• 제목/요약/키워드: Cost estimation simulation

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Development of SWRO-PRO hybrid process simulation and cost estimation program (역삼투-압력지연삼투 조합공정 공정모사 및 비용예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Choi, Yongjun;Shin, Yonghyun;Lee, Sangho;Kim, Seung-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.299-312
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    • 2016
  • The main objective of this paper is to develop computer simulation program for performance evaluation and cost estimation of a reverse osmosis (RO) and pressure-retarded osmosis (PRO) hybrid process to propose guidelines for its economic competitiveness use in the field. A solution-diffusion model modified with film theory and a simple cost model was applied to the simulation program. Using the simulation program, the effects of various factors, including the Operating conditions, membrane properties, and cost parameters on the RO and RO-PRO hybrid process performance and cost were examined. The simulation results showed that the RO-PRO hybrid process can be economically competitive with the RO process when electricity cost is more than 0.2 $/kWh, the PRO membrane cost is same as RO membrane cost, the power density is more than $8W/m^2$ and PRO recovery is same as 1/(1-RO recovery).

Scheduling and Cost Estimation Simulation for Transportation and Installation of the Offshore Monopile Wind Turbines (모노파일 해상풍력발전의 이송과 설치를 위한 일정계획 및 비용분석 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Boram;Son, Myeong-Jo;Jang, Wangseok;Kim, Tae-Wan;Hong, Keyyong
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.193-209
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    • 2015
  • For reasons such as global warming, depletion of fossil fuels and the danger of nuclear energy the research and development of renewable energy is actively underway. Wind energy has advantages over another renewable energy in terms of location requirements, energy efficiency and reliability. Nowadays the research and development area is expanded to offshore because it can supply more wind reliability and free from noise pollution. In this study, the monopile offshore wind turbine transportation and installation (T&I) process are investigated. In addition, the schedule and cost for the process are estimated by discrete event simulation. For the simulation, simulation models for various means of T&I are developed. The optimum T&I execution plan with shortest duration and lowest cost can be found by using different mission start day and T&I means.

A Study on the Construction of Computerized Algorithm for Proper Construction Cost Estimation Method by Historical Data Analysis (실적자료 분석에 의한 적정 공사비 산정방법의 전산화 알고리즘 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Chun Jae-Youl
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.192-200
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    • 2003
  • The object of this research is to develop a computerized algorithm of cost estimation method to forecast the total construction cost in the bidding stage by the historical and elemental work cost data. Traditional cost models to prepare Bill of Quantities in the korea construction industry since 1970 are not helpful to forecast the project total cost in the bidding stage because the BOQ is always constant data according to the design factors of a particular project. On the contrary, statistical models can provide cost quicker and more reliable than traditional ones if the collected cost data are sufficient enough to analyze the trends of the variables. The estimation system considers non-deterministic methods which referred to as the 'Monte Carlo simulation. The method interprets cost data to generate a probabilistic distribution for total costs from the deficient elemental experience cost distribution.

An Estimation Model of Historical Cost Using BIM Library for Road Project (도로분야 BIM 라이브러리를 활용한 실적공사비 산정모델 구축)

  • Moon, HyounSeok;Ju, KiBeom
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.431-442
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    • 2015
  • Currently, a BIM-based quantity takeoff (QTO) system is mainly focused on architectural projects. To perform this, diverse quantity takeoff methods such as an object-based automatic quantity takeoff, manual quantity and base functions of calculation have widely been utilizing. However, since BIM library for road projects includes structural elements associated with alignment, it is necessary to establish cost estimation system interlocked with historical cost using 3D library by each unit length. Accordingly, the aim of this study is to develop cost estimation model with using a historical cost approach so that it can be utilized in construction planning based on the BIM library for road projects. For this, based on the BIM library for road, the standardized quantity is estimated, and a process for calculating historical cost and a verification model with a 5D simulation was developed by mapping a WBS code with each BIM library object. This can be applied during the approximate cost estimation process in a project planning and an initial design phase for road projects. Besides, it is expected that these results will be utilized in constructing an optimal historical cost estimation process for project libraries.

Study on Modeling and Simulation for Fire Localization Using Bayesian Estimation (화원 위치 추정을 위한 베이시안 추정 기반의 모델링 및 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Kim, Taewan;Kim, Soo Chan;Kim, Jong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.58 no.6
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    • pp.424-430
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    • 2021
  • Fire localization is a key mission that must be preceded for an autonomous fire suppression system. Although studies using a variety of sensors for the localization are actively being conducted, the fire localization is still unfinished due to the high cost and low performance. This paper presents the modeling and simulation of the fire localization estimation using Bayesian estimation to determine the probabilistic location of the fire. To minimize the risk of fire accidents as well as the time and cost of preparing and executing live fire tests, a 40m × 40m-virtual space is created, where two ultraviolet sensors are simulated to rotate horizontally to collect ultraviolet signals. In addition, Bayesian estimation is executed to compute the probability of the fire location by considering both sensor errors and uncertainty under fire environments. For the validation of the proposed method, sixteen fires were simulated in different locations and evaluated by calculating the difference in distance between simulated and estimated fire locations. As a result, the proposed method demonstrates reliable outputs, showing that the error distribution tendency widens as the radial distance between the sensor and the fire increases.

Bearing/Range Estimation Method using NLS Cost Function in IDRS System (IDRS 시스템에서 Curve Fitting이 적용된 NLS 비용함수를 이용한 방위/거리 추정 기법)

  • Jung, Tae-Jin;Kim, Dae-Kyung;Kwon, Bum-Soo;Yoon, Kyung-Sik;Lee, Kyun-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.590-597
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    • 2011
  • The IDRS provides detection, classification and bearing/range estimation by performing wavefront curvature analysis on an intercepted active transmission from target. Especially, a estimate of the target bearing/range that significantly affects the optimal operation of own submarine is required. Target bearing/range can be estimated by wavefront curvature ranging which use the difference of time arrival at sensors. But estimation ambiguity occur in bearing/range estimation due to a number of peaks caused by high center frequency and limited bandwidth of the intercepted active transmission and distortion caused by noise. As a result the bearing/range estimation performance is degraded. To estimate target bearing/range correctly, bearing/range estimation method that eliminate estimation ambiguity is required. In this paper, therefore, for wavefront curvature ranging, NLS cost function with curve fitting method is proposed, which provide robust bearing/range estimation performance by eliminating estimation ambiguity. Through simulation the performance of the proposed bearing/range estimation methods are verified.

A New Current Compensation Estimation Method For Single Phase Active Power Filter (단상 액티브 파워 필터를 위한 새로운 전류 보상 방법)

  • 곽상신;이무영
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.819-822
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    • 1998
  • A new active power filter (APF) circuit with a current compesation estimation method is proposed. The current compensation estimation method replaces a current sensor with an estimating circuit and therefore reduces the implementation cost In addition, a simple control scheme, based on the energy balance concept, is adopted to control the voltage of a DC capacitor. Therefore energy change in the DC capacitor can be compensanted in the next cycle. Since a sampling technique is used, a larger DC capacitor voltage ripple can be permissible and a relatively smaller DC capacitor can be used. The proposed method has advantages of the reduction of one current sensor, low implementation cost, and fast transient responses. The theoretical analysis and simulation results are given. The proposed control method is successfully verified by computer simulation.

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Comparative Study on Similarity Measurement Methods in CBR Cost Estimation

  • Ahn, Joseph;Park, Moonseo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Ahn, Sung Jin;Ji, Sae-Hyun;Kim, Sooyoung;Song, Kwonsik;Lee, Jeong Hoon
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.597-598
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    • 2015
  • In order to improve the reliability of cost estimation results using CBR, there has been a continuous issue on similarity measurement to accurately compute the distance among attributes and cases to retrieve the most similar singular or plural cases. However, these existing similarity measures have limitations in taking the covariance among attributes into consideration and reflecting the effects of covariance in computation of distances among attributes. To deal with this challenging issue, this research examines the weighted Mahalanobis distance based similarity measure applied to CBR cost estimation and carries out the comparative study on the existing distance measurement methods of CBR. To validate the suggest CBR cost model, leave-one-out cross validation (LOOCV) using two different sets of simulation data are carried out. Consequently, this research is expected to provide an analysis of covariance effects in similarity measurement and a basis for further research on the fundamentals of case retrieval.

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New Factor for Balancing Cost and Delay Unicast Algorithm Based on Statistic Interval Estimation (통계적 구간 추정에 근거한 비용과 지연시간에 조화로운 유니캐스트 라우팅을 위한 새로운 인자)

  • Kim, Moon-Seong;Bang, Young-Cheol;Choo, Hyun-Seung
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2007
  • The development of efficient Qualify of Service (QoS) routing algorithms in high speed networks is extremely difficult to achieve, because in order to operate, divergent services require various quality conditions. If the parameter of concern is to measure the delay on a specific link, the routing algorithm obtains the Least Delay (LD) path. Meanwhile, if the parameter is to measure the link cost, the Least Cost (LC) path is calculated. The Delay Constrained Least Cost (DCLC) path problem of the mixed issues on the LD and LC has been shown to be NP-hard. The path cost of LD path is relatively more expensive than that of the LC path, and the path delay of the LC path is relatively higher than that of the LD path in the DCLC problem. In this paper, we introduce the new factor for balancing cost and delay. The simulation result shows that our introduced factor is satisfied to solve the DCLC problem.

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Estimation of the Project Cost for a Coal-fired Power Plant using Stochastic Simulation (확률적 모의실험법을 이용한 석탄화력발전소의 건설사업비 추정)

  • Han, Hyoung-Gi;Moon, Seung-Jae
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2012
  • Estimated project cost and executed sensitivity analysis for domestic 500 MW coal-fired power plants with monte carlo simulation. As a result of research, the basis of constant price in December, 2011 and 95% level of confidence, the project cost in case of not having adjacent power plant was 1,870 billion won to 2,330 billion won and the project cost in case of having adjacent power plant was 1,240 billion won to 1,590 billion won. In case of not having adjacent power plant is sensitive to civil construction cost but the other case is sensitive to material cost.

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