• Title/Summary/Keyword: Daily Stock Returns

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Nominal Price Anomaly in Emerging Markets: Risk or Mispricing?

  • HOANG, Lai Trung;PHAN, Trang Thu;TA, Linh Nhat
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the nominal price anomaly in the Vietnamese stock market, that is, whether stocks with low nominal price outperform stocks with high nominal price. Using a sample of all 351 companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) from June 2009 to March 2018, we confirm our hypothesis and document that cheaper stocks yield higher subsequent abnormal returns. The results are robust after controlling for various stock characteristics that have been documented to be value-relevant in prior literature, including firm size, book-to-market ratio, intermediate-term momentum, short-term reversal, skewness, market risk, idiosyncratic risk, illiquidity and extreme daily returns, using both the portfolio analysis and the Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression. The negative effect persists in the long term (i.e., after up to 12 months), implying a slow adjustment of stock prices to their intrinsic value. Further analysis show that the observed nominal price anomaly is mainly driven by mispricing but not a latent risk factor proxied by stock price, thus the observed anomaly reflects a mispricing but not a fundamental risk. The study highlights the irrational behaviour of investors and market inefficiency in the Vietnamese stock market and provides important implication for investors in the market.

On the Applicability of the Extreme Distributions to Korean Stock Returns (한국 주식 수익률에 대한 Extreme 분포의 적용 가능성에 관하여)

  • Kim, Myung-Suk
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2007
  • Weekly minima of daily log returns of Korean composite stock price index 200 and its five industry-based business divisions over the period from January 1990 to December 2005 are fitted using two block-based extreme distributions: Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) and Generalized Logistic(GLO). Parameters are estimated using the probability weighted moments. Applicability of two distributions is investigated using the Monte Carlo simulation based empirical p-values of Anderson Darling test. Our empirical results indicate that both the GLO and GEV models seem to be comparably applicable to the weekly minima. These findings are against the evidences in Gettinby et al.[7], who claimed that the GEV model was not valid in many cases, and supported the significant superiority of the GLO model.

Do Words in Central Bank Press Releases Affect Thailand's Financial Markets?

  • CHATCHAWAN, Sapphasak
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2021
  • The study investigates how financial markets respond to a shock to tone and semantic similarity of the Bank of Thailand press releases. The techniques in natural language processing are employed to quantify the tone and the semantic similarity of 69 press releases from 2010 to 2018. The corpus of the press releases is accessible to the general public. Stock market returns and bond yields are measured by logged return on SET50 and short-term and long-term government bonds, respectively. Data are daily from January 4, 2010, to August 8, 2019. The study uses the Structural Vector Auto Regressive model (SVAR) to analyze the effects of unanticipated and temporary shocks to the tone and the semantic similarity on bond yields and stock market returns. Impulse response functions are also constructed for the analysis. The results show that 1-month, 3-month, 6-month and 1-year bond yields significantly increase in response to a positive shock to the tone of press releases and 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, 1-year and 25-year bond yields significantly increase in response to a positive shock to the semantic similarity. Interestingly, stock market returns obtained from the SET50 index insignificantly respond to the shocks from the tone and the semantic similarity of the press releases.

East Asian five stock market linkages (아시아 주식수익률의 동조화에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Heon-Yong
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.27
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    • pp.131-147
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    • 2008
  • The study examines common component existing in five Asian countries from 1991 to 2007. To do this, the daily stock market indices of Korea, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines were used. Using a Vector Autoregressive Model this paper analyzes causal relations and dynamic interactions between five Asian stock markets. The findings in this study indicate that level of five Asian stock markets' stock return linkages are low. First, from the statistics for pair-wise Granger causality tests, I find Granger-causal relationship between Korea and Indonesia and between Malaysia and and Indonesia. Second, from the results of response function and the statistics of variance decomposition, I find that week shocks to Korean stock market return on Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines stock market returns. The results indicate increased Asian stock market linkages but the level is very low. This implies that the benefits of diversification within the five Asian stock markets are still existed.

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Stock Market Behavior after Large Price Changes and Winner-Loser Effect: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • RASHEED, Muhammad Sahid;SHEIKH, Muhammad Fayyaz;SULTAN, Jahanzaib;ALI, Qamar;BHUTTA, Aamir Inam
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2021
  • The study examines the behavior of stock prices after large price changes. It further examines the effect of firm size on stock returns, and the presence of the disposition effect. The study employs the event study methodology using daily price data from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) for the period January 2001 to July 2012. Furthermore, to examine the factors that explain stock price behavior after large price movements, the study employs a two-way fixed-effect model that allows for the analysis of unobservable company and time fixed effects that explain market reversals or continuation. The findings suggest that winners perform better than losers after experiencing large price shocks thus showing a momentum behavior. In addition, the winners remain the winner, while the losers continue to lose more. This suggests that most of the investors in PSX behave rationally. Further, the study finds no evidence of disposition effect in PSX. The investors underreact to new information and the prices continue to move in the direction of initial change. The pooled regression estimates show that firm size is positively related to post-event abnormal returns while the fixed-effect model reveals the presence of unobservable firm-specific and time-specific effects that account for price continuation.

Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Nepal

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Subedi, Shyam;Chung, Sang-Kuck
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.123-144
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates the linkages between returns both in foreign exchange and stock markets, and uncertainties in two markets using daily data for the period of 16 July 2004 to 30 June 2014 in Nepalese economy. Four hypotheses are tested about how uncertainty influences the stock index and exchange rates. From the empirical results, a bivariate EGARCH-M model is the best to explain the volatility in the two markets. There is a negative relationship from the exchange rates return to stock price return. Empirical results do provide strong empirical confirmation that negative effect of stock index uncertainty and positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty on average stock index. GARCH-in-mean variables in AR modeling are significant and shows that there is positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty and negative effect of stock index uncertainty on average exchange rates. Stock index shocks have longer lived effects on uncertainty in the stock market than exchange rates shock have on uncertainly in the foreign exchange market. The effect of the last period's shock, volatility is more sensitive to its own lagged values.

Performance Analysis on Trading System using Foreign Investors' Trading Information (외국인 거래정보를 이용한 트레이딩시스템의 성과분석)

  • Kim, Sunwoong;Choi, Heungsik
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2015
  • It is a familiar Wall Street adage that "It takes volume to make prices move." Numerous researches have found the positive correlation between trading volume and price changes. Recent studies have documented that informed traders have strong influences on stock market prices through their trading with distinctive information power. Ever since 1992 capital market liberalization in Korea, it is said that foreign investors make consistent profits with their superior information and analytical skills. This study aims at whether we can make a profitable trading strategy by using the foreign investors' trading information. We analyse the relation between the KOSPI index returns and the foreign investors trading volume using GARCH models and VAR models. This study suggests the profitable trading strategies based on the documented relation between the foreign investors' trading volume and KOSPI index returns. We simulate the trading system with the real stock market data. The data include the daily KOSPI index returns and foreign investors' trading volume for 2001~2013. We estimate the GARCH and VAR models using 2001~2011 data and simulate the suggested trading system with the remaining out-of-sample data. Empirical results are as follows. First, we found the significant positive relation between the KOSPI index returns and contemporaneous foreign investors' trading volume. Second, we also found the positive relation between the KOSPI index returns and lagged foreign investors' trading volume. But the relation showed no statistical significance. Third, our suggested trading system showed better trading performance than B&H strategy, especially trading system 2. Our results provide good information for uninformed traders in the Korean stock market.

Triggering of Herding Instincts due to COVID-19 Pandemic in Pakistan Stock Exchange

  • JABEEN, Shaista;RIZAVI, Sayyid Salman;NASIR, Adeel
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.207-218
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    • 2021
  • The present research intends to examine the herding aspect during the COVID-19 outbreak. The study is conducted to achieve specific objectives, so the underlying sampling technique is purposive sampling. The considered data source is the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). Daily stock prices of 528 listed companies in PSX have been taken from the official website of PSX from 1998 to 2021. The current study envisions investigating the herding aspects for pre-pandemic and the time covering the pandemic period. The study has also targeted ten sectors of PSX. The present study's motive is to investigate investors' herding prospects before and during the pandemic in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) and its selected sectors. Daily closing stock prices of listed companies have been collected from the official website of PSX to calculate the stock returns. The Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) has been used as a herding measure. Findings revealed that herding has not been observed in PSX during both time spans and even not during the bullish and bearish trends. However, robust sectoral evidence has been observed during the pandemic. It implies that investors in PSX tend to follow the crowd irrespective of making their own decisions to avoid further losses.

Volatility spillover between the Korean KOSPI and the Hong Kong HSI stock markets

  • Baek, Eun-Ah;Oh, Man-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2016
  • We investigate volatility spillover aspects of realized volatilities (RVs) for the log returns of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and the Hang Seng Index (HSI) from 2009-2013. For all RVs, significant long memories and asymmetries are identified. For a model selection, we consider three commonly used time series models as well as three models that incorporate long memory and asymmetry. Taking into account of goodness-of-fit and forecasting ability, Leverage heteroskedastic autoregressive realized volatility (LHAR) model is selected for the given data. The LHAR model finds significant decompositions of the spillover effect from the HSI to the KOSPI into moderate negative daily spillover, positive weekly spillover and positive monthly spillover, and from the KOSPI to the HSI into substantial negative weekly spillover and positive monthly spillover. An interesting result from the analysis is that the daily volatility spillover from the HSI to the KOSPI is significant versus the insignificant daily volatility spillover of the KOSPI to HSI. The daily volatility in Hong Kong affects next day volatility in Korea but the daily volatility in Korea does not affect next day volatility in Hong Kong.

Stock Market Reaction on Olympic Sponsorship Announcement Using Event-study Method

  • Spais, George S.;Filis, George N.
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.95-108
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    • 2006
  • The major objective of this study is to test if an Olympic Games sponsorship program can influence investors' behavior: stock returns, stock volatility and transaction volumes. The paper deals with stock market reaction on Olympic sponsorship announcement for service organizations using event study method. Our research intention is to test 440 daily stock prices and transaction volumes, in order investigate the potent influence between the announcement of a grand sport sponsorship program and investors' behavior. For this study we examined the announcement data of three grand sponsors of Olympic Games of Athens 2004 (Alpha Bank. Delta and G.T.O) The main contribution of this study is to examine how stock investors' behavior is influenced by the sponsorship program of companies and to extend research scope of marketing field toward stock market. They authors suggest that organizations interested in influencing investors' behavior should invest in sponsorship activities at the sports' sector.

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