• 제목/요약/키워드: Consumer Information Model

검색결과 867건 처리시간 0.022초

냉동 고등어 소비자가격 모형 간 예측력 비교 (A Comparison of Predictive Power among Forecasting Models of Monthly Frozen Mackerel Consumer Price Models)

  • 정민경;남종오
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제52권4호
    • /
    • pp.13-28
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to compare short-term price predictive power among ARMA ARMAX and VAR forecasting models based on the MDM test using monthly consumer price data of frozen mackerel. This study also aims to help policymakers and economic actors make reasonable choices in the market on monthly consumer price of frozen mackerel. To analyze this study, the frozen wholesale prices and new consumer prices were used as variables while the price time series data were used from December 2013 to July 2021. Through the unit root test, it was confirmed that the time series variables employed in the models were stable while the level variables were used for analysis. As a result of conducting information standards and Granger causality tests, it was found that the wholesale prices and fresh consumer prices from the previous month have affected the frozen consumer prices. Then, the model with the highest predictive power was selected by RMSE, RMSPE, MAE, MAPE, and Theil's inequality coefficient criteria where the predictive power was compared by the MDM test in order to examine which model is superior. As a result of the analysis, ARMAX(1,1) with the frozen wholesale, ARMAX(1,1) with the fresh consumer model and VAR model were selected. Through the five criteria and MDM tests, the VAR model was selected as the superior model in predicting the monthly consumer price of frozen mackerel.

소비자 기대심리의 미래 성장 예측력 (Predictability of Consumer Expectations for Future Changes in Real Growth)

  • 김태호;임라희;이승은
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제28권3호
    • /
    • pp.457-465
    • /
    • 2015
  • 경기침체가 장기화되고 세계적으로 저성장이 지속되면서 미래의 경기동향에 대한 예측의 중요성이 증폭되었다. 정부의 정책이 계획되면서부터 효과가 나타나기까지에는 시차가 존재하므로, 정책목표와 선행적 상관관계를 가지면서 목표의 미래 상황을 예측할 수 있는 유용한 지표의 개발에 관심이 모아진다. 본 연구에서는 통계청이 실시한 소비자 전망조사 결과가 미래의 실질성장에 유용한 선행적 정보를 제공했는지 평가해 보았다. 소비자들의 기대심리를 나타내는 체감지표를 사용하여 예측을 유발하는 통계모형을 설정한 후 미래의 실질성장에 대해 유의한 예측력을 갖는지 추정하였다. 소비자기대심리의 예측력은 먼 미래로 갈수록 정확도가 높아져 미래의 실질성장에 대해 선행적 정보를 주는 변수로 활용할 수 있는 것으로 판별된다.

Gap: A Study on the Influence of New Measurement Method on Consumers' Decision Making

  • Yang, Hoe-Chang;Cho, Hee-Young;Kim, Young-Ei
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.51-56
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose - The study verified the effects of consumers' knowledge perception upon word-of-mouth intention and purchase intention of consumers who were exposed to a lot of information, and examined consumer's behavior from multi-dimensional points of view. Research design, data, and methodology - The study conducted the test of difference between consumer's cognition on importance and satisfaction of HMR product by gap of HMR (Home Meal Replacement) product for IPA analysis. The consumer's reliability and words-of-mouth were measured by the questionnaire method with 4 questions according to Likert 7-point scale. Conversion into z-score removed the difference of variables. Results - The causal relation model for importance, satisfaction and gap, not relying upon multi-dimensional scaling and others, could construct causal relation model to give implications. Difference (d) of the products could lessen consumer's reliability to increase consumer's knowledge perception, word-of-mouth intention, knowledge perception, and purchase intention. Therefore, enterprises should make an effort to lessen consumers' complaint for the products and to elevate consumers' reliability. Enterprises also try to give consumers exact information and to promote purchase intention. Conclusions - Difference (d) of consumers' complaint and/or disappointment decreased consumers' reliability to increase knowledge perception. Enterprises should supply consumers with products according to their requirements to minimize the gap and to give them proper information.

통방 융합 환경 멀티미디어 콘텐츠 서비스를 위한 소비자 선호도 연구 (A Study on Preference of the Consumer for Multimedia Contents Service in Communication and Broadcasting Convergent Environment)

  • 김광용;김재곤;한현수;박선영
    • 방송공학회논문지
    • /
    • 제11권1호
    • /
    • pp.130-137
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 논문에서는 통신 방송 융합 환경하에서 다양한 이동 통신 단말을 가지고 있는 최종 소비자에게 멀티미디어 콘텐츠를 서비스 ( 간단히, UCA(Ubiquitous Contents Access) 라고 함) 해 주는 기술들을 소개하고 이 기술들이 적용된 서비스 모텔을 제안한다. 또한 제안된 서비스 기술에 대해 소비자 측면에서 보이는 서비스 기술의 상대적 우위성과 유희성을 분석하였다. 이와 같이 소비자 관점에서 바라본 통방 융합 서비스 기술에 대해 소비자 관점의 상대적 우위성 및 유희성을 분석함으로써 제안된 통신 방송 융합 서비스 모델이 소비자가 선호할 수 있는 가치 있는 서비스임을 알 수 있다.

모피의류의 편익과 위험 지각이 구매의도에 미치는 영향과 소비자 감정의 다중 매개효과 (Effects of Benefits and Risk Perception on Purchase Intention for Fur Apparel: A Multiple Mediation Model of Consumer Emotions)

  • 이진명
    • Human Ecology Research
    • /
    • 제55권6호
    • /
    • pp.609-623
    • /
    • 2017
  • Fur apparel is a representative luxury item that displays wealth and social status; however, it is also recognized as an unethical product criticized for its animal maltreatment in the production process. Understanding consumer responses to an ambivalent object, such as fur apparel, is an important research topic both academically and practically. This study investigates the hierarchical effects of perceived benefits and risks of fur apparel on consumers' emotions and purchase intention by applying the ABC model of attitudes to identify the mediating effects of consumer emotions. An online survey was conducted on 390 female consumers that verified hypotheses through structural equation modeling and bootstrapping analysis using phantom variables. The initial results of the survey showed that the relationship between perceived conspicuous benefits and purchase intention towards fur apparel was partially mediated by positive emotion. Second, the relationship between perceived epistemic benefits and purchase intention was completely mediated by positive emotion. Third, the relationship between perceived ethical risk and purchase intention was completely mediated by positive and negative emotions. Fourth, perceived social risk did not affect the purchase intention of fur apparel significantly. The results support that cognitive beliefs about the subject have a significant positive effect on behavioral intentions through emotions as suggested in the ABC model of the attitude. This study provides an in-depth understanding of consumer responses to ambivalent objects by revealing the individual mediating effects of consumers' positive and negative emotions.

금융상품정보 비교분석에 대한 연구 (A Comparative Analysis on the Information of Financial Service Accounts)

  • 장우권;김현희
    • 한국도서관정보학회지
    • /
    • 제35권1호
    • /
    • pp.187-213
    • /
    • 2004
  • 은행의 생존전략에서 가장 중요한 것은 고객을 확보하는 것이다. 이를 위해서는 소비자(고객)에 대한 금융상품정보의 맞춤정보화가 이루어져야 한다. 소비자들이 금융상품에 대한 구매의사결정에 실질적인 도움을 주기 위해서는 인터넷을 통한 금융상품 정보의 적절한 제공이 무엇보다 중요하다. 특히 이 연구에서 나타난 금융상품 선택과 관련된 소비자 행태, 인터넷을 통한 금융상품정보 정보탐색실태, 금융상품정보에 대한 소비자 정보요구도, 인터넷 금융사이트 제공, 상품정보 콘텐츠 비교, 금융신상품정보 비교, 은행별 상품정보에 대한 계량적 비교 분석은 고객의 정보요구를 만족시킬 수 있는 요인들이다.

  • PDF

브랜드 글로벌화 이미지와 원산지국가 브랜드 이미지가 소비자 행위에 미친 영향 (The Impact of Brand Internationalization Image and Country of Origin Brand Image on Consumer Behavior)

  • 전금염;유자양;손총영
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회 2023년도 제68차 하계학술대회논문집 31권2호
    • /
    • pp.709-710
    • /
    • 2023
  • Consumer attitudes and behaviors towards brands are not only related to the perception of corporate brand image but also to factors such as the image of the country of origin, the characteristics of the host country, and consumer individual traits. This article focuses on Chinese multinational companies and aims to study the impact of brand international image and country-of-origin brand image on consumer behavior. A model is constructed with brand international image and country-of-origin brand image as antecedent variables, host country characteristics and consumer traits as moderators, and consumer behavior as the outcome. This study employs a questionnaire survey method targeting foreign residents living in China as participants. The research findings reveal that during the internationalization process, both brand international image and country-of-origin brand image have a significant positive impact on consumer behavior, while host country characteristics and consumer traits play a moderating role. The conclusions of this research enrich the theoretical understanding of brand internationalization and explore the influencing factors of consumer behavior, providing a basis for decision-making for multinational company executives.

  • PDF

The Impact of Online Reviews on Hotel Ratings through the Lens of Elaboration Likelihood Model: A Text Mining Approach

  • Qiannan Guo;Jinzhe Yan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • 제17권10호
    • /
    • pp.2609-2626
    • /
    • 2023
  • The hotel industry is an example of experiential services. As consumers cannot fully evaluate the online review content and quality of their services before booking, they must rely on several online reviews to reduce their perceived risks. However, individuals face information overload owing to the explosion of online reviews. Therefore, consumer cognitive fluency is an individual's subjective experience of the difficulty in processing information. Information complexity influences the receiver's attitude, behavior, and purchase decisions. Individuals who cannot process complex information rely on the peripheral route, whereas those who can process more information prefer the central route. This study further discusses the influence of the complexity of review information on hotel ratings using online attraction review data retrieved from TripAdvisor.com. This study conducts a two-level empirical analysis to explore the factors that affect review value. First, in the Peripheral Route model, we introduce a negative binomial regression model to examine the impact of intuitive and straightforward information on hotel ratings. In the Central Route model, we use a Tobit regression model with expert reviews as moderator variables to analyze the impact of complex information on hotel ratings. According to the analysis, five-star and budget hotels have different effects on hotel ratings. These findings have immediate implications for hotel managers in terms of better identifying potentially valuable reviews.

위치기반 앱 서비스를 통한 인지된 가치와 평판 형성을 위한 소비자 지식 구조 (The Customer Knowledge Structure for Building Perceived Value and Reputation of Location-based App Service)

  • 손봉진;최재원
    • 지식경영연구
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.159-176
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recently, the popularity of smartphones has led to a dramatic increase in the frequency of use of App(Application) services. LBS (Location-Based Service) App service adopts various methods such as push marketing and useful information by region through providing location-based service based on the location of the consumer. In particular, an enterprise or an App management company can provide necessary information to the consumer through the necessary information among the customer related knowledge information obtained by utilizing the location information of the consumer in real time. Nevertheless, since LBS is a service that can be performed only when the company obtains consent to provide location information voluntarily by the consumer, there is a case of privacy infringement due to consumers' use of personal information. The purpose of this study is to identify the characteristics of privacy related variables and the knowledge structure for consumer value formation based on the theory of privacy calculation. We also compared the characteristics of Korea with those of China in privacy issue. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that factors such as information utilization ability and information control ability were influential as a key factor of privacy calculation. In addition, perceived value influences the reputation of the LBS App service.

Use of Immersive Virtual Technology in Consumer Retailing and Its Effects to Consumer

  • LEE, Won-Jun
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제18권2호
    • /
    • pp.5-15
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose : Today's retailers are integrating new VR technology into their new marketing strategies. Thus, this research aims to understand the role of virtual experiences in the circumstance of sales channels. Research design, data and methodology : Our model hypothesizes that five key factors determine the consumer experience of VR in the virtual retailing context: smartness, vividness, interactivity, playfulness, escape. Information access and flow are mediating variables that connect key drivers and VR satisfaction. Information access and flow then give influence to satisfaction towards VR. Satisfaction serves as a mediator that determines changes in consumer's dual intention: intention to revisit VR and intention to visit the real site. Results : According to the test results, every path except the relationship between information access and satisfaction of VR is accepted as expected at the significance level of 0.05. Conclusions : This research emphasizes the potential importance of VR and continue VR marketing research as an advent research area. Through the dual-path model, this study found that the primary function of VR is information access and flow experience. This result shows that most VR users value emotional benefits rather than rational benefits provided by VR. Finally, the satisfaction of VR can stimulate both the intention to use the VR and the intention to visit real mall.