• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.37-50
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• 2002

Simultaneous estimation of accuracy and probability corresponding to a prediction interval is considered in this study. Traditional application of confidence interval forecasting consists in evaluation of interval limits for a given significance level. The wider is this interval, the higher is probability and the lower is the forecast precision. In this paper a measure of stochastic forecast accuracy is introduced, and a procedure for balanced estimation of both the predicting accuracy and confidence probability is elaborated. Solution can be obtained in an optimizing approach. Suggested method is applied to constructing confidence intervals for parameters estimated by normal and t distributions

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.96-100
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• 2006

고립단어 인식기의 오 인식 단어를 거절하기 위한 방법으로 정규화 신뢰도가 제안되어 논문 [1-2]에서 성공적으로 적용된 바 있다. 그러나 정규화 신뢰도의 성능 측정을 위해 고정된 단어 셌을 대상으로 실험을 하였다. 본 논문에서는 정규화 신뢰도를 가변어휘 음성인식 영역에 적용하여 신뢰도의 거절성능을 밝히고 특히, 벡터양자화기를 이용하여 미 출현 트라이 폰의 문제를 극복하는 방법을 제안한다. 이때 정규화 신뢰도는 트라이 폰 신뢰도들의 통계적 특징(평균과 표준편차)을 사용한다. 가변어휘 인식실험 결과음소 단위의 정규화방법이 트라이 폰 기반 정규화방법에 비하여 우수한 성능을 보였으며 이러한 결과는 논문 [1-2]의 결과와는 상이한 것으로 트라이 폰 기반 정규화 방법이 미 출현 트라이 폰에 대하여 강인하지 못하다는 점을 시사하고 있다. 따라서 정규화 신뢰도가 음소 또는 트라이 폰에 상관없이 기준 신뢰도인 RLTC 신뢰도 [3]에 비하여 우수한 성능을 보였으며 가변어휘 인식에서도 동작함을 확인 할 수 있었다.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1996년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); 포항공과대학교, 포항; 24-26 Oct. 1996
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• pp.1288-1291
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• 1996

The submaterials are used for restoration of the impurities involved in iron ore. Robot system is constructed to measure the content of moisture in submaterials automatically, so we achieve the confidence of measuring work and the promotion of operation efficiency.

• 대한의료기공학회지
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.115-127
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• 2005

The present study aims to provide efficient regimen by means of the Oriental medicine tool to measure Yangseng developed to fit the situation of Korea. For this purpose, the elderly people aged older than 65 were selected and their level of Yangseng was compared and analyzed depending on their perception of health. From the study, following conclusions could be drawn: 1. The total subject of study were 763 consisting mostly of the illiterate and spoused with disease but without leisure activities. 2. Most of the subjects were found to have little confidence with their health. With regard to their level of Yangseng, higher points were rated in morality yangseng, followed by activities & rest, diet, mind yangseng, sleep, seasonal yangseng, exercise and sex life in order. 3. By socio-demographic characters for the group with confidence in health, there were more male than female, with spouse, disease and leisure activities currently. In the group without confidence in health, there were more female, without spouse and leisure activity but with disease presently. 4. As for the level of Yangseng in the group with confidence in health, higher points were recorded in morality yangseng, followed by activities & rest, mind yangseng, diet, sleep, exercise and sex life in order. In case of the group without confidence in health, higher points were recorded in morality yangseng, followed by activities & rest, diet, mind yangseng, sleep, exercise and sex life in order. From the above outcomes, it would be necessary to motivate the subjects to have a renewed concept for health and efficient regimen. Continued and repeated eforts should be made to fill the gap in the study using the tool to measure Yangseng of the elderly people.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.197-213
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• 2003

One of the well-studied problems in data mining is the search for association rules. The goal of association rule mining is to find all the rules with support and confidence exceeding some user specified thresholds. In this paper we consider the relation between the measure of association and the criteria of association rule for ordinal data.

• 인지과학
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.153-176
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• 1993

구조적 모호성은 자연 언어 문장을 분석할 때 흔히 나타내는 문제점 중의 하나로,지금까지 이문제의 해결은 대단히 어려운 것으로 인식되어 왔다.그러나,구조적 모호성을 해소하지 않고 올바른 언어 처리를 한다는 것은 사실상 불가능하다.본 논문에서는 이 문제에 대하여 정보 이론적(information-theoretic)개념인 상호 정보(mutual information)를 이용한 통계적 접근방법을 제안한다.상호정보는 말 뭉치로 부터 자동 습득이 가능하므로 지식습득속도가 대단히 빠를뿐만 아니라 지속적인 지식습득이 가능하다. 구조적 모호성 해소는 물론 모호성 해소 결과의 옳고 그름을 스스로 판단할수 있는 능력을 부여할수 있다면 보다 지능적인 시스템을 개발하는데 도움이 될것이다.본 논문에서는 그와 같은 지적 능력을 부여한느데 필요한 확신도(congidence measure) 개념도 또한 제시한다.확신도는 구조적 모호성을 해소하고 난 후에 계산되는 수치로서,구조적 모호성이 올바르게 해소되었을 가능성이 높으면 높을수록 그 값이 커지는 성질을 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서 제시한 구조적 모호성 해소 알고리즘의 타당성을 검증하기 위하여 이공계 논문 초록으로부터 발췌된 약 160만 단어의 말뭉치로부터 상호 정보를 자동 습득하고 이를 이용하요,1,639개의 문장에 대하여 구조적 모호성을 해소하는 실험을 하였다. 실험결과 구조적 모호성 해소 정화도는 약 80%로 나타났다.확신도 개념을 이용할 경우 구조적 모호성 해소가 잘못된 문장을 찾아 정정하는 작업을 매우 효과적으로 진행할 수 있었다.

• 대한음성학회지:말소리
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• 제64호
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• pp.121-135
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• 2007

Speech signal is distorted by channel characteristics or additive noise and then the performances of speaker or speech recognition are severely degraded. To cope with the noise problem, we propose a modified HMM decoder algorithm using SNR-based observation confidence, which was successfully applied for GMM in speaker identification task. The modification is done by weighting observation probabilities with reliability values obtained from SNR. Also, we apply PSO (particle swarm optimization) method to the confidence function for maximizing the speaker identification performance. To evaluate our proposed method, we used the ETRI database for speaker recognition. The experimental results showed that the performance was definitely enhanced with the modified HMM decoder algorithm.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.17-28
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• 1994

A statistical procedure is developed to estimate the relative difference between two parameters each obtained from either true model or approximate model. Double sample procedure is applied to find the additional number of simulation runs satisfying the preassigned absolute precision of the confidence interval. Two types of parameters, mean and standard deviation, are considered as the performance measures and tried to show the validity of the model by examining both queues and inventory systems. In each system it is assumed that there are three distinct means and their own standard deviations and they form the simultaneous confidence intervals but with control in the sense that the absolute precision for each confidence interval is bounded on the limits with preassigned confidence level. The results of this study may contribute to some situations, for instance, first, we need a statistical method to compare the effectiveness between two alternatives, second, we find the adquate number of replications with any level of absolute precision to avoid the unrealistic cost of running simulation models, third, we are interested in analyzing the standard deviation of the output measure, ..., etc.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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• pp.1169-1175
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• 2008

The validation technique is classified with two methods whether to demand of additional experimental points. The method which requires additional experimental points such as RSME is actually impossible in engineering field. Therefore, the method which only use experimented points such as the cross validation technique is only available. But the cross validation not only requires considerable computational costs for generating metamodel each iterations, but also cannot measure quantitatively the fidelity of metamodel. In this research we propose a new validation technique for representative metamodels using an variance of metamodel and confidence interval information. The proposed validation technique computes confidence intervals using a variance information from the metamodel. This technique will have influence on choosing the accurate metamodel, constructing ensemble of each metamodels and advancing effectively sequential sampling technique.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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• pp.303-303
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• 2000

It is difficult to determine the static axle weight of a vehicle with weigh-in-motion systems which in absence measure instantaneous axle impact forces. The difficulty in determining a static axle weight results from dynamic effects induced by vehicle/road interactions. One method to improve the problem is to quantify a statistical confidence level for measured axle weight. The quarter-car model is used to simulate vehicle motion, Also, the road input to vehicle model can be characterized in statistical terms by PSD (power spectral density) of appropriate amplitude and frequency contents other than an exact spatial distribution. The confidence levels for the measured axle weight can be obtained by the random process analysis using both vehicle model and road input.