• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.221-240
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• 2023

Purpose - This paper investigates how business cycle impacts on corporate credit spreads since global financial crisis. Furthermore, it tests how the impact changes by the phase of the cycle. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected dataset from Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index through the Bloomberg. It conducted multi-regression analysis by projecting business cycle using Hodrick-Prescott filtering and various cyclical variables, while ran dynamic analysis of 5-variable Vector Error Correction Model to confirm the robustness of the test. Findings - First, it proves to be statistically significant that corporate credit spreads have moved countercyclicaly since the crisis. Second, It indicates that the corporate credit spread's countercyclicality to the macroeconomic changes works symmetrically by the phase of the cycle. Third, the VECM supports that business cycle's impact on the spreads maintains more sustainably than other explanatory variable does in the model. Research implications or Originality - It becomes more appealing to accurately measure the real economic impact on corporate credit spreads as the interaction between credit and business cycle deepens. The economic impact on the spreads works symmetrically by boom and bust, which implies that the market stress could impact as another negative driver during the bust. Finally, the business cycle's sustainable impact on the spreads supports the fact that the economic recovery is the key driver for the resilience of credit cycle.

• The Journal of Bigdata
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.225-234
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• 2022

In this paper, we study the recent changes in the credit risk interconnectedness in Korea. Using the CDS spread data from November 2015 to August 2022, we estimate the network structure of sovereign and corporate credit risk. The results show that sovereign and corporate credit risks are interconnected significantly, particularly with respect to the banking sector where FX-related transactions are made. Since 2022 when the monetary policy has become contractionary, such credit risk interconnectedness seems to be strengthened because of greater common exposure.

• Journal of Families and Better Life
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.245-261
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• 1992

The Purpose of this study is to find out ;Which is the recognition of housewives abut the credit cards as a financial tool\ulcorner by what kind of motive is the use made\ulcorner How important the using credit card in the financed to household\ulcorner For this purpose, a survey was conducted by interview using questionnaire. The data were analyzed by frequency , percentage, arithmetic mean, standard deviation, x2 -test, ANOVA, correlation, multiple regression using SPSS/PC+ linear structural relationship using LISREL VI program. the conclusion deduced through result of data analysis and the discussion are as follows; First, in the respondent housekeeping, monthly average repayment of credit card is about 1/3 of the living expenses. Second, the knowledge of respondents about credit card was low generally Third, respondents use credit card by the motive of circulating money rather tan the motive of convenience. Fourth , generally respondents are not overdue the charge of credit card, but the smaller the cost of living is or the larger the motive of using credit card, the more overdue the charge of credit card. Fifth, as a result of linear structural relationship among the information credit card, motive of use and management behavior, the motive of using credit card effect on the management of credit card more directly than the knowledge of credit card. Sixth, as credit card is spread widely on the future, the information of credit card will be important variable on the personal credit and the management of credit card will be more important in the household financial management.

• Journal of Service Research and Studies
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.139-150
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• 2017

Open economy tightly works with foreign economy. This paper investigates the effect of the shock of foreign bond yield on the credit spreads of domestic corporate bonds in Korea. Foreign bond is referred to as US treasury bond. Credit spreads are defined with the difference between log yields of domestic corporate bonds and log yield of Korea treasury bond. With the data of monthly three-year AA- and BBB- corporate bond yields- ratings, monthly three-year Korean treasury bond yields, monthly US dollar foreign exchange rates, and monthly three-year US Treasury bond yields during the period from October 2000 to September 2014 including global financial crisis period, the paper documents the results as follow. First of all, the yield of Korean treasury and the credit spreads are very sensitive to the increase in the level and the volatility of the yield of the US treasury bond. Changes in the level and the volatility little affect the change of the exchange rate. Second, the change in the level and the volatility negatively affect the level of Korean treasury bond yields but lead to the increase in the level of Korean treasury bond yields at the same time. Third, there exist time lags of the increases of credit spreads by the increase in the level and the volatility. These imply that credit spreads and bond yields are very sensitive to the change in the yields of foreign bonds such as US treasury bond.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.38 no.3
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• pp.79-106
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• 2016

This paper investigates the effectiveness of public credit guarantee programs and interest-support programs for SMEs (small and medium enterprises). First, assuming that there is an imperfect information structure in the SME loan market, we analyze how SME support financial programs affect the corporate decisions made by SMEs with regard to default or loan sizes. In addition, this paper theoretically computes the optimal levels of credit guarantee amounts and the interest-support spread under equilibrium with imperfect information in a competitive loan market. Second, the paper empirically analyzes the continuous policy-treatment effect with the GPS (generalized propensity score) method. In particular, we consider the ratio of guaranteed debt to the total debt as a continuous policy treatment. The empirical results show that marginal effects of a credit guarantee on SMEs' productivity, profitability, and growth potential decrease with the ratio of guaranteed debt to the total debt. In addition, the average effect of a credit guarantee is maximized when this ratio is at 50% to 60%.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.63-77
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• 2020

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of personal characteristics, loan characteristics, and interest rate characteristics of 2,653 borrowers on the delinquency possibility. In doing so, this study applies both multiple regression and logistic regression models to the data of credit unions in the city of Daegu. Design/Methodology/Approach - The major results of multiple regression analysis using SPSS are as follows. Findings - As for the results of testing the significance of the regression coefficients, it has been found that among the personal characteristics variables membership, credit rating, credit rating changes, and LTV have significant positive (+) effects on the delinquency possibility. Also it has been shown that among the loan characteristics variables loan amount, loan balance, total debt amount, collateral type, collateral amount, and repayment method have significant positive (+) effects on the delinquency possibility. Furthermore it has been found that among the interest rate characteristics variables both overdue interest rate and interest rate spread have positive (+) effects on the delinquency possibility. However, it has been shown that among the personal characteristics variables equity and membership do not have significant effects on the delinquency possibility, and that normal interest rate among the interest rate characteristics variables also do not have a significant effect on the delinquency possibility. Research Implications - By systematically analyzing the variables affecting delinquency possibility based on the results of this study, credit unions might get positive help in improving the system of managing receivables. Furthermore, the results of this study could be extended and applied to other types of financial institutions, so that financial institutions in general will also get some help to systematically manage the delinquency possibility.

• The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.31-54
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• 1985

The mutual credit of Fisheries Cooperatives is reciprocal financing bring overs and shorts to settlement themselves by filling each other's needs among feeble fishermen economically. The spread of mutual credit through Fisheries Cooperatives reduces private loan dependence and private loan interest rate at fishery village, and that fills up policy financing being restricted by working scale. And seeing movement side of Fisheries Cooperatives, it has done an under board to settle self-supporting foundation of primary fisheries cooperatives early. The mutual credit deposit shows about 53 times increase past an interval of a ten years. This increase rate is an epoch-making record being unparalleled in other banking facilities except Fisheries Cooperatives. Then being unparalleled increase rate, time and savings deposits increase has been contributed a great deal than demand deposits. Thinking important function factors as mutual credit growth, we can classify interior and exterior factors. The exterior factor is income of fishery household in some measure, interior factors are the high deposits interest rate and the enlargement of facilities organization. As these, they have been in a better factors, also have been a restriction factors. The restriction factors are conflict cancellation between mutual credit and them bring into existence a village vault, mutual savings and finance companies, private finance. For the sake of continuance growth rate in mutual credit as past, we should eliminate restricted factors in growth. On the other hand the better factors in growth should be act upon affirmation side continually. Consequently under circumstances not to an amicable settlement bring the fisheries fund demand as policy financing, we should do continuous and sound development of fisheries financing by means of putting in good order of fisheries cooperatives mutual credit. Surveying a problem from these viewpoints, when we study more deep and a full into a subject about growth project of mutual credit, we think to expect continuous growth in mutual credit of Fisheries Cooperatives.

• 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.81-109
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• 2007

The loan rate of the government loan program offered by the Small Business Corporation(SBC) can be determined as a sum of three factors such as a reference interest rate, a policy aim spread, and a credit risk spread. However the loan rate has been lower than the loan rate in the banking sector. The profit has continually run in the red figures and hence the stability the fund managed by the SBC has been damaged. Even though a policy aim spread could be emphasized, the stability and profitability of the fund should be prioritized. This means that the loan rate of the SBC should be determined such that the loss might not be occurred. This requires the policy aim spread to change from relatively large negative to near zero.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.93-118
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• 2005

This paper examines credit spreads in Korea corporate market using one of structural models, the mean reverting leverage ratio model (Collin-Dufresne and Goldstein (2001)). Compared to the actual credit spreads, we show that the credit spreads induced by the model are overpredicted. We also investigate the systematic errors that cause the over-pre-diction of credit spreads using the t-test. We show that the systematic errors are affected by the current leverage ratio and asset volatility.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.191-213
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• 2008

This study tests and reconfirms the wealth transfer of mergers and acquisitions(M&As) by examining the changes in and the relationship between shareholder and bondholder wealth after the announcements of M&As for the publicly listed firms in Korea Stock Exchange and KOSDAQ market during $1999{\sim}2006$. The change in shareholder wealth is measured by the Cumulative Abnormal Return(CAR) at the M&A announcements, and the change in bondholder wealth is calculated using the Yield Spread Change(YSC) and the change in acquiring firms' credit ratings. The empirical tests show that the CAR of 344 sample acquiring firms at the announcement is 3.59%, which confirms results of the prior research on M&As in Korean market. The average YSC for 35 sample acquiring firms between $2001{\sim}2006$ proves to be negative when we use the yield spread of firms with comparable credit ratings as a benchmark, which means that the acquiring firms' bondholders gain with the announcements of M&As. We find the same result using another benchmark-the yield spread of government bonds. The improvement in the acquiring firms' credit ratings one year after the M&As also indicates that the M&As, on average, increase bondholder wealth. Our test results are consistent with those of the existing studies on the effect of bondholder wealth after the M&As in the United States, which shows that the bondholder wealth increases after the M&As. We do not find the evidence that there is a wealth transfer from the acquiring firms' bondholders to the shareholders after the M&A announcements. Rather, this study confirms that the wealth of the acquiring firms' bondholders increases in the M&As in Korea.