• Title/Summary/Keyword: DOLS

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Estimating China Long-run Energy Demand Functions with Cointegration Approaches (중국의 중장기 에너지 수요함수 추정 및 비교분석)

  • Jung, Sukwan;Yang, Yu;Won, DooHwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.3-22
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    • 2016
  • This paper uses Dynamic OLS(DOLS) approach to estimate the long-run energy demand functions. The results are compared with those of standard cointegration approach. Cointegration tests verify that there is a cointegration among energy consumption, real GDP, and energy price in China. Johansen approach and DOLS approach are more appropriate to estimate for the long-run energy demand function than Engle-Granger Cointegration approach. DOLS provided significant negative sign of price while Engle-Granger did not. Based on the DOLS results, the elasticities of real GDP and energy price on energy consumption are 0.83 and -0.45 respectively, and their statistical significances are high.

An Analysis of Balassa-Samuelson Effect by Panel Cointegration Test (패널공적분검정을 통한 발라사-사무엘슨 효과 분석)

  • Choi, Yong-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the Balassa-Samuelson effect that real exchange rate could deviate from its long-run equilibrium. To analyze this effect, I estimated the long-run relationship between real exchange and productivity using the dynamic panel ordinary least square(DOLS) and panel error correction model(ECM) after conducting the unit root and cointegration test. The results show that all variables except for the real exchange rate have the unit root. Then I conducted the cointegration test to find out whether there exist the stable long-run relationships. The results show that the variables are cointegrated and significant statistically. The DOLS and ECM methods are used to estimate the coefficient of the cointegrated variables. The major finding are that the estimates are statistically significant and that they show the same sign as the economic theory predicts.

Unemployment and Shadow Economy in ASEAN Countries

  • TRAN, Toan Khanh Pham
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between unemployment and shadow economy for 7 selected ASEAN countries using panel data from 2000-2017. This study uses a sample of 7 ASEAN countries including Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam covering the 2000-2017 period. The stationarity of the variables is determined by Pesaran panel unit-root tests. The Westerlund panel co-integration technique is used to examine the long-run relationship among the variables. In addition, dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) and fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) methods are also employed. The DOLS and FMOLS results indicate that unemployment acts as an important driver for the increase in the shadow economy. In addition, the study results also reveal that GDP per capita has a negative impact on the shadow economy. Moreover, government expenditure, bank credit, and inflation are positively related to the shadow economy. The empirical results indicate that the size of the shadow economy is boosted by unemployment in the selected ASEAN economies. In addition, it is also evident that an increase of GDP per capita in the sample countries results in a lower shadow economy. Besides, government expenditure, bank credit, and inflation play a crucial role in the shadow economy.

The Effect of Housing Price Changes on the Performance of Korean Regional Banks (주택가격변동이 지방은행의 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Myunghoon;Jung, Heonyong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the effect of housing price changes on the performance of Korean regional banks using DOLS model. The analysis shows that housing price changes does not have a statistically significant effect on the loan growth, profitability and soundness of regional banks. Among macroeconomic variables, only short-term interest rates have a significant positive effect on any model. This means that a rise in short-term interest rates significantly increases loans by regional banks, which leads to a significant increase in profitability, but has a significant negative impact on soundness. On the other hand, bank characteristics variables are found to have a significant negative effect on the loan growth, profitability and soundness of Korean regional banks.

The Effect of Capital Adequacy Requirements on the Profitability of Korean Banks (자본적정성 요구가 은행의 수익성에 미치는 영향)

  • Jung, Heonyong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.511-517
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we analyzed the impact of capital adequacy requirements on the profitability of Korean banks using DOLS model. As a result of the analysis, the impact of BIS capital ratios on commercial and regional banks was different. Demand for capital adequacy has a greater and more significant negative impact on regional banks than on commercial banks. It was shown that bank characteristic variables rather than macroeconomic variables have a more significant effect on bank profitability. In addition, a rise in the BIS capital ratio reduces the profitability of commercial and regional banks, and the higher the ratio of loan-loss provisions, the stronger the relationship. In the case of commercial banks, it is estimated that the demand for capital adequacy did not have a significant impact as they are relatively large and faithful in capital compared to regional banks. However, in the case of regional banks, safer assets need to be selected to meet the BIS capital ratio, and the increasing propotion of these safe assets seems to have a relatively greater negative impact on profitability. Consequency, the financial authorities should consider this results and implement the bank's capital regulation policy.

Effects of Movements in Stock Prices and Real Estate Prices on Money Demand: Cross Country Study (주가 및 부동산가격이 화폐수요에 미치는 부의 효과: 국가 간 비교분석)

  • Chang, Byoung-Ky
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.219-240
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    • 2011
  • The main purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of stock price and real estate price on the money demand. We investigated the demand for money for 25 money units of 10 countries. To estimate the money demand functions, Johansen's cointegration and ARDL-bounds test were employed. Additionally, Stock and Watson's DOLS method was applied to estimate long-run cointegration vectors. According to the results of cointegration test, stock price and real estate price are crucial in the long-run equilibrium relationship. There were no cointegration relationships among money demand, real income, interest rate, and exchange rate in 12 money unit models. However, by including stock price and real estate price on the tested models, we could find strong cointegration relationships, using ARDL-bounds test. The results of DOLS confirm that stock price and real estate price are effective factors influencing on money demands. Especially, the coefficient of real estate price is statistically significant in the 19 out of 20 money unit models. However, the direction and magnitude of coefficients of asset prices are different across countries and money units.

Effects of the Trade Insurance and Exchange Risk on Export: The Experience of Korea (무역보험과 환위험이 수출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.77-95
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the relationship between export and economic variables such as trade insurance, world economy activity, relative price, unemployment rate, exchange rate volatility, using monthly data. I employ Johansen cointegration methodology since the model must be stationary to avoid the spurious results. The results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between export and variables. Also, the empirical analysis of cointegrating vector using the CCR, DOLS, FMOLS reveals that the increases of trade insurance has positive relations and the increases of exchange rate volatility have negative relations with export. Especially, DOLS based on Monte Carlo simulations, of this estimator being superior in small samples compared to a number of alternative estimators, as well as being able not only to accommodate higher orders of integration but also to account for possible simultaneity within regressors of a potential system. This paper also applies impulse-response functions to get the additional information regarding the responses of the export to the shocks of the variables. The result indicates that export positively to trade insurance and then decay fast compare with exchange rate volatility. Consequently, trade insurance plays the role of trade policy for export promotion in Korea. Whereas, increase of exchange risk result in reduction of export. Therefore, the support of trade insurance should be expanded and the stabilization of the foreign exchange market must be done for the export promotion.

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Spillover Effects of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Exchange Rates on the Banking Industry in China

  • Lee, Jung Wan;Wang, Zhen
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2018
  • The study examines the magnitude of economic spillover and the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows on the efficiency of the bank industry in China. This study employs unit root tests, cointegration tests and cointegrating regression analysis, including fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), canonical cointegrating regression (CCR) and dynamic OLS (DOLS) to test the proposed hypotheses. The sample is restricted to the period of time in which monthly data is available and comparable among variables for the period from January 2002 to October 2013 (142 observations). All of the time series data was collected and retrieved from the People's Bank of China, China Monthly Statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics of China, and International Financial Statistics database from International Monetary Fund. The results of the Johansen cointegration test suggest that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between FDI inflows, foreign exchange rate and banks performance in China. The results of cointegrating regression analysis using FMOLS, CCR and DOLS suggest that M2 supply and FDI inflows are significant at the 0.01 level. The results confirm that FDI inflows in the banking sector are positively related to the increase of banks productivity and performance and short-term loans in China. However, the results suggest that Chinese Yuan currency exchange rate to U.S. dollar is not significant in the banking and financial industry of China.

Rapid and Simultaneous Determination of Volatile Fatty Acids and Indoles in Pig Slurry and Dog Excrement by Solid-Phase Micro-Extraction Method with Gas Chromatography

  • Kim, Hyun-Jung;Yu, Mee-Seon;Yang, Sung-Bong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.10
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    • pp.1693-1701
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    • 2014
  • A rapid and simple method for the quantitative determination of volatile fatty acids (VFAs; propionic acid, n-butyric acid, i-valeric acid and n-valeric acid) and indoles (phenol, p-cresol, 4-ethyl phenol, indole and skatole) in pig slurry and dog excrement using solid-phase micro-extraction (SPME) coupled to gas chromatography was evaluated. $50/30{\mu}m$ DVB/CAR/PDMS (Divinylbenzene/Carboxen/Polydimethylsiloxane) fiber was used to extract the target compounds in aqueous media. Sample amount and adsorption time was standardized for the routine analysis. Detection limits were from 0.11 to $0.15{\mu}gL$ for VFAs and from 0.12 to $0.28{\mu}gL$ for indoles and the correlations observed ($R^2$) were 0.975~1.000. This method was applied to the pig slurry, fertilizer, compost and dog excrement. In nearly all cases, the indoles were detected in concentrations of higher than their limits of detection (DOLs). But the VFAs in swine manure were below their DOLs.

The Impact of Regional Economic Growth on Intraregional Disparities in Korea (지역경제 성장에 따른 지역 내부의 경제적 격차 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Ju-Han;Kim, Donghyun
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2020
  • The aims of this study to identify the relationship between regional economic growth and intraregional regional disparities. The 16 metropolitan area, the Capital region and the southeastern region of Korea were put in the spatial scope and the time range from 2005 to 2016. Regional gross domestic product data were used to show regional growth and intraregional disparity. Panel data for each spatial unit were established, panel unit root test and panel cointegration test were conducted to check the stability of the data. The DOLS method was used to identify relationship between regional economic growth and intraregional disparity, and the VECM model and Granger causality test was conducted to verify causality. The result of analysis of 16 metropolitan area units showed that the intraregional disparity increases as regional economic growth progresses. When the regional gross domestic product increased by 1%, the intraregional disparity increased by 1.258%, and there are short-term and long-term causality. Both the Capital region and the southeastern region had a mutual relationship between regional economic growth and intraregional disparity, but the disparity in the Capital region showed an increase and the southeastern region showed a decrease. The results of this study show that the regional disparity is increasing nationwide, but the Capital region and the southeastern region showed different stages of growth.