• Title/Summary/Keyword: Combination 예측 모델

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Learning Data Model Definition and Machine Learning Analysis for Data-Based Li-Ion Battery Performance Prediction (데이터 기반 리튬 이온 배터리 성능 예측을 위한 학습 데이터 모델 정의 및 기계학습 분석 )

  • Byoungwook Kim;Ji Su Park;Hong-Jun Jang
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2023
  • The performance of lithium ion batteries depends on the usage environment and the combination ratio of cathode materials. In order to develop a high-performance lithium-ion battery, it is necessary to manufacture the battery and measure its performance while varying the cathode material ratio. However, it takes a lot of time and money to directly develop batteries and measure their performance for all combinations of variables. Therefore, research to predict the performance of a battery using an artificial intelligence model has been actively conducted. However, since measurement experiments were conducted with the same battery in the existing published battery data, the cathode material combination ratio was fixed and was not included as a data attribute. In this paper, we define a training data model required to develop an artificial intelligence model that can predict battery performance according to the combination ratio of cathode materials. We analyzed the factors that can affect the performance of lithium-ion batteries and defined the mass of each cathode material and battery usage environment (cycle, current, temperature, time) as input data and the battery power and capacity as target data. In the battery data in different experimental environments, each battery data maintained a unique pattern, and the battery classification model showed that each battery was classified with an error of about 2%.

Development of Approximate Cost Estimation System Based on CBRT echnique; Applicability Study for Landfarming Soil Remedation Technology (사례기반추론을 이용한 개략비용 예측시스템 개발 - 토양경작법 정화비용사례를 중심으로 적용가능성 검토 -)

  • Kim, Sang-Tae;Shim, Jin-Ah;Kim, Heung-Rae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.3-9
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    • 2016
  • This study proposes a approximate cost estimation system based on Excel with VBA using weighted CBR(Case Based Reasoning). One characteristic of this system is that it generates the sheet automatically as many as the number of similar case and new estimation when it performs a case learning and a new estimate and cell formula is automatically entered into each sheet. User can be free to compose a combination of attribute factors because they can select up to ten attribute factors. This paper presents an applicability of estimation model for estimating the soil remediation cost when it use a landfarming method. When compared to a estimation model by using average unit cost and optimum multiple regression, this model shows a better result. This study was aimed at landfarming method, but it is expected that a cost estimation model using CBR will be more likely to apply in soil remediation technologies which various remediation technologies and pollutant species exist.

Developing Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Model-Based Estimator for Short-Term Load Forecasting (단기부하예측을 위한 Tskagi-Sugeno 퍼지 모델 기반 예측기 설계)

  • 김도완;박진배;장권규;정근호;주영훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.523-527
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new design methods of the short-term load forecasting system (STLFS) using the data mining. The proposed predictor takes form of the convex combination of the linear time series predictors for each inputs. The problem of estimating the consequent parameters is formulated by the convex optimization problem, which is to minimize the norm distance between the real load and the output of the linear time series estimator, The problem of estimating the premise parameters is to find the parameter value minimizing the error between the real load and the overall output. Finally, to show the feasibility of the proposed method, this paper provides the short-term load forecasting example.

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Comparative Study of Data Preprocessing and ML&DL Model Combination for Daily Dam Inflow Prediction (댐 일유입량 예측을 위한 데이터 전처리와 머신러닝&딥러닝 모델 조합의 비교연구)

  • Youngsik Jo;Kwansue Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.358-358
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 그동안 수자원분야 강우유출 해석분야에 활용되었던 대표적인 머신러닝&딥러닝(ML&DL) 모델을 활용하여 모델의 하이퍼파라미터 튜닝뿐만 아니라 모델의 특성을 고려한 기상 및 수문데이터의 조합과 전처리(lag-time, 이동평균 등)를 통하여 데이터 특성과 ML&DL모델의 조합시나리오에 따른 일 유입량 예측성능을 비교 검토하는 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 소양강댐 유역을 대상으로 1974년에서 2021년까지 축적된 기상 및 수문데이터를 활용하여 1) 강우, 2) 유입량, 3) 기상자료를 주요 영향변수(독립변수)로 고려하고, 이에 a) 지체시간(lag-time), b) 이동평균, c) 유입량의 성분분리조건을 적용하여 총 36가지 시나리오 조합을 ML&DL의 입력자료로 활용하였다. ML&DL 모델은 1) Linear Regression(LR), 2) Lasso, 3) Ridge, 4) SVR(Support Vector Regression), 5) Random Forest(RF), 6) LGBM(Light Gradient Boosting Model), 7) XGBoost의 7가지 ML방법과 8) LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory models), 9) TCN(Temporal Convolutional Network), 10) LSTM-TCN의 3가지 DL 방법, 총 10가지 ML&DL모델을 비교 검토하여 일유입량 예측을 위한 가장 적합한 데이터 조합 특성과 ML&DL모델을 성능평가와 함께 제시하였다. 학습된 모형의 유입량 예측 결과를 비교·분석한 결과, 소양강댐 유역에서는 딥러닝 중에서는 TCN모형이 가장 우수한 성능을 보였고(TCN>TCN-LSTM>LSTM), 트리기반 머신러닝중에서는 Random Forest와 LGBM이 우수한 성능을 보였으며(RF, LGBM>XGB), SVR도 LGBM수준의 우수한 성능을 나타내었다. LR, Lasso, Ridge 세가지 Regression모형은 상대적으로 낮은 성능을 보였다. 또한 소양강댐 댐유입량 예측에 대하여 강우, 유입량, 기상계열을 36가지로 조합한 결과, 입력자료에 lag-time이 적용된 강우계열의 조합 분석에서 세가지 Regression모델을 제외한 모든 모형에서 NSE(Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) 0.8이상(최대 0.867)의 성능을 보였으며, lag-time이 적용된 강우와 유입량계열을 조합했을 경우 NSE 0.85이상(최대 0.901)의 더 우수한 성능을 보였다.

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Analysis of prediction model for solar power generation (태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델 분석)

  • Song, Jae-Ju;Jeong, Yoon-Su;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2014
  • Recently, solar energy is expanding to combination of computing in real time by tracking the position of the sun to estimate the angle of inclination and make up freshly correcting a part of the solar radiation. Solar power is need that reliably linked technology to power generation system renewable energy in order to efficient power production that is difficult to output predict based on the position of the sun rise. In this paper, we analysis of prediction model for solar power generation to estimate the predictive value of solar power generation in the development of real-time weather data. Photovoltaic power generation input the correction factor such as temperature, module characteristics by the solar generator module and the location of the local angle of inclination to analyze the predictive power generation algorithm for the prediction calculation to predict the final generation. In addition, the proposed model in real-time national weather service forecast for medium-term and real-time observations used as input data to perform the short-term prediction models.

A Study on the Prediction of Civil Construction Cost on Apartment Housing Projects at the Early Stage (사업 초기단계에서 공동주택 토목공사비의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Kyu-Soo;Lee, Jin-Kyoo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.4284-4293
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    • 2012
  • At the early construction project stage, the most important task is to estimate planned construction costs analyzed with detailed information. Therefore, in this study, Apartment Housing Projects at the Early Stage of Civil Construction Cost of the reasonable and accurate predictions of the Regression analysis to 170 of actual Construction Cost, and dependent variable regression to Civil Construction Cost, location based national land area based on a combination of private land, union land, public land to the use of predictive models by various analyses of the ease and accuracy. As a result, Civil Construction Cost of Apartment Housing Projects by the regression formula for the error rate estimates in national land predictive model 15.59%, private land predictive model 17.53%, union land predictive model 21.86%, public land predictive model 13.08%.

A Study of Short-Term Load Forecasting System Using Data Mining (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 단기 부하 예측 시스템 연구)

  • Joo, Young-Hoon;Jung, Keun-Ho;Kim, Do-Wan;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new design methods of the short-term load forecasting system (STLFS) using the data mining. The structure of the proposed STLFS is divided into two parts: the Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy model-based classifier and predictor The proposed classifier is composed of the Gaussian fuzzy sets in the premise part and the linearized Bayesian classifier in the consequent part. The related parameters of the classifier are easily obtained from the statistic information of the training set. The proposed predictor takes form of the convex combination of the linear time series predictors for each inputs. The problem of estimating the consequent parameters is formulated by the convex optimization problem, which is to minimize the norm distance between the real load and the output of the linear time series estimator. The problem of estimating the premise parameters is to find the parameter value minimizing the error between the real load and the overall output. Finally, to show the feasibility of the proposed method, this paper provides the short-term load forecasting example.

A Study on the Hyper-parameter Optimization of Bitcoin Price Prediction LSTM Model (비트코인 가격 예측을 위한 LSTM 모델의 Hyper-parameter 최적화 연구)

  • Kim, Jun-Ho;Sung, Hanul
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2022
  • Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer cryptocurrency designed for electronic transactions that do not depend on the government or financial institutions. Since Bitcoin was first issued, a huge blockchain financial market has been created, and as a result, research to predict Bitcoin price data using machine learning has been increasing. However, the inefficient Hyper-parameter optimization process of machine learning research is interrupting the progress of the research. In this paper, we analyzes and presents the direction of Hyper-parameter optimization through experiments that compose the entire combination of the Timesteps, the number of LSTM units, and the Dropout ratio among the most representative Hyper-parameter and measure the predictive performance for each combination based on Bitcoin price prediction model using LSTM layer.

Experimental Study on the Short-Term Prediction of Rebar Price using Bidirectional LSTM with Data Combination and Deep Learning Related Techniques (양방향 LSTM과 데이터 조합탐색 및 딥러닝 관련 기법을 활용한 철근 가격 단기예측에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Seong;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.38-45
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    • 2020
  • This study presents a systematic procedure for developing a short-term prediction deep learning model of rebar price using bidirectional LSTM, Random Search, data combination, Dropout. In general, users intuitively determine these values, making it time-consuming and repetitive attempts to explore results with good predictive performance, and the results found by these attempts cannot be guaranteed to be excellent. With the proposed approach presented in this study, the average accuracy of short-term price forecasts is approximately 98.32%. In addition, this approach could be used as basic data to produce good predictive results in a study that predicts prices with time series data based on statistics, including building materials other than rebars.

Improving Performance of Human Action Recognition on Accelerometer Data (가속도 센서 데이터 기반의 행동 인식 모델 성능 향상 기법)

  • Nam, Jung-Woo;Kim, Jin-Heon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.523-528
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    • 2020
  • With a widespread of sensor-rich mobile devices, the analysis of human activities becomes more general and simpler than ever before. In this paper, we propose two deep neural networks that efficiently and accurately perform human activity recognition (HAR) using tri-axial accelerometers. In combination with powerful modern deep learning techniques like batch normalization and LSTM networks, our model outperforms baseline approaches and establishes state-of-the-art results on WISDM dataset.