• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data-based model

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A Climate Prediction Method Based on EMD and Ensemble Prediction Technique

  • Bi, Shuoben;Bi, Shengjie;Chen, Xuan;Ji, Han;Lu, Ying
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2018
  • Observed climate data are processed under the assumption that their time series are stationary, as in multi-step temperature and precipitation prediction, which usually leads to low prediction accuracy. If a climate system model is based on a single prediction model, the prediction results contain significant uncertainty. In order to overcome this drawback, this study uses a method that integrates ensemble prediction and a stepwise regression model based on a mean-valued generation function. In addition, it utilizes empirical mode decomposition (EMD), which is a new method of handling time series. First, a non-stationary time series is decomposed into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), which are stationary and multi-scale. Then, a different prediction model is constructed for each component of the IMF using numerical ensemble prediction combined with stepwise regression analysis. Finally, the results are fit to a linear regression model, and a short-term climate prediction system is established using the Visual Studio development platform. The model is validated using temperature data from February 1957 to 2005 from 88 weather stations in Guangxi, China. The results show that compared to single-model prediction methods, the EMD and ensemble prediction model is more effective for forecasting climate change and abrupt climate shifts when using historical data for multi-step prediction.

The Exchange of Feature Data Among CAD Systems Using XML (CAD 시스템간의 형상정보 교환을 위한 XML 이용에 관한 연구)

  • 박승현;최의성;정태형
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2004
  • The exchange of model design data among heterogeneous CAD systems is very difficult because each CAD system has different data structures suitable for its own functions. STEP represents product information in a common computer-interpretable form that is required to remain complete and consistent when the product information is needed to be exchanged among different computer systems. However, STEP has complex architecture to represent point, line, curve and vectors of element. Moreover it can't represent geometry data of feature based models. In this study, a structure of XML document that represents geometry data of feature based models as neutral format has been developed. To use the developed XML document, a converter also has been developed to exchange modules so that it can exchange feature based data models among heterogeneous CAD systems. Developed XML document and Converter have been applied to commercial CAD systems.

Design of a Node Label Data Flow Machine based on Self-timed (Self-timed 기반의 Node Label Data Flow Machine 설계)

  • Kim, Hee-Sook;Jung, Sung-Tae;Park, Hee-Soon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11b
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    • pp.666-668
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    • 1998
  • In this paper we illustrate the design of a node label data flow machine based on self-timed paradigm. Data flow machines differ from most other parallel architectures, they are based on the concept of the data-driven computation model instead of the program store computation model. Since the data-driven computation model provides the excution of instructions asynchronously, it is natural to implement a data flow machine using self timed circuits.

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SHM data anomaly classification using machine learning strategies: A comparative study

  • Chou, Jau-Yu;Fu, Yuguang;Huang, Shieh-Kung;Chang, Chia-Ming
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2022
  • Various monitoring systems have been implemented in civil infrastructure to ensure structural safety and integrity. In long-term monitoring, these systems generate a large amount of data, where anomalies are not unusual and can pose unique challenges for structural health monitoring applications, such as system identification and damage detection. Therefore, developing efficient techniques is quite essential to recognize the anomalies in monitoring data. In this study, several machine learning techniques are explored and implemented to detect and classify various types of data anomalies. A field dataset, which consists of one month long acceleration data obtained from a long-span cable-stayed bridge in China, is employed to examine the machine learning techniques for automated data anomaly detection. These techniques include the statistic-based pattern recognition network, spectrogram-based convolutional neural network, image-based time history convolutional neural network, image-based time-frequency hybrid convolution neural network (GoogLeNet), and proposed ensemble neural network model. The ensemble model deliberately combines different machine learning models to enhance anomaly classification performance. The results show that all these techniques can successfully detect and classify six types of data anomalies (i.e., missing, minor, outlier, square, trend, drift). Moreover, both image-based time history convolutional neural network and GoogLeNet are further investigated for the capability of autonomous online anomaly classification and found to effectively classify anomalies with decent performance. As seen in comparison with accuracy, the proposed ensemble neural network model outperforms the other three machine learning techniques. This study also evaluates the proposed ensemble neural network model to a blind test dataset. As found in the results, this ensemble model is effective for data anomaly detection and applicable for the signal characteristics changing over time.

A Study on the Intention of Early Users of Digital Finance baesd Mydata Service Application (디지털금융 기반 마이데이터 앱 초기 사용자들의 이용의도에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Tae Won;Sung, Haeng Nam
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2023
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to investigate the intention of early application users in consideration of the characteristics of digital finance-based MyData service users. It is expected that user characteristics will affect the intention to use MyData service, which has not yet been advanced, and accordingly, it will examine how the characteristics of the initial users of MyData service and the intention to use it are connected. Design/methodology/approach The model used in this study is a value-based adoption model (VAM), and a lot of research has been conducted on information technology and online user acceptance and continuous use intention of online users. VAM has been proven useful through empirical analysis in many studies. The value-based acceptance model is a method of analyzing the intention to use Benefits and Sacrifices as the main elements of perceived value. It can be said to be a model that can analyze the benefits of use and the sacrifices to be made. Findings According to the analysis results of this study, it was found that usefulness, enjoyment, and reliability, which are the benefits of MyData service apps, had a positive effect on perceived value, which is partially consistent with existing research results. However, it was found that complexity, which is the sacrifice of MyData service apps, negatively affects perceived value and security has no negative impact. The results of security are considered to be complementary to financial institutions because MyData service deals with financial data based on personal information, and the research hypothesis is rejected because users' demands are relatively low. Therefore, MyData service apps should do more to increase benefits (usefulness, enjoyment, and reliability) than to reduce sacrifice (complexity) to users.

An experience on the model-based evaluation of pharmacokinetic drug-drug interaction for a long half-life drug

  • Hong, Yunjung;Jeon, Sangil;Choi, Suein;Han, Sungpil;Park, Maria;Han, Seunghoon
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.545-553
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    • 2021
  • Fixed-dose combinations development requires pharmacokinetic drugdrug interaction (DDI) studies between active ingredients. For some drugs, pharmacokinetic properties such as long half-life or delayed distribution, make it difficult to conduct such clinical trials and to estimate the exact magnitude of DDI. In this study, the conventional (non-compartmental analysis and bioequivalence [BE]) and model-based analyses were compared for their performance to evaluate DDI using amlodipine as an example. Raw data without DDI or simulated data using pharmacokinetic models were compared to the data obtained after concomitant administration. Regardless of the methodology, all the results fell within the classical BE limit. It was shown that the model-based approach may be valid as the conventional approach and reduce the possibility of DDI overestimation. Several advantages (i.e., quantitative changes in parameters and precision of confidence interval) of the model-based approach were demonstrated, and possible application methods were proposed. Therefore, it is expected that the model-based analysis is appropriately utilized according to the situation and purpose.

Development of a Medial Care Cost Prediction Model for Cancer Patients Using Case-Based Reasoning (사례기반 추론을 이용한 암 환자 진료비 예측 모형의 개발)

  • Chung, Suk-Hoon;Suh, Yong-Moo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.69-84
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    • 2006
  • Importance of Today's diffusion of integrated hospital information systems is that various and huge amount of data is being accumulated in their database systems. Many researchers have studied utilizing such hospital data. While most researches were conducted mainly for medical diagnosis, there have been insufficient studies to develop medical care cost prediction model, especially using machine learning techniques. In this research, therefore, we built a medical care cost prediction model for cancer patients using CBR (Case-Based Reasoning), one of the machine learning techniques. Its performance was compared with those of Neural Networks and Decision Tree models. As a result of the experiment, the CBR prediction model was shown to be the best in general with respect to error rate and linearity between real values and predicted values. It is believed that the medical care cost prediction model can be utilized for the effective management of limited resources in hospitals.

Reassessment on SEBAL Algorithm and MODIS Products

  • Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Hyun-Mook;Kim, Yun-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.230-230
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    • 2016
  • Hydrological modeling is a very complex task dealing with multi-source of data, but it can be potentially benefited from recent improvements and developments in remote sensing. The estimation of actual land surface evapotranspiration (ET), an important variable in water management, has become possible based entirely on satellite data. This study adopted a Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL) with the use of MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) satellite products. The SEBAL model is one of the commonly used approach for the ET estimation. A primary advantage of the SEBAL model is rather its minimum requirement for ground-based weather data. The MODIS provides ET (MOD16) product that is based on the Penman-Monteith equation. This study aims to further develop the SEBAL model by employing a more rigorous parameterization scheme including the estimation of uncertainty associated with parameter and model selection in regression model. Finally, the proposed model is compared with the existing approaches and comprehensive discussion is then provided.

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The Bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model: a complete classical and Bayesian analysis

  • Fachini-Gomes, Juliana B.;Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.523-544
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    • 2018
  • Bivariate distributions play a fundamental role in survival and reliability studies. We consider a regression model for bivariate survival times under right-censored based on the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull (Cordeiro et al., Journal of the Franklin Institute, 347, 1399-1429, 2010) distribution to model the dependence of bivariate survival data. We describe some structural properties of the marginal distributions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian procedure are adopted to estimate the model parameters. We use diagnostic measures based on the local influence and Bayesian case influence diagnostics to detect influential observations in the new model. We also show that the estimates in the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model are robust to deal with the presence of outliers in the data. In addition, we use some measures of goodness-of-fit to evaluate the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model. The methodology is illustrated by means of a real lifetime data set for kidney patients.

Development of a System that Translates Spec-catalog Data for Plant Equipment Considering Holes and Nozzles (홀과 노즐을 고려한 플랜트 기기 스펙-카탈로그 데이터 번역 시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Hyunoh;Kwon, Hyeokjun;Lee, Gwang;Mun, Duhwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2020
  • Three-dimensional (3D) design data is used for various purposes throughout the life cycle of a plant construction project. Plant 3D CAD systems support 3D modeling based on specs-catalogs, which contain data that are used for different purposes such as design, procurement, production, and handover. Therefore, it is important to share the spec-catalog data in the 3D design model with other application systems. Sharing this data thus requires a system that extracts spec-catalog data from plant 3D CAD systems and converts them into neutral model data. In this paper, we analyze equipment spec-catalog data of plant 3D CAD systems and, based on these analyses, define the data structure for neutral spec-catalog data. We subsequently propose a procedure that translates native spec-catalog data to neutral model data and develop a prototype system that performs this operation. The proposed method is then experimentally validated for the test spec-catalog data.