• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence term

Search Result 342, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

A study for Chronicle and Construction Technique of Jeoksimto (積心土) of Baekje tile-capped building after the transfer of the capital to Wungjin (웅진천도후(熊津遷都後) 백제(百濟) 와건물(瓦建物) 적심토(積心土)의 편년(編年)과 축조기법(築造技法) 변천(變遷)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Cho, Weon-Chang
    • Journal of architectural history
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.57-74
    • /
    • 2007
  • Jeoksimto which was build up as the reinforcement establishment made with the soil under the cornerstone in the site of tile-capped building is the representative construction technique which become popular in the Sabi capital era after the Wungjin capital era. Especially from the fact that no site of tile-capped building with this Jeoksimto has been found in the Silla area, we can see the originality Baekje technique. We can analogize the specialization of Josagong (造寺工) (craftsman building the temple) and the diversity of technique, on the basis of the technique raising the ground level which is different with the middle gate site of Neung-sa and the Hall enshrining Buddha site in Buyeo. Moreover, we can have the confidence the dispatch of craftsman and the transmission of building technique from the Buyeo area to the Iksan area through the fact that the construction techniques of Jeoksimto in both area are almost the same. However the concerns in the construction archaeology are necessary because almost no study for Jeoksimto has been conducted and the term of Jeoksimto also is unfamiliar even if excavation of Baekje Jeoksimto in the several remains.

  • PDF

A Meta-analysis of the Timed Up and Go test for Predicting Falls (낙상 위험 선별검사 Timed Up and Go test의 예측 타당도 메타분석)

  • Park, Seong-Hi;Lee, On-Seok
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.27-40
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose: Globally, falls are a major public health problem. The study aimed to evaluate the predictive validity of the Timed Up and Go test (TUGT) as a screening tool for fall risk. Methods: An electronic search was performed Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochran Library, KoreaMed and the National Digital Science Library and other databases, using the following keywords: 'fall', 'fall risk assessment', 'fall screening', 'mobility scale', and 'risk assessment tool'. The QUADAS-II was applied to assess the internal validity of the diagnostic studies. Thirteen studies were analyzed using meta-analysis with MetaDisc 1.4. Results: The selected 13 studies reporting predictive validity of TUGT of fall risks were meta-analyzed with a sample size of 1004 with high methodological quality. Overall predictive validity of TGUT was as follows. The pooled sensitivity 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-0.77), pooled specificity 0.58 (95% CI: 0.54-0.63) and sROC AUC was 0.75 respectively. Heterogeneity among studies was a moderate level in sensitivity. Conclusion: The TGUT's predictive validity for fall risk is at a moderate level. Although there is a limit to interpret the results for heterogeneity between the literature, TGUT is an appropriate tool to apply to all patients at a potential risk of accidental fall in a hospital or long-term care facility.

Estimating the Transmittable Prevalence of Infectious Diseases Using a Back-Calculation Approach

  • Lee, Youngsaeng;Jang, Hyun Gap;Kim, Tae Yoon;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.21 no.6
    • /
    • pp.487-500
    • /
    • 2014
  • A new method to calculate the transmittable prevalence of an epidemic disease is proposed based on a back-calculation formula. We calculated the probabilities of reactivation and of parasitemia as well as transmittable prevalence (the number of persons with parasitemia in the incubation period) of malaria in South Korea using incidence of 12 years(2001-2012). For this computation, a new probability function of transmittable condition is obtained. The probability of reactivation is estimated by the least squares method for the back-calculated longterm incubation period. The probability of parasitemia is calculated by a convolution of the survival function of the short-term incubation function and the probability of reactivation. Transmittable prevalence is computed by a convolution of the infected numbers and the probabilities of transmission. Confidence intervals are calculated using the parametric bootstrap method. The method proposed is applicable to other epidemic diseases in other countries where incidence and a long incubation period are available. We found the estimated transmittable prevalence in South Korea was concentrated in the summer with 276 cases on a peak at the $31^{st}$ week and with about a 60% reduction in the peak from the naive prevalence. The statistics of transmittable prevalence can be used for malaria prevention programs and to select blood transfusion donors.

GLP Perspectives of Bioequivalence Studies

  • Jeong, Eun-Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Toxicology Conference
    • /
    • 2006.11a
    • /
    • pp.80-86
    • /
    • 2006
  • Bioequivalence is a term in pharmacokinetics used to access the expected in vivo biological equivalence of two proprietary preparations of a drug. Bioequivalence studies are usually performed for generic drugs. Two pharmaceutical products are bioequivalent if they are pharmaceutically equivalent and their bioavailabilioes after administration in the same molar dose are similar. Bioequivalence is usually accessed by single dose in vivo studies in healthy volunteers and the reference product is usually the innovator product that is marketed. Regulatory definition of bioequivalence is based on the statistical analysis of thebioavailability of the reference and test product. In general, two products are evaluated as bioequivalent if the 90% confidence interval of the relative mean Cmaxand AUC of the test to reference product are within 80.00% to 125.00% in the fasting state. Key process in bioequivalence study is development and validation of bioanalytical method, determination of the drug concentration in the biosamples (usually plasma or serum) obtained from volunteers, calculation of the pharmacokinetic parameters and statistical analysis of the pharmacokinetic parameters. Although current guidelines and regulations do not require the bioequivalence studies to be done under good laboratory practice (CLP), the issues to perform the bioequivalence studies under GLP environment is emerged both from the regulatory and industry side. GLP perspectives of bioequivalence studiesare needed to be discussed in respect to achieve quality assurance in bioequivalence studies.

  • PDF

Column Shortening Prediction of Concrete Filled Tubes using Monte Carlo Method (몬테카를로 기법을 이용한 CFT 기둥축소량의 예측)

  • Jang, Sung-Woo;Song, Hwa-Cheol;Sho, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.75-84
    • /
    • 2010
  • According to the available study and experimental data about the long term behavior of CFT(Concrete Filled Tube) columns, the creep and of concrete in CFT columns are smaller than those of RC columns because of the confinement effect of outer steel columns. In this study, the uncertainties associated with assumed values for concrete properties such as strength, creep coefficients, and service load have been considered and analyzed for the prediction of time-dependent column shortening of CFT column. The CFT column shortening analysis using Monte Carlo method is proposed and an of a 37 story tall building with CFT columns is studied for illustration. According to the results obtained by the probability analysis with multi parameters, the effect of variation coefficient for 3 parameters is investigated considering confidence interval.

  • PDF

Incidence of Colon Cancer Related to Cigarette Smoking and Alcohol Consumption in Adults with Metabolic Syndrome: Prospective Cohort Study (대사증후군 성인의 흡연 및 음주 상태가 대장암 발생 위험에 미치는 영향: 전향적 코호트 연구)

  • Jo, Ahra;Oh, Heeyoung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.49 no.6
    • /
    • pp.713-723
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify the impact of cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption on the incidence of colon cancer in adults with metabolic syndrome. Methods: This study employed a longitudinal study design and utilized secondary data drawn from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES). The data of a sample of 2,327 adults with metabolic syndrome tracked every two years from 2001 to 2014 were used in this study. Statistical data analyses of the frequency, number of cases per 100,000 person-years, log-rank test, Kaplan-Meier curve, and Cox's proportional hazards regression were performed using IBM SPSS statistics version 24. Results: During the observation period, the number of colon cancer cases was 46, and the total person-years were 252,444. The incidence of colon cancer was higher in current, over 10 pack-year smokers when compared to non-smokers (hazard ratio=3.38, 95% confidence interval=1.09~8.42). Conclusion: Excessive and long-term smoking should be avoided to prevent colon cancer, especially in adults with metabolic syndrome, since it might exacerbate the risk factors of colon cancer. Particularly, health professionals need to provide individualized smoking cessation interventions to those at high risk of colon cancer.

Current Status of Nuclear Waste Management (and Disposal) in the United States

  • McMahon, K.;Swift, P.;Nutt, M.;Birkholzer, J.;Boyle, W.;Gunter, T.;Larson, N.;MacKinnon, R.;Sorenson, K.
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-35
    • /
    • 2013
  • The United States Department of Energy (US DOE) is conducting research and development (R&D) activities under the Used Fuel Disposition Campaign (UFDC) to support storage, transportation, and disposal of used nuclear fuel (UNF) and wastes generated by existing and future nuclear fuel cycles. R&D activities are ongoing at nine national laboratories, and are divided into storage, transportation and disposal. Storage R&D focuses on closing technical gaps related to extended storage of UNF. Transportation R&D focuses on ensuring transportability of UNF following extended storage, and addressing data gaps regarding nuclear fuel integrity, retrievability, and demonstration of subcriticality. Disposal R&D focuses on identifying geologic disposal options and addressing technical challenges for generic disposal concepts in mined repositories in salt, clay/shale, and granitic rocks, and deep borehole disposal. UFDC R&D goals include increasing confidence in the robustness of generic disposal concepts, reducing generic sources of uncertainty that may impact the viability of disposal concepts, and developing science and engineering tools to support the selection, characterization, and licensing of a repository. The US DOE has also initiated activities in the Nuclear Fuel Storage and Transportation (NFST) Planning Project to facilitate the development of an interim storage facility and to support transportation infrastructure in the near term.

A Qualitative Study on the Meaning of Empowerment Perceived by Social Workers : Is the Empowerment Approach Applicable in Korea? (사회복지사가 인식하는 임파워먼트의 의미에 관한 질적 연구 : 한국에서 임파워먼트 실천은 가능한가?)

  • Kim, In-Sook;Woo, Kug-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
    • /
    • v.49
    • /
    • pp.34-61
    • /
    • 2002
  • Recently, the concept of empowerment has become popular within social work practice. Despite of this trends, we have little empirical knowledge about what empowerment practice is and how it is applicable to practice settings in Korea. This study explored how social workers perceived and experienced the concept of empowerment. We used qualitative method to solve this questions. Individual and focus group interviews were conducted to 7 social workers serving in diverse settings. Research results are as follows: Participants had common perceptions of empowerment concept despite of the different settings. They perceived power as confidence, independence, self-control. The client/worker relationships were open, nonhierarchial egalitarian and characterized by mutuality and reciprocity. They emphasized the nature of empowerment as circular and diffusive process. Also, they orientated long term practice related to impatience of social workers. Finally, those who participated in this study challenged and reinterpreted the existing traditional "professionalism". We concluded that empowerment practice might demand infinite energies, social worker's creativity, trust of clients, and that empowerment practice would be a new approach in social work practice which influence on much more population because of its diffuseness.

  • PDF

Comprehensive Empirical Equation for Assessing Atmospheric Corrosion Progression of Steel Considering Environmental Parameters

  • Sil, Arjun;Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.174-188
    • /
    • 2020
  • Atmospheric corrosion is a natural surface degradation process of metal due to changes in environmental parameters in the surrounding atmosphere. It is very sensitive to environmental parameters such as temperature, relative humidity, sulphur dioxide, and chloride, making it a major global economic challenge. Existing forecasting empirical corrosion models including the ISO standard are based on statistical analysis of experimental studies without considering the behavior of atmospheric parameters. The present study proposes a reliable global empirical model for estimating short and long-term atmospheric corrosion rates based on environmental parameters and corrosion mechanisms obtained from a parametric study. Repercussion of atmospheric corrosion rate due to individual and combined influences of environmental parameters specifies their importance in the estimation. New global empirical coefficients obtained for environmental parameters are statistically established (R2 =0.998) with 95% confidence limit. They are validated using experimental datasets of existing studies observed at 88 different continental locations. The current proposed model can predict atmospheric corrosion by means of corrosion formation mechanisms influenced by combined effects of environmental parameters, further abating applicability limitations of location and time.

Relational Benefits and Visual Arts Outcomes via WeChat Business

  • Cui, Yu Hua
    • Journal of Fashion Business
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.16-26
    • /
    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to understand the effect of WeChat relational benefits on customer satisfaction and purchase intention. Due to the rapid development in the technological field, the use of WeChat has expanded drastically in recent years. In visual arts industry, WeChat business occupies a significant proportion of emerging industries. The recruited participants that were recruited via an online survey website were 335 (www.sojump.com). SPSS 22.0 statistical system was used to analyze the descriptive statistics, reliability, and validity. This study conceptualizes the positive relationship among relational benefits, customer satisfaction, and purchase intention of visual arts products. The findings indicated that WeChat users' relational benefits can be categorized into two distinct benefit types: confidence, and social benefits. The more relational benefits WeChat users perceived, the higher the level of satisfaction. In contrast, the positive influence of customer satisfaction on purchase intention is weaker in consumers with a higher level of perceived risk. The results of this study will help WeChat business to retain its customers, thus, gaining a long-term value for visual arts industry. Theoretical and managerial implication for WeChat business are provided.