• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision support techniques

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The Efficiency Analysis for DMU Using the Integration Method of DEA and AHP (DEA와 AHP 기법이 결합된 DMU의 효율성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Cho, Nam-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2006
  • This study proposes a new approach which combines Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) techniques to effectively evaluate Decision Making Units(DMUs). While DEA evaluates a quantitative data set, employs linear programming to obtain input and output weights and ranks the performance of DMUs, AHP evaluates the qualitative data retrieved from expert opinions and other managerial information in specifying weights. The objective of this research is to design a decision support process for managers to incorporate positive aspects of DEA's absolute numerical evaluations and AHP's human preference structure values. It is believed that a pragmatic manager will be more receptive to the results that include subjective opinions incorporated into the evaluation of the efficiency of each DMU efficiency. The WPDEA method provides better discrimination than the DEA method by reducing the number of efficient units.

STATISTICAL MODELLING USING DATA MINING TOOLS IN MERGERS AND ACQUISITION WITH REGARDS TO MANUFACTURE & SERVICE SECTOR

  • KALAIVANI, S.;SIVAKUMAR, K.;VIJAYARANGAM, J.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.40 no.3_4
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    • pp.563-575
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    • 2022
  • Many organizations seek statistical modelling facilitated by data analytics technologies for determining the prediction models associated with M&A (Merger and Acquisition). By combining these data analytics tool alongside with data collection approaches aids organizations towards M&A decision making, followed by achieving profitable insights as well. It promotes for better visibility, overall improvements and effective negotiation strategies for post-M&A integration. This paper explores on the impact of pre and post integration of M&A in a standard organizational setting via devising a suitable statistical model via employing techniques such as Naïve Bayes, K-nearest neighbour (KNN), and Decision Tree & Support Vector Machine (SVM).

Predicting Employment Earning using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (딥 컨볼루션 신경망을 이용한 고용 소득 예측)

  • Ramadhani, Adyan Marendra;Kim, Na-Rang;Choi, Hyung-Rim
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 2018
  • Income is a vital aspect of economic life. Knowing what their income will help people create budgets that allow them to pay for their living expenses. Income data is used by banks, stores, and service companies for marketing purposes and for retaining loyal customers; it is a crucial demographic element used at a wide variety of customer touch points. Therefore, it is essential to be able to make income predictions for existing and potential customers. This paper aims to predict employment earnings or income based on history, and uses machine learning techniques such as SVMs (Support Vector Machines), Gaussian, decision tree and DCNNs (Deep Convolutional Neural Networks) for predicting employment earnings. The results show that the DCNN method provides optimum results with 88% compared to other machine learning techniques used in this paper. Improvement of the data length such PCA has the potential to provide more optimum result.

Data Mining Tool for Stock Investors' Decision Support (주식 투자자의 의사결정 지원을 위한 데이터마이닝 도구)

  • Kim, Sung-Dong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.472-482
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    • 2012
  • There are many investors in the stock market, and more and more people get interested in the stock investment. In order to avoid risks and make profit in the stock investment, we have to determine several aspects using various information. That is, we have to select profitable stocks and determine appropriate buying/selling prices and holding period. This paper proposes a data mining tool for the investors' decision support. The data mining tool makes stock investors apply machine learning techniques and generate stock price prediction model. Also it helps determine buying/selling prices and holding period. It supports individual investor's own decision making using past data. Using the proposed tool, users can manage stock data, generate their own stock price prediction models, and establish trading policy via investment simulation. Users can select technical indicators which they think affect future stock price. Then they can generate stock price prediction models using the indicators and test the models. They also perform investment simulation using proper models to find appropriate trading policy consisting of buying/selling prices and holding period. Using the proposed data mining tool, stock investors can expect more profit with the help of stock price prediction model and trading policy validated on past data, instead of with an emotional decision.

Japanese Political Interviews: The Integration of Conversation Analysis and Facial Expression Analysis

  • Kinoshita, Ken
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.180-196
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    • 2020
  • This paper considers Japanese political interviews to integrate conversation and facial expression analysis. The behaviors of political leaders will be disclosed by analyzing questions and responses by using the turn-taking system in conversation analysis. Additionally, audiences who cannot understand verbal expressions alone will understand the psychology of political leaders by analyzing their facial expressions. Integral analyses promote understanding of the types of facial and verbal expressions of politicians and their effect on public opinion. Politicians have unique techniques to convince people. If people do not know these techniques and ways of various expressions, they will become confused, and politics may fall into populism as a result. To avoid this, a complete understanding of verbal and non-verbal behaviors is needed. This paper presents two analyses. The first analysis is a qualitative analysis that deals with Prime Minister Shinzō Abe and shows that differences between words and happy facial expressions occur. That result indicates that Abe expresses disgusted facial expressions when faced with the same question from an interviewer. The second is a quantitative multiple regression analysis where the dependent variables are six facial expressions: happy, sad, angry, surprised, scared, and disgusted. The independent variable is when politicians have a threat to face. Political interviews that directly inform audiences are used as a tool by politicians. Those interviews play an important role in modelling public opinion. The audience watches political interviews, and these mold support to the party. Watching political interviews contributes to the decision to support the political party when they vote in a coming election.

A Detailed Analysis of Classifier Ensembles for Intrusion Detection in Wireless Network

  • Tama, Bayu Adhi;Rhee, Kyung-Hyune
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.1203-1212
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    • 2017
  • Intrusion detection systems (IDSs) are crucial in this overwhelming increase of attacks on the computing infrastructure. It intelligently detects malicious and predicts future attack patterns based on the classification analysis using machine learning and data mining techniques. This paper is devoted to thoroughly evaluate classifier ensembles for IDSs in IEEE 802.11 wireless network. Two ensemble techniques, i.e. voting and stacking are employed to combine the three base classifiers, i.e. decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM). We use area under ROC curve (AUC) value as a performance metric. Finally, we conduct two statistical significance tests to evaluate the performance differences among classifiers.

Studying a Balance Scored Card-driven System Dynamics Model for Enhancing Hospital Key Performances (중소 의료기관 경영성과 제고를 위한 실증적 사례연구 : 균형성과표와 시스템다이나믹스를 중심으로)

  • Chung, Hee-Tae;Park, Hwa-Gyoo
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.25-40
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    • 2011
  • Small and Medium sized hospitals are exposed to severe managerial environments recently. Around 8.0% of the hospitals are bankrupted every year. The adverse managerial environment does not only come from external factors such as patients' preference for larger hospitals, regulations on the medical charges; more serious problems come from the way the medium and small sized hospitals deal with those exogenous changes including lack of management skills, lack of change management skills, lack of managerial decision support systems, etc. This paper aims to support managers to make decisions regarding the exogenous changes. This paper can be interpreted as an attempt of a merge of the two techniques; BSC and system dynamics. Starting with a BSC system, the development of a system dynamics model can take advantages of the BSC information.

A Classification Method Using Data Reduction

  • Uhm, Daiho;Jun, Sung-Hae;Lee, Seung-Joo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2012
  • Data reduction has been used widely in data mining for convenient analysis. Principal component analysis (PCA) and factor analysis (FA) methods are popular techniques. The PCA and FA reduce the number of variables to avoid the curse of dimensionality. The curse of dimensionality is to increase the computing time exponentially in proportion to the number of variables. So, many methods have been published for dimension reduction. Also, data augmentation is another approach to analyze data efficiently. Support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is a representative technique for dimension augmentation. The SVM maps original data to a feature space with high dimension to get the optimal decision plane. Both data reduction and augmentation have been used to solve diverse problems in data analysis. In this paper, we compare the strengths and weaknesses of dimension reduction and augmentation for classification and propose a classification method using data reduction for classification. We will carry out experiments for comparative studies to verify the performance of this research.

Multiple Interactive Visualization Techniques for Information (복합상호작용 시각화기법을 통한 정보 표출)

  • Kang, Sang-Goo;Nam, Doohee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2012
  • Several Visualization techniques have been applied in traffic information area. This work is the basic research for applying of interactive visualization techniques when the traffic information is provided to users. Design of interactive visualization techniques were applied to traffic information services. Previous studies for information visualization with interactive visualization techniques were investigated, and the traffic information services currently provided were analyzed. There are many types of interactive visualization techniques, but this study is mainly focused on selecting, querying, linking, filtering and rearranging techniques. The users can obtain the proper and more suitable information for theie needs, because each interactive visualization techniques support interaction between information and users. The traffic information which has one of interactive techniques can be more effective for decision making and utilization. More attention is given to interactive visualization of data and information techniques in transportation field. By this research, it is expected that traffic information services is more effective and can be a foundation work for various interactive visualization techniques in traffice inforamtion.

Speech emotion recognition based on genetic algorithm-decision tree fusion of deep and acoustic features

  • Sun, Linhui;Li, Qiu;Fu, Sheng;Li, Pingan
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.462-475
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    • 2022
  • Although researchers have proposed numerous techniques for speech emotion recognition, its performance remains unsatisfactory in many application scenarios. In this study, we propose a speech emotion recognition model based on a genetic algorithm (GA)-decision tree (DT) fusion of deep and acoustic features. To more comprehensively express speech emotional information, first, frame-level deep and acoustic features are extracted from a speech signal. Next, five kinds of statistic variables of these features are calculated to obtain utterance-level features. The Fisher feature selection criterion is employed to select high-performance features, removing redundant information. In the feature fusion stage, the GA is is used to adaptively search for the best feature fusion weight. Finally, using the fused feature, the proposed speech emotion recognition model based on a DT support vector machine model is realized. Experimental results on the Berlin speech emotion database and the Chinese emotion speech database indicate that the proposed model outperforms an average weight fusion method.