Journal of Forest and Environmental Science

Institute of Forest Science, kangwon National University (강원대학교 산림과학연구소)
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Vulnerability Assessment and Analysis of Gangwon Provincial Forest Sector in Response to Climate Change

기후변화 대비 강원 지역 산림부문 현황 분석 및 취약성 평가

  • 채희문 (한국기후변화대응연구센터) ;
  • 이현주 (한국기후변화대응연구센터) ;
  • 엄기증 (한국기후변화대응연구센터)
  • Received : 2012.05.11
  • Accepted : 2012.05.21
  • Published : 2012.05.31
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Abstract

In an effort to analyze the impact of climate change, Gangwon provincial forest was divided into three sectors; forest ecology, forest disaster, and forest productivity and analysis of their current status from 2000 to 2009 and vulnerability assessment by climate change has been carried in this study. In case of vulnerability assessment, except for the forest ecology, forest disaster (forest fires and forest pests) and forest productivity sectors were analyzed in current status, the year of 2020, and 2050. It turned out that vulnerability of forest fires in the field of disaster would become worse and forest pests also would make more impact even though there is some variation in different areas. In case of the vulnerability of forest productivity there would be not a big difference in the future compared with current vulnerability. Systematic research on the sensitivity index used for vulnerability assessment is necessary since vulnerability assessment result greatly depends on the use of climate exposure index and adaptive capacity index.

Keywords

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