• 제목/요약/키워드: Dangerous Area Prediction

검색결과 23건 처리시간 0.021초

실외 센서네트워크 기반 재해방지 시스템을 위한 위험지역 예측기법 (Dangerous Area Prediction Technique for Preventing Disaster based on Outside Sensor Network)

  • 정영진;김학철;류근호
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제13D권6호
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    • pp.775-788
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    • 2006
  • 무선 통신 기술의 발달과 무선기기의 소형화, 그리고 환경에 대한 감지와 제어를 수행하는 센서 네트워크 기술의 확산으로 환경오염, 터널 및 건축물의 붕괴, 홍수, 태풍, 지진 등의 재난에 대비하기 위한 재해 감시 시스템에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 재해 감시 시스템은 원격지의 상태 정보를 검출하고, 재해 상황을 판단하기 위한 규칙 처리 과정 후, 인식된 상황에 따라 방재작업을 지원한다. 그러나 기존의 모니터링 시스템들은 주로 현재 데이터를 위주로 간단한 집계함수 및 연산자만을 지원하기 때문에, 재해를 미리 예측하고 방재하기에는 부족한 점이 있다. 따라서 이 논문에서는 실외 센서 네트워크 및 공간 정보를 고려하여 재해 위험 지역을 미리 예측하는 재해 방지 시스템을 설계, 구현한다. 제시된 위험 지역 예측 기법은 현재 센서 데이터를 토대로 시간에 대한 공간 정보의 변화를 고려하여 미래에 재해 위험이 있는 지역을 추정하여 제시한다. 이로 인해 재해를 미리 예측하고 방비할 수 있게 되고, 재해 피해 감소 및 복구비용을 줄일 수 있다. 제시된 재해 방지 시스템과 위험 지역 예측 기법은 센서네트워크를 기반으로 하는 다양한 재해 방지 시스템에 활용되어 재해 예방 및 피해 감소에 많은 도움을 줄 수 있다.

공간 예측 모델을 이용한 산사태 재해의 인명 위험평가 (Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster Using Spatial Prediction Model)

  • 장동호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.373-383
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    • 2006
  • The spatial mapping of risk is very useful data in planning for disaster preparedness. This research presents a methodology for making the landslide life risk map in the Boeun area which had considerable landslide damage following heavy rain in August, 1998. We have developed a three-stage procedure in spatial data analysis not only to estimate the probability of the occurrence of the natural hazardous events but also to evaluate the uncertainty of the estimators of that probability. The three-stage procedure consists of: (i)construction of a hazard prediction map of "future" hazardous events; (ii) validation of prediction results and estimation of the probability of occurrence for each predicted hazard level; and (iii) generation of risk maps with the introduction of human life factors representing assumed or established vulnerability levels by combining the prediction map in the first stage and the estimated probabilities in the second stage with human life data. The significance of the landslide susceptibility map was evaluated by computing a prediction rate curve. It is used that the Bayesian prediction model and the case study results (the landslide susceptibility map and prediction rate curve) can be prepared for prevention of future landslide life risk map. Data from the Bayesian model-based landslide susceptibility map and prediction ratio curves were used together with human rife data to draft future landslide life risk maps. Results reveal that individual pixels had low risks, but the total risk death toll was estimated at 3.14 people. In particular, the dangerous areas involving an estimated 1/100 people were shown to have the highest risk among all research-target areas. Three people were killed in this area when landslides occurred in 1998. Thus, this risk map can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy decision-makers, and subsequently can be used as useful data in preventing disasters. In particular, drafting of maps on landslide risk in various steps will enable one to forecast the occurrence of disasters.

수영만 지역의 미세조류로부터 ToxY-PAM을 이용한 조류 대번식 예측을 위한 에코-모니터링

  • 이동규;김무상;프라사드 비노드;조만기
    • 한국해양바이오학회지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.46-50
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    • 2011
  • Phytoplankton forms the base of sea ecosystems. Various environmental factors and anthropogenic pollution, primarily, affect the concentration and photosynthetic activity algal cells, and the changes in the phytoplankton photosynthesis influence other elements of aquatic ecosystems. The increase in anthropogenic pollution markedly damages natural aquatic ecosystems, particularly, in the coastal zones, where an intense blooming of microalgae occurs, including the release of highly dangerous ecotoxic substances of various chemical natures (red tides). In this study, we tried to apply as a parameter for the algal blooming prediction in the ocean from fluorescence values in the taken samples around Busan coastal area. F0 value was almost constant but Fv/Fm value showed the irregular pattern. We presume that these results are due to the changes of the ocean environment and climate. To predict or give early warning the algal blooming, we need to investigate the specific area or fixed area through real-time monitoring. Especially, algal blooming prediction or warning can be achieved via continuously monitoring and interpretation of fluorescence changes.

Digital map arrangement of Hamamatsu City for the prediction and restoration of the earthquake disasters

  • Iwasaki Kazutaka;Mochizuki Emi;Ogawa Yoko;Abe Keiichi
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.17-20
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to arrange the digital maps of Hamamatsu City and to construct the map information system to support the prediction and restoration of Tokai earthquake disasters. The authors arrange the land condition map and compute the populations of each land surface conditions and revealed that $37\%$ of the whole population lives in the safe land, but $63\%$ lives in the rather unsafe surface condition. The authors also arrange the digital map of the main lines of water supply pipe lines in corporation with the Hamamatsu City Water Supply Department and revealed the rather dangerous pipe line area in case of Tokai earthquake.

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로지스틱회귀분석기법과 인공신경망기법을 이용한 제주지역 산사태가능성분석 (The Landslide Probability Analysis using Logistic Regression Analysis and Artificial Neural Network Methods in Jeju)

  • 권혁춘;이병걸;이창선;고정우
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 제주지역의 산사태가능성을 분석하기 위하여 사람의 발길이 많은 사라봉, 별도봉 지역과 송악산 지역의 지형 및 토질공학적 사면 붕괴 유발 인자들을 이용하여 로지스틱회귀분석기법과 인공신경망기법을 GIS기법과 결합하여 예측지도를 작성하고 비교분석하였다. 산사태 예측지도를 작성하기 위해서 산사태 발생에 영향을 주는 사면경사, 고도, 건조밀도, 투수계수, 간극율을 선택하였으며 선정된 지역을 대상으로 실시한 야외조사와 토양물성시험 결과를 정리한 후 이를 토대로 GIS기법을 적용하여 각 레이어별 주제도를 작성하였다. 생성된 주제도를 각각 로지스틱회귀분석기법과 인공신경망기법으로 작성하여 비교분석한 결과 사면경사와 간극율의 경중률이 가장 높게 나타났고, 예측지도는 로지스틱회귀분석기법이 더욱 정확한 결과를 나타내었으며, 도로변과 산책로를 중심으로 산사태 발생가능성이 높게 분포하고 있음을 알 수 있었다.

A Simple Mlodel for Dispersion in the Stable Boundary Layer

  • Sung-Dae Kang;Fuj
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 1992
  • Handling the emergency problems such as Chemobyl accident require real time prediction of pollutants dispersion. One-point real time sounding at pollutant source and simple model including turbulent-radiation process are very important to predict dispersion at real time. The stability categories obtained by one-dimensional numerical model (including PBL dynamics and radiative process) are good agreement with observational data (Golder, 1972). Therefore, the meteorological parameters (thermal, moisture and momentum fluxes; sensible and latent heat; Monin-Obukhov length and bulk Richardson number; vertical diffusion coefficient and TKE; mixing height) calculated by this model will be useful to understand the structure of stable boundary layer and to handling the emergency problems such as dangerous gasses accident. Especially, this simple model has strong merit for practical dispersion models which require turbulence process but does not takes long time to real predictions. According to the results of this model, the urban area has stronger vertical dispersion and weaker horizontal dispersion than rural area during daytime in summer season. The maximum stability class of urban area and rural area are "A" and "B" at 14 LST, respectively. After 20 LST, both urban and rural area have weak vertical dispersion, but they have strong horizontal dispersion. Generally, the urban area have larger radius of horizontal dispersion than rural area. Considering the resolution and time consuming problems of three dimensional grid model, one-dimensional model with one-point real sounding have strong merit for practical dispersion model.al dispersion model.

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Inplementation of flooding simulation in coastal area based on 3D satellite images and Web GIS

  • Jo, Myung-Hee;Park, Hyeon-Cheol;Kim, Hyoung-Sub;Choi, Yong-Ki
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.166-169
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    • 2006
  • Our country's coast is vulnerable area to natural disaster which the repetitive damages occur every year including a loss of lives, the damage of facilities and erosion mostly except for the east coast because of a typhoon, tidal waves, sea water overflowing by topographic structure of low-lying gentle slope and shallow sea. However, as for prevention of natural disaster occurring every year, the situation is that it's centered on the restorationcentered measures and the general disaster prevention research to minimize damages at the time of disaster occurrence is insufficient. This study intendedlop t to devehe techniques possible for real time sampling of damage prediction areas on Web in order to support decision making for damage prevention and establishment of disaster prevention policy. For this, the thematic map was produced related to disaster based on high-resolution satellite picture, and the environmental DB similar to real world was constructed through topographic construction of three-dimension integrating the parts of land and the sea. In addition, the system was developed possible for the expression of damageable regions by real time grasp of dangerous regions at the time of disaster occurrence through over flowing simulation of three-dimension, and it's intended to prepare a basis to minimize damages to disaster situations through it.

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A Simple Model for Dispersion in the Stable Boundary Layer

  • Kang Sung-Dae;Kimura Fujio;Lee Hwa-Woon;Kim Yoo-Keun
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 1997
  • Handling the emergency problems such as Chemobyl accident require real time prediction of pollutants dispersion. One-point real time sounding at pollutant source and simple model including turbulent-radiation process are very important to predict dispersion at real time. The stability categories obtained by one-dimensional numerical model (including PBL dynamics and radiative process) are good agreement with observational data (Golder, 1972). Therefore, the meteorological parameters (thermal, moisture and momentum fluxes; sensible and latent heat; Monin-Obukhov length and bulk Richardson number; vertical diffusion coefficient and TKE; mixing height) calculated by this model will be useful to understand the structure of stable boundary layer and to handling the emergency problems such as dangerous gasses accident. Especially, this simple model has strong merit for practical dispersion models which require turbulence process but does not takes long time to real predictions. According to the results of this model, the urban area has stronger vertical dispersion and weaker horizontal dispersion than rural area during daytime in summer season. The maximum stability class of urban area and rural area are 'A' and 'B' at 14 LST, respectively. After 20 LST, both urban and rural area have weak vertical dispersion, but they have strong horizontal dispersion. Generally, the urban area have larger radius of horizontal dispersion than rural area. Considering the resolution and time consuming problems of three dimensional grid model, one-dimensional model with one-point real sounding have strong merit for practical dispersion model.

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3D Terrain Model Application for Explosion Assessment

  • Kim, Hyung-Seok;Chang, Eun-Mi;Kim, In-Won
    • 한국지역지리학회:학술대회
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    • 한국지역지리학회 2009년도 하계학술대회 발표집
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    • pp.108-115
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    • 2009
  • An increase in oil and gas plants caused by development of process industry have brought into the increase in use of flammable and toxic materials in the complex process under high temperature and pressure. There is always possibility of fire and explosion of dangerous chemicals, which exist as raw materials, intermediates, and finished goods whether used or stored in the industrial plants. Since there is the need of efforts on disaster damage reduction or mitigation process, we have been conducting a research to relate explosion model on the background of real 3D terrain model. By predicting the extent of damage caused by recent disasters, we will be able to improve efficiency of recovery and, sure, to take preventive measure and emergency counterplan in response to unprepared disaster. For disaster damage prediction, it is general to conduct quantitative risk assessment, using engineering model for environmentaldescription of the target area. There are different engineering models, according to type of disaster, to be used for industry disaster such as UVCE (Unconfined Vapor Cloud Explosion), BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Evaporation Vapor Explosion), Fireball and so on, among them.we estimate explosion damage through UVCE model which is used in the event of explosion of high frequency and severe damage. When flammable gas in a tank is released to the air, firing it brings about explosion, then we can assess the effect of explosion. As 3D terrain information data is utilized to predict and estimate the extent of damage for each human and material. 3D terrain data with synthetic environment (SEDRIS) gives us more accurate damage prediction for industrial disaster and this research will show appropriate prediction results.

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APPLICATION OF 3D TERRAIN MODEL FOR INDUSTRY DISASTER ASSESSMENT

  • Kim, Hyung-Seok;Cho, Hyoung-Ki;Chang, Eun-Mi;Kim, In-Hyun;Kim, In-Won
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2008년도 International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.3-5
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    • 2008
  • An increase in oil and gas plants caused by development of process industry have brought into the increase in use of flammable and toxic materials in the complex process under high temperature and pressure. There is always possibility of fire and explosion of dangerous chemicals, which exist as raw materials, intermediates, and finished goods whether used or stored in the industrial plants. Since there is the need of efforts on disaster damage reduction or mitigation process, we have been conducting a research to relate explosion model on the background of real 3D terrain model. By predicting the extent of damage caused by recent disasters, we will be able to improve efficiency of recovery and, sure, to take preventive measure and emergency counterplan in response to unprepared disaster. For disaster damage prediction, it is general to conduct quantitative risk assessment, using engineering model for environmental description of the target area. There are different engineering models, according to type of disaster, to be used for industry disaster such as UVCE (Unconfined Vapour Cloud Explosion), BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Evaporation Vapour Explosion), Fireball and so on, among them, we estimate explosion damage through UVCE model which is used in the event of explosion of high frequency and severe damage. When flammable gas in a tank is released to the air, firing it brings about explosion, then we can assess the effect of explosion. As 3D terrain information data is utilized to predict and estimate the extent of damage for each human and material. 3D terrain data with synthetic environment (SEDRIS) gives us more accurate damage prediction for industrial disaster and this research will show appropriate prediction results.

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