• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate sensitivity

Search Result 226, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Relation between Climate Variability in Korea and Two Types of El Niño, and Their Sensitivity to Definition of Two Types of El Niño (두 가지 형태의 엘니뇨 정의에 따른 한반도 기후 상관성 분석)

  • Kim, Jin-Soo;Kug, Jong-Seong;Yeh, Sang-Wook;Kim, Hyun-Kyung;Park, E-Hyung
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.89-99
    • /
    • 2014
  • Recently, several studies pointed out that there are distinct two types of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o events based on the spatial pattern of SST. Since the two types of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o have different impacts on global climate, it is quite important to identify the type to assess and predict the regional climate variability. So far, however, there are still many different definitions to identify the two types of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o from the different studies. In this study, we investigated a sensitivity of the impacts on climate variability over the Korean Peninsula corresponding to the definition of two-types of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o. After checking pre-existing definitions and other possible definition, it is suggested here that two different definitions exhibit relatively strong relationship between El Ni$\tilde{n}$o events and the Korean climate variables when two types of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o are separated. In addition to the Korean climate, the two types of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o show quite distinct global teleconnection patterns when the definitions are used.

Vulnerability Assessment and Analysis of Gangwon Provincial Forest Sector in Response to Climate Change (기후변화 대비 강원 지역 산림부문 현황 분석 및 취약성 평가)

  • Chae, Hee-Mun;Lee, Hyun-Ju;Um, Gi-Jeung
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.106-117
    • /
    • 2012
  • In an effort to analyze the impact of climate change, Gangwon provincial forest was divided into three sectors; forest ecology, forest disaster, and forest productivity and analysis of their current status from 2000 to 2009 and vulnerability assessment by climate change has been carried in this study. In case of vulnerability assessment, except for the forest ecology, forest disaster (forest fires and forest pests) and forest productivity sectors were analyzed in current status, the year of 2020, and 2050. It turned out that vulnerability of forest fires in the field of disaster would become worse and forest pests also would make more impact even though there is some variation in different areas. In case of the vulnerability of forest productivity there would be not a big difference in the future compared with current vulnerability. Systematic research on the sensitivity index used for vulnerability assessment is necessary since vulnerability assessment result greatly depends on the use of climate exposure index and adaptive capacity index.

Analysis of Climate Characteristics Observed over the Korean Peninsula for the Estimation of Climate Change Vulnerability Index (기후변화 취약성 지수 산출을 위한 한반도 관측 기후 특성 분석)

  • Nam, Ki-Pyo;Kang, Jeong-Eon;Kim, Cheol-Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.20 no.6
    • /
    • pp.891-905
    • /
    • 2011
  • Climate vulnerability index is usually defined as a function of the climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, which requires adequate selection of proxy variables of each variable. We selected and used 9 proxy variables related to climate exposure in the literature, and diagnosed the adequacy of them for application in Korean peninsula. The selected proxy variables are: four variables from temperature, three from precipitation, one from wind speed, and one from relative humidity. We collected climate data over both previous year (1981~2010) and future climate scenario (A1B scenario of IPCC SERES) for 2020, 2050, and 2100. We introduced the spatial and temporal diagnostic statistical parameters, and evaluated both spatial and time variabilities in the relative scale. Of 9 proxy variables, effective humidity indicated the most sensitive to climate change temporally with the biggest spatial variability, implying a good proxy variable in diagnostics of climate change vulnerability in Korea. The second most sensitive variable is the frequency of strong wind speed with a decreasing trend, suggesting that it should be used carefully or may not be of broad utility as a proxy variable in Korea. The A1B scenario of future climate in 2020, 2050 and 2100 matches well with the extension of linear trend of observed variables during 1981~2010, indicating that, except for strong wind speed, the selected proxy variables can be effectively used in calculating the vulnerability index for both past and future climate over Korea. Other local variabilities for the past and future climate in association with climate exposure variables are also discussed here.

Sensitivity assessment for climate change on Daecheong Dam Basin stream flow (기후변화에 따른 대청댐 상류유역의 유출 민감도 분석)

  • Seo, Hyeong-Deok;Jeong, Sang-Man;Han, Kyu-Ha;Shin, Kwang-Seob
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2008.02a
    • /
    • pp.695-698
    • /
    • 2008
  • The SWAT model was used to assess the impacts of potential future climate change on the hydrology of the Upper Geum River Basin(UGRB). Calibration and validation of SWAT were performed on a monthly basis for 1982-1995 and 1996-2005, respectively. The impact of ten 15-year(1988-2002) scenarios were then analyzed relative to a scenario baseline. Among them, scenario 1-6 were set to show the sensitivity response. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration was predicted to result in an maximum monthly flow increase of 11 percent. Non-linear impacts were predicted among precipitation change scenarios of -42, -17, 17, and 42 percent, which resulted in average annual flow changes in UGRB of -55, -24, 26, and 65 percent.

  • PDF

Influencing factors on Moral Distress in Long-term Care Hospital and Facility Nurses

  • Kim, Hyun Sook;Yu, Sujeong;Lim, Kyung Choon
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.121-130
    • /
    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to explore the level of the moral distress for nurses working in long-term care hospitals or nursing homes, and identify factors that influence the moral distress. Data were collected through self-reported questionnaires including the Korean version of Moral Distress Scale-Revised (KMDS-R), Jefferson Empathy Scale for Health professionals (K-JSE-HP), Moral Sensitivity Questionnaire (K-MSQ), and the Hospital Ethical Climate Survey (HECS). A total of 194 nurses from 11 long-term care hospitals or 27 nursing homes completed the structured questionnaires. Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics version 25. As results, the mean score for moral distress was $73.81{\pm}51.29$ in this study. The moral distress of nurses working at nursing homes was higher than that of nurses working in long-term care hospitals. Among the sub-factors of moral distress, the 'futile care' was the highest score and the 'limit to claim the ethical issue' was the lowest. The main factor affecting moral distress among nurses in this study was the ethical climate of organization. In this paper, we propose that in order to effectively reduce the moral distress of nurses working in a long-term care hospital or a nursing home, it is more impactful to address structural issues related to the caregiver workplace than to adjust individual factors.

Sensitivity of Flow Metrics to Climate Variability and Extremes in Korea

  • Kim, Jong-Suk;Jain, Shaleen;Yuk, Ji Moon;Moon, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.117-117
    • /
    • 2016
  • The natural hydrologic regime is intimately tied to the structure and function of stream and riparian ecosystems. Consequently, understanding the nature and extent of perturbations to the hydrologic regime, stemming from episodic-to-seasonal and longer-term climatic variations, as well as anthropogenic influences is an important starting point for developing an improved understanding of the coupled human-environmental systems. Herein, we pursued to explicate sensitivity of ecologically relevant flow metrics to climate variability and extremes in the five major river basins, Korea.

  • PDF

Effects of Climate Change Project Learning on Elementary School Students' Perceptions and Attitudes Toward Climate Change and Environmental Literacy (기후변화 프로젝트 학습이 초등학생의 기후변화에 대한 인식 및 태도, 환경소양에 미치는 영향)

  • Jang, Junyong;Kang, Jihoon;Yoo, Pyoungkil
    • Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
    • /
    • v.43 no.1
    • /
    • pp.158-169
    • /
    • 2024
  • This study investigated the effects of climate change project learning on elementary students' attitudes toward climate change and environmental literacy. Climate change project learning was conducted on 174 sixth-grade elementary school students in a metropolitan city (77 male, 97 female), after which their perceptions and attitudes toward climate change and environmental literacy were assessed. The climate change project learning had a positive effect on the students' perceptions and attitudes toward climate change, which was surmised because of the climate change content sharing and discussions during the project learning. The climate change project learning also had a positive effect on the students' environmental literacy, especially their environmental attitudes, values, and behavior; however, there were no statistically significant changes found for environmental sensitivity. This study highlights the educational effects and implications of environmentally focused climate change projectbased education for elementary school students.

A Study on the Vulnerability Assessment for Agricultural Infrastructure using Principal Component Analysis (주성분 분석을 이용한 농업생산기반의 재해 취약성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung Jae;Kim, Sung Min;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.55 no.1
    • /
    • pp.31-38
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate climate change vulnerability over the agricultural infrastructure in terms of flood and drought using principal component analysis. Vulnerability was assessed using vulnerability resilience index (VRI) which combines climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. Ten flood proxy variables and six drought proxy variables for the vulnerability assessment were selected by opinions of researchers and experts. The statistical data on 16 proxy variables for the local governments (Si, Do) were collected. To identify major variables and to explain the trend in whole data set, principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted. The result of PCA showed that the first 3 principal components explained approximately 83 % and 89 % of the total variance for the flood and drought, respectively. VRI assessment for the local governments based on the PCA results indicated that provinces where having the relatively large cultivation areas were categorized as vulnerable to climate change.

LONG-TERM STREAMFLOW SENSITIVITY TO RAINFALL VARIABILITY UNDER IPCC SRES CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

  • Kang, Boo-sik;Jorge a. ramirez, Jorge-A.-Ramirez
    • Water Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-99
    • /
    • 2004
  • Long term streamflow regime under virtual climate change scenario was examined. Rainfall forecast simulation of the Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM2) of the Canadian Climate Center for modeling and analysis for the IPCC SRES B2 scenario was used for analysis. The B2 scenario envisions slower population growth (10.4 billion by 2010) with a more rapidly evolving economy and more emphasis on environmental protection. The relatively large scale of GCM hinders the accurate computation of the important streamflow characteristics such as the peak flow rate and lag time, etc. The GCM rainfall with more than 100km scale was downscaled to 2km-scale using the space-time stochastic random cascade model. The HEC-HMS was used for distributed hydrologic model which can take the grid rainfall as input data. The result illustrates that the annual variation of the total runoff and the peak flow can be much greater than rainfall variation, which means actual impact of rainfall variation for the available water resources can be much greater than the extent of the rainfall variation.

  • PDF