• Title/Summary/Keyword: Conditional reliability

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A Systematic Design of Automatic Fuzzy Rule Generation for Dynamic System

  • Kang, Hoon;Kim, Young-Ho;Jeon, Hong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 1992
  • We investigate a systematic design procedure of automatic rule generation of fuzzy logic based controllers for highly nonlinear dynamic systems such as an engine dynamic modle. By "automatic rule generation" we mean autonomous clustering or collection of such meaningful transitional relations from one conditional subspace to another. During the design procedure, we also consider optimaly control strategies such as minimum squared error, near minimum time, minimum energy or combined performance critiera. Fuzzy feedback control systems designed by our method have the properties of closed-loop stability, robustness under parameter variabitions, and a certain degree of optimality. Most of all, the main advantage of the proposed approach is that reliability can be potentially increased even if a large grain of uncertainty is involved within the control system under consideration. A numerical example is shown in which we apply our strategic fuzzy controller dwsign to a highly nonlinear model of engine idling speed control.d control.

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Analysis of Total Crime Count Data Based on Spatial Association Structure (공간적 연관구조를 고려한 총범죄 자료 분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2010
  • Reliability of the estimation is usually damaged in the situation where a linear regression model without spatial dependencies is employed to the spatial data analysis. In this study, we considered the conditional autoregressive model in order to construct spatial association structures and estimate the parameters via the Bayesian approaches. Finally, we compared the performances of the models with spatial effects and the ones without spatial effects. We analyzed the yearly total crime count data measured from each of 25 districts in Seoul, South Korea in 2007.

Fatigue life prediction based on Bayesian approach to incorporate field data into probability model

  • An, Dawn;Choi, Joo-Ho;Kim, Nam H.;Pattabhiraman, Sriram
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.427-442
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    • 2011
  • In fatigue life design of mechanical components, uncertainties arising from materials and manufacturing processes should be taken into account for ensuring reliability. A common practice is to apply a safety factor in conjunction with a physics model for evaluating the lifecycle, which most likely relies on the designer's experience. Due to conservative design, predictions are often in disagreement with field observations, which makes it difficult to schedule maintenance. In this paper, the Bayesian technique, which incorporates the field failure data into prior knowledge, is used to obtain a more dependable prediction of fatigue life. The effects of prior knowledge, noise in data, and bias in measurements on the distribution of fatigue life are discussed in detail. By assuming a distribution type of fatigue life, its parameters are identified first, followed by estimating the distribution of fatigue life, which represents the degree of belief of the fatigue life conditional to the observed data. As more data are provided, the values will be updated to reduce the credible interval. The results can be used in various needs such as a risk analysis, reliability based design optimization, maintenance scheduling, or validation of reliability analysis codes. In order to obtain the posterior distribution, the Markov Chain Monte Carlo technique is employed, which is a modern statistical computational method which effectively draws the samples of the given distribution. Field data of turbine components are exploited to illustrate our approach, which counts as a regular inspection of the number of failed blades in a turbine disk.

Bivariate reliability models with multiple dynamic competing risks (다중 동적 Competing Risks 모형을 갖는 이변량 신뢰성 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Juyoung;Cha, Ji Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.711-724
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    • 2016
  • Under variable complex operating environment, various factors can affect the lifetimes of systems. In this research, we study bivariate reliability models having multiple dynamic competing risks. As competing risks, in addition to the natural failure, we consider the increased stress caused by the failure of one component, external shocks, and the level of stress of the working environment at the same time. Considering two reliability models which take into account all of these competing risks, we derive bivariate life distributions. Furthermore, we compare these two models and also compare the distributions of maximum and minimum statistics in the two models.

Development of Anti-windup Techniques for Cascade Control System (다단제어용 안티 와인드업 기술 개발)

  • Bae, Jeong Eun;Kim, Kyeong Hoon;Chu, Syng Chul;Heo, Jaepil;Lim, Sanghun;Sung, Su Whan
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.430-437
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    • 2020
  • In this research, the anti-windup techniques for the cascade control system are newly developed. Cascade control system has an additional internal feedback control loop to reject disturbances better than the conventional control system. Remarkable difference between the conventional single-loop control system and the cascade control system is the interaction that the controller output saturation of the secondary control loop strongly affects the integral action of the primary control loop. In industry, local back calculation anti-windup method has been mainly used for each controller without considering the interaction between the two controllers. But it cannot eliminate the integral-windup of the primary controller originated from the saturation of the secondary controller output. To solve the problem, the two anti-windup techniques of the cascade conditional integration and the cascade back calculation are proposed in this research by extending the local anti-windup techniques for the single-loop control system to the cascade control system. Simulation confirmed that the proposed methods can effectively remove the integral windup of the primary controller caused by the saturation of the secondary controller output and show good control performances for various types of processes and controllers. If the reliability of the proposed methods is proved through the applications to real processes in the future, they would highly contribute to improving the control performances of the cascade control system in industry.

Improving Recall for Context-Sensitive Spelling Correction Rules using Conditional Probability Model with Dynamic Window Sizes (동적 윈도우를 갖는 조건부확률 모델을 이용한 한국어 문맥의존 철자오류 교정 규칙의 재현율 향상)

  • Choi, Hyunsoo;Kwon, Hyukchul;Yoon, Aesun
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.629-636
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    • 2015
  • The types of errors corrected by a Korean spelling and grammar checker can be classified into isolated-term spelling errors and context-sensitive spelling errors (CSSE). CSSEs are difficult to detect and to correct, since they are correct words when examined alone. Thus, they can be corrected only by considering the semantic and syntactic relations to their context. CSSEs, which are frequently made even by expert wiriters, significantly affect the reliability of spelling and grammar checkers. An existing Korean spelling and grammar checker developed by P University (KSGC 4.5) adopts hand-made correction rules for correcting CSSEs. The KSGC 4.5 is designed to obtain very high precision, which results in an extremely low recall. Our overall goal of previous works was to improve the recall without considerably lowering the precision, by generalizing CSSE correction rules that mainly depend on linguistic knowledge. A variety of rule-based methods has been proposed in previous works, and the best performance showed 95.19% of average precision and 37.56% of recall. This study thus proposes a statistics based method using a conditional probability model with dynamic window sizes. in order to further improve the recall. The proposed method obtained 97.23% of average precision and 50.50% of recall.

Hierarchical Clustering Approach of Multisensor Data Fusion: Application of SAR and SPOT-7 Data on Korean Peninsula

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon;Hong, Hyun-Gi
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.65-65
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    • 2002
  • In remote sensing, images are acquired over the same area by sensors of different spectral ranges (from the visible to the microwave) and/or with different number, position, and width of spectral bands. These images are generally partially redundant, as they represent the same scene, and partially complementary. For many applications of image classification, the information provided by a single sensor is often incomplete or imprecise resulting in misclassification. Fusion with redundant data can draw more consistent inferences for the interpretation of the scene, and can then improve classification accuracy. The common approach to the classification of multisensor data as a data fusion scheme at pixel level is to concatenate the data into one vector as if they were measurements from a single sensor. The multiband data acquired by a single multispectral sensor or by two or more different sensors are not completely independent, and a certain degree of informative overlap may exist between the observation spaces of the different bands. This dependence may make the data less informative and should be properly modeled in the analysis so that its effect can be eliminated. For modeling and eliminating the effect of such dependence, this study employs a strategy using self and conditional information variation measures. The self information variation reflects the self certainty of the individual bands, while the conditional information variation reflects the degree of dependence of the different bands. One data set might be very less reliable than others in the analysis and even exacerbate the classification results. The unreliable data set should be excluded in the analysis. To account for this, the self information variation is utilized to measure the degrees of reliability. The team of positively dependent bands can gather more information jointly than the team of independent ones. But, when bands are negatively dependent, the combined analysis of these bands may give worse information. Using the conditional information variation measure, the multiband data are split into two or more subsets according the dependence between the bands. Each subsets are classified separately, and a data fusion scheme at decision level is applied to integrate the individual classification results. In this study. a two-level algorithm using hierarchical clustering procedure is used for unsupervised image classification. Hierarchical clustering algorithm is based on similarity measures between all pairs of candidates being considered for merging. In the first level, the image is partitioned as any number of regions which are sets of spatially contiguous pixels so that no union of adjacent regions is statistically uniform. The regions resulted from the low level are clustered into a parsimonious number of groups according to their statistical characteristics. The algorithm has been applied to satellite multispectral data and airbone SAR data.

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Multigroup Generalizability Analysis of Creative Attitude Scale-Korea for Mathematically Gifted and General Students in Middle Schools (수학적 창의성 태도 검사에서 수학영재와 일반학생의 다집단 일반화가능도 분석)

  • Kim, Sungyeun
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.49-70
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the relative influence of multiple error sources and to find optimal measurement conditions that obtain a desired level of reliability of a creative attitude test in mathematical creativity. This study analyzed the scores of the Creative Attitude Scale-Korea allowed to access publicly of 125 general students and 109 mathematically gifted students by performing a multivariate generalizability analysis. The main results were as follows. First, based on reliability, the Creative Attitude Scale-Korea was measured less precisely for mathematically gifted students. On the contrary, based on the conditional standard error of measurement, it was measured less precisely for general students. However, the Creative Attitude Scale-Korea showed strong reliability in both groups. Second, the optimal weights should adjust to .3, .3, .4 in mathematically gifted students and .4, .4, .2 in general students with three scoring components of divergent attitude, problem solving attitude, and convergent attitude based on the maximum reliability. Third, to approach desirable reliability, it is possible to use one component of divergent attitude in general students but three components of divergent attitude, problem solving attitude, and convergent attitude in mathematically gifted students. Finally this study proposed application plans for the Creative Attitude Scale-Korea and future directions of research.

The Evaluation Model for Natural Resource Conservation Areas - Focused on Site Selection for the National Trust - (자연자원 보전지역의 평가모형 - 내셔널 트러스트 후보지 선정을 중심으로 -)

  • 유주한;정성관
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to propose an objective and rational methodology for the selection of proposed sites far the National Trust(NT), which is the new alterative proposal far the conservation of natural environments destroyed by injudicious land development and economic growth. That is to enforce many analysis for the effective estimation of rare ecological and landscape resources and to propose a model based on estimation and united indicators. Using the estimative model, we apply it to the selection of the proposed site in micro scale and simultaneously offer the basic methodology of effective and systematic land conservation in macro scale. The results of this study are as follows: 1) The results of analysis for the reliability of estimative items and indicators, presented no problem in that the coefficient of reliability was over 0.7. 2) The correlation measure of the estimative indicator indicated that 'succession'and 'regenerating restorability' were highly correlative in the item of plants. Another three items showed a tendency to be alike. 3) The results of factor analysis on the characteristics of indicators, classified plants into four categories including a stable factor. The item of animals was classified as a stable and rare factor. The item of landscape was classified as a physical and mental factor and the environment as a pollutional and conditional factor. 4) The model of estimation created through factor analysis was valid for the approval of the regression model because significant probability was 0.00. When we consider the NT proposed site as a complex body that is composed of diverse natural and manmade resources, certainly the synthetic methodology of estimation is needed. If these studies are carried out, NT sites will be selected more rationally and effectively than at present. Consequently, they have the potential to play a core role of natural ecosystem conservation in Korea.

Probabilistic Calibration of Computer Model and Application to Reliability Analysis of Elasto-Plastic Insertion Problem (컴퓨터모델의 확률적 보정 및 탄소성 압착문제의 신뢰도분석 응용)

  • Yoo, Min Young;Choi, Joo Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.9
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    • pp.1133-1140
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    • 2013
  • A computer model is a useful tool that provides solution via physical modeling instead of expensive testing. In reality, however, it often does not agree with the experimental data owing to simplifying assumption and unknown or uncertain input parameters. In this study, a Bayesian approach is proposed to calibrate the computer model in a probabilistic manner using the measured data. The elasto-plastic analysis of a pyrotechnically actuated device (PAD) is employed to demonstrate this approach, which is a component that delivers high power in remote environments by the combustion of a self-contained energy source. A simple mathematical model that quickly evaluates the performance is developed. Unknown input parameters are calibrated conditional on the experimental data using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, which is a modern computational statistics method. Finally, the results are applied to determine the reliability of the PAD.