• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate technology

검색결과 2,211건 처리시간 0.039초

HYCOM 재분석 자료가 재현한 동해 수온 및 염분 평가 (Evaluation of Temperature and Salinity Fields of HYCOM Reanalysis Data in the East Sea)

  • 홍진실;서성봉;전찬형;박재훈;박영규;민홍식
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.271-286
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    • 2016
  • We evaluate the temperature and salinity fields in the East Sea reproduced by the global ocean reanalysis data using HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM for short). Temporal correlation of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) change between HYCOM and the Group for High Resolution Sea Surface Temperature (GHRSST) are higher in summer than winter. Though distributions of temperature and salinity in the HYCOM are similar to those from historical data (World Ocean Atlas 2013 V2), salinity in the HYCOM is lower (highter) in the region where the salinity is high (low). Temperature fields in the Ulleung basin of HYCOM are quite similar to those derived from Pressure-recording Inverted Echo Sounder (PIES), such as the correlation coefficient is higher than 0.7. This indicates that the HYCOM represents well the circulation and meso-scale phenomena in the Ulleung basin.

앙상블 기후 시나리오 자료를 활용한 우리나라 잣나무림 분포 적지 전망 (Predicting the Potential Distribution of Korean Pine (Pinus koraiensis) Using an Ensemble of Climate Scenarios)

  • 김재욱;정휘철;전성우;이동근
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2015
  • Preparations need to be made for Korean pine(Pinus koraiensis) in anticipation of climate change because Korean pine is an endemic species of South Korea and the source of timber and pine nut. Therefore, climate change adaptation policy has been established to conduct an impact assessment on the distribution of Korean pine. Our objective was to predict the distribution of Korean pine while taking into account uncertainty and afforestation conditions. We used the 5th forest types map, a forest site map and BIOCLIM variables. The climate scenarios are RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for uncertainty and the climate models are 5 regional climate models (HadGEM3RA, RegCM4, SNURCM, GRIMs, WRF). The base period for this study is 1971 to 2000. The target periods are the mid-21st century (2021-2050) and the end of the 21st century (2071-2100). This study used the MaxEnt model, and 50% of the presences were randomly set as training data. The remaining 50% were used as test data, and 10 cross-validated replicates were run. The selected variables were the annual mean temperature (Bio1), the precipitation of the wettest month (Bio13) and the precipitation of the driest month (Bio14). The test data's ROC curve of Korean pine was 0.689. The distribution of Korean pine in the mid-21st century decreased from 11.9% to 37.8% on RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The area of Korean pine at an artificial plantation occupied from 32.1% to 45.4% on both RCPs. The areas at the end of the 21st century declined by 53.9% on RCP 4.5 and by 86.0% on RCP 8.5. The area of Korean pine at an artificial plantation occupied 23.8% on RCP 4.5 and 7.2% on RCP 8.5. Private forests showed more of a decrease than national forests for all subsequent periods. Our results may contribute to the establishment of climate change adaptation policies for considering various adaptation options.

기후변화 조건에서 수분구배 및 영양소 구배에 따른 굴참나무와 상수리나무 잎 형태적 특성의 생태지위 변화 (Variations in Ecological Niche of Quercus variabilis and Quercus acutissima Leaf Morphological Characters in Response to Moisture and Nutrient Gradient Treatments under Climate Change Conditions)

  • 박여빈;김의주;박재훈;김윤서;박지원;이정민;유영한
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2024
  • This study attempted to elucidate the ecological niches and influencing environmental factors of Quercus variabilis and Quercus acutissima, which are representative deciduous broad-leaved trees in Korean forests, taxonomically close and genetically similar, under climate change conditions. Under climate change conditions induced by increased CO2 and temperature, soil moisture and nutrient environments were manipulated in four gradients. At the end of the growing, plants were harvested to measure growth responses, calculate ecological niches, and compare them with those of the control. Eperimental plants were grown for 180 days in a glass greenhouse designed with four gradients each for soil moisture and nutrient environments under climate change conditions induced by increased CO2 and temperature. After harvesting, growth responses of leaf traits were measured, ecological niches were calculated, and these were compared with those of the control groups. Furthermore, the responses of the two species' populations were interpreted using principal component analysis(PCA) based on leaf trait measurements. As a result, under climate change conditions, the ecological niche breadth for moisture environment was broader for Quercus variabilis than Quercus acutissima, whereas for the nutrient environment, Quercus acutissima exhibited a broader niche breadth than Quercus variabilis. And the rate of change in ecological niche breadth due to climate change decreased for Quercus variabilis in both moisture and nutrient environments, while for Quercus acutissima, it increased in the moisture environment but decreased in the nutrient environment. Additionally, in terms of group responses, both Quercus variabilis and Quercus acutissima expanded their ecological niches under climate change conditions in both soil moisture and nutrient conditions, with Quercus acutissima exhibiting a broader niche than Quercus variabilis under nutrient conditions. These results indicate that the changes in leaf morphological characteristics and the responses of individuals reflecting them vary not only under climate change conditions but also depending on environmental factors.

관광기후지수(Tourism Climate Index)를 이용한 치악산 국립공원의 관광기후환경에 관한 연구 (Examination of Tourism Climatic Conditions for Chiaksan National Park Analyzing Tourism Climate Index)

  • 박창용;김남조;김상태;최영은
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제49권5호
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    • pp.779-793
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 치악산 국립공원을 사례로 TCI를 이용하여 관광기후환경의 변화와 미래 전망을 파악하였다. 과거와 미래를 포함하여 분석된 모든 기간에서 TCI 일평균값의 분포는 봄철과 가을철에 두 개의 봉우리가 나타나는 이봉형태가 나타났다. 따라서 치악산 국립공원은 봄철과 가을철에 관광하기 가장 적합한 기후로 파악되었다. 이러한 분포에는 주간 쾌적지수(Cid)와 일쾌적지수(Cia)의 요소인 기온과 습도가 주요한 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 최근 들어 치악산 국립공원의 여름철 관광기후환경이 저하된 것으로 분석되었다. 이는 일조시간의 감소가 이에 가장 큰 영향을 미친 것으로 나타났다. 미래로 갈수록 여름철 관광기후환경의 저하는 더욱 심화될 것으로 전망되었다. 또한 연중 가장 낮은 TCI는 현재 겨울철에 나타났지만 미래에는 여름철로 변화할 것으로 분석되었는데 이는 세부지수 중 주간 쾌적지수(Cid)의 감소가 가장 큰 기여를 하였다.

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치과기공사의 직무만족에 대한 실증적 연구 (An Empirical Study on Dental Technicians' Job Satisfaction)

  • 나정숙;유낙근;서의훈
    • 대한치과기공학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.73-91
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate relations among job-related attributes of dental technicians. Findings of the study can be summarized as follows. Differences in four job-related attributes among dental technicians in accordance with their titles were investigated to find that dental lab managers were higher in job satisfaction than chief and assistant technicians of the lab. Dental lab managers were given the best work climate, followed by chief technicians of hospital, those of dental lab and assistant technicians. Job competence was highest in part of the managers, followed by chief assistants of hospital, those of dental lab and assistant technicians. But work facilities that were being used by dental technicians were not significantly different in quality in accordance with their titles. Assistant technicians were lower in job satisfaction, given work climate and job competence than managers and chief technicians of both hospital and dental lab. Under same work conditions, female dental technicians were higher in job satisfaction than male ones. Dental technicians' job satisfaction were most affected by work climate, followed by job competence and the quality of work facilities in order. In other words, job satisfaction was higher when work climate was better, job competence was higher or when work facilities were better. Job satisfaction was generally lower in part of male dental technicians than female ones. Considering the fact that job satisfaction is most influenced by work climate, more careful attention should be paid to assistant technicians who while on duty, usually have not so good relationship with seniors or colleagues. Those technicians also usually have few or no opportunity of obtaining latest knowledge or skills, so they should be allowed time for seminars or lectures in which such knowledge or skills are educated. It is also important to raise assistant technicians' pride about their job by empowering them by authorization or giving more remuneration or other rewards for their improved job competence.

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국지적으로 분포하는 식물에 대한 기후 및 환경변수 영향 (Climatic and Environmental Effects on Distribution of Narrow Range Plants)

  • 권혁수;류지은;서창완;김지연;도재화;서민환;박종화
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2012
  • Climate is generally accepted as one of the major determinants of plants distribution. Plants are sensitive to bioclimates, and local variations of climate determine habitats of plants. The purpose of this paper is to identify the factors affecting the distribution of narrow-range plants in South Korea using National Survey of Natural Environment data. We developed species distribution models for 6 plant species using climate, topographic and soil factors. All 6 plants were most sensitive to climatic factors but less other factors at national scale. Meliosma myriantha, Stewartia koreana and Eurya japonica, distributed at southern and coast region in Korea, were most sensitive to precipitation and temperature. Meliosma myriantha was mostly effected by annual precipitation and precipitation of driest quarter, Stewartia koreana was effected by annual precipitation and elevation, and Eurya japonica was affected by temperature seasonality and precipitation of driest quarter. On the other hand, Spiraea salicifolia, Rhododendron micranthum and Acer tegmentosum, distributed at central and northern inland in Korea, were most sensitive to temperature and elevation. Spiraea salicifolia was affected by mean temperature of coldest quarter and annual mean temperature, Rhododendron micranthum and Acer tegmentosum were affected by mean temperature of warmest quarter and elevation. We can apply this result to future plant habitat distribution under climate change.

기후변화에 따른 도시 수종의 기후 적합성 평가모델 - 서울시를 대상으로 - (Modeling the Present Probability of Urban Woody Plants in the face of Climate Change)

  • 김윤정;이동근;박찬
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.159-170
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    • 2013
  • The effect of climate change on urban woody plants remains difficult to predict in urban areas. Depending on its tolerances, a plant species may stay and survive or stay with slowly declining remnant populations under a changing climate. To predict those vulnerabilities on urban woody plants, this study suggests a basic bioclimatic envelop model of heat requirements, cold tolerance, chilling requirements and moisture requirements that are well documented as the 'climatic niche'. Each component of the 'climatic niche' is measured by the warmth index, the absolute minimum temperature, the number of chilling weeks and the water balance. Regarding the utility of the developed model, the selected urban plant's present probabilities are suggested in the future climate of Seoul. Both Korea and Japan's thermal thresholds are considered for a plant's optimal climatic niche. By considering the thermal thresholds of these two regions for the same species, the different responses observed will reflect the plant's 'hardening' process in a rising climate. The model illustrated that the subpolar plants Taxus cuspidata and Ulmus davidiana var. japonica are predicted to have low suitability in Seoul. The temperate plants Zelkova serrata and Pinus densiflora, which have a broad climatic niche, exhibited the highest present probability in the future. The subtropical plants Camellia japonica and Castanopsis cuspidata var. sieboldii may exhibit a modest growth pattern in the late 21C's future climatic period when an appropriate frost management scheme is offered. The model can be used to hypothesize how urban ecosystems could change over time. Moreover, the developed model can be used to establish selection guidelines for urban plants with high levels of climatic adaptability.

기후변화로 인한 신지도 근해 해양먹이망 변동예측 (Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Sinjido Marine Food Web)

  • 강윤호;주세종;박영규
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2012
  • The food web dynamics in a coastal ecosystem of Korea were predicted with Ecosim, a trophic flow model, under various scenarios of primary productivity due to ocean warming and ocean acidification. Changes in primary productivity were obtained from an earth system model 2.1 under A1B scenario of IPCC $CO_2$ emission and replaced for forcing functions on the phytoplankton group during the period between 2020 and 2100. Impacts of ocean acidification on species were represented in the model for gastropoda, bivalvia, echinodermata, crustacean and cephalopoda groups with effect sizes of conservative, medium and large. The model results show that the total biomass of invertebrate and fish groups decreases 5%, 11~28% and 14~27%, respectively, depending on primary productivity, ocean acidification and combined effects. In particular, the blenny group shows zero biomass at 2080. The zooplankton group shows a sudden increase at the same time, and finally reaches twice the baseline at 2100. On the other hand, the ecosystem attributes of the mean trophic level of the ecosystem, Shannon's H and Kempton's Q indexes show a similar reduction pattern to biomass change, indicating that total biomass, biodiversity and evenness shrink dynamically by impacts of climate change. It is expected from the model results that, after obtaining more information on climate change impacts on the species level, this study will be helpful for further investigation of the food web dynamics in the open seas around Korea.

불확실성을 고려한 미래 잣나무의 서식 적지 분포 예측 - 종 분포 모형과 RCP시나리오를 중심으로 - (Estimating Korean Pine(Pinus koraiensis) Habitat Distribution Considering Climate Change Uncertainty - Using Species Distribution Models and RCP Scenarios -)

  • 안윤정;이동근;김호걸;박찬;김지연;김재욱
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2015
  • Climate change will make significant impact on species distribution in forest. Pinus koraiensis which is commonly called as Korean Pine is normally distributed in frigid zones. Climate change which causes severe heat could affect distribution of Korean pine. Therefore, this study predicted the distribution of Korean Pine and the suitable habitat area with consideration on uncertainty by applying climate change scenarios on an ensemble model. First of all, a site index was considered when selecting present and absent points and a stratified method was used to select the points. Secondly, environmental and climate variables were chosen by literature review and then confirmed with experts. Those variables were used as input data of BIOMOD2. Thirdly, the present distribution model was made. The result was validated with ROC. Lastly, RCP scenarios were applied on the models to create the future distribution model. As a results, each individual model shows quite big differences in the results but generally most models and ensemble models estimated that the suitable habitat area would be decreased in midterm future(40s) as well as long term future(90s).

다기준 의사결정기법의 불확실성 분석기법을 이용한 기후변화 취약성에 대한 지역별 우선순위 결정 (Spatial prioritization of climate change vulnerability using uncertainty analysis of multi-criteria decision making method)

  • 송재열;정은성
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제50권2호
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 강건성 지수와 불확실성 분석기법을 활용하여 기후변화 취약성 평가과정에서 발생하는 불확실성을 정량화하였다. 본 연구는 우리나라의 6개 광역시(부산, 대구, 인천, 광주, 대전, 울산)를 대상으로 다기준 의사결정기법 중 하나인 TOPSIS 기법을 이용하여 용수공급 취약성 순위를 산정하였다. 강건성 지수는 두 대상 도시의 순위가 가중치의 변화로 인해 순위역전현상이 발생할 수 있는 가능성을 정량화하고 불확실성 분석 기법은 두 도시 사이에 순위역전이 발생할 수 있는 가중치의 최소 변화량을 산정한다. 그 결과 인천과 대구는 용수공급 측면에서 취약한 것으로 나타났으며, 대구와 부산은 용수공급 취약성에 민감한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 대구는 다른 대안에 비해 상대적으로 용수공급이 취약한 지역으로 나타났으나, 취약성에 민감하기 때문에 기후변화 적응대책 수립 및 시행을 통해 취약성이 크게 향상될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 기후변화와 용수공급 측면에서의 적응전략을 계획하고 수립하는데 있어서 우선적으로 고려해야하는 방향을 제안하는 데 사용될 수 있다.