• 제목/요약/키워드: Cost/Reliability analysis

검색결과 808건 처리시간 0.025초

Development of Time-Cost Models for Building Construction Projects in Bangladesh

  • Rahman, MD. Mizanur;Lee, Young Dai;Ha, Duy Khanh;Chun, Yong Hyun
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2014
  • Estimating time and cost is an important mission in the early phase of a construction project, especially in feasibility study. It provides a foundation for making decision whether or not the project is performed on schedule and within budget. Thus, reliability of this estimate plays a key role in measuring the success of a project. This study was carried out to investigate the time-cost relationship in building construction projects in Bangladesh. The mathematical equation used in this study is based on Bromilow's equation. The research data were collected from sixty-three completed building projects through questionnaire survey. Type of clients, type of projects, and tender methods are the project characteristics considered in this study. The results of analysis indicated that the Bromilow's time-cost (BTC) models developed for each project characteristic are appropriate due to quite high coefficient of determination and relatively small mean percent errors. Among them, the forecasted model for time and cost according to tender methods is the best fit model. It is concluded that the BTC model could be applied in building construction project to predict its time and cost in Bangladesh. Four different regression models were also developed in this study. The results of BTC model between some selected countries were compared to gain the comprehensive view.

민감도 분석을 이용한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기에 관한 연구 (The Study of Software Optimal Release Using Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 신현철
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2008
  • 소프트웨어 제품을 개발하여 테스팅을 거친 후 사용자에게 인도하는 시기를 결정하는 일은 아주 실제적이고 흥미 있는 일이 된다. 이러한 문제를 소프트웨어 최적 방출시기라고 한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 방출문제에 대하여 연구되었다. 수명분포는 감마족 분포에서 대표적인 어랑 문포 모형을 이용한 최적 방출시기에 관한 문제를 다루었다. 소프트웨어 요구 신뢰도를 만족시키고 소프트웨어 개발 및 유지 총비용을 최소화 시키는 최적 소프트웨어 방출 정책에 대하여 논의 되었고 민감도 분석을 이용하여 효율적 최적 방출시기가 논의되었다.

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대형말뚝기초의 축하중 거동에 대한 수치해석기반 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis of Axially Loaded Large-scale Pile Foundations)

  • 허정원;박재현;이주형;하성한;곽기석;정문경
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2009
  • Reliability analyses were performed to quantify the risk in axially loaded large-scale pile foundations in consideration of pile-soil interaction and uncertainties on various design variables. The finite difference method based on an equivalent soil spring model and a load transfer method and Monte Carlo simulation method are integrated in the framework of reliabilty analysis. The applicability and efficiency of the proposed method in the safety assessment of axially loaded pile-soil system was verified using a realistic example. Since the proposed method can explicitly consider uncertainties in various design variables, and quantify failure probability of a pile foundation, it can be used to estimate risk, to obtain basic informations for life cycle cost analysis, and to develop code requirements for a reliability-based design of pile foundations.

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전투준비태세 및 유사장비 운용자료를 활용한 RAM 목표 값 설정방법에 관한 연구 (Establishing Method of RAM Objective Considering Combat Readiness and Field Data of Similarity Equipment)

  • 김경용;배석주
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2009
  • RAM(Reliability, Availability, Maintainability) is important performance factor to keep combat readiness and optimize operational and maintenance cost of weapon systems. This paper discusses the method to establish RAM for combat readiness by using field failure data from similarity equipments. Operational availability is estimated from a binomial distribution function of user's operational conditions such as combat readiness preservation probability, operational rate, operational availability and total number of equipment. Reliability and maintainability is estimated from field failure data from similarity equipment to accomplish operational availability. The effectiveness of established RAM is verified through analysis of combat readiness preservation probability and mission reliability. A case study of weapon system illustrates the process of the proposed method.

산업 재해 데이터에 의한 인간신뢰성 분석 (Analysis of Human Reliability Using Industrial Accidents Data)

  • 정원;서승록;임완희
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 1998
  • Safety aspect in the manufacturing facility or at the construction site is increasingly emphasized in Korea for last a decade. As a result, the number of industrial accident is decreased slowly by improving the reliability of equipments and human performance through organizational efforts. This paper proposes a mathematical model to estimate and predict the human reliability level corresponding to the worker's job experience. For this purpose, we used the statistics of industrial accidents issued by the Department of Labor in the years of 94-96. The methodology developed in this research will provide a basis for better cost estimation in planning labor policy in the early stage of a project. We believe that this effort would eventually lead to a basis for a new approach to the safety planning.

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무기체계 RAM 목표값 설정 관련 개선방안 고찰 (A Study on the Improvement of RAM Objective Considering Method for Weapon System)

  • 황경환;허장욱
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.150-158
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The RAM objective is a very important factor that has a great effect on the improvement of the operation ration during the operation maintenance and the reduction of the life cycle cost. It is used as a design criterion during the system development, and its sufficiency should be evaluated during its test evaluation. Method: This study analyzed the cases related to RAM objective setting and suggested the improvement measures. Result: The base data for RAM objective is OMS/MP, which needs to be drawn up under the supervision of the requirement military, and a high-accuracy operating availability should be set through ALDT calculation which reflects the military logistics support environment. In addition, data collection necessary for RAM objective and RAM analysis should be made by supplementing the input data of DELIIS. Conclusion: This study suggests improvement of RAM objective considering for the weapon system.

무선데이터 서비스 품질 측정 시스템의 신뢰성 검증 및 평가 (Assessment and Validation of the Reliability of Quality Measurement System for Wireless Data Services)

  • 최동환;박석천
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2012
  • The user increases around the WiBro and in which the mobile broad band service is the wireless internet base technology HSDPA, that is the cellular phone foundation technique, and moreover the issue about the user effective quality guarantee emerges but the quality control of the wireless network is the incomplete actual condition. Therefore, the reliability verification according to the development of the system for the performance measure for the continued wireless data service and it and evaluation are needed for the quality control. In this paper, the wireless data service quality measurement system was implemented with the design. The same test environment as the existing network performance measurement program was built for the reliability verification of the embodied device for measuring quality and evaluation and the cost performance was performed. It could confirm that design and embodied wireless data service quality measurement system operated accurately in this paper through the quality measure result value analysis.

원샷 시스템의 저장 신뢰성 추정 정확성에 대한 샘플링 시점의 영향 분석 (Influence Analysis of Sampling Points on Accuracy of Storage Reliability Estimation for One-shot Systems)

  • 정용호;오봉식;이홍철;박희남;장중순;박상철
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of sampling points on accuracy of storage reliability estimation for one-shot systems by assuming a weibull distribution as a storage reliability distribution. Also propose method for determining of sampling points for increase the accuracy of reliability estimation. Methods: Weibull distribution was divided into three sections for confirming the possible to estimate the parameters of the weibull distribution only some section's sample. Generate quantal response data for failure data. And performed parameter estimation with quantal response data. Results: If reduce sample point interval of 1 section, increase the accuracy of reliability estimation although sampling only section 1. Even reduce total number of sampling point, reducing sampling time interval of the 1 zone improve the accuracy of reliability estimation. Conclusion: Method to increase the accuracy of reliability estimation is increasing number of sampling and the sampling points. But apply this method to One-shot system is difficult because test cost of one-shot system is expensive. So propose method of accuracy of storage reliability estimation of one-shot system by adjustment of the sampling point. And by dividing the section it could reduce the total sampling point.

Sn-3.0 Ag-0.5 Cu/OSP 무연솔더 접합계면의 접합강도 변화에 따른 전자부품 열충격 싸이클 최적화 (Thermal Shock Cycles Optimization of Sn-3.0 Ag-0.5 Cu/OSP Solder Joint with Bonding Strength Variation for Electronic Components)

  • 홍원식;김휘성;송병석;김광배
    • 한국재료학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.152-159
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    • 2007
  • When the electronics are tested with thermal shock for Pb-free solder joint reliability, there are temperature conditions with use environment but number of cycles for test don't clearly exist. To obtain the long term reliability data, electronic companies have spent the cost and times. Therefore this studies show the test method and number of thermal shock cycles for evaluating the solder joint reliability of electronic components and also research bonding strength variation with formation and growth of intermetallic compounds (IMC). SMD (surface mount device) 3216 chip resistor and 44 pin QFP (quad flat package) was utilized for experiments and each components were soldered with Sn-40Pb and Sn-3.0 Ag-0.5 Cu solder on the FR-4 PCB(printed circuit board) using by reflow soldering process. To reliability evaluation, thermal shock test was conducted between $-40^{\circ}C\;and\;+125^{\circ}C$ for 2,000 cycles, 10 minute dwell time, respectively. Also we analyzed the IMCs of solder joint using by SEM and EDX. To compare with bonding strength, resistor and QFP were tested shear strength and $45^{\circ}$ lead pull strength, respectively. From these results, optimized number of cycles was proposed with variation of bonding strength under thermal shock.

통행시간 신뢰도를 고려한 통행수단선택모형에 관한 연구 (Modal Choice with Travel Time Reliability)

  • Nam, Doo-Hee;Park, Dong-Joo
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2004
  • 통행수단선택에 있어 여행자들은 여행수단의 통행시간 뿐만 아니라 해당 수단의 신뢰도를 함께 고려하게된다. 본 논문에서는 통행시간의 신뢰도는 삼각분포를 기반으로 하는 통행시간의 표준편차(Standard Deviation)와 최대지체시간(Maximum Delay)으로 정의하여 모형을 개발하였다. 모형의 개발을 위해 Multinomial Logit(MNL)과 Nested Logit 모형이 구축되어 상대적으로 우수한 MNL을 이용한 모형의 결과 통행수단의 신뢰도는 중요한 요소임을 보였다. 모형의 개발을 위해 통행시간의 표준편차와 최대지체시간의 변수를 사용하여 모형을 개발하였으며 최종적으로 최대지체시간이 보다 적절한 변수임을 보였다. 또한, 본 논문에서는 통행시간의 신뢰도가 확보되는 수상교통수단을 중심으로 서비스 수준의 향상에 관계되는 정책의 효과를 분석하기 위하여 개발된 모형의 민감도 분석이 이루어 졌으며, 이는 정책결정자와 교통계획가들로 하여금 대안선택의 분석에 유용한 도구로 쓰일 수 있다. 민감도 분석을 바탕으로 수상교통을 중심으로 통행시간의 신뢰도가 확보되는 수단의 서비스 향상을 위한 정책들을 제시하였다.