• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence term

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The relationship between social support and ego-resilience perceived by pre-service early childhood teachers: two-year, three-year and four-year (2년제, 3년제, 4년제 예비유아교사가 지각한 사회적 지지와 자아탄력성과의 관계)

  • Hong, Yeon Ae;Kim, Lee Jin
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2013
  • This study examined the effects of social support on pre-service early childhood teacher's ego-resilience. The participants were 238 pre-service early childhood teachers in Daejeon Metropolitan City and Chungnam Province. The research instruments were Social Support by Yoon(1993), and Ego-Resilience by Park(1997). Collected data were analysed by F test and Duncon's test for post hoc test, and multiple regression, and Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ for reliability by SPSS PC program(17.0 version). The results were as follows: First, There were no significant differences in social support by education term. However, there were differences between sub-factors of social support by education term. Two-year had higher scores on social support from friends than three-year. Second, there were significant differences in ego-resilience by education term. In the order of four-year, two-year, and three-year had higher scores on ego-resilience. And, there were differences between sub-factors of ego-resilience by education term. Four-year had higher scores on self-confidence than three-year and two-year. In the order of four-year, two-year, and three-year had higher scores on ego-resilience, and anger regulation. Last, social support from friend and social support from professor explained 15% of variance in pre-service early childhood teacher' ego-resilience.

Long-Term Prediction of Prestress in Concrete Bridge by Nonlinear Regression Analysis Method (비선형 회귀분석기법을 이용한 콘크리트 교량 프리스트레스의 장기 예측)

  • Yang, In-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.18 no.4 s.94
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    • pp.507-515
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of the paper is to propose a method to give a more accurate prediction of prestress changes in prestressed concrete(PSC) bridges. The statistical approach of the method is using the measurement data of the structural system to develop a nonlinear regression analysis. Long-term prediction of prestress is achieved using nonlinear regression analysis. The proposed method is applied to the prediction of prestress of an actual prestressed concrete box girder bridge. The present study represents that confidence interval of long-term prediction becomes progressively narrower with the increase of in-situ measurement data. Therefore, the numerical results prove that a more realistic long-term prediction of prestress changes in PSC structures can be achieved by employing the proposed method. The prediction results can be efficiently used to evaluate prestress during the service life of structure so that the remaining prestress exceeds the control criteria.

The Long-term Efficacy of Domiciliary Noninvasive Positive-Pressure Ventilation in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

  • Park, So Young;Yoo, Kwang Ha;Park, Yong Bum;Rhee, Chin Kook;Park, Jinkyeong;Park, Hye Yun;Hwang, Yong Il;Park, Dong Ah;Sim, Yun Su
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.85 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2022
  • Background: We evaluated the long-term effects of domiciliary noninvasive positive-pressure ventilation (NIPPV) used to treat patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Methods: Databases were searched to identify randomized controlled trials of COPD with NIPPV for longer than 1 year. Mortality rates were the primary outcome in this meta-analysis. The eight trials included in this study comprised data from 913 patients. Results: The mortality rates for the NIPPV and control groups were 29% (118/414) and 36% (151/419), suggesting a statistically significant difference (risk ratio [RR], 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.95). Mortality rates were reduced with NIPPV in four trials that included stable COPD patients. There was no difference in admission, acute exacerbation and quality of life between the NIPPV and control groups. There was no significant difference in withdrawal rates between the two groups (RR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.72-1.36; p=0.94). Conclusion: Maintaining long-term nocturnal NIPPV for more than 1 year, especially in patients with stable COPD, decreased the mortality rate, without increasing the withdrawal rate compared with long-term oxygen treatment.

The Effects of Non-pharmacological Interventions on Sleep among Older Adults in Korean Long-term Care Facilities: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

  • Jung, Sun Ok;Kim, Hyeyoung;Choi, Eunju
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.340-355
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aimed to examine the effects of non-pharmacological sleep intervention programs in improving sleep quality among older adults in long-term care facilities. Methods: A literature search and selection was performed on nine different databases using the guidelines of PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses). Overall, 14 studies met the inclusion criteria and were systematically reviewed. For the meta-analysis, the effect size was estimated using the random-effects model in Review Manager (RevMan) desktop version 5.4 of the Cochrane Library. Results: The meta-analysis of overall non-pharmacological interventions obtained a total effect size of 1.0 (standardized mean difference [SMD]=1.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.64~1.35), which was statistically significant (Z=5.55, p<.001). The most frequently studied non-pharmacological intervention was aroma therapy, with an effect size of 0.61 (SMD=0.61, 95% CI: 0.14~1.08), which was statistically significant (Z=2.55, p=.010). In the subgroup analysis, group-based interventions, interventions for >4 weeks, and untreated control studies were more effective. Conclusion: This study confirms that non-pharmacological interventions are effective in improving sleep quality among older adults in long-term care facilities. However, the sample size was small and the risk of bias in assessing the interventions of individual studies was unclear or high, thereby limiting the generalizability of the results. Further reviews that evaluate randomized control trials, evidence-based interventions that consider older adult participants' physical activity levels, different intervention methods and durations, and different control group intervention types are needed to obtain more conclusive evidence.

Relationship between Incidental Abnormalities on Screening Thoracic Computed Tomography and Mortality: A Long-Term Follow-Up Analysis

  • Jong Eun Lee;Won Gi Jeong;Hyo-Jae Lee;Yun-Hyeon Kim;Kum Ju Chae;Yeon Joo Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.23 no.10
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    • pp.998-1008
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    • 2022
  • Objective: The present study aimed to assess the relationship between incidental abnormalities on thoracic computed tomography (CT) and mortality in a general screening population using a long-term follow-up analysis. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively collected the medical records and CT images of 840 participants (mean age ± standard deviation [SD], 58.5 ± 6.7 years; 564 male) who underwent thoracic CT at a single health promotion center between 2007 and 2010. Two thoracic radiologists independently reviewed all CT images and evaluated any incidental abnormalities (interstitial lung abnormality [ILA], emphysema, coronary artery calcification [CAC], aortic valve [AV] calcification, and pulmonary nodules). Kaplan-Meier analysis with log-rank and z-tests was performed to assess the relationship between incidental CT abnormalities and all-cause mortality in the subsequent follow-up. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to further identify risk factors of all-cause mortality among the incidental CT abnormalities and clinical factors. Results: Among the 840 participants, 55 (6%), 171 (20%), 288 (34%), 396 (47%), and 97 (11%) had findings of ILA, emphysema, CAC, pulmonary nodule, and AV calcification, respectively, on initial CT. The participants were followed up for a mean period ± SD of 10.9 ± 1.4 years. All incidental CT abnormalities were associated with all-cause mortality in univariable analysis (p < 0.05). However, multivariable analysis further revealed fibrotic ILA as an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 2.52 [95% confidence interval, 1.02-6.22], p = 0.046). ILA were also identified as an independent risk factor for lung cancer or respiratory disease-related deaths. Conclusion: Incidental abnormalities on screening thoracic CT were associated with increased mortality during the long-term follow-up. Among incidental CT abnormalities, fibrotic ILA were independently associated with increased mortality. Appropriate management and surveillance may be required for patients with fibrotic ILA on thoracic CT obtained for general screening purposes.

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of Human Aggregate Risk Assessment of Benzene using the CalTOX Model (CalTOX 모델을 이용한 벤젠 종합위해성평가의 불확실성 분석과 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Ok;Lee, Minwoo;Song, Youngho;Choi, Jinha;Park, Sanghyun;Park, Changyoung;Lee, Jinheon
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.136-149
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to perform an aggregate human risk assessment for benzene in an industrial complex using the CalTOX model and to improve the reliability and predictability of the model by analyzing the uncertainty and sensitivity of the predicted assessment results. Methods: The CalTOXTM 4.0 beta model was used to evaluate a selected region, and @Risk 7.6 software was used to analyze uncertainty and sensitivity. Results: As a result of performing the aggregate risk assessment on the assumption that 6.45E+04 g/d of benzene would be emitted into the atmosphere over two decades, 3% of the daily source term to air remained in the selected region, and 97% (6.26E+04 g/d) moved out of the region. As for exposure by breathing, the predicted LADDinhalation was 2.14E-04 mg/kg-d, and that was assessed as making a 99.99% contribution to the LADDtotal. Regarding human Riskcancer assessment, the predicted human cancer risk was 5.19E-06 (95% CI; 4.07E-06-6.81E-06) (in the 95th percentile corresponding to the highest exposure level, a confidence interval of 90%). As a result of analyzing sensitivity, 'source term to air' was identified as the most influential variable, followed by 'exposure time, active indoors (h/day)', and 'exposure duration (years)'. Conclusions: As for the results of the human cancer risk assessment for the selected region, the predicted human cancer risk was 5.19E-06 (95% CI; 4.07E-06-6.81E-06) (in the 95th percentile, corresponding to the highest exposure level, a confidence interval of 90%). As a result of analyzing sensitivity, 'source term to air' was found to be most influential.

Reform Strategies on the Productive Industrial Relations through Analysis of the Hospital Management System (병원 경영시스템 분석을 통한 생산적 노사관계의 개선방향에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Sang-Yoon
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.100-127
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to reform the productive industrial relations in hospital. Because the industrial relations of hospital is antagonistic each other and this problem cause a low productivity. In Korea, hospitals maintain their ownership structure, strategy is controlled by government, short process of management, and culture of grade. The executive of hospital doesn't gain the confidence of union. This circumstances is related with the antagonistic industrial relations. This research is to analyze hospital management system through experiential and literature study, and is to present a reform strategies for cooperative industrial relations of improving productivity in hospital. As a results, if the hospital manager hopes to improve productivity, they should introduce expert management system rather than ownership and management system. And it is need to execute the hospital initiative strategy rather than to depend on the government. Moreover, the hospital can achieve productive industrial relations as a middle-long term visions in management process and horizontal organization culture. Although this study is limited by literature research, it will contribute to settle productive industrial relations in hospital and to accomplish the additional study.

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The Characteristics of the Change of Hadley Circulation during the Late 20th Century in the Current AOGCMs (현 기후 모델에서 모의되는 20세기 후반 해들리 순환 변화의 특징)

  • Shin, Sang-Hye;Chung, Il-Ung
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.331-344
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    • 2012
  • The changes in the Hadley circulation during the second half of the 20th century were examined using observations and the 20C3M (Twentieth Century Climate in Coupled Models) simulations by the 21 IPCC AR4 models. Multi-model ensemble (MME) mean shows that the mean features of the Hadley circulation, such as the intensity, magnitude, and the seasonal variations, are very realistically reproduced, compared to the ERA40 reanalysis. But the long-term trends of the Hadley circulation in 20C3M MME are quite different to those of observations. The observed intensity of the Hadley cell is persistently enhanced, particularly during boreal winter. In comparison, the meridional overturning circulations reproduced in the MME mean remains invariant in time, and even weakened in boreal summer. This discrepancy between the ERA40 and 20C3M MME is consistently shown in the overall structure of the Hadley circulations, such as mass streamfunction, the velocity potential, the vertical shear of meridional wind, and the vertical velocity in the tropical region. This results indicate that the current climate models are skill-less to capture the long-term trend of Hadley circulation yet, and should be improved in simulation of the large-scale features to enhance the confidence level of future climate change projection.

An educational effect analysis of a short-term TRIZ program in industry-university cooperation (산학연계 트리즈(TRIZ) 단기 프로그램의 교육적 효과 분석)

  • Han, Jiyoung;Kim, Sung-Hui
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2016
  • A camp program where the theory of inventive problem solving TRIZ is applied to real problems of the industry was developed and taught at a five-day seminar apart from the standard curriculum at a university D in Gyeonggido. This study focuses on the educational effect that the TRIZ method has on the engineering students when their creative problem solving skills are required to solve industry problems on their own with the knowledge from their courses. For five days, the students were educated about TRIZ and assigned a real industry problem "Removal of friction caused by bubble formation in water heating pipelines". By applying TRIZ to the problem, the students developed an "Air removing Air Arrester" which received the evaluation, "with understanding the system architecture and the task objective causes and formation of the problem could be handled which directly helps the company's R&D". In this case, TRIZ offers the students a guideline and knowledge on how to approach problems and as a result the students provided a practical solution. During the process, the TRIZ method instilled confidence in the students and proved to be a motivation. It becomes obvious that this short-term program has a positive effect on students' way of thinking creatively and increasing their problem-solving abilities.

Bayesian forecasting approach for structure response prediction and load effect separation of a revolving auditorium

  • Ma, Zhi;Yun, Chung-Bang;Shen, Yan-Bin;Yu, Feng;Wan, Hua-Ping;Luo, Yao-Zhi
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.507-524
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    • 2019
  • A Bayesian dynamic linear model (BDLM) is presented for a data-driven analysis for response prediction and load effect separation of a revolving auditorium structure, where the main loads are self-weight and dead loads, temperature load, and audience load. Analyses are carried out based on the long-term monitoring data for static strains on several key members of the structure. Three improvements are introduced to the ordinary regression BDLM, which are a classificatory regression term to address the temporary audience load effect, improved inference for the variance of observation noise to be updated continuously, and component discount factors for effective load effect separation. The effects of those improvements are evaluated regarding the root mean square errors, standard deviations, and 95% confidence intervals of the predictions. Bayes factors are used for evaluating the probability distributions of the predictions, which are essential to structural condition assessments, such as outlier identification and reliability analysis. The performance of the present BDLM has been successfully verified based on the simulated data and the real data obtained from the structural health monitoring system installed on the revolving structure.