• Title/Summary/Keyword: Conditional Least-squares Estimators

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Estimation for Autoregressive Models with GARCH(1,1) Error via Optimal Estimating Functions.

  • Kim, Sah-Myeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.207-214
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    • 1999
  • Optimal estimating functions for a class of autoregressive models with GARCH(1,1) error are discussed. The asymptotic properties of the estimator as the solution of the optimal estimating equation are investigated for the models. We have also some simulation results which suggest that the proposed optimal estimators have smaller sample variances than those of the Conditional least-squares estimators under the heavy-tailed error distributions.

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A Reference Value for Cook's Measure

  • Lee, Jae-Jun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 1999
  • A single outlier can influence on the least squares estimators and can invalidate analysis based on these estimators. The Cook's statistic has been introduced to measure influence of individual data point on parameter estimation and the quantile of the F distribution is recommended as a reference value. but in practice subjective judgement is applied in the choice of appropriate quantile. A simple reference value is introduced in this paper which is developed by approximating conditional quantities of Cook's measure. The performance of the proposed criterion is evaluated through analysis of real data set.

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Estimation for the Exponential ARMA Model (지수혼합 시계열 모형의 추정)

  • Won Kyung Kim;In Kyu Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 1994
  • The Yule-Walker estimator and the approximate conditional least squares estimator of the parameter of the EARMA(1, 1) model are obtained. These two estimators are compared by simulation study. It is shown that the approximate conditional least squares estimator is better in the sense of the mean square error than the Yul-Walker estimator.

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Bayesian Analysis for a Functional Regression Model with Truncated Errors in Variables

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers a functional regression model with truncated errors in explanatory variables. We show that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators produce bias in regression parameter estimates under misspecified models with ignored errors in the explanatory variable measurements, and then propose methods for analyzing the functional model. Fully parametric frequentist approaches for analyzing the model are intractable and thus Bayesian methods are pursued using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theories involved in modeling and computation are provided. Finally, a simulation study is given to illustrate and examine the proposed methods.

Asymmetric Modeling in Beta-ARCH Processes

  • S. Y. Hwang;Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2002
  • A class of asymmetric beta-ARCH processes is proposed and connections to traditional ARCH models are explained. Geometric ergodicity of the model is discussed. Conditional least squares as well as maximum likelihood estimators of parameters and their limit results are also presented. A test for symmetry of the model is studied with limiting power of test statistic given.

An Analysis of Panel Count Data from Multiple random processes

  • Park, You-Sung;Kim, Hee-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.265-272
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    • 2002
  • An Integer-valued autoregressive integrated (INARI) model is introduced to eliminate stochastic trend and seasonality from time series of count data. This INARI extends the previous integer-valued ARMA model. We show that it is stationary and ergodic to establish asymptotic normality for conditional least squares estimator. Optimal estimating equations are used to reflect categorical and serial correlations arising from panel count data and variations arising from three random processes for obtaining observation into estimation. Under regularity conditions for martingale sequence, we show asymptotic normality for estimators from the estimating equations. Using cancer mortality data provided by the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), we apply our results to estimate the probability of cells classified by 4 causes of death and 6 age groups and to forecast death count of each cell. We also investigate impact of three random processes on estimation.

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