• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate impact analysis

검색결과 489건 처리시간 0.029초

기후변화에 따른 도시침수가 도시교통네트워크에 미치는 영향 예측 기술 개발 (Development of technology to predict the impact of urban inundation due to climate change on urban transportation networks)

  • 정세진;허다솜;김병식
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권12호
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    • pp.1091-1104
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    • 2022
  • 기후변화는 전 세계적으로 강우의 빈도와 강도를 증가 시킬 것으로 예측되며 급격한 도시화와 산업화로 인해 도시 지역의 내수 침수 피해로 양상이 바뀌고 있다. 이에 기후변화에 따른 영향평가는 도시계획에 매우 중요한 요소로 언급되고 있으며, 세계기상기구(WMO)는 기상 현상으로부터 발생할 수 있는 사회, 경제적 영향을 고려하는 영향예보의 필요성을 강조하고 있다. 특히 교통에 있어서 도시침수로 인한 교통 시스템의 성능 저하는 사회에 가장 해로운 요소이며 영향을 받는 주요 도로마다 시간당 £ 100k 정도인 것으로 추정하고 있다. 그러나 국내의 경우 현재 기상재해의 발생에 대한 정확한 예보 및 특보를 제공해도 그 영향을 제대로 전달하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 도시홍수의 침수심을 제시하고 차량에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 피해에 대처하기 위해 각 지역의 고해상도 분석 및 수문학적 요인을 반영하고, 강우로 인한 홍수 정도와 차량 운행에 미치는 영향 정도를 조사할 필요가 있다고 판단하였다. 이에 강우-침수심-차량속도의 산정식을 간단한 선형회귀식이 아닌 다양한 머신러닝 기법을 이용하여 제시하고자 한다. 또한 또한 기후변화 시나리오를 강우-침수심-차량속도 산정식에 적용하여 집중호우 시 도시하천의 침수를 예측하고 미래 기후변화의 영향을 고려한 도로 침수로 인해 발생할 수 있는 교통 네트워크의 장애를 평가하며, 도시 교통흐름 계획에 이용하는 기술을 개발하고자 한다.

농어촌용수 및 농업생산기반시설의 실태조사에 따른 기후변화 영향 분석 (Analysis on the Impact of Climate Change on the Survey of Rural Water District and Agricultural Production Infrastructure)

  • 김수진;배승종;최진용;김성필;은상규;유승환;장태일;고남영;황세운;김성준;박태선;정경훈;송석호
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권5호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to effective survey on actual condition for impact and vulnerability assessment on climate change in agriculture and rural community (limited to rural water and agricultural infrastructure, Paragraph 3, Article 2 of the Rearrangement of Agricultural and Fishing Villages Act) entrusted to Korea Rural Community Corporation based on the Law (Paragraph 2, Article 47 of the Framework Act on Agriculture, Rural community and Food industry). The results are summarized as follows. The rural water was divided into three categories (abnormal climate, water use, and flood control), and 31 indicators were selected. The reservoirs were divided into four categories, and 20 indicators were selected. The pumping stations were divided into two categories, 7 indicators, and the drainage pump stations were divided into two categories, 5 indicators were chosen. A survey on actual condition of each indicator was conducted and the result of the impact assessment was calculated. The 65 rural water showed values ranged from 0.855 to 1.308. The reservoir ranged from 0.966 to 23.338 as a result of the impact assessment on the 16 indicators. The pumping station was able to calculate the results of the safety inspection and the thorough safety inspection, and the drainage pump station was able to calculate only the result of the safety inspection. It is judged that it will be necessary to secure and analyze data on indicators with no data in the future. The results of this research can be utilized as baseline data that can deal with climate change preemptively.

시흥시 기후변화 취약성 평가 연구 (A Study on Vulnerability Assessment to Climate Change in Siheung-si)

  • 윤성권;최봉석;전의찬
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 시흥시의 기후변화에 대한 영향을 최소화하고, 시흥시 기후변화 대응계획을 수립하기 위한 연구로 시흥시 15개 동을 대상으로 취약성 평가를 실시하였다. 본 연구에서는 기후노출, 민감도, 적응능력 3가지 지표를 활용하여 지자체의 기후변화 취약성을 분석하였으며, 각각 지표별로 선정된 대리변수들을 활용하였다. 기후노출 지표 값 계산을 위해 기상청 기후변화정보센터에서 제공하는 전자기후도의 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 남한상세 시나리오를 활용해서 시흥시의 기상자료를 활용하였고, 미래에도 이러한 추세가 지속할 것이라는 가정을 통해 분석하였다. 시흥시 취약성 평가결과, 시흥시는 풍수해 및 집중호우 시 도로와 농경지의 침수에 취약하고, 여름철 폭염으로 인한 건강 영향에 주의가 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화 영향은 도시의 대응능력에 따라 피해규모와 크기가 다른 만큼 영향 파악과 취약성 분석을 통해, 대책을 마련하는 연구가 필요하다. 본 시흥시 취약성 평가 연구는 시흥시의 기후변화 대응계획에 활용하고, 그에 따른 정책의 우선순위를 판단할 때 참고자료로 활용할 수 있고, 전국 228개 기초지자체에서 기후변화에 대응하기 위한 취약성 평가 연구를 진행하는 데 도움을 줄 것으로 기대한다.

동북아 지역에서 중국의 미래 배출량 변화가 오존농도와 보건에 미치는 영향 (Impact of Future Chinese Emissions on Ozone Air Quality and Human Health in Northeast Asia)

  • 김현국;유영숙;우정헌;홍성철;김덕래;서정현;신명환;김상균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.451-463
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    • 2016
  • We explore the impact of Chinese future air pollutant emissions on ozone air quality in Northeast Asia (NEA) and health in South-Korea using an assessment framework including ICAMS (The Integrated Climate and Air Quality Modeling System) and BenMAP (The Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program). The emissions data sets from the climate change scenarios, the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (emission scenarios, EMSO), are used to simulate ozone air quality in NEA in the current (1996~2005, 2000s), the near future (2016~2025, 2020s) and the distant future (2046~2055, 2050s). Furthermore, the simulated ozone changes in the 2050s are used to analyze ozone-related premature mortality and economic cost in South-Korea. While different EMSOs are applied to the China region, fixed EMSO are used for other country regions to isolate the impacts of the Chinese emissions. Predicted ozone changes in NEA are distinctively affected by large changes in NOx emission over most of China region. Comparing the 2020s with the 2000s situation, the largest increase in mean ozone concentrations in NEA is simulated under RCP 8.5 and similarly small increases are under other RCPs. In the 2050s in NEA, the largest increase in mean ozone concentrations is simulated under RCP 6.0 and leads to the occurrence of the highest premature mortalities and economic costs in South-Korea. Whereas, the largest decrease is simulated under RCP 4.5 leads to the highest avoided premature mortality numbers and economic costs. Our results suggest that continuous reduction of NOx emissions across the China region under an assertive climate change mitigation scenario like RCP 4.5 leads to improved future ozone air quality and health benefits in the NEA countries including South-Korea.

기후변화 대응시대의 도시개발방향과 시사점 (The Direction and Implication of Urban Development in the Age of Response Climate Change)

  • 오은열
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 대응하는 도시개발의 실천적 실행을 위해서 기후위험요인 측면과 환경적인 측면으로 대별하여 도시개발 방향과 시사점을 제시하는데 목적을 두었다. 연구방법으로는 정성적인 자료조사와 분석을 통해 이루어졌다. 연구결과, 기후위험요인에 따른 도시개발방향은 도시계획수립시 기후변화 영향을 통합적으로 고려할 수 있는 지역별 부문별 영향 및 취약성 분석을 실시함으로써 자연재난에 대한 피해예방 시스템 구축과 자연재해 위험도 분석을 실시해 도시개발을 할 수 있는 여건 마련의 중요성을 강조하였다. 환경적측면의 도시개발방향은 친환경적인 도시개발을 위해서는 도시계획수립시 대중교통지향적인 도시개발(TOD, Transit­oriented Development)의 추진이 지속가능하고 실행적인 도시개발을 실현하는데 그 필요성을 제시하였다. 향후 연구방향은 보다 더 정량적이고 실증적인 규명을 위한 연구가 보완되어야 할 것이다.

A study on the Beehive Door Opening and Closing System using a Hornet Sound Analysis

  • Kim, Joon Ho;Han, Wook;Chung, Wonki
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.393-396
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    • 2022
  • Recently, rapid climate change has had a significant impact on the ecosystem of honeybees. In addition, the problem of Vespa Hornets invasion of colonies has a fatal impact on the bee ecosystem, independent of climate change. Especially in late summer. This study relates to a method for preventing Vespa Hornets attack. In this study, we developed a Vespa Hornets sound detection device was developed by collecting and analyzing the sound of a Vespa Hornets and applying IoT technology. The developed device detects the sound of a Vespa Hornets when Vespa Hornets appears around the hive of the bees and sends a signal to automatically close the door of the beehive. The device that receives the signal drives the motor that controls the honeycomb door to close the beehive door. The Vespa Hornets sound detection device operates until no Vespa Hornets sound is detected. The system developed by us is expected to be installed in the beehives of actual beekeeping farms to dramatically reduce the damage caused by by Vespa Hornets.

Uncertainty Analysis in Hydrologic and Climate Change Impact Assessment in Streamflow of Upper Awash River Basin

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeonjun;Jang, Cheolhee;Park, Sanghyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2019
  • The study will quantify the total uncertainties in streamflow and precipitation projections for Upper Awash River Basin located in central Ethiopia. Three hydrological models (GR4J, CAT, and HBV) will be used to simulate the streamflow considering two emission scenarios, six high-resolution GCMs, and two downscaling methods. The readily available hydrometeorological data will be applied as an input to the three hydrological models and the potential evapotranspiration will be estimated using the Penman-Monteith Method. The SCE-UA algorithm implemented in PEST will be used to calibrate the three hydrological models. The total uncertainty including the incremental uncertainty at each stage (emission scenarios and model) will be presented after assessing a total of 24 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2$) high-resolution precipitation projections and 72 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2{\times}3$) streamflow projections for the study basin. Finally, the primary causes that generate uncertainties in future climate change impact assessments will be identified and a conclusion will be made based on the finding of the study.

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Influence of climate change on crop water requirements to improve water management and maize crop productivity

  • Adeola, Adeyemi Khalid;Adelodun, Bashir;Odey, Golden;Choi, Kyung Sook
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.126-126
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    • 2022
  • Climate change has continued to impact meteorological factors like rainfall in many countries including Nigeria. Thus, altering the rainfall patterns which subsequently affect the crop yield. Maize is an important cereal grown in northern Nigeria, along with sorghum, rice, and millet. Due to the challenge of water scarcity during the dry season, it has become critical to design appropriate strategies for planning, developing, and management of the limited available water resources to increase the maize yield. This study, therefore, determines the quantity of water required to produce maize from planting to harvesting and the impact of drought on maize during different growth stages in the region. Rainfall data from six rain gauge stations for a period of 36 years (1979-2014) was considered for the analysis. The standardized precipitation and evapotranspiration index (SPEI) is used to evaluate the severity of drought. Using the CROPWAT model, the evapotranspiration was calculated using the Penman-Monteith method, while the crop water requirements (CWRs) and irrigation scheduling for the maize crop was also determined. Irrigation was considered for 100% of critical soil moisture loss. At different phases of maize crop growth, the model predicted daily and monthly crop water requirements. The crop water requirement was found to be 319.0 mm and the irrigation requirement was 15.5 mm. The CROPWAT 8.0 model adequately estimated the yield reduction caused by water stress and climatic impacts, which makes this model appropriate for determining the crop water requirements, irrigation planning, and management.

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Qualitative Content Approach: Impact of Organizational Climate on Employee Capability

  • KANG, Eungoo
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - The corporate culture's energy is recognized to go through the company and facilitate a new balance to realize success, which means that the culture in an environment of various organizations affects the performance of its employees. The purpose of the current research is to investigate the impact of organizational culture on employee performance. Research design, data, and methodology - The current research conducted a qualitative content analysis. The primary research approach applied by qualitative content analysis is an inductive methodology, and this approach is a type of reasoning that seeks the application of logic, which later helps develop a theory that will guide the future research. Result - Research findings of the present study indicated that five solutions to the problems encountered through the execution of culture are attached to how effective the organizational culture are when workers execute. Thus, culture is realized to boost structure, because the structure of an organization elevates the behavior of the organization. Conclusion - Workers will be aware of both the negative and positive implications of executing culture in the organization. Therefore, organization managers must learn that various employees are vital people in their vicinity, and creating a culture that would make a good rapport with them is vital.

Quantitative Analysis of Human Impact on River Runoff in the Laohahe Basin through the Conceptual Xin'anjiang Model

  • Ren, Liliang;Vu, Van Nghi;Yuan, Fei;Li, Chunhong;Wang, Jixin
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2007년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2007
  • Due to a decreasing tendency of river runoff in the Laohahe River basin in North China, quantitative analysis was made with the aid of the conceptual Xinanjiang model under the background of nature climate variability as well as human-induced climate change according to the long-term observational hydrometeorological data. In the past, the human effect on surface water resources was estimated by investigating the impact of human activities on each item in the equation of water balance, so as to calculate water quantity of each item in the original natural status. It seems to be clear conceptually. It is appropriate just for the case of direct impact, such as water transfer from one basin to another, water storage by various scales of hydraulic projects, besides a huge amount of investigation and indeterminate statistics data when applied in practice. It is difficult for us to compute directly water consumption due to the implementation of measures for soil conservation, the improvement of farming techniques in agriculture, the growth of population in towns and villages, and the change of socioeconomic structure. In view of such situation, the Xinanjiang model was used to separate human impact from the climatic impact on water resources. Quantitatively human activity made river runoff decrease by 1.02, 50.67, 58.06 mm in 1960's, 1970's, 1980's, respectively, while by 97.2 mm in 1990's in the sense of annual average in the Laohahe River basin.

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