• Title/Summary/Keyword: Conjoint model

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Principal Components Regression in Logistic Model (로지스틱모형에서의 주성분회귀)

  • Kim, Bu-Yong;Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.571-580
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    • 2008
  • The logistic regression analysis is widely used in the area of customer relationship management and credit risk management. It is well known that the maximum likelihood estimation is not appropriate when multicollinearity exists among the regressors. Thus we propose the logistic principal components regression to deal with the multicollinearity problem. In particular, new method is suggested to select proper principal components. The selection method is based on the condition index instead of the eigenvalue. When a condition index is larger than the upper limit of cutoff value, principal component corresponding to the index is removed from the estimation. And hypothesis test is sequentially employed to eliminate the principal component when a condition index is between the upper limit and the lower limit. The limits are obtained by a linear model which is constructed on the basis of the conjoint analysis. The proposed method is evaluated by means of the variance of the estimates and the correct classification rate. The results indicate that the proposed method is superior to the existing method in terms of efficiency and goodness of fit.

Salient Attributes of Waterfront Parks and Athletic Parks (수변공원과 체육공원의 중요 속성)

  • Hong, Sung-Kwon;Lee, Sang-Woo;Lee, Min Woo;Lee, Sang-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2007
  • The revised Urban Park regulations newly adopt Theme Parks in order to enhance richness and diversities of urban services to communities. However, the regulations ambiguously define the main facilities and service programs of the theme parks. And there have been increasing concerns about confusions in terms of the main facilities and service programs of the theme parks among landscape designers/planners, local governments and relevant field of areas. Misunderstanding on the facilities and service programs of the theme parks may lead to ruin the purposes of the new urban park regulations. In the lights of these, this paper tries to reach a consensus for main facilities and service programs of two theme parks including athletic park and waterfront park, based on measured potential users' preferences with a conjoint choice model. For waterfront parks, potential users show low preferences or negative responses to facilities which are perceived as un-environment friendly. They also show high preferences on ecological areas sitting near to streams. For athletic parks, potential users show demand to introduce something different facilities and atmosphere from existing athletic parks. The demands are particularly high for children's play ground facilities and service facilities. This study also show some methodological examples to compute the carrying capacity with two hypothetical alternatives. This approach might be beneficial for local governments which are wish to alternate the park size on the basis of local conditions such as their financial conditions and land availability.

Analysis on the Perception of Nuclear Power Plant and the Preference of its Policy Alternatives for Public Acceptance (원자력발전소에 대한 인식과 국민수용성 향상을 위한 정책대안들의 선호 분석)

  • Park, Young-Sung;Lee, Byong-Whi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 1995
  • Public acceptance has become an important factor in nuclear power program particularly after Chernobyl accident and recent rapid democratization in Korea. Methods reflecting public opinions in order to improve public acceptance are firstly to understand what the public think about nuclear power plant and secondly to find out the public preference values for its policies. For this purpose, simplified multi-attribute utility (MAU) model was applied to analyze the public perception pattern for fire power production systems. And the conjoint analysis was applied to find out the quantitative values of public preferences for twelve policy alternatives to improve the safety and to support communities surrounding nuclear power plants in Korea. To implement these perception and preference analyses, mail survey was conducted to the Qualified sample who had the experience of visiting nuclear power plant. Diagnosis of their perception pattern for five power production systems was made by the simplified MAU model. Estimation of the quantitative preference values for potential policy alternatives was made by the conjoint measurement technique, which made it possible to forecast the effectiveness of each option. The results from the qualified sample and the methods used in this study would be helpful to set up new policy of nuclear power plant.

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An Empirical Study on Difference of Approval Rate for the Political Parties among Generations (정당 지지에 대한 세대별 차이 고찰)

  • Woo, Kyoungbong
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.103-132
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to observe whether intergenerational differences exist in support among major Korean political parties and, if so, how they exist, based on the results of the survey conducted nationwide. To achieve the purpose of the study, a questionnaire was prepared based on conjoint analysis, and the collected data was analyzed by applying a random parameter logit model. The main results of model analysis are summarized as follows. First, among the policy variables, statistically significant results were observed in the generation of 20s and 30s for the education variable. It was found that both 20s and 30s aimed for equal education at a higher level than other generations. Especially, the highest intensity aim for equal education culture was observed in the 20s. Second, the coefficients of major political parties were observed with a high level of statistical significance. This appears to be a result suggesting that voters decide on their voting behavior through thorough policy comparisons in addition to comprehensive consideration on various current issues. Third, a clear support for conservative parties was observed in the generation of 20s. A clear and intense distribution of preference for political parties classified as conservatives was observed in the 20s generation, which can be said to be mainly college students. This seems to be a profound founding related to the issue of "conservatization of the 20s," which has recently become a hot topic in Korean society. Fourth, a high level of support for progressive parties was observed in the 30s and 40s. The Justice Party can be classified as a minority party in the National Assembly House as of January 2019. Nevertheless, it was maintained at a relatively high level in national recognition, and it is presumed that the background was high level of support from the 30s and 40s. Fifth, a large level of standard deviation was observed in the preference for conservative parties in the 50s. This means that some respondents who are in their 50s or older strongly support the Liberty Korea Party, and some respondents in the same generation strongly disapprove it. Due to this countervailing power, it seems that the average support level for the Liberal Korean Party is low in the generations of 50s and older.?

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The Feasibility Study of Low-rise Housing Plans on Hilly Site and Design Model Proposals (경사지 활용 저층 집합주택의 개발가능성과 경사도별 모델 제안)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jin;Yang, Woo-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 2009
  • This research starts from the questioning of current housing development on the hilly site in Korea. It aims to investigate various design techniques of low-rise housing as an alternative housing plan on hilly sites. Several generic solutions of the combination of building type and road pattern are tested for a simulation process, and evaluated in terms of crucial design issues; development density, parking space and open space. As a result, four reasonable models are selected for making full use of geographical features of hilly site, two models each land slope of $18^{\circ}$ and $26^{\circ}$. Several design techniques for each model are also suggested, in ensuring the development feasibility by considering land slope, vehicular access and parking, common open space, and community facilities.

The Future of the New Mobile Telecommunication Terminal in the View of the Consumers' Preferences (소비자 선호 관점에서 본 차세대 무선 이동통신 단말기의 미래)

  • 김연배;이정동;고대영;김태유
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.189-218
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we estimate consumers' preferences for the key attributes of the future mobile telecommunication terminal using conjoint analysis. For statistical model, we estimate the mixed legit model which can reflect the heterogeneity of consumers' preferences, using the Bayesian approach with Gibbs sampling. The results show that there are large variations in consumers' preferences for the attributes of the future mobile telecommunication terminal, which justifies our using of mixed logit model. Also, the results show that most consumers prefer the medium size display and keyboard as input equipment. Additionally, far from general prediction, the results show that many consumers are indifferent to whether the future mobile telecommunication terminal is able to provide high quality internet service or not, and to operate many application programs and programs originally designed for PC. From those results, we can obtain some important implications for the R&D strategies. Additionally, the results on the heterogeneity of consumers' preferences reveal that it is possible that the complete device convergence may not happen.

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Modeling consumers'park choice behavior : Review & Applications of choice theory and model (소비자 공원선택행동의 모형화 : 선택이론/모델의 검토와 적용)

  • 김성진;안건용
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 1995
  • This paper intends to identify recreation destination choice process, in particular, considering need/motive theory, recreation opportunity spectrum, information integration theory, and to review critically the status of development of the various modeling approaches. Two attempts are then made to explain consumers' choice begavior of theme park and national park, respectively, applying conjoint model and discrete choice experiment model. Three theme parks and three national parks were selected as study areas, resolution Ⅲ designs were constructed, and data was collected by in-personal interviews on the study areas. The results illustrated the part-worth utilities and the relative importance of the attributes of theme park and national park. In addition, further research directions were discussed.

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Study on the Market-Entering Pricing of New Telecommunication Service in firm Level's Decision Model and Its Empirical Case (신규통신서비스 시장진입가격 설정시 기업의사결정 과정 및 활용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon Hyo-ri;Shin Yong-hee;Choi Mun-kee
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.8B
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    • pp.562-568
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    • 2005
  • The content of this paper is concerned with the pricing decision model when the new telecommunication service enter into market. The pricing decision model of firm level is based on the problems of the previous service pricing model that are abstracted from the literature survey. We suggest a new pricing model and prove the model's fitness using the way of empirical simulation study. We empirically apply the proposed model to obtain the price level of such a new service as the convergence service between mobile communication service and broadcasting service. finally, we prove that the proposed model is successful because we get the new . service price based on the pricing decision model suggested in this paper.

A Store Choice Model for an Entry Strategy of New Stores: An Application of the Mother Logit Model (신규점포의 진입전략을 위한 점포선택모형: mother 로짓모형의 적용)

  • 김근배;박동준;서봉철
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2000
  • This study introduces the mother logit model to predict consumer's store choices. The model is not based on the IIA assumptions and thus accounts for substitution among similar alternatives. The choice data as an input to the model is obtained through the conjoint-type choice experiment. The model is applied to consumer's choice of fastfood stores in the context where new store enters the market. The analysis shows that the substitution effects are significant and therefore the mother logit model predicts better than the IIA model. The mother logit model will be useful as well for the market structure analysis in capturing cannibalization among several brands.

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Effect of Social Norm on Consumer Demand: Multiple Constraint Approach

  • Choi, Sungjee;Nam, Inwoo;Kim, Jaehwan
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2020
  • The goal of the study is to understand the role of social norm in purchase decisions where demand is revealed in the form of multiple-discreteness. Consumers are socially engaged in various activities through the expectation from others in their community. Actions or decisions are likely to reflect this influence. This implicit or explicit social norm is revealed as the rules, regulations, and standards that are understood, shared, endorsed, and expected by group members. When consumers' decisions are in distance from the norm, they come to face discomfort such as shame, guilt, embarrassment, and anxiety. These pressure act as a constraint as opposed to utility in their decision making. In this study, the effect of social norms on consumer demand is captured via multiple constraint model where constraints are not only from budget equation but also from psychological burden induced by the deviation from the norm. The posterior distributions of model parameters were estimated via conjoint study allowing for heterogeneity via hierarchical Bayesian framework. Individual characteristics such as age, gender and work experience are also used as covariates for capturing the observed heterogeneity. The empirical results show the role of social norm as constraint in consumers' utility maximization. The proposed model accounting for social constraint outperforms the standard budget constraint-only model in terms of model fit. It is found that people with longer job experience tend to be more robust and resistant to the deviation from the norm. Incorporating social norm into the utility model allows for another means to disentangle the reason for no-purchase as 'not preferred' and 'not able to buy'.