• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision making tool

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전문가 시스템을 이용한 상대적 전투력 분석 (Analysis of Relative Combat Power with Expert System)

  • 한승조
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2016
  • 본 논문의 목적은 지상작전 시 피아간 상대적 전투력을 분석하는데 전문가 시스템을 이용하는 방안을 제시하는 것이다. 상대적 전투력 분석은 지휘관 및 참모들이 부대를 어떻게 운용할 것인가에 대한 방향을 설정할 수 있기 때문에, 그 절차는 신속하고 이성적인 의사결정의 과정을 필요로 한다. 여러 애플리케이션들이 탑재될 수 있는 전술정보통신체계가 10년 동안 개발되고 있지만, 상대적 전투력 분석의 절차는 의사결정에 관여한 일부인원들에 의해 수작업으로 진행되어왔다. 본 연구에서는 이론적으로 3가지 상대적 전투력 분석방법을 고찰하고 이를 시스템에 지식(Knowledge)롤 사용될 수 있도록 수치적으로 표현하고, 유형뿐만 아니라 무형의 전투력도 지식에 포함될 수 있는 방안이 연구되었다. 기존의 대대급 전투력 지수와 수치적으로 표현된 지식을 이용하여 상대적 전투력 분석을 위한 전문가 시스템은 EXSYS Corvid로 구현되었다. 의사결정의 오류를 줄이고 빠른 의사결정을 가능하게 하며 유형뿐만 아니라 무형의 전투력까지 의사결정에 반영할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 향후에는 전투력 분석뿐만 아니라 인사분야나 정보 분석 분야에도 전문가 시스템을 도입하는 방안이 연구되어 객관적이고 합리적인 군 의사결정체계에 기여해야 한다.

공급 리스크를 고려한 공급자 선정의 다단계 의사결정 모형 (A Multi-Phase Decision Making Model for Supplier Selection Under Supply Risks)

  • 유준수;박양병
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.112-119
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    • 2017
  • Selecting suppliers in the global supply chain is the very difficult and complicated decision making problem particularly due to the various types of supply risk in addition to the uncertain performance of the potential suppliers. This paper proposes a multi-phase decision making model for supplier selection under supply risks in global supply chains. In the first phase, the model suggests supplier selection solutions suitable to a given condition of decision making using a rule-based expert system. The expert system consists of a knowledge base of supplier selection solutions and an "if-then" rule-based inference engine. The knowledge base contains information about options and their consistency for seven characteristics of 20 supplier selection solutions chosen from articles published in SCIE journals since 2010. In the second phase, the model computes the potential suppliers' general performance indices using a technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) based on their scores obtained by applying the suggested solutions. In the third phase, the model computes their risk indices using a TOPSIS based on their historical and predicted scores obtained by applying a risk evaluation algorithm. The evaluation algorithm deals with seven types of supply risk that significantly affect supplier's performance and eventually influence buyer's production plan. In the fourth phase, the model selects Pareto optimal suppliers based on their general performance and risk indices. An example demonstrates the implementation of the proposed model. The proposed model provides supply chain managers with a practical tool to effectively select best suppliers while considering supply risks as well as the general performance.

빅데이터 패키지 선정 방법 (Method for Selecting a Big Data Package)

  • 변대호
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제11권10호
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2013
  • 빅데이터 분석은 데이터의 양, 처리속도, 다양성 측면에서 데이터 마이닝과 달리 문제해결과 의사결정을 위해서는 새로운 도구를 필요로 한다. 많은 글로벌 IT기업들은 사용하기 쉽고 기능성이 우수한 모델링 능력을 가진 다양한 빅데이터 제품을 출시하고 있다. 빅데이터 패키지는 분석도구, 인프라, 플랫폼 형태로 하드웨어와 소프트웨어를 포함한 솔루션이다. 빅데이터의 수집, 저장, 분석, 시각화가 가능한 제품이다. 빅데이터 패키지는 업체별로 제품 종류가 많고 복잡한 기능을 가질 뿐만 아니라 선정에 있어서 전문 지식을 필요로 하며 일반적인 소프트웨어 패키지보다 그 중요성이 높기 때문에 의사결정 방법의 개발이 요구된다. 본 연구는 빅데이터 패키지 도입을 위한 의사결정지원방법을 제안하는 것이 목표이다. 문헌적 고찰을 통하여 빅데이터 패키지의 특징과 기능을 비교하고, 선정기준을 제안한다. 패키지 도입 타당성을 평가하기 위하여 비용과 혜택 각각을 목표노드로 하는 AHP 모델 및 선정기준을 목표노드로 하는 AHP 모델을 제안하고 이들을 결합하여 최적의 패키지를 선정하는 과정을 보인다.

지휘결심을 위한 자동 방책 평가 (Automated Course of Action Evaluation for Military Decision-Making)

  • 서기원;이형근;김민혁;김병주;이문현;백재우;서창호
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.437-445
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    • 2024
  • In future complex and diverse battlefield situations, the existing command system faces the challenge of delayed human judgement of strategy and low objectivity. This paper proposes an artificial intelligence model that takes situation information and course of action simulation results as input and automatically assigns scores to various evaluation elements and a comprehensive score. This tool is expected to assist the commander in making decisions, reduce the time required for making judgments, and promote impartial decision-making.

건설프로젝트 하도급 입찰금액 상승요인을 고려한 리스크인자의 중요도에 관한 분석 (An Analysis on the Importance of the Risk Factors Considering the Reasons for the Increase of the Subcontract Construction Project Bid Cost)

  • 이성구;신현인
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2007
  • The aims of this study are to draw the project risk factors by grasping the relation especially between the construction preparation cost calculation and the project risk factors in the project's bidding stage, and to draw the cost estimate based on the risk when the orderer or the constructer performs the project and the main factors in calculating the most suitable construction cost by clarifying the understanding degree of the influence between the risk factors and the construction cost. In addition, this study can give a help to the proper decision -making through the prediction of the construction preparation cost, and this study is expected to give the basic data in developing the assessment tool for the most suitable construction cost of the project.

퍼지적분을 이용한 휴대폰 제조업체의 제품-서비스 가치 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Product-Service Valuation of Handset Manufacturer using Fuzzy Integral)

  • 양효석;황의영;유춘번
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2010
  • In this paper we propose a product-service valuation model which is usable as a decision-making tool in order to attain a competitive advantage in service in the manufacturing industry. With this purpose, service quality, product quality and costs as valuation criteria are selected. Also, the paper utilizes an AHP model in order to differentiate a fuzzy theory and valuation factors to ensure objectivity in the evaluated results while excluding subjective factors in conducting the product-service valuation. Accordingly, the product-service valuation model and valuated results proposed in this paper are expected to be useful as a basic data for decision-making in order to draw competitive advantage strategies of service in the manufacturing industry.

SUPPLIER SELECTION UNDER UNCERTAINTY: A FUZZY-SET APPOACH

  • 박병권
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.159-179
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    • 1997
  • Traditionally, the evaluation and selection of suppliers have been a major purchasing function. A growing concern for just in-time purchasing, global sourcing, and long-term partnership between buyers and suppliers makes selecting a righ supplier become more critical decision making process. Consequently, a rigorous and systematic method for evaluation suppliers is a must. However, assessing the values of factors(e.g. qulaity , delivery, and service) selected for evaluating suppliers contains elements of uncertainty. Although several methods have been developed for uncertainty analysis, they may not be proper tools for evaluating suppliers under uncertainty. In this paper, a methodology using a fuzzy-set approach in combination with a multicriterion decision-making (MCDM) technique is developed to use as a tool for evaluating suppliers under uncertainty. An numerical example is presented to demonstrate the method in practice.

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계층분석적 의사결정(AHP) 수법을 이용한 지하철의 안전성의 평가 (A Study on the Subway Safety Evaluation using the AHP)

  • 한석윤;박태근
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.213-218
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    • 2004
  • In this research, we investigate the method to support decision making of researcher when they estimate the safety on the subway using AHP of Saaty. To apply this technique, we apply to subway system. The AHP suggested by Saaty in 1971 is a tool to support a decision-making including the personal opinion and intuition, and it is easier than other method. Then, it has an advantage that control the complex object having multiple criteria simply. And we suggest the eight stage of accident type and the five criteria that must meet. Based on AHP, we concluded a safety in subway is more important factor than any other factors including economic points of view.

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의사결정을 위한 콘크리트댐 위험요인 분석 (Risk Factor Analysis of Concrete Dam for Decision Making)

  • 임정열;장봉석
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집(I)
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    • pp.554-557
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    • 2006
  • For various historical and technical reasons, the safety of dams has been controlled by an engineering standards-based approach, which has been developed over many years, initially for the design of new dams, but increasingly applied over the past few decades to assess the safety of existing dams. And some countries were asked for risk assessment on existing dam, which included structural, hydraulic safety of dam and social risk. Whereas other countries have developed and adapted as an additional tool to assist in decision-making for dam safety management. Dam risk analysis should need the reliability data of dam failures, the past constructed history and management records of existing dam. It is thought with risk analysis method of dams for structural safety management in domestic that suitable to use consider an event tree, fault tree and conditioning indexes method.

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Wind-induced fragility assessment of protruding sign structures

  • Sim, Viriyavudh;Jung, WooYoung
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.381-392
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    • 2020
  • Despite that the failure of sign structure may not have disastrous consequence, its sheer number still ensures the need for rigorous safety standard to regulate their maintenance and construction. During its service life, a sign structure is subject to extensive wind load, sometimes well over its permissible design load. A fragility analysis of a sign structure offers a tool for rational decision making and safety evaluation by using a probabilistic framework to consider the various sources of uncertainty that affect its performance. Wind fragility analysis was used to determine the performance of sign structure based on the performance of its connection components. In this study, basic wind fragility concepts and data required to support the fragility analysis of the sign structure such as sign panel's parameters, connection component's parameters, as well as wind load parameters were presented. Fragility and compound fragility analysis showed disparity between connection component. Additionally, reinforcement of the connection system was introduced as an example of the utilization of wind fragility results in the retrofit decision making.