• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate Analysis

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Analysis of Precipitation Characteristics of Regional Climate Model for Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources (기후변화에 따른 수자원 영향 평가를 위한 Regional Climate Model 강수 계열의 특성 분석)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5B
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2008
  • Global circulation models (GCMs) have been used to study impact of climate change on water resources for hydrologic models as inputs. Recently, regional circulation models (RCMs) have been used widely for climate change study, but the RCMs have been rarely used in the climate change impacts on water resources in Korea. Therefore, this study is intended to use a set of climate scenarios derived by RegCM3 RCM ($27km{\times}27km$), which is operated by Korea Meteorological Administration. To begin with, the RCM precipitation data surrounding major rainfall stations are extracted to assess validation of the scenarios in terms of reproducing low frequency behavior. A comprehensive comparison between observation and precipitation scenario is performed through statistical analysis, wavelet transform analysis and EOF analysis. Overall analysis confirmed that the precipitation data driven by RegCM3 shows capabilities in simulating hydrological low frequency behavior and reproducing spatio-temporal patterns. However, it is found that spatio-temporal patterns are slightly biased and amplitudes (variances) from the RCMs precipitation tend to be lower than the observations. Therefore, a bias correction scheme to correct the systematic bias needs to be considered in case the RCMs are applied to water resources assessment under climate change.

Analysis of Inundation Area in the Agricultural Land under Climate Change through Coupled Modeling for Upstream and Downstream (상·하류 연계 모의를 통한 기후변화에 따른 농경지 침수면적 변화 분석)

  • Park, Seongjae;Kwak, Jihye;Kim, Jihye;Kim, Seokhyeon;Lee, Hyunji;Kim, Sinae;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2024
  • Extreme rainfall will become intense due to climate change, increasing inundation risk to agricultural land. Hydrological and hydraulic simulations for the entire watershed were conducted to analyze the impact of climate change. Rainfall data was collected based on past weather observation and SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathway)5-8.5 climate change scenarios. Simulation for flood volume, reservoir operation, river level, and inundation of agricultural land was conducted through K-HAS (KRC Hydraulics & Hydrology Analysis System) and HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Center - River Analysis System). Various scenarios were selected, encompassing different periods of rainfall data, including the observed period (1973-2022), near-term future (2021-2050), mid-term future (2051-2080), and long-term future (2081-2100), in addition to probabilistic precipitation events with return periods of 20 years and 100 years. The inundation area of the Aho-Buin district was visualized through GIS (Geographic Information System) based on the results of the flooding analysis. The probabilistic precipitation of climate change scenarios was calculated higher than that of past observations, which affected the increase in reservoir inflow, river level, inundation time, and inundation area. The inundation area and inundation time were higher in the 100-year frequency. Inundation risk was high in the order of long-term future, near-term future, mid-term future, and observed period. It was also shown that the Aho and Buin districts were vulnerable to inundation. These results are expected to be used as fundamental data for assessing the risk of flooding for agricultural land and downstream watersheds under climate change, guiding drainage improvement projects, and making flood risk maps.

Uncertainty Characteristics in Future Prediction of Agrometeorological Indicators using a Climatic Water Budget Approach (기후학적 물수지를 적용한 기후변화에 따른 농업기상지표 변동예측의 불확실성)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Hong, Eun-Mi;Choi, Jin-Yong;Cho, Jaepil;Hayes, Michael J.
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2015
  • The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR5, is the most recent, provides projections of future climate change using various global climate models under four major greenhouse gas emission scenarios. There is a wide selection of climate models available to provide projections of future climate change. These provide for a wide range of possible outcomes when trying to inform managers about possible climate changes. Hence, future agrometeorological indicators estimation will be much impacted by which global climate model and climate change scenarios are used. Decision makers are increasingly expected to use climate information, but the uncertainties associated with global climate models pose substantial hurdles for agricultural resources planning. Although it is the most reasonable that quantifying of the future uncertainty using climate change scenarios, preliminary analysis using reasonable factors for selecting a subset for decision making are needed. In order to narrow the projections to a handful of models that could be used in a climate change impact study, we could provide effective information for selecting climate model and scenarios for climate change impact assessment using maximum/minimum temperature, precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, and moisture index of nine Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios.

Validity Assessment of the Persian Version of the Nordic Safety Climate Questionnaire (NOSACQ-50): A Case Study in a Steel Company

  • Yousefi, Yadolah;Jahangiri, Mehdi;Choobineh, Alireza;Tabatabaei, Hamidreza;Keshavarzi, Sareh;Shams, Ali;Mohammadi, Younes
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.326-330
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    • 2016
  • Background: The Nordic Safety Climate Questionnaire-50 (NOSACQ-50) was developed by a team of Nordic occupational safety researchers based on safety climate and psychological theories. The aim of this study was to develop and validate the Persian version of NOSACQ-50 and assess the score of safety climate on a group of workers in a steel company in Iran. Methods: The Persian version of NOSACQ-50 was distributed among 661 employees of a steel company in Qazvin Province (Iran). Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and confirmatory factor analysis were used to determine the dimensions of the questionnaire. The reliability of the questionnaire was assessed using Cronbach ${\alpha}$ coefficient. Pearson correlation test was applied to investigate the correlation between different dimensions. Results: The results of EFA showed that the Persian version of NOSACQ-50 consisted of six dimensions. The Cronbach ${\alpha}$ coefficient of the questionnaire was 0.94. The mean score of safety climate in all dimensions was 2.89 (standard deviation 0.60). Conclusion: The Persian version of NOSACQ-50 had a satisfactory validity for measuring safety climate in the studied Iranian population.

Safety Oimate Practice and its Affecting Variables in the Chemical Process Industry (화학공정산업에서 안전문화 이행과 영향 변수)

  • Baek, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.4 s.76
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2006
  • The major purpose of this paper to identify safety climate practices, and to find the affecting variables that influence to the difference in the level of safety climate between plants and employees. And this paper attempted to find the interventions for improving safety climate in the chemical plants. The questionnaires were developed from literature review, especially made by HSE(Health and Safety Executive) in the UK and distributed to managers and workers. The frequency analysis was applied for identifying the level of safety climate. The affecting variables(plant size, accident occurrence, accident experience, injury experience and severity, and length of employment) are tested through analysis of variance(ANOVA). The results of frequency analysis showed that both managers and workers recorded generally high level of safety climate, and the major underlying problems are inadequate H&S procedures/rules, pressure for production, and rule breaking. According to the outcomes of ANOVA, the variable 'length of employment' is the only variable which makes the level of safety climate different. From the survey of safety climate practice, this study finds the level of safety climate and three major underlying problems in safety climate factors of the responded plants, and presents two interventions for improving safety performance. Despite of these outcomes, the applied factors are remained questionable for reflecting as the best ones for identifying safety climate in the chemical industry. In addition, the bias caused by self-report exist in the reliability of the response, and the equivalent size of respondents.

Analysis of the Textbook Contents Related to the Action Competence on Climate Change(ACoCC) of the 2015 Revised Middle School 「Technology & Home Economics」 Curriculum and the Suggestions for Improvements of Activity Tasks (2015 개정 교육과정 중학교 「기술·가정」 교과서에 나타난 기후변화 대응 실천역량 분석 및 활동과제 개선 방안)

  • Jo, Yoon-Jeong;Han, Ju
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.95-113
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the 'Action Competence on Climate Change(ACoCC)' shown in 12 types of middle school 「Technology & Home Economics」 textbooks written according to the 2015 revised curriculum, and to suggest ways to improve the activity tasks. According to the results of the analysis, first, the 'knowledge on climate change' was the most frequently mentioned, and 'climate change communication' was the least frequently mentioned in the textbook among ACoCC. Second, all 12 textbooks dealt with 'knowledge about climate change' most frequently, yet the frequency of mentioning other competencies differed by publisher. In relation to the core concepts, the ACoCCs were most often discussed in the 'Management,' yet never discussed in the 'Life Design' at all. In relation to the academic sub-fields of home economics, the 'clothing life' showed the highest frequency of mentioning ACoCCs, while 'family life' the lowest frequency. Based on the results of the above analysis, it was suggested that the capacity to respond to climate change should be dealt with in the overall fields of home economics education. This study has implications as a basic study related to climate change in home economics education, and it is expected that various research and educational programs in home economics education that focus on climate change mitigation are implemented in the future.

Effect of Anxiety about Climate Change on Life Satisfaction and Mediating Effect of Subjective Health Status (노인의 기후변화 불안감이 생활만족도에 미치는 영향과 주관적 건강의 매개효과)

  • Lee, Sungeun
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to examine effect of anxiety about climate change on life satisfaction and mediating effect of subjective health status between anxiety about climate change and life satisfaction among older persons. Methods: This study used data from Statistics Korea 2018 Social Survey and a total of 7,870 older persons aged 65 and over were selected for the analyses. Descriptive statistics was used to identify characteristics of study participants and correlation analysis was used to examine the associations among anxiety about climate change, subjective health status, and life satisfaction. Also, multiple regression analyses were performed to examine effect of anxiety about climate change on life satisfaction and mediating effect of subjective health status between anxiety about climate change and life satisfaction. Results: Study findings show that anxiety about climate change had significant effect on life satisfaction. A higher level of anxiety decreased the level of life satisfaction of the elderly. A higher level of anxiety about climate change also decreased the level of subjective health status. In addition, the effect of anxiety about climate change on life satisfaction was partially mediated by subjective health status. Conclusions: Findings of the study suggest that the needs of older population should be considered in designing policy and interventions on climate change.

Analysis of Methodologies for Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Measures (기후변화 적응대책 우선순위 선정을 위한 방법론 분석)

  • Chae, Yeora;Jo, Hyun-Ju
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.23-44
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    • 2013
  • Climate change affects human and natural environment. Many countries, including Korea, are trying to develop climate change adaptation strategies to minimize adverse impacts of climate change. To deal with climate change efficiently, decisions have to be made among many options. The objectives of this paper is to analyzes methodologies for prioritizing climate change adaptation measures. Each methodology has strength and weakness and information requirements are differ. We find multi-criteria analysis is one of useful tools considering current level of understanding on climate change adaptation. We suggest climate change risks(timing, likelihood, intensity of climate change impacts), feasibility of policy (equity, main-streaming, democracy), effectiveness (economic effectiveness, co-benefits, propagation effects) of adaptation measures as main evaluation criteria of prioritization.

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Projection of Extreme Precipitation at the end of 21st Century over South Korea based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) (대표농도경로 (RCP)에 따른 21세기 말 우리나라 극한강수 전망)

  • Sung, Jang Hyun;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Park, Suhee;Cho, ChunHo;Bae, Deg Hyo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.221-231
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    • 2012
  • Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) are the latest emission scenarios recommended to use for the fifth assessment report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. This study investigates the projection of extreme precipitation in South Korea during the forthcoming 21st Century using the generalized extreme value (GEV) analysis based on two different RCP conditions i.e., RCP 4.5 and 8.5. Maximum daily precipitation required for GEV analysis for RCP 4.5 and 8.5 are obtained from a high-resolution regional climate model forced by the corresponding global climate projections, which are produced within the CMIP5 framework. We found overall increase in frequency of extreme precipitation over South Korea in association with climate change. Particularly, daily extreme precipitation that has been occurred every 20 years in current climate (1980~2005) is likely to happen about every 4.3 and 3.4 years by the end of 21st Century (2070~2099) under the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 conditions, respectively.

An Effectiveness Analysis of Climate Change Policy in South Korea (한국 기후변화정책의 효과분석)

  • Jeong, Dai-Yeun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.585-600
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    • 2011
  • South Korean central government has launched the first comprehensive climate change policies in 1999, and they have been renewed every three year. The third policies ended in 2007. However, it is quite rare to analyze whether the climate change policies are effective against climate change. In this context, this paper aims at analyzing the effectiveness of climate change policy which was launched for seven years from 1999 to 2007 in South Korea. The effectiveness analysis of policy can be done in terms of the individual policy and/or all policies being synthesized as a comprehensive unit. Employing the latter methodology, this paper analyzed the effectiveness on the basis of economic growth as independent variable, greenhouse gas emission as dependent variable, and energy use and its process as intervening variable. Seven analytic indicators covering the three variables were selected on the basis of two points in time before and after climate change policy having been launched. The seven indicators were analyzed in terms of three aspects. They were the change in the state of each indicator, the effectiveness of climate change policy from 1999 to 2007, and the effectiveness process from 1999 to 2007. The effectiveness process was analyzed in terms of the relational context and its flow processing path. Economic growth was advanced remarkably with increase in the total consumption of energy. As a result, greenhouse gas emission increased. However, energy efficiency increased with significant decrease in energy intensity, carbon intensity, and energy elasticity. The expansion of new and renewable energy over total energy supply was not effective significantly on the decrease in greenhouse gas emission. The processing path of climate change policy being effective advanced toward increase in energy efficiency through energy intensity rather than toward sustainable development. Such a way of the effectiveness of climate change policy implies that most policies focused on adaptation rather than on mitigation.