• 제목/요약/키워드: Cumulative Sum (CUSUM)

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Relative performance of group CUSUM charts

  • Choi, Sungwoon;Lee, Sanghoon
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1996년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 공군사관학교, 청주; 26-27 Apr. 1996
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    • pp.11-14
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    • 1996
  • Performance of the group cumulative sum(CUSUM) control scheme using multiple univariate CUSUM charts is more sensitive to the change of quality control(QC) characteristics than the control chart scheme based on the Hotelling statistics. We examine three group charts for multivariate normal data sets simulated with various correlation structures and shift directions in the mean vector. These group schemes apply the orginal measurement vectors, the scaled residual vectors from the regression of each variable on all others and the principal component vectors respectively to calculating the CUSUM statistics. They are also compared to the multivariate QC charts based on the Hotelling statistic by estimating average run lengths, coefficients of variation of run length and ranks in signaling order. On the basis of simulation results, we suggest a control chart scheme appropriate for specific quality control environment.

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Stationary bootstrapping for structural break tests for a heterogeneous autoregressive model

  • Hwang, Eunju;Shin, Dong Wan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.367-382
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    • 2017
  • We consider an infinite-order long-memory heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model, which is motivated by a long-memory property of realized volatilities (RVs), as an extension of the finite order HAR-RV model. We develop bootstrap tests for structural mean or variance changes in the infinite-order HAR model via stationary bootstrapping. A functional central limit theorem is proved for stationary bootstrap sample, which enables us to develop stationary bootstrap cumulative sum (CUSUM) tests: a bootstrap test for mean break and a bootstrap test for variance break. Consistencies of the bootstrap null distributions of the CUSUM tests are proved. Consistencies of the bootstrap CUSUM tests are also proved under alternative hypotheses of mean or variance changes. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows that stationary bootstrapping improves the sizes of existing tests.

RELATIVE PERFORMANCE COMPARISON OF GROUP CUSUM CHARTS

  • Choi, Sung-Woon;Lee, Sang-Hoon
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.51-71
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    • 1999
  • Performance of the group cumulative sum (CUSUM) control scheme using multiple univariate CUSUM charts is more sensitive to the change of quality control (QC) characteristics than the control chart schemes based on the Hotelling statistic We vexamine three group charts for multivariate normal data sets simulated with various correlation structures and shift directions in the mean vector. These group schemes apply the original measurement vectors, the scaled residual vectors from the re-gression of each variable on all others and the principal component vectors respectively to calculat-ing the CUSUM statistics. They are also compared to the multivariate QC charts based on the Ho-telling statistic by estimating average run lengths, coefficients of variation of run length and ranks in signaling order. On the basis of simulation results, we suggest a control chart scheme appropriate for specific quality control environment.

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비정규 모집단에 대한 일변량 및 다변량 누적합 관리도의 성능 분석 (Effects of Non-normality on the Performance of Univariate and Multivariate CUSUM Control Charts)

  • 장영순
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2006
  • This paper investigates the effects of non-normality on the performance of univariate and multivariate cumulative sum(CUSUM) control charts for monitoring the process mean. In-control and out-of-control average run lengths of the charts are examined for the univariate/multivariate lognormal and t distributions. The effects of the reference value and the correlation coefficient under the non-normal distributions are also studied. Simulation results show that the CUSUM charts with small reference values are robust to non-normality but those with moderate or large reference values are sensitive to non-normal data especially to process data from skewed distributions. The performance of the chart to detect mean shift of a process is not invariant to the direction of the shift for skewed distributions.

Robust CUSUM test for time series of counts and its application to analyzing the polio incidence data

  • Kang, Jiwon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.1565-1572
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we analyze the polio incidence data based on the Poisson autoregressive models, focusing particularly on change-point detection. Since the data include some strongly deviating observations, we employ the robust cumulative sum (CUSUM) test proposed by Kang and Song (2015) to perform the test for parameter change. Contrary to the result of Kang and Lee (2014), our data analysis indicates that there is no significant change in the case of the CUSUM test with strong robustness and the same result is obtained after ridding the polio data of outliers. We additionally consider the comparison of the forecasting performance. All the results demonstrate that the robust CUSUM test performs adequately in the presence of seemingly outliers.

A class of CUSUM tests using empirical distributions for tail changes in weakly dependent processes

  • Kim, JunHyeong;Hwang, Eunju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.163-175
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    • 2020
  • We consider a wide class of general weakly-dependent processes, called ψ-weak dependence, which unify almost all weak dependence structures of interest found in statistics under natural conditions on process parameters, such as mixing, association, Bernoulli shifts, and Markovian sequences. For detecting the tail behavior of the weakly dependent processes, change point tests are developed by means of cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics with the empirical distribution functions of sample extremes. The null limiting distribution is established as a Brownian bridge. Its proof is based on the ψ-weak dependence structure and the existence of the phantom distribution function of stationary weakly-dependent processes. A Monte-Carlo study is conducted to see the performance of sizes and powers of the CUSUM tests in GARCH(1, 1) models; in addition, real data applications are given with log-returns of financial data such as the Korean stock price index.

제1형 우측중도절단된 로그정규 수명 자료를 모니터링하는 누적합 관리도 (CUSUM charts for monitoring type I right-censored lognormal lifetime data)

  • 최민재;이재헌
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.735-744
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    • 2021
  • 제품의 수명을 유지시키는 것은 품질관리의 주요 목표 중 하나이다. 실제 공정에서는 시간 및 비용의 문제로 인해 모든 표본의 수명을 측정할 수 없는 경우가 많이 발생하기 때문에, 대부분 중도절단된 자료를 포함시켜 표본을 구성한다. 이 논문에서는 제1형의 우측중도절단된 수명 자료가 로그정규분포를 따르는 경우, 제품 수명의 평균을 모니터링하는 두 가지 누적합 관리도 절차를 제안한다. 하나는 우도비에 기초한 누적합 관리도이고, 다른 하나는 이항분포에 기초한 누적합 관리도 절차이다. 모의실험을 통해 평균런길이를 비교하는 방법으로 제안된 두 관리도 절차의 성능을 비교하였다. 모의실험 결과, 중도절단율이 낮은 경우, 형상모수값이 작은 경우, 평균의 감소 변화량이 큰 경우에는 우도비 누적합 관리도가 더 효율적이며, 반대로 중도절단율이 높은 경우, 형상모수값이 큰 경우, 평균의 감소 변화량이 적은 경우에는 이항 누적합 관리도가 더 효율적인 것으로 나타났다.

FIR을 이용한 CV-CUSUM 관리도의 통계적 설계 (Statistical Design of CV-CUSUM Control Chart Using Fast Initial Response)

  • 이정훈;강해운;홍의표;강창욱
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 2010
  • The coefficient of variation represents the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean, and it is a useful statistic for comparing the degree of variation from one data series to another, even if the means are drastically different from each other. Recently, the CV control chart is developed for monitoring processes in such situations. However, the CV control chart has low performance in detecting small shift. Due to the development of equipment and technique, currently, small shift of process occurs more frequently than large shift. In this paper, we proposes the CV-CUSUM control chart using CUSUM scheme which is cumulative sum of the deviations between each data point and a target value to detect a small shift in the process. We also found that the FIR(fast initial response) CUSUM control chart is especially valuable at start-up or after a CV-CUSUM control chart has signaled out-of-control.

3개의 모수영역을 모니터링하는 EWMA 관리도 (EWMA control charts for monitoring three parameter regions)

  • 김유경;이재헌
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.725-737
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    • 2022
  • 통계적 공정 모니터링에서 관리 상태일 때 품질 특성치의 모수값은 하나의 값으로 지정하는 경우가 대부분이다. 그러나 관리 상태로부터 공정 모수의 작은 변화는 실제적으로 크게 중요하지 않은 경우, 품질 특성치의 모수 영역은 관리 상태, 무관심, 그리고 이상 상태의 세 영역으로 구성될 수 있다. 이 논문에서는 3개의 모수 영역이 있는 공정에 적용할 수 있는 두 가지 지수가중 이동평균(exponentially weighted moving average; EWMA) 관리도 절차를 제안하고, 제안된 절차의 성능을 Shewhart 관리도 및 누적합(cumulative sum; CUSUM) 관리도와 비교하여 그 효율을 평가하였다.

제1형의 우측중도절단된 와이블 수명자료를 관리하는 이항 누적합 관리도 (A binomial CUSUM chart for monitoring type I right-censored Weibull lifetimes)

  • 최민재;이재헌
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.823-833
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    • 2016
  • 제품의 수명은 품질을 나타내는 중요한 특성치이다. 이상적으로는 모든 표본의 수명자료를 측정하는 것이 가장 바람직하나, 이를 측정하는데 많은 시간과 비용이 소요되는 경우 중도절단된 자료로 표본을 구성하는 경우가 많이 발생한다. 이 논문에서는 제1형의 우측중도절단된 수명자료가 와이블 분포를 따를 경우 척도모수의 감소를 탐지하는 이항 누적합 관리도 절차를 제안하였다. 모의실험에서 평균런길이를 이용하여 제안된 관리도 절차의 효율을 이전에 연구된 누적합 관리도 절차와 비교하였는데, 그 결과 중도절단율이 높을 경우와 표본의 크기가 적은 경우 제안된 이항 누적합 관리도가 더 효율적임을 알 수 있었다.