• 제목/요약/키워드: Cumulative Hazard

검색결과 117건 처리시간 0.021초

교량부속구조물에 대한 진동해석과 피로내구성평가 (Vibration Analysis and Durability Evaluation of a Sign Frame on a Bridge)

  • 이상훈;엔도타카오;이시카와마사미;한연희
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
    • /
    • pp.317-320
    • /
    • 2008
  • Between traffic-induced vibration of a bridge and fatigue damage of its attached structures are very closely related. But any evaluation and design method considering the fatigue damage is not established yet. As an experimental method of evaluation of the fatigue durability, a method based on cumulative damage using a stress range histogram has been often used. However, to use the method, the fatigue durability of unmeasured points could not be evaluated. Then, in this paper, dynamic analysis of a sign frame on a bridge is carried out based on the vibration data of the bridge. And model optimization was performed for good agreement between measured responses and computed responses. As a result, we could get stress range histograms and calculate fatigue durability of unmeasured points.

  • PDF

지진발생시 Slide Block형 분석을 이용한 누적 산사태 변위 결정 단순법 (Simplified Method for the Determination of Cumulative Landslide Displacement in the Event of an Earthquake using "Slide Block" Type Analyses)

  • 배윤신
    • 한국지반신소재학회논문집
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2009
  • 지진을 수반한 산사태는 지난 십년동안 수만명의 사상자와 수십억불의 재난피해를 초래해 왔다. 정역학적으로 안정된 경사로 표현되는 잠재적 지진 위험요소를 결정하는 것은 지진이 발생하는 동안 중요한 움직임을 평가하는데 필수적이다. 동적 하중에서의 산사태 움직임을 추정하기 위한 Newmark 방법이 소개되고 두 사례에 적용되었다. 그리고 에너지에 근거한 간략법이 Newmark의 변위를 추정하기 위하여 개발되었다.

  • PDF

Reliability over time of wind turbines steel towers subjected to fatigue

  • Berny-Brandt, Emilio A.;Ruiz, Sonia E.
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • 제23권1호
    • /
    • pp.75-90
    • /
    • 2016
  • A probabilistic approach that combines structural demand hazard analysis with cumulative damage assessment is presented and applied to a steel tower of a wind turbine. The study presents the step by step procedure to compare the reliability over time of the structure subjected to fatigue, assuming: a) a binomial Weibull annual wind speed, and b) a traditional Weibull probability distribution function (PDF). The probabilistic analysis involves the calculation of force time simulated histories, fatigue analysis at the steel tower base, wind hazard curves and structural fragility curves. Differences in the structural reliability over time depending on the wind speed PDF assumed are found, and recommendations about selecting a real PDF are given.

ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF THE CONDITIONAL HAZARD FUNCTION ESTIMATE BY THE LOCAL LINEAR METHOD FOR FUNCTIONAL ERGODIC DATA

  • MOHAMMED BASSOUDI;ABDERRAHMANE BELGUERNA;HAMZA DAOUDI;ZEYNEB LAALA
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • 제41권6호
    • /
    • pp.1341-1364
    • /
    • 2023
  • This article introduces a method for estimating the conditional hazard function of a real-valued response variable based on a functional variable. The method uses local linear estimation of the conditional density and cumulative distribution function and is applied to a functional stationary ergodic process where the explanatory variable is in a semi-metric space and the response is a scalar value. We also examine the uniform almost complete convergence of this estimation technique.

Inverted exponentiated Weibull distribution with applications to lifetime data

  • Lee, Seunghyung;Noh, Yunhwan;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제24권3호
    • /
    • pp.227-240
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this paper, we introduce the inverted exponentiated Weibull (IEW) distribution which contains exponentiated inverted Weibull distribution, inverse Weibull (IW) distribution, and inverted exponentiated distribution as submodels. The proposed distribution is obtained by the inverse form of the exponentiated Weibull distribution. In particular, we explain that the proposed distribution can be interpreted by Marshall and Olkin's book (Lifetime Distributions: Structure of Non-parametric, Semiparametric, and Parametric Families, 2007, Springer) idea. We derive the cumulative distribution function and hazard function and calculate expression for its moment. The hazard function of the IEW distribution can be decreasing, increasing or bathtub-shaped. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is obtained. Then we show the existence and uniqueness of MLE. We can also obtain the Bayesian estimation by using the Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We also give applications with a simulated data set and two real data set to show the flexibility of the IEW distribution. Finally, conclusions are mentioned.

사례분석을 통한 화산재해지도 구성요소 도출 및 활용 방안 (The Finding Factors and Application Plans of the Volcanic Disaster Maps through Case Studies)

  • 장은미;박경;김은경
    • 한국지역지리학회지
    • /
    • 제20권1호
    • /
    • pp.128-140
    • /
    • 2014
  • 이 논문은 화산재해지도가 갖는 특성을 규명하고, 국내외 화산재해지도의 사례조사를 통해 유형화하였다. 저자들은 해외의 화산재해지도의 구성요소를 도출하여 백두산을 대상으로 활용방안을 모색하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 국외 화산재해지도에 대해 세 가지 유형(Hazard Map, Risk Map, Damage Map)의 재해지도 분석틀을 통해 검토하고, 화산재해지도의 구성요소를 도출하였다. 도출된 화산재해지도 구성요소는 1) 과거이력 누적 지도, 2) 확률론적 위험지도, 3) 시나리오 기반 지도이며, 이를 바탕으로 활용사례별(피난활용형, 방재정보형, 방재교육형) 화산재해지도의 구성요소를 제시하였다.

  • PDF

Some Characterization Results Based on Dynamic Survival and Failure Entropies

  • Abbasnejad, Maliheh
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제18권6호
    • /
    • pp.787-798
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop some characterization results in terms of survival entropy of the first order statistic. In addition, we generalize the cumulative entropy recently proposed by Di Crescenzo and Logobardi (2009) to a new measure of information (called the failure entropy) and study some properties of it and its dynamic version. Furthermore, power distribution is characterized based on dynamic failure entropy.

Empirical modelling approaches to modelling failures

  • Baik, Jaiwook;Jo, Jinnam
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.107-114
    • /
    • 2013
  • Modelling of failures is an important element of reliability modelling. Empirical modelling approach suitable for complex item is explored in this paper. First step of the empirical modelling approach is to plot hazard function, density function, Weibull probability plot as well as cumulative intensity function to see which model fits best for the given data. Next step of the empirical modelling approach is select appropriate model for the data and fit the parametric model accordingly and estimate the parameters.

  • PDF

No-Touch vs. Conventional Radiofrequency Ablation Using Twin Internally Cooled Wet Electrodes for Small Hepatocellular Carcinomas: A Randomized Prospective Comparative Study

  • Yun Seok Suh;Jae Won Choi;Jeong Hee Yoon;Dong Ho Lee;Yoon Jun Kim;Jeong Hoon Lee;Su Jong Yu;Eun Ju Cho;Jung Hwan Yoon;Jeong Min Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • 제22권12호
    • /
    • pp.1974-1984
    • /
    • 2021
  • Objective: This study aimed to compare the efficacy between no-touch (NT) radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and conventional RFA using twin internally cooled wet (TICW) electrodes in the bipolar mode for the treatment of small hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC). Materials and Methods: In this single-center, two-arm, parallel-group, prospective randomized controlled study, we performed a 1:1 random allocation of eligible patients with HCCs to receive NT-RFA or conventional RFA between October 2016 and September 2018. The primary endpoint was the cumulative local tumor progression (LTP) rate after RFA. Secondary endpoints included technical conversion rates of NT-RFA, intrahepatic distance recurrence, extrahepatic metastasis, technical parameters, technical efficacy, and rates of complications. Cumulative LTP rates were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Cox proportional hazard regression model. Considering conversion cases from NT-RFA to conventional RFA, intention-to-treat and as-treated analyses were performed. Results: Enrolled patients were randomly assigned to the NT-RFA group (37 patients with 38 HCCs) or the conventional RFA group (36 patients with 38 HCCs). Among the NT-RFA group patients, conversion to conventional RFA occurred in four patients (10.8%, 4/37). According to intention-to-treat analysis, both 1- and 3-year cumulative LTP rates were 5.6%, in the NT-RFA group, and they were 11.8% and 21.3%, respectively, in the conventional RFA group (p = 0.073, log-rank). In the as-treated analysis, LTP rates at 1 year and 3 years were 0% and 0%, respectively, in the NT-RFA group sand 15.6% and 24.5%, respectively, in the conventional RFA group (p = 0.004, log-rank). In as-treated analysis using multivariable Cox regression analysis, RFA type was the only significant predictive factor for LTP (hazard ratio = 0.061 with conventional RFA as the reference, 95% confidence interval = 0.000-0.497; p = 0.004). There were no significant differences in the procedure characteristics between the two groups. No procedure-related deaths or major complications were observed. Conclusion: NT-RFA using TICW electrodes in bipolar mode demonstrated significantly lower cumulative LTP rates than conventional RFA for small HCCs, which warrants a larger study for further confirmation.

다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 추계학적 강우 변동 생성기법에 관한 연구 (A Study on Generation of Stochastic Rainfall Variation using Multivariate Monte Carlo method)

  • 안기홍;한건연
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제9권3호
    • /
    • pp.127-133
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용하여 무차원 누가강우량 곡선을 생성하였다. 이를 위해 30년 이상의 관측년수를 갖는 강우자료를 활용하여 강우사상을 분리하고 이를 무차원화하여 강우의 지역적, 시간적 변동성을 제거하였다. 그리고 이들 무차원화된 누가강우량곡선을 4가지 형태로 구분하여 강우자료 특성을 반영한 누가강우량 곡선을 생성하였다. 무차원 누가 강우량 곡선의 절점이 항상 0이상이고 전체의 합이 1이 되어야 하는 제약조건을 극복하기 위해 log-ratio 기법을 도입하였고 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 다변량 생성시 요구되는 정규화와 상관계수 반영의 문제점을 Johnson 시스템과 직교변환을 도입하여 모형에 적용함으로서 제약조건을 극복할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 적용한 다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 강우변동생성기법은 실제 강우량 자료의 특성을 가공없이 반영할 수 있어 해당 유역의 특성을 정확히 반영할 수 있었고 유역의 홍수대책 수립, 수공구조물 설계 및 분석 등 활용성이 매우 클 것으로 판단된다.