• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Tree Regression

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A Statistical Analysis of Professional Baseball Team Data: The Case of the Lotte Giants

  • Cho, Young-Seuk;Han, Jun-Tae;Park, Chan-Keun;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1191-1199
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    • 2010
  • Knowing what factors into a player's ability to affect the outcome of a sports game is crucial. This knowledge helps determine the relative degree of contribution by each team member as well as sets appropriate annual salaries. This study uses statistical analysis to investigate how much the outcome of a professional baseball game is influenced by the records of individual players. We used the Lotte Giants' data on 252 games played between 2007 and 2008 that included environmental data(home or away games and opponents) as well as pitchers' and batters' data. Using a SAS Enterprise Miner, we performed a logistic regression analysis and decision tree analysis on the data. The results obtained through the two analytic methods are compared and discussed.

The influence analysis of admission variables on academic achievements (학업성취도에 대한 대입전형 요인들의 영향력 분석)

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.729-736
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we study the influence analysis of admission variables including their characteristics on academic achievements of freshmen at K university in Busan. First, multiple regression analysis is used to examine the main effects of admission variables including students' characteristics on the academic achievements. Also, Decision tree analysis is used to examine the interaction effects for the admission variables on the academic achievements. The results of this paper may be helpful to K university in designing effective admissions strategies for recruiting students.

Analysis of the Characteristics of the Older Adults with Depression Using Data Mining Decision Tree Analysis (의사결정나무 분석법을 활용한 우울 노인의 특성 분석)

  • Park, Myonghwa;Choi, Sora;Shin, A Mi;Koo, Chul Hoi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop a prediction model for the characteristics of older adults with depression using the decision tree method. Methods: A large dataset from the 2008 Korean Elderly Survey was used and data of 14,970 elderly people were analyzed. Target variable was depression and 53 input variables were general characteristics, family & social relationship, economic status, health status, health behavior, functional status, leisure & social activity, quality of life, and living environment. Data were analyzed by decision tree analysis, a data mining technique using SPSS Window 19.0 and Clementine 12.0 programs. Results: The decision trees were classified into five different rules to define the characteristics of older adults with depression. Classification & Regression Tree (C&RT) showed the best prediction with an accuracy of 80.81% among data mining models. Factors in the rules were life satisfaction, nutritional status, daily activity difficulty due to pain, functional limitation for basic or instrumental daily activities, number of chronic diseases and daily activity difficulty due to disease. Conclusion: The different rules classified by the decision tree model in this study should contribute as baseline data for discovering informative knowledge and developing interventions tailored to these individual characteristics.

Estimating the determinants of victory and defeat through analyzing records of Korean pro-basketball (한국남자프로농구 경기기록 분석을 통한 승패결정요인 추정: 2010-2011시즌, 2011-2012시즌 정규리그 기록 적용)

  • Kim, Sae-Hyung;Lee, Jun-Woo;Lee, Mi-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.993-1003
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the determinants of victory and defeat through analyzing records of Korean men pro-basketball. Statistical models of victory and defeat were established by collecting present basketball records (2010-2011, 2011-2012 season). Korea Basketball League (KBL) informs records of every pro-basketball game data. The six offence variables (2P%, 3P%, FT%, OR, AS, TO), and the four defense variables (DR, ST, GD, BS) were used in this study. PASW program was used for logistic regression and Answer Tree program was used for the decision tree. All significance levels were set at .05. Major results were as follows. In the logistic regression, 2P%, 3P%, and TO were three offense variables significantly affecting victory and defeat, and DR, ST, and BS were three significant defense variables. Offensive variables 2P%, 3P%, TO, and AS are used in constructing the decision tree. The highest percentage of victory was 80.85% when 2P% was in 51%-58%, 3P% was more than 31 percent, and TO was less than 11 times. In the decision tree of the defence variables, the highest percentage of victory was 94.12% when DR was more than 24, ST was more than six, and BS was more than two times.

Two-Stage Logistic Regression for Cancer Classi cation and Prediction from Copy-Numbe Changes in cDNA Microarray-Based Comparative Genomic Hybridization

  • Kim, Mi-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.847-859
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    • 2011
  • cDNA microarray-based comparative genomic hybridization(CGH) data includes low-intensity spots and thus a statistical strategy is needed to detect subtle differences between different cancer classes. In this study, genes displaying a high frequency of alteration in one of the different classes were selected among the pre-selected genes that show relatively large variations between genes compared to total variations. Utilizing copy-number changes of the selected genes, this study suggests a statistical approach to predict patients' classes with increased performance by pre-classifying patients with similar genetic alteration scores. Two-stage logistic regression model(TLRM) was suggested to pre-classify homogeneous patients and predict patients' classes for cancer prediction; a decision tree(DT) was combined with logistic regression on the set of informative genes. TLRM was constructed in cDNA microarray-based CGH data from the Cancer Metastasis Research Center(CMRC) at Yonsei University; it predicted the patients' clinical diagnoses with perfect matches (except for one patient among the high-risk and low-risk classified patients where the performance of predictions is critical due to the high sensitivity and specificity requirements for clinical treatments. Accuracy validated by leave-one-out cross-validation(LOOCV) was 83.3% while other classification methods of CART and DT performed as comparisons showed worse performances than TLRM.

A Comparative Analysis of Risk Assessment Models for Asbestos Demolition (석면 해체 작업의 위험성평가모델 비교 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Gyu;Kim, Min-Seung;Lee, Su-Min;Kim, Yu-Jin;Han, Seung-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.99-100
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    • 2022
  • As the danger of exposure to the asbestos has been revealed, the importance of demolition asbestos in existing buildings has been raised. Extensive body of study has been conducted to evaluate the risk of demolition asbestos, but there were confined types of variables caused by not reflecting categorical information and limitations in collecting quantitative information. Thus, this study aims to derive a model that predicts the risk in workplace of demolition asbestos by collecting categorical and continuous variables. For this purpose, categorical and continuous variables were collected from asbestos demolition reports, and the risk assessment score was set as the dependent variable. In this study, the influence of each variable was identified using logistic regression, and the risk prediction model methodologies were compared through decision tree regression and artificial neural network. As a result, a conditional risk prediction model was derived to evaluate the risk of demolition asbestos, and this model is expected to be used to ensure the safety of asbestos demolition workers.

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Applied linear and nonlinear statistical models for evaluating strength of Geopolymer concrete

  • Prem, Prabhat Ranjan;Thirumalaiselvi, A.;Verma, Mohit
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2019
  • The complex phenomenon of the bond formation in geopolymer is not well understood and therefore, difficult to model. This paper present applied statistical models for evaluating the compressive strength of geopolymer. The applied statistical models studied are divided into three different categories - linear regression [least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and elastic net], tree regression [decision and bagging tree] and kernel methods (support vector regression (SVR), kernel ridge regression (KRR), Gaussian process regression (GPR), relevance vector machine (RVM)]. The performance of the methods is compared in terms of error indices, computational effort, convergence and residuals. Based on the present study, kernel based methods (GPR and KRR) are recommended for evaluating compressive strength of Geopolymer concrete.

Penalized quantile regression tree (벌점화 분위수 회귀나무모형에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jaeoh;Cho, HyungJun;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1361-1371
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    • 2016
  • Quantile regression provides a variety of useful statistical information to examine how covariates influence the conditional quantile functions of a response variable. However, traditional quantile regression (which assume a linear model) is not appropriate when the relationship between the response and the covariates is a nonlinear. It is also necessary to conduct variable selection for high dimensional data or strongly correlated covariates. In this paper, we propose a penalized quantile regression tree model. The split rule of the proposed method is based on residual analysis, which has a negligible bias to select a split variable and reasonable computational cost. A simulation study and real data analysis are presented to demonstrate the satisfactory performance and usefulness of the proposed method.

A Development of a Tailored Follow up Management Model Using the Data Mining Technique on Hypertension (데이터마이닝 기법을 활용한 맞춤형 고혈압 사후관리 모형 개발)

  • Park, Il-Su;Yong, Wang-Sik;Kim, Yu-Mi;Kang, Sung-Hong;Han, Jun-Tae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.639-647
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    • 2008
  • This study used the characteristics of the knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to develop tailored hypertension follow up management model - hypertension care predictive model and hypertension care compliance segmentation model - for hypertension management using the Korea National Health Insurance Corporation database(the insureds’ screening and health care benefit data). This study validated the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression, decision tree, and ensemble technique. On the basis of internal and external validation, it was found that the model performance of logistic regression method was the best among the above three techniques on hypertension care predictive model and hypertension care compliance segmentation model was developed by Decision tree analysis. This study produced several factors affecting the outbreak of hypertension using screening. It is considered to be a contributing factor towards the nation’s building of a Hypertension follow up Management System in the near future by bringing forth representative results on the rise and care of hypertension.

The Life Satisfaction Analysis of Middle School Students Using Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey Data (한국아동·청소년패널조사 데이터를 이용한 중학생 삶의 만족도 분석)

  • An, Ji-Hye;Yun, You-Dong;Lim, Heui-Seok
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.197-208
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, data mining regression analysis and decision tree analysis techniques were used to analyze factors affecting the life satisfaction of middle school students. For this purpose, we analyzed Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey(KCYPS) data. As results, the common influencing factors to the life satisfaction were derived from regression analysis. Those factors are self-esteem, depression, total grade satisfaction, regional community awareness, career identity, annual delinquency damage experience, siblings' factors, trust, behavioral control, and concentration. Based on the result described by decision tree analysis, the factors that indicate a significant impact on the life satisfaction of middle school students were self-esteem, depression, career identity and attention factor.