• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제6권5호
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• pp.69-77
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• 2005

Change is inevitable and is a reality of construction projects. Most construction contracts include change clauses and allowing contractors an equitable adjustment to the contract price and duration caused by change. However, the actions of a contractor can cause a loss of productivity and furthermore can result in disruption of the whole project because of a cumulative or ripple effect. Because of its complicated nature, it becomes a complex issue to determine the cumulative impact (ripple effect) caused by single or multiple change orders. Furthermore, owners and contractors do not always agree on the adjusted contract price for the cumulative Impact of the changes. A number of studies have attempted to quantify the impact of change orders on project costs and schedule. Many of these attempted to develop regression models to quantify the loss. However, regression analysis has shortcomings in dealing with many qualitative or noisy input data. This study develops ANN models to classify and quantify the labor productivity losses that are caused by the cumulative impact of change orders. The results skew that ANN models give significantly improved performance compared to traditional statistical models.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.299-309
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• 2008

Cumulative effects can be defined as impacts on environment which results from incremental impacts of a proposed project, which covers other past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future actions. The necessity of Cumulative Effect Assessment is that, when there are several projects near the project area, environmental effects of individual project can be larger or smaller than those of individual project without having projects nearby because of synergy, ascending and descending effects. This study was intended to help Environmental Impact Assessment practitioners identify spatial and temporal boundaries during the scoping stage. To do this, literature review of domestic and foreign legislations, guidelines, textbooks and papers related to Environmental Impact Assessment and Cumulative Effect Assessment was accomplished. This study suggests that continuous research be needed in order to identify spatial boundaries for other assessment fields and to develop methodologies for cumulative effect assessment.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.29-34
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• 2007

Numerical analyses are carried out to evaluate the cumulative impact damage of an automotive front end bumper under the low speed crash events(CMVSS215) by using explicit code. Results of first impact simulation, which are deformed shape, thickness, stress tensors and strain tensors, are used as the initial conditions for a next impact simulation. Between the events, the residual vibration is damped out by using nodal damping, and then recovery after each event is evaluated by several methods, one of which is a springback analysis with implicite finite element analysis code. The coupled analysis scheme for the evaluation of cumulative impact damage is verified through the comparison with test results.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.171-180
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• 2006

Change is inevitable and is a reality of construction projects. Most construction contracts include change clauses and allowing contractors an equitable adjustment to the contract price and duration caused by change. However, the actions of a contractor can cause a loss of productivity and furthermore can result in disruption of the whole project because of a cumulative or ripple effect. Because of its complicated nature, it becomes a complex issue to determine the cumulative impact (ripple effect) caused by single or multiple change orders. Furthermore, owners and contractors do not always agree on the adjusted contract price for the cumulative impact of the changes. A number of studies have attempted to quantify the impact of change orders on project costs and schedule. Many of these attempted to develop regression models to quantify the loss. However, regression analysis has shortcomings in dealing with many qualitative or noisy input data. This study develops ANN models to classify and quantify the labor productivity losses that are caused by the cumulative impact of change orders. The results show that ANN models give significantly improved performance compared to traditional statistical models.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.107-116
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• 2006

Recently, it has been important not only to evaluate environmental effects but also to assess cumulative and comprehensive effects by the development projects. This paper concentrates on temporal and spatial cumulative impacts on Suji district in Yongin, Gyunggi-do. This paper adopted two methods to assess the cumulative impacts. First, it assesses the temporal change of forest patch size and land cover according to the patch size. Second, it compares housing development zones with the neighborhood. The result of the research appears that the damage is very serious, especially in small forest. The Forest area is changed to farm land, most of them become to built-up area later. In addition, it is assessed that the secondary housing development projects did more harm than the initial one. By assessing the cumulative impacts on Suji district, this research suggests to minimize two kinds of solutions : comprehensive environmental assessments in regional unit and regulation on total forest quantity.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.277-290
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• 2000

The purpose of this study is to identify the problems of environmental impact assessment(EIA) and to suggest new EIA technology. The problems of EIA in Korea can be summarized as follows. First, the EIA does not reflect the impact of policy, plan and program on environment. Second, the project EIA does not consider the cumulative impacts such as additive impacts, synergistic impacts, threshold/saturation impacts, induced and indirect impacts, time-crowded impacts, and space-crowded impacts. Third, the EIA techniques in Korea are not standardized. Finally, the present EIA suggests only alternatives to reduce adverse impacts. To solve above-mentioned problems, the development of new EIA technology is essential. First, the new EIA technology should be developed toward pollution prevention technology and comprehensive and integrated environmental management technology. Second, new fields of EIA for pollution prevention contain strategic environmental assessment, cumulative impacts assessment, socio-economic impact assessment, cyber EIA and EIA technology necessary after the reunification of Korean Peninsula. Third, EIA technology for integrated environmental management contains the development of integated environment assessment system and the development of packaged EIA technology. The EIA technology for integrated environmental assessment system contains (1) development of integrated impact assessment technology combining air/water quality model, GIS and remote sensing, (2) integrated impact assessment of EIA, traffic impact assessment, population impact assessment and disaster impact assessment. (3) development of integrated technology combining risk assessment and EIA (4) development of integrated technology of life cycle assessment and EIA, (5) development of integrated technology of spatial planning and EIA, (6) EIA technology for biodiversity towards sustainable development, (7) mathematical model and GIS based location decision techniques, and (8) environmental monitoring and audit. Furthermore, there are some fields which need packaged EIA technology. In case of dam development, urban or industrial complex development, tourist development, landfill or combustion facilities construction, electric power plant development, development of port, road/rail/air port, is necessary the standardized and packaged EIA technology which considers the common characteristics of the same kind of development project.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제46권1호
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• pp.22-34
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• 2020

Objectives: Based on the concept of environmental justice, we developed an evaluation model for setting and adopting the direction of environmental health policy using environmental health indicators and statistics from the local governments of Seoul, including environmentally susceptible populations. Methods: We selected a total of 20 variables based on data officially released from national and local governments. After the classification of these variables into the five components of environmental pressure, environmental status, environmental disease, sensitive population, and socioeconomic status, a basic model was constructed to calculate the relative scores of the local governments. Results: The cumulative impact scores for assessment of environmental health status were similar to those of the environmental pressure and status components. The highest five cumulative impact scores fell between 114 and 147. Local government A reported the highest scores and had high environmental pressure, environmental status and socioeconomic status. In addition, the evaluation of the other four local governments indicated that they exhibited above average scores for environmental pressure and environmental status, two did so for environmental disease, and four for sensitive population. Conclusion: We constructed a model to evaluate the environmental health status of the local governments of Seoul based on cumulative impact scores under the concept of environmental justice. As an approach for studying environmentally vulnerable areas through relative ranking, this model was feasible for policy-setting. In addition, this approach would be an analytically useful tool for decision-makers.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제30권6호
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• pp.413-424
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• 2021

현행 환경영향평가 내 건강영향평가는 단일 물질별 기준초과 여부를 평가하고 적정 저감방안을 수립하도록 시행된다. 이에 따라 일부 개발 대상사업의 경우, 위해성평가의 모든 물질이 기준을 만족하지만 노출농도가 기준에 매우 근사한 경우가 존재한다. 하지만 여기서 모든 물질들의 동시 노출을 고려한다면 건강영향은 단일 물질별 관리보다 상당히 크게 발생할 여지가 있다. 실제로 수용체에 노출되는 건강영향을 파악하기 위해 배출물질의 통합평가 방법론의 구체화 및 개선방안 마련이 필요하다. 본 논문은 해외 선진사례 및 국내외 문헌고찰을 통해 누적위해성평가 및 위해성의 통합기법에 대한 개념을 정의하고, 산업단지 개발 시 다물질에 대한 건강영향을 고려한 누적위해성평가 활용을 위한 방법론을 제안하였다. 제안된 방법론을 통해 산업단지에 배출되는 유해중금속 4종(Ni, Cr⁶⁺, Cd, As)에 대한 통합지표를 산출하였으며, 과거 10년(2011~2020년) 간 수행된 산업단지 개발사업에 대한 사례적용을 통해 활용성을 확보하였다.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.444-453
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• 2014

환경위험의 피해가 환경불평등과 사회불평등의 상호작용으로 인해 환경약자가 더 많이 피해를 받게 되는 환경 피해 불평등이 심화될 것으로 전망되고 있다. 본 연구는 서울시를 대상으로 미국 캘리포니아 환경보호청에서 개발한 환경보건 스크리닝 툴을 적용하여 통합적인 지역 규모의 누적영향을 평가하였다. 환경보건 취약지역을 스크리닝하기 위하여 환경노출과 건강영향의 환경부담, 민감집단과 사회경제적 요인의 인구특성에 따라 10개 지표를 선정하였다. 환경보건 스크리닝 툴을 통하여 2009~2011년 서울시 누적영향평가를 실시한 결과, 서울의 강서와 강남지역에서 위험요인이 높게 나타났며 강서지역은 환경부담과 인구특성 모두에서 위험요인이 높았고, 강남지역은 환경부담요인이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 연구결과는 민감 취약계층 등 환경약자를 고려한, 공정하고 효율적인 환경정책을 추진하기 위한 과학적인 근거를 제공할 수 있다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제28권3D호
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• pp.363-369
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• 2008

건설공사의 특성상 공사중 설계변경이 불가피한 경우가 많다. 문제는 설계변경의 양과 정도에 따라 작업생산성 저하를 초래 할 수 있다는 것인데, 이를 설계변경의 파급효과(Ripple effect) 또는 누적영향(Cumulative impact)이라 한다. 미국과 달리 국내의 경우 설계변경의 영향에 대한 연구를 찾아보기 힘든 것이 사실이다. 본 연구는 공공공사 설계변경의 현황과 그 영향을 조사하기 위하여 1991년도부터 2004년도까지 수행된 14개 공공기관의 공사비 100억 이상 공사 1439건의 설계변경 데이터를 수집, 분석하였다. 국내 공공공사 설계변경의 특성을 파악하기 위하여 평균낙찰률, 설계변경규모, 설계변경횟수, 설계변경금액 등을 분석하였으며, 설계변경이 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위하여 변경률(%CO), 손실률(%Delta), 지연률(%T) 등의 개념을 정립하였다. 개발된 변경률, 손실률, 지연률 등의 개념을 수집된 설계변경 자료에 적용 사례조사를 하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 낙찰률과 설계변경량의 관계, 설계변경횟수와 공사지연간의 관계, 공기지연과 손실률간의 관계, 설계변경량과 손실률간의 관계를 도출하였다. 결과적으로 설계변경횟수가 많아질수록 공기가 더욱 지연될 수 있으며, 지연된 공기는 더 많은 손실을 발생시킬 수 있음이 증명 되였다. 또한 설계변경의 양이 많아질수록 손실량도 증가하며 서로간 강한 상관관계가 있음을 발견하였다. 본 연구에서 도출된 관계식들은 공사금액을 바탕으로 개발되었기에 프로젝트의 생산성손실 분석을 위한 직접적인 적용은 어렵다. 하지만 향후 국내 주요건설사들이 추진하고 있는 작업일보시스템에 작업시간(Man-hour)기반의 생산성 자료들이 축척되면 추후 그 데이터를 바탕으로 국내 환경에 적합한 생산성측정모델 구축이 가능하리라 판단된다. 아울러, 공사중 작업생산성 관련 자료의 관리를 선진화 하고, 그 신빙성을 높이는 일은 우리 건설계 모두의 노력이 필요하리라 사료된다.