• Title/Summary/Keyword: Congestion Model

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A Simulation Study on the Marine Traffic Congestion in Pusan Port (부산항 해상교통 혼잡도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 여기태;이홍걸
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.177-194
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    • 1998
  • In Pusan port, the studies which analyze container cargo volumes by using forecasting methods and research about container logistics system, etc., have been continuously carried out. But, in Pusan port, the study on an evaluation of traffic congestion has been scarcely performed until now. Especially, when changing and extending a berth, or constructing a new port, it is very important to examine this field. And it should be considered. Thus, this paper aims to analyze the effect of ship traffic condition in the year 2011, to evaluate marine traffic congestion according to changing ship traffic volumes in Pusan port. To analyze it, we examined the results by simulation method.

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Performance Analysis of ABR Congestion Control Algorithm using Self-Similar Traffic

  • Kim, Dong-Il;Jin, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2004
  • One of the most important issues in designing a network and realizing a service is dealing with traffic characteristics. Recent experimental research on LAN, WAN, and VBR traffic properties has highlighted that real traffic specificities can not be displayed because the current models based on the Poisson assumption under estimate the long range dependency of network traffic and self-similar peculiarities. Therefore, a new approach using self-similarity characteristics as a real traffic model was recently developed. In This paper we discusses the definition of self-similarity traffic. Moreover, real traffic was collected and we generated self-similar data traffic like real traffic to background load. On the existing ABR congestion control algorithm transmission throughput with the representative ERICA, EPRCA and NIST switch algorithm show the efficient reaction about the burst traffic.

Optimal Transmission Expansion Planning Considering the Uncertainties of Power Market (전력시장 불확실성을 고려한 최적 송전시스템 확장계획)

  • Son, Min-Kyun;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.560-566
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    • 2008
  • Today, as the power trades between generation companies and power customer are liberalized, the uncertainty level of operated power system is rapidly increased. Therefore, transmission operators as decision makers for transmission expansion are required to establish a deliberate investment plan for effective operations of transmission facilities considering forecasted conditions of power system. This paper proposes the methodology for the optimal solution of transmission expansion in deregulated power system. The paper obtains the expected value of transmission congestion cost for various scenarios by using occurrence probability. In addition, the paper assumes that increasing rates of loads are the probability distribution and indicates the location of expanded transmission line, the time for transmission expansion with the minimum cost for the future by performing the Montecarlo simulation. To minimize the investment risk as the variance of the congestion cost, Mean-Variance Markowitz portfolio theory is applied to the optimization model by the penalty factor of the variance. By the case study, the optimal solution for transmission expansion plan considering the feature of market participants is obtained.

Effects of child pick-up behavior on emergency evacuations

  • Jang, Sang Hoon;Hwang, Ha;Chung, Ji-Bum
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.7
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    • pp.2519-2528
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    • 2022
  • The child pick-up behavior of parents during an emergency can cause heavy traffic congestion and failing to evacuate an affected area successfully. In this study, we analyzed the effect of child pick-up behavior using, as an example, a nuclear power plant accident caused by an earthquake, which is a typical no-notice emergency. A quake was assumed to occur near the Shin-Kori nuclear power plant in Ulsan, Korea, resulting in a nuclear power plant accident. An agent-based dynamic simulation model using VISSIM was employed to conduct sensitivity analyses with different child pick-up rates. The results confirmed that parents are a major cause of congestion and a vulnerable class in an emergency evacuation. The child pick-up behavior caused significant traffic congestion, and parents who pick up their children showed a higher evacuation failure rate.

LMP Calculation with Consideration of Transaction Strategy and Quadratic Congestion Cost Function (거래전략 및 Quadratic 혼잡비용을 고려한 LMP산정에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Wook;Jung, Sung-Hun;Min, Kyung-Il;Moon, Young-Hyun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.2
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    • pp.257-265
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    • 2011
  • As the competitive market system has been introduced to the electrical power trade, the priority concern would be that the price of electrical power should be reasonable. It is because, when this rule is solid, we can avoid the distortion of competition and assure the greater efficiency in management. LMP(Locational Marginal Price) means marginal price at each bus. This components consist of energy, loss and congestion cost. At this point, the LMP result that is calculated by traditional model is changeable by the location of the slack and can not be used in bilateral Transaction. This paper proposed algorithm is proved its rationality and credibility by comparing the result of the simulation of virtual 6_bus system that is calculated by traditional method, and showed that the LMP components are changed according to the Transaction Strategy. Furthermore, It shows the effect of additional congestion cost on the transmission line that has bottle neck frequently by simulation.

Analytical Modelling and Heuristic Algorithm for Object Transfer Latency in the Internet of Things (사물인터넷에서 객체전송지연을 계산하기 위한 수리적 모델링 및 휴리스틱 알고리즘의 개발)

  • Lee, Yong-Jin
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2020
  • This paper aims to integrate the previous models about mean object transfer latency in one framework and analyze the result through the computational experience. The analytical object transfer latency model assumes the multiple packet losses and the Internet of Things(IoT) environment including multi-hop wireless network, where fast re-transmission is not possible due to small window. The model also considers the initial congestion window size and the multiple packet loss in one congestion window. Performance evaluation shows that the lower and upper bounds of the mean object transfer latency are almost the same when both transfer object size and packet loss rate are small. However, as packet loss rate increases, the size of the initial congestion window and the round-trip time affect the upper and lower bounds of the mean object transfer latency.

Port Volume Anomaly Detection Using Confidence Interval Estimation Based on Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석 기반 신뢰구간 추정을 활용한 항만 물동량 이상감지 방안)

  • Ha, Jun-Su;Na, Joon-Ho;Cho, Kwang-Hee;Ha, Hun-Koo
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.179-196
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    • 2021
  • Port congestion rate at Busan Port has increased for three years. Port congestion causes container reconditioning, which increases the dockyard labor's work intensity and ship owner's waiting time. If congestion is prolonged, it can cause a drop in port service levels. Therefore, this study proposed an anomaly detection method using ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model with the daily volume data from 2013 to 2020. Most of the research that predicts port volume is mainly focusing on long-term forecasting. Furthermore, studies suggesting methods to utilize demand forecasting in terms of port operations are hard to find. Therefore, this study proposes a way to use daily demand forecasting for port anomaly detection to solve the congestion problem at Busan port.

TCP Throughput Analysis in the Portable Internet Wireless Environment with Consideration of Mobility (휴대 인터넷 무선 환경에서 이동성을 고려한 TCP 처리율 분석)

  • 원기섭;조용범;노재성;조성준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.399-403
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we have analyzed the TCP throughput of Portable Internet system in 2.3GHz wireless environment with considering user's mobility speed. As the Portable Internet uses large cells compared to wireless LAM and supports user's nobility, we have adapted different wireless channel model to derive the TCP throughput of the system. We have assumed wireless channel is Rayleigh fading channel and the channel is modeled as two-state Markov model with which user's nobility speed can be considered by varying transition matrix of the model. from the simulation results, we have known that higher TCP throughput under the slow fading than under the fast fading. Because the TCP throughput is closely related to the sender's congestion control, the more congestion control is done by the sender, the lower TCP throughput we have. The more congestion control is caused in the sender under the fast fading than the slow fading so the lower TCP throughput is resulted in the fast fading environment.

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A Model for Detecting Braess Paradox in General Transportation Networks (일반 교통망에서 브라이스 역설 발견 모형)

  • Park, Koo-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2007
  • This study is for detecting the Braess Paradox by stable dynamics in general transportation networks. Stable dynamics, suggested by Nesterov and de Palma[18], is a new model which describes and provides a stable state of congestion in urban transportation networks. In comparison with user equilibrium model based on link latency function in analyzing transportation networks, stable dynamics requires few parameters and is coincident with intuitions and observations on the congestion. Therefore it is expected to be an useful analysis tool for transportation planners. The phenomenon that increasing capacity of a network, for example creating new links, may decrease its performance is called Braess Paradox. It has been studied intensively under user equilibrium model with link latency function since Braess[5] demonstrated a paradoxical example. However it is an open problem to detect the Braess Paradox under stable dynamics. In this study, we suggest a method to detect the Paradox in general networks under stable dynamics. In our model, we decide whether Braess Paradox will occur in a given network. We also find Braess links or Braess crosses if a network permits the paradox. We also show an example how to apply it in a network.

An Approach Using LSTM Model to Forecasting Customer Congestion Based on Indoor Human Tracking (실내 사람 위치 추적 기반 LSTM 모델을 이용한 고객 혼잡 예측 연구)

  • Hee-ju Chae;Kyeong-heon Kwak;Da-yeon Lee;Eunkyung Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2023
  • In this detailed and comprehensive study, our primary focus has been placed on accurately gauging the number of visitors and their real-time locations in commercial spaces. Particularly, in a real cafe, using security cameras, we have developed a system that can offer live updates on available seating and predict future congestion levels. By employing YOLO, a real-time object detection and tracking algorithm, the number of visitors and their respective locations in real-time are also monitored. This information is then used to update a cafe's indoor map, thereby enabling users to easily identify available seating. Moreover, we developed a model that predicts the congestion of a cafe in real time. The sophisticated model, designed to learn visitor count and movement patterns over diverse time intervals, is based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) to address the vanishing gradient problem and Sequence-to-Sequence (Seq2Seq) for processing data with temporal relationships. This innovative system has the potential to significantly improve cafe management efficiency and customer satisfaction by delivering reliable predictions of cafe congestion to all users. Our groundbreaking research not only demonstrates the effectiveness and utility of indoor location tracking technology implemented through security cameras but also proposes potential applications in other commercial spaces.