• Title/Summary/Keyword: Damage cost

Search Result 922, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

Flood damage cost projection in Korea using 26 GCM outputs (26 GCM 결과를 이용한 미래 홍수피해액 예측)

  • Kim, Myojeong;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.1149-1159
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study aims to predict the future flood damage cost of 113 middle range watersheds using 26 GCM outputs, hourly maximum rainfall, 10-min maximum rainfall, number of days of 80 mm/day, daily rainfall maximum, annual rainfall amount, DEM, urbanization ratio, population density, asset density, road improvement ratio, river improvement ratio, drainage system improvement ratio, pumping capacity, detention basin capacity and previous flood damage costs. A constrained multiple linear regression model was used to construct the relationships between the flood damage cost and other variables. Future flood damage costs were estimated for different RCP scenarios such as 4.5 and 8.5. Results demonstrated that rainfall related factors such as annual rainfall amount, rainfall extremes etc. widely increase. It causes nationwide future flood damage cost increase. Especially the flood damage cost for Eastern part watersheds of Kangwondo and Namgang dam area may mainly increase.

Optimum Life-Cycle Cost-Effective Seismic Design for Continuous PSC Bridges Considering Lifetime Expected Seismic Risks (구조 수명간 지진위험도를 고려한 연속 PSC교의 LCC 최적 내진설계)

  • Cho Hyo Nam;Lee Kwang Min;Park Kyung Hoon;Kim Pyung Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
    • /
    • 2004.05a
    • /
    • pp.720-723
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic approach for determining optimum Life-Cycle Cost (LCC)-effective seismic design for continuous PSC bridges considering lifetime expected seismic risks. In the paper, a set of cost function for LCC analysis of bridges is proposed. The total LCC functions consist of initial cost and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair/replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect socio-economic losses. The damage costs are expressed in terms of Park-Ang median global damage indices (Park and Ang, 1985) and lifetime damage probabilities. The proposed approach is applied to model bridges of both moderate seismicity regions like Korea and high seismicity regions like Japan. Since, in case of bridges, a number of parameters may have an influence on optimal target reliability, various sensitivity analyses are performed in this study. It may be expected that the proposed approach can be effectively utilized for the development of cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of various types of bridges as well as continuous PC bridges.

  • PDF

Life Cycle Cost Analysis Models for Bridge Structures using Artificial Intelligence Technologies (인공지능기술을 이용한 교량구조물의 생애주기비용분석 모델)

  • Ahn, Young-Ki;Im, Jung-Soon;Lee, Cheung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.189-199
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic procedure for the development of the conditional assessment based on the safety of structures and the cost effective performance criteria for designing and upgrading of bridge structures. As a result, a set of cost function models for a life cycle cost analysis of bridge structures is proposed and thus the expected total life cycle costs (ETLCC) including initial (design, testing and construction) costs and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair and replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect regional economic losses costs. Also, the optimum safety indices are presented based on the expected total cost minimization function using only three parameters of the failure cost to the initial cost (${\tau}$), the extent of increased initial cost by improvement of safety (${\nu}$) and the order of an initial cost function (n). Through the enough numerical invetigations, we can positively conclude that the proposed optimum design procedure for bridge structures based on the ETLCC will lead to more rational, economical and safer design.

Estimating the Damage Cost of Deforestation due to Limestone Mining: Focusing on Donghae, Samcheok and Yeongwol City (석회석 광산에 의한 산림 피해의 비용 추정: 동해시, 삼척시, 영월군을 중심으로)

  • Shin, YoungChul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.431-455
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study estimates the WTP for the plan of solving deforestation due to limestone mining and calculates that damage cost using contingent valuation method. As the results of analysing a dichotomous choice CV data, the yearly mean WTP per household for the plan is 5,045 won(95% confidence interval : 3,729~6,360 won) in single bounded CV model and is 4,361 won(95% confidence interval : 3,710~5,012 won) in double bounded CV model. The damage cost of deforestation due to limestone mining can be estimated as 55.3% of WTP for the plan which is assigned to restoring the deforestation area to the original or similar alternative state. The average yearly deforestation cost of 1 ha due to limestone mining is reached 20.90 million won(95% confidence interval : 16.53~25.27 million won). And the asset value of that 1 ha damage is 160.02 million won(95% confidence interval : 126.56~193.49 million won). The fact is found that the damage cost of deforestation using replacement cost method is likely to be underestimated. The total damage cost of deforestation because of limestone mining in 3 cities (Donghae, Samcheok, Yeongwol) is 204.0 billion won(95% confidence interval : 161.4~246.7 billion won) which is composed of 26.5% for Donghae, 28.9% for Samcheok, and 44.6% for Yeongwol according to the damage size of deforestation due to limestone mining in 3 cities.

  • PDF

A Study on Effect of Repair and Improvement for Irrigation Facilities on Heavy Rain Damage (수리시설개보수사업이 호우피해에 미치는 효과 분석)

  • Lim, Cheong-Ryong;Yi, Hyang-mi;Lee, Seok-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.61-66
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the factors related to the heavy rain damage and to identify effect of repair and improvement for irrigation facilities on heavy rain damages. The results of the analysis are as follows. First, the imbalance of precipitation became worse over time from using the coefficient of variation. Second, the analysis using Spearman correlation coefficient shows positive relationship between heavy rain damage amount and precipitation amount, and negative correlation between heavy rain damage amount and repair and improvement for irrigation facilities cost. Third, the analysis of the panel regression model shows that the negative impact of the repair and improvement for irrigation facilities cost on the heavy rain damage, which means that the increase of the repair and improvement for irrigation facilities cost can reduce the heavy rain damage.

Optimum design of steel frame structures considering construction cost and seismic damage

  • Kaveh, A.;Fahimi-Farzam, M.;Kalateh-Ahani, M.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-26
    • /
    • 2015
  • Minimizing construction cost and reducing seismic damage are two conflicting objectives in the design of any new structure. In the present work, we try to develop a framework in order to solve the optimum performance-based design problem considering the construction cost and the seismic damage of steel moment-frame structures. The Park-Ang damage index is selected as the seismic damage measure because it is one of the most realistic measures of structural damage. The non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II) is employed as the optimization algorithm to search the Pareto optimal solutions. To improve the time efficiency of the proposed framework, three simplifying strategies are adopted: first, simplified nonlinear modeling investigating minimum level of structural modeling sophistication; second, fitness approximation decreasing the number of fitness function evaluations; third, wavelet decomposition of earthquake record decreasing the number of acceleration points involved in time-history loading. The constraints of the optimization problem are considered in accordance with Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) recommended seismic design specifications. The results from numerical application of the proposed framework demonstrate the efficiency of the framework in solving the present multi-objective optimization problem.

Correlation Analysis between Building Damage Cost and Major Factors Affected by Typhoon

  • Yang, Sungpil;Yu, Yeongjin;Kim, Sangho;Son, Kiyoung
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
    • /
    • 2015.10a
    • /
    • pp.702-703
    • /
    • 2015
  • Currently, according to the climate change, serious damage by Typhoon has been occurred in the world. In this respect, the research on the damage prediction model to minimize the damage from various natural disaster has been conducted in several developed countries. In the case of U.S, various damage prediction models of buildings from natural disasters have been used widely in many organizations such as insurance companies and governments. In South Korea, although studies regarding damage prediction model of hurricane have been conducted, the scope has been only limited to consider the property of hurricane. However, it is necessary to consider various factors such as socio-economic, physical, geographical, and built environmental factors to predict the damages. Therefore, to address this issue, correlation analysis is conducted between various variables based on the data of hurricane from 2003 to 2012. The findings of this study can be utilized to develop for predicting the damage of hurricane on buildings.

  • PDF

Analysis on the Change of Regional Vulnerability to Flood (홍수피해에 따른 지역적 취약성 변화 분석)

  • Hong, Ji-Hea;Hwang, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-18
    • /
    • 2006
  • Recently, the damage by fresh flood increases in Gangwon-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do of the north-eastern area of Korea. Even though the recent pattern of rain fall keeps changing, there is no strategy to mitigate damage by disaster. For the appropriate measure and policy for decreasing damage, an index for vulnerability is necessary to provide evidence of local climate change. The present work analyzes the flooding damage cost during the past 20 years. During 80's, the southern area of Korea was seriously damaged by over-floods on the agricultural ground. After that time, the loss and damage has decreased in the southern area but the middle part has shown slight but distinct increases of damage. The absolute coast of damage in the northern part has kept constant. However, the relative regional damage to the total country damage has kept increasing over 20 years in the same area. The surface area of floods is strongly correlated with the regional damage cost in the southern part but the north-eastern part has weak correlation between flooded area and cost. It implies that the recent damage in the north-eastern mountain area was not caused by flood itself but the other factors such as avalanches. The present work expects that the damage cost can be a good proxy value for index for climate change impact assessment.

  • PDF

Optimal Life Cycle Cost Design of a Bridge (교량의 생애주기비용 최적설계)

  • Park, Jang-Ho;Shin, Yung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.115-122
    • /
    • 2010
  • The importance of the life cycle cost (LCC) analysis for bridges has been recognized over the last decade. However, it is difficult to predict LCC precisely since the costs occurring throughout the service life of the bridge depend on various parameters such as design, construction, maintenance, and environmental conditions. This paper presents a methodology for the optimal life cycle cost design of a bridge. Total LCC for the service life is calculated as the sum of initial cost, damage cost, maintenance cost, repair and rehabilitation cost, user cost, and disposal cost. The optimization method is applied to design of a bridge structure with minimal cost, in which the objective function is set to LCC and constraints are formulated on the basis of Korean Bridge Design Code. Initial cost is calculated based on standard costs of the Korea Construction Price Index and damage cost on damage probabilities to consider the uncertainty of load and resistance. Repair and rehabilitation cost is determined using load carrying capacity curves and user cost includes traffic operation costs and time delay costs. The optimal life cycle cost design of a bridge is performed and the effects of parameters are investigated.

Minimum Expected Life Cycle Cost Model for Optimal Seismic Design and Upgrading of Long Span PC Bridges (장대 PC교량의 최적 내진설계 및 성능개선을 위한 최소 기대 Life Cycle Cost 모델)

  • 조효남;임종권
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
    • /
    • 1999.04a
    • /
    • pp.305-312
    • /
    • 1999
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic and practical life cycle cost(LCC) model for the development of the reliability-based seismic safety and cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of long-span PC bridges. The LCC models consist of five cost functions such as initial cost, repair/replacement cost, human losses, road user cost, and indirect losses of regional economy. The proposed model Is successfully expressed in temrs of Park-Ang damage indices and life cycle damage probability obtained from SMART-DRAIN-2DX which is an existing algorithm for nonlinear time history analysis. The proposed LCC model is successfully applied to a viaduct constructed by PSM, in Seoul. Based on the observations, the proposed systematic procedure for the formulation of LCC model may be useful for the development of the reliability-based seismic safety and cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of long-span PC bridges.

  • PDF