDRI-SKorea model for South Korea. The VegDRI-SKorea represented the drought areas from the end of May and to the severe drought at the end of June. Results show that the integration of satellite imageries and various associated data allows us to get improved both spatially and temporally drought information using a data mining technique and get better understanding of drought condition. In addition, VegDRI-SKorea is expected to contribute to monitor the current drought condition for evaluating local and regional drought risk assessment and assisting drought-related decision making.

도시계획과 환경영향평가 (Environmental Impact Assessment in Urban Planning)

  • 정용
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1993
  • Most developing countries are experiencing rapid urbanization and the associated growth of industry and services. Cities are currently absorbing two-thirds of the total population in the developing world. Korea has about 85 percent of urban dwellers. World population will shift from being predominantly rural to predominantly urban around the turn of the century. Although cities play a key role in development process and make more than a proportionate contribution to national economic growth, especially cities are also the main catalysts of economic growth in developing countries, they can also be unhealthy, inefficient, and inequitable places to live. Most developing countries are increasingly unable to provide basic environmental infrastructure and services, whether in the megacities or in secondary urban centers. Of particular concern is the strain on natural resources brought by the increasing number of people, cars, and factories. They are generating ever greater amounts of urban wastes and emissions. They also exceed the capacity of regulatory authorities to control them and of nature to assimilate them. The environmental consequences are translated into direct negative impacts on human health, the quality of life, the productivity of the city, and the surrounding ecosystems. Environmental degradation threatens the long tenn availability and quality of natural resources critical to economic growth. Cities, with their higher and growing per capita energy use for domestic, industrial, and transport purpose also contribute a disproportionate share of the emission leading to global warming and acid rain. An important priority is to develop strategic approaches for managing the urban environment. The design of appropriate and lasting strategic responses requires first an understanding of the underlying causes of urban environmental deterioration, it is necessary that longer tenn objectives should be set for urban area to avoid irreversible ecological damage and to ensure lasting economic development. As a means to the preventive policies against the adverse effect, environmental impact assessment (EIA) serve to identify a project's possible environmental consequences early enough to allow their being taken into consideration in the decision making process for urban planning. This paper describes some considerations of EIA for urban planning-scoping, assessment process, measurement and prediction of impacts, pollution controls and supervision, and system planning for environmental preservation.

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조립각형 CFT 기둥의 용접크기 결정을 위한 수압실험 및 해석 (Water pressure Test and analysis for Welding Thickness Decision of New Cold-formed Type Concrete Filled Tubular Square Column)

  • 이성희;김선희;김영호;최성모
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.515-526
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    • 2009
  • 콘크리트 충전강관에 사용되는 강관의 제작법은 재단된 4장의 플레이트를 모서리에서 용접하는 일반강관 제작법과, ㄷ형으로 절곡성형과정을 거쳐 2-Seam으로 용접하는 제작방법, 그리고 원형강관을 압축하여 4각형태로 만드는 방법등이 일반적으로 사용되며, 강관제작에 사용되는 용접방법과 용접량의 선택은 강관 제작비용에 큰 부분을 차지하고 있다. 새로운 제작형식으로 개발된 각형강관은 4장의 플레이트를 ㄱ형으로 절곡성형한 후 강관 폭의 중앙에서 4-Seam Flare 용접하는 방식이다. 본 연구에서는 새로운 제작형식의 CFT 각형 기둥에 대하여 용접량 평가를 위한 실험방법을 제시하고, 강관 제작법, 강관두께 및 용접량을 변수로 총 6개의 실험체를 제작하여 구조실험 및 해석을 수행하여 강관내부의 수압에 따른 강관의 거동을 평가하였다.