• Title/Summary/Keyword: Choice Simulation

검색결과 347건 처리시간 0.028초

SIMULATION OF TRUNCATED GAMMA VARIABLES

  • Chung, Youn-Shik
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.691-700
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    • 1998
  • Simulation algorithms for one-sided and two-sided trun-cated gamma distributions are proposed. These algorithms suggest the optimal choice of derived functions. Some results of simulation are given. Finally an application with real data is presented.

EBA 모형을 활용한 유사 컨조인트 분석 (Conjoint-like Analysis Using Elimination-by-Aspects Model)

  • 박상준
    • 경영과학
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2008
  • Conjoint Analysis is marketers' favorite methodology for finding out how buyers make trade-offs among competing products and suppliers. Thousands of applications of conjoint analysis have been carried out over the past three decades. The conjoint analysis has been so popular as a management decision tool due to the availability of a choice simulator. A conjoint simulator enables managers to perform 'what if' question accompanying the output of a conjoint study. Traditionally the First Choice Model (FCM) has been widely used as a choice simulator. The FCM is simple to do, easy to understand. In the FCM, the probability of an alternative is zero until its value is greater than others in the set. Once its value exceeds that threshold, however, it receives 100%. The LOGIT simulation model, which is also called as "Share of Preference", has been used commonly as an alternative of the FCM. In the model part worth utilities aren't required to be positive. Besides, it doesn't require part worth utilities computed under LOGIT model. The simulator can be used based on regression, monotone regression, linear programming, and so on. However, it is not free from the Independent from Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) problem. This paper proposes the EBA (Elimination-By-Aspects) model as a useful conjoint-like method. One advantage of the EBA model is that it models choice in terms of the actual psychological processes that might be taking place. According to EBA, when choosing from choice objects, a person chooses one of the aspects that are effective for the objects and eliminates all objects which do not have this aspect. This process continues until only one alternative remains.

주민참여형 수상태양광 발전사업에 대한 국민 선호도 분석: 선택실험법을 이용하여 (Analyzing Public Preference for Community-Based Floating Photovoltaic Projects: A Discrete Choice Experiment Approach)

  • 이혜리;우종률
    • Current Photovoltaic Research
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2022
  • The need for floating photovoltaic is being emphasized to expand renewable energy but low residents' acceptance is a major obstacle to the deployment of floating photovoltaic. Using the discrete choice experiment, this study analyzed the preferences for community-based floating photovoltaic projects and proposed a method to increase the residents' acceptance of floating photovoltaic projects. The estimates of the marginal willingness to accept (MWTA) of the distance, the coverage ratio, the landscape, the project owner (public institution), and the project owner (large company) are -0.69%p/km, 0.13%p/%p, -0.57%p, -2.95%p, -1.73%p, respectively. According to the result of simulation analysis, the residents' acceptance is significantly higher when the project is operated by a public institution, with a choice probability of 58%, than when the project is operated by a private company, with a choice probability of 29%, 12% for a large and small company, respectively. In addition, as a result of the analysis of the expected returns, the results show that the closer the distance from the residence to the power plant, the higher the expected return.

Bootstrap Bandwidth Selection Methods for Local Linear Jump Detector

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.579-590
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    • 2012
  • Local linear jump detection in a discontinuous regression function involves the choice of the bandwidth and the performance of a local linear jump detector depends heavily on the choice of the bandwidth. However, little attention has been paid to this important issue. In this paper we propose two fully data adaptive bandwidth selection methods for a local linear jump detector. The performance of the proposed methods are investigated through a simulation study.

Basic Study of Glimm's Algorithm for Green Water Simulation

  • Han Ju-Chull;Lee Seung-Keun;Lee Gyoung-Woo
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제28권9호
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    • pp.809-813
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    • 2004
  • Experiments revealed that green water phenomena resemble dam-break, in which flow over deck edge forms a vertical wall of water and suddenly falls down into deck. In this paper the dam breaking problems were formulated using Glimm's algorithm, so-rolled, Random Choice method and, several validations were presented.

소비자 선택을 고려한 신기술 혁신의 확산 예측: 한국의 홈네트워킹 시장을 대상으로 (Forecasting the Evolution of Innovation Considering Consumers' Choice : An Application of Home-Networking Market in Korea)

  • 이철용;이정동;김연배
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2005
  • This paper applies a prelaunch forecasting model to the Home-Networking (HN) market of South Korea. The HN market of Korea is categorized into two distinctive markets. One HN market consists of new apartments in which builders install HN and the other HN market consists of existing houses in which residents purchase HN Among these markets, this paper focuses on existing houses as capturing consumers' choice. To forecast sales of HN for existing houses, we use a conjoint model based on our survey data of consumer preferences. By incorporating various indicators of HN technologies into our conjoint model, we also forecast diffusion of HN system embodied in PLC or Wireless Lan. We call this model Choice-Based Diffusion Model. In addition, based on the simulation experiments, we also identify important factors that affect the demands of HN system.

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Simulation System for Earthmoving Operation with Traffic Flow

  • Kyoungmin Kim;Kyong Ju Kim;Hyeon Jeong Cho;Sang Kyu Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1359-1363
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    • 2009
  • The object of this research is to develop a simulation system for earthmoving operations in consideration of the impact of congestion in-between equipment and existing traffic flow around the site. The congestion in-between equipment and traffic flow affect work productivity. The conventional discrete event simulation, however, has limitations in simulating the flow of construction equipment. To consider the impact of congestion in-between equipment and existing traffic flow, in this paper, a multi-agent based simulation model that can realize characteristics of truck behavior more accurately to consider the impact of congestion was proposed. In this simulation model, multiple agents can identify environmental changes and adapt themselves to the new environment. This modeling approach is a better choice for this problem since it describes behavioral characteristics of each agent by sensing changes in dynamic surroundings. This study suggests a detailed system design of the multi-agent based simulation system.

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시뮬레이션 최적화 기법과 절삭공정에의 응용 (Simulation Optimization Methods with Application to Machining Process)

  • 양병희
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1994
  • For many practical and industrial optimization problems where some or all of the system components are stochastic, the objective functions cannot be represented analytically. Therefore, modeling by computer simulation is one of the most effective means of studying such complex systems. In this paper, with discussion of simulation optimization techniques, a case study in machining process for application of simulation optimization is presented. Most of optimization techniques can be classified as single-or multiple-response techniques. The optimization of single-response category, these strategies are gradient based search methods, stochastic approximate method, response surface method, and heuristic search methods. In the multiple-response category, there are basically five distinct strategies for treating the responses and finding the optimum solution. These strategies are graphical method, direct search method, constrained optimization, unconstrained optimization, and goal programming methods. The choice of the procedure to employ in simulation optimization depends on the analyst and the problem to be solved.

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Mandibular Reconstruction using Simulation Surgery after Segmental Mandibulectomy

  • Hwang, Jong-Hyun;Kim, Ji-Wan;Ahn, Kang-Min
    • Journal of International Society for Simulation Surgery
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.12-15
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    • 2016
  • Functional and esthetic reconstruction after segmental mandibulectomy is one of the most challenging surgeries in microsurgical reconstruction field. Simulation surgery before free flap reconstruction has been performed for efficient surgery and successful results. Fibula free flap is the flap of the choice for reconstruction of the segmental mandibular defect. Straight nature of the fibula bone requires multiple segmentations to fit into mandible. 3D rapid prototype (RP) model gives a lot of information for mandibular reconstruction. The purpose of this study was to report mandibular reconstruction with free fibular flap using simulation surgery. A total of 30 consecutive patients were included for functional and esthetic evaluation. Among 30 patients, two flaps showed necrosis after radiotherapy. The other flaps were all survived and showed successful reconstruction in both function and esthetics.