• 제목/요약/키워드: Cumulative abnormal return

검색결과 43건 처리시간 0.02초

The Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Price: An Application of Event Study Method in Vietnam

  • PHUONG, Lai Cao Mai
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권5호
    • /
    • pp.523-531
    • /
    • 2021
  • Vietnam's Oil and gas industry make a significant contribution to the Gross Domestic Product of Vietnam. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has hit every industry hard, but perhaps the one industry which has taken the biggest hit is the global oil and gas industry. The purpose of this article is to examine how the COVID-19 pandemic affects the share price of the Vietnam Oil and Gas industry. The event study method applied to Oil and Gas industry index data around three event days includes: (i) The date Vietnam recognized the first patient to be COVID-19 positive was January 23, 2020; (ii) The second outbreak of COVID-19 infection in the community began on March 6, 2020; (iii) The date (30/3/2020) when Vietnam announced the COVID-19 epidemic in the whole territory. This study found that the share price of the Vietnam Oil and Gas industry responded positively after the event (iii) which is manifested by the cumulative abnormal return of CAR (0; 3] = 3.8% and statistically significant at 5 %. In the study, event (ii) has the most negative and strong impact on Oil and Gas stock prices. Events (i) favor negative effects, events (iii) favor positive effects, but abnormal return change sign quickly from positive to negative after the event date and statistically significant shows the change on investors' psychology.

기업합병의 성과에 영향을 주는 요인에 대한 실증적 연구 (The Gains To Bidding Firms' Stock Returns From Merger)

  • 김용갑
    • 경영과정보연구
    • /
    • 제23권
    • /
    • pp.41-74
    • /
    • 2007
  • In Korea, corporate merger activities were activated since 1980, and nowadays(particuarly since 1986) the changes in domestic and international economic circumstances have made corporate managers have strong interests in merger. Korea and America have different business environments and it is easily conceivable that there exists many differences in motives, methods, and effects of mergers between the two countries. According to recent studies on takeover bids in America, takeover bids have information effects, tax implications, and co-insurance effects, and the form of payment(cash versus securities), the relative size of target and bidder, the leverage effect, Tobin's q, number of bidders(single versus multiple bidder), the time period (before 1968, 1968-1980, 1981 and later), and the target firm reaction (hostile versus friendly) are important determinants of the magnitude of takeover gains and their distribution between targets and bidders at the announcement of takeover bids. This study examines the theory of takeover bids, the status quo and problems of merger in Korea, and then investigates how the announcement of merger are reflected in common stock returns of bidding firms, finally explores empirically the factors influencing abnormal returns of bidding firms' stock price. The hypotheses of this study are as follows ; Shareholders of bidding firms benefit from mergers. And common stock returns of bidding firms at the announcement of takeover bids, shows significant differences according to the condition of the ratio of target size relative to bidding firm, whether the target being a member of the conglomerate to which bidding firm belongs, whether the target being a listed company, the time period(before 1986, 1986, and later), the number of bidding firm's stock in exchange for a stock of the target, whether the merger being a horizontal and vertical merger or a conglomerate merger, and the ratios of debt to equity capital of target and bidding firm. The data analyzed in this study were drawn from public announcements of proposals to acquire a target firm by means of merger. The sample contains all bidding firms which were listed in the stock market and also engaged in successful mergers in the period 1980 through 1992 for which there are daily stock returns. A merger bid was considered successful if it resulted in a completed merger and the target firm disappeared as a separate entity. The final sample contains 113 acquiring firms. The research hypotheses examined in this study are tested by applying an event-type methodology similar to that described in Dodd and Warner. The ordinary-least-squares coefficients of the market-model regression were estimated over the period t=-135 to t=-16 relative to the date of the proposal's initial announcement, t=0. Daily abnormal common stock returns were calculated for each firm i over the interval t=-15 to t=+15. A daily average abnormal return(AR) for each day t was computed. Average cumulative abnormal returns($CART_{T_1,T_2}$) were also derived by summing the $AR_t's$ over various intervals. The expected values of $AR_t$ and $CART_{T_1,T_2}$ are zero in the absence of abnormal performance. The test statistics of $AR_t$ and $CAR_{T_1,T_2}$ are based on the average standardized abnormal return($ASAR_t$) and the average standardized cumulative abnormal return ($ASCAR_{T_1,T_2}$), respectively. Assuming that the individual abnormal returns are normal and independent across t and across securities, the statistics $Z_t$ and $Z_{T_1,T_2}$ which follow a unit-normal distribution(Dodd and Warner), are used to test the hypotheses that the average standardized abnormal returns and the average cumulative standardized abnormal returns equal zero.

  • PDF

기술혁신 정보가 기업가치에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Information Release for Technological Innovation on Firm's Value)

  • 조성표;박정환
    • 기술혁신연구
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.159-177
    • /
    • 2004
  • Technological innovation is one of the critical success factors determining firm's Technological innovation is one of the critical success factors determining firm's value in the knowledge based economy. The study examines whether the information release on technological innovation has information contents in the stock market. The abnormal returns and cumulative abnormal return were calculated by using Market and Risk Adjusted Return Model. The results say that the market positively reacts to the information release of technological innovation on the event date. Especially, the disclosure on technology development causes stable increase of the firm's value. It is concluded that the market reacts favorably to technological innovations.

  • PDF

A Study on Reversals after Stock Price Shock in the Korean Distribution Industry

  • Jeong-Hwan, LEE;Su-Kyu, PARK;Sam-Ho, SON
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제21권3호
    • /
    • pp.93-100
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to confirm whether stocks belonging to the distribution industry in Korea have reversals, following large daily stock price changes accompanied by large trading volumes. Research design, data, and methodology: We examined whether there were reversals after the event date when large-scale stock price changes appeared for the entire sample of distribution-related companies listed on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index from January 2004 to July 2022. In addition, we reviewed whether the reversals differed depending on abnormal trading volume on the event date. Using multiple regression analysis, we tested whether high trading volume had a significant effect on the cumulative rate of return after the event date. Results: Reversals were confirmed after the stock price shock in the Korean distribution industry and the return after the event date varied depending on the size of the trading volume on the event day. In addition, even after considering both company-specific and event-specific factors, the trading volume on the event day was found to have significant explanatory power on the cumulative rate of return after the event date. Conclusions: Reversals identified in this paper can be used as a useful tool for establishing a trading strategy.

Stock Reaction to the Implementation of Extensible Business Reporting Language

  • JUNUS, Onong;IRWANTO, Andry
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.675-685
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the reaction of stock prices on the implementation of Extensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL) in companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Using the event study method and calculating abnormal returns of the 2015 financial statements of 462 companies listed on the IDX, findings showed that 49 companies have not applied the XBRL format in their financial statements. Based on the results of the Average Abnormal Return (AAR) and Cumulative Average Abnormal Return (CAAR) values, using the one-sample test, investors react to shares in companies that have not implemented XBRL and who have implemented XBRL; however, based on the independent t-test based on average values there are differences between companies that have not applied XBRL and those who have implemented XBRL. This research only looks at the one-year implementation of XBRL in financial reporting (2015), then the research does not separate which companies are on time in the delivery of financial statements to the public through the IDX website. Our research contributes to the understanding of the use of XBRL in corporate financial reporting because before the XBRL financial reporting format was published, the company had published a financial statement format based on the legal provisions of financial statements in Indonesia.

Does a Firm's IPO Affect Other Firms in the Same Conglomerate?

  • Bhadra, Madhusmita;Kim, Doyeon
    • 아태비즈니스연구
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.37-50
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study aimed to examine the behavior surrounding the Initial Public Offering (IPO) event of firms within the same conglomerate and the impact of under-pricing and Return on Equity(ROE) on a firm's abnormal stock returns. Design/methodology - This study collected data from 166 South Korean Chaebols, consisting of 355 firms distributed as 202 listed on Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and 153 firms listed on Korean Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (KOSDAQ) from 2000 to 2020. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the multiple regression analysis were hired to analyze the data. Findings - First, we found an adverse price reaction of IPO listing in the same chaebol group, and firms with higher under-pricing affect other firms' stock prices more adversely within the conglomerate. Next, we explored a negatively significant relation between ROE and the chaebol firms' stock returns during IPO events. Research implications - The novelty of this study is there are not many empirical studies on the impact of IPO within a conglomerate. So, the findings of this study contribute to the literature for analyzing stock's abnormal returns within a conglomerate.

모바일 콘텐츠의 시장성에 대한 증권시장 평가 (Evaluation of Stock Market about Marketability of Mobile Contents)

  • 위한종;김영호;김동일
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
    • /
    • 제7권5호
    • /
    • pp.166-173
    • /
    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 모바일 콘텐츠의 잠재적 시장성에 대한 증권시장 차원에서의 가치평가를 위하여, 2002년11월부터 2005년 12월까지의 기간 동안 한국증권선물거래소 코스닥시장 공정공시를 통하여 이루어진 모바일 콘텐츠 런칭관련 공시를 대상으로, 신규 모바일 콘텐츠 런칭이 증권시장에서 유의한 초과수익률을 유발하는지를 관찰하였다. 분석결과, t시점에서 통계적으로 유의한 2.2%의 평균초과수익률이 관찰되었으며, 또한 t-3일부터 t일에 이르기까지 각각 5.0%, 6.4%, 5.6%, 7.8%의 유의한 누적평균초과수익률이 관찰되었다. 이로부터 모바일 콘텐츠의 시장성에 대한 증권시장의 평가는 시장 진입 수일 전부터 런칭일에 이르기까지의 기간 동안 사전적으로 충분히 해당기업의 주가에 반영되며, 이후 런칭이 완료된 시점부터는 추가적인 비정상성과를 유발하지는 못하는 것으로 확인되었다. 즉, 증권시장과 그 참여자들이 신규 모바일 콘텐츠의 런칭으로부터 콘텐츠 자체의 명시적 가치를 넘어선 잠재적 기업가치 유발효과까지 평가하는 것으로 확인된 것이다. 따라서 관련기업 및 업계에서는 신규 콘텐츠가 지니는 명시적 가치뿐만 아니라 잠재적 가치유발 효과까지 고려한 런칭활동을 실시해야할 것이며, 이로부터 기업가치의 극대화를 통한 지속적 성장과 발전을 도모하여야 할 것이다.

주식분할의 장기성과 (Long-term Performance of Stock Splits)

  • 변종국;조정일
    • 재무관리연구
    • /
    • 제24권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-27
    • /
    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 1998년부터 2002년 동안 주식분할을 실시한 과거 거래소 상장기업을 대상으로 장기성과를 분석하였다. 장기성과는 Event-time 포트폴리오 접근방식으로 측정되어지는 BHAR과 CAAR을 이용하였고 또한 Calendar-time 포트폴리오 접근방식으로 1요인 CAPM 모형과 3요인 모형을 이용하였다. 분석결과 주식분할의 공시월 부근에서 유의적인 양(+)의 초과수익률을 발견할 수 있었다. 이러한 결과는 기존 국내 연구들에서 밝혀진 바와 같이 주식분할의 공시효과가 존재한다는 것을 재확인 한 것이다. 하지만 이후 기간별 BHAR과 CAAR 모두 유의적인 음(-)의 초과수익률이 나타났으며, 이러한 결과는 Calendar-time 포트폴리오 접근방식인 1요인 CAPM 모형과 3요인 모형에서도 재확인 할 수 있었다. 분할비율에 따른 BHAR과 CAAR을 분석한 결과 분할비율이 높은 기업군도 주식분할 이후 여전히 음(-)의 초과수익률이 나타났으며 주식분할 이전 보다 이후에 영업성과가 더 악화되는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 주식분할이 기업의 수익성이 개선된다는 신호로 보기에는 무리가 있었다. 배당성향의 증감에 따라 표본을 분류하여 장기성과를 분석한 결과에서 두 표본 간에 뚜렷한 차이를 발견할 수 없었다. 본 연구의 결과를 통하여 볼 때 주식분할은 한국 주식시장에서 단기적으로는 주가에 양(+)의 영향을 미치고 있지만 장기적으로는 주식분할이 주가에 미치는 영향은 없는 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

특허권 취득 공시와 한국유가증권시장의 실시간 정보효율성에 관한 연구 (Real-time information effect of patent listing disclosure)

  • 이종욱;김종윤
    • 경영과정보연구
    • /
    • 제35권3호
    • /
    • pp.195-212
    • /
    • 2016
  • 이 연구는 1분 단위의 거래량가중평균가격(VWAP)을 이용하여 한국 유가증권시장에 상장된 기업을 대상으로 특허권 취득 공시의 초과수익률 및 누적초과수익률 및 이벤트 차익거래 전략을 이용하였을 경우의 실현수익률을 분석하였다. 이상의 연구목표에 대한 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 연구결과 특허권 취득공시 후 1분 뒤 평균 0.92%의 누적초과수익률이 유의하게 발생하여 한국유가증권시장이 실시간으로 효율적인 준강형 시장임을 확인하였다. 또한 기업규모(size)에 따라 3개 패널로 분류하여 연구한 결과, 소형주의 초과수익률이 중형주보다 적어 한국유가증권시장에서 규모효과가 더 이상 존재하지 않는다는 최근의 자산가격결정모형과 관련한 연구결과를 부분적으로 지지하였다. 둘째, 공시 시점에 매입하는 이벤트 차익거래 전략의 실현수익은 마켓 메이킹 전략이 가장 우수한 실현수익률을 보였으며 시장가로 매수 매도하는 전략은 음(-)의 수익률을 실현하였다. 이와 같은 결과는 즉각적으로 시장가 매수주문을 하는 전략보다 시장가주문과 지정가주문의 유입률, 주문의 취소율과 같은 주문흐름(order flow)과 체결확률을 고려한 마켓 메이킹 전략을 병행할 때 실현수익률이 향상될 수 있음을 시사한다.

  • PDF

중소·벤처기업의 M&A를 이용한 기술이전 전략 (A Strategy of Technology Transfer Based on M&A in Small & Venture Business)

  • 송명규;정혜순;임대현
    • 지식경영연구
    • /
    • 제5권1호
    • /
    • pp.39-56
    • /
    • 2004
  • Mergers and Acquisitions(M&A) have long played an important role in the growth of firm. M&A has been considered a effective strategy for Korean government to restructure industry. Previous studies provided mixed results on the synergy effect of M&A This study provides investigation on 39 mergers occurred over the sample period from 2000 to 2001. In this study, event study methodology arc used to calculate abnormal return(AR) and cumulative abnormal return(CAR) based on mean-adjusted model. The testing period of this study from date -30 through date +30, where date zero is the date of the first public announcement of the merger. The empirical results in this study can be summarized as follows. First, the return rates of KOSDAQ registered firms with M&A appears higher than that of KSE listed firms. This means that public announcement of M&A is more influential on stock price for KOSDAQ registered firms than KSE listed firms. Second, The difference between actual merging price and fair value is significant in KSE listed firms and KOSDAQ registered firms. This means that the investors take M&A of KOSDAQ registered firms as a good news. Third, the impact on the market prices of merging firms take place after the first public announcement of the merger in KSE registered firms. But the impact on the market prices take place not only merging firms but also merged firms in KOSDAQ registered firms. This result shows that the investors recognize a M&A is a strategy of technology transfer in small & venture business.

  • PDF