• 대한교통학회지
• /
• 제13권4호
• /
• pp.79-103
• /
• 1995

The elasticity of a model is considered most important. Without showing the proper elasticity any model cannot provide useful information for decision making. This paper demonstrates a macro model which can generate dynamic transport informations every 15 minutes. Without the Wardrop principles and the monotonicity assumptions for the link travel time and link volume relationship, the basic elements of this new modeling approache are composed of link density simulation, stochastic incremental route choice, departure time choice, destination choice and mode choice. The elasticity of the proposed model is examined based on elasticity equations and simulation results. Also the transferability from a mega city like Seoul to a big city like Daejon is demonstrated for the choice model. The issues centering around the dynamic relations among density(k), speed(u), and flow rate(v) are also discussed for the modeling of highly congested situations.

• 대한교통학회지
• /
• 제13권3호
• /
• pp.19-33
• /
• 1995

Conventional traffic assignment techniques usually do not consider traveler's route choice behavior affected by hierachicla strucfture in urban highway system. This study realizes the route choice behavior such that travelers tend to choose more higher level of highway rather than lower level of highway for longer trops. Otherwise, for shorter trips, travelers tend to choose lower level of highway unless they can get sufficient travel time saving by using mojor arterial street or freeway (higher level of highway). Therefore, this study suggests a traffic assignment technique incorrporating route choice behavior related to hierachical highway structure by introducing some perception costs to generalized cost function such as perceptional preference measureemnt for higher level higheay and perceptional penalty when changing to different level of highway. Through simulation analysis, it is shown that the simulation results with the new traffic assignment echnique can be different a lot from the results with the convential method.

• 토지주택연구
• /
• 제1권1호
• /
• pp.75-82
• /
• 2010

도시개발은 불투수면적의 증가를 가져오는 요인이다. 영구저류지는 도시개발 유역의 우수유출을 저감시키는 시설이다. 본 연구에서는 사전재해영향성 제도에서 합리적인 홍수조절방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 먼저 홍수량 계산에서 도달시간 채택에 관한 문제점을 고찰하였다. 홍수유출 모의모형의 적합성 검토는 전원유역과 도시유역에 대하여 수행되었다. 홍수유출 모의모형은 2009년 7월 7일과 9일의 실제 호우 시 측정자료를 통하여 검증되었다. 그 결과, 전원유역과 도시유역에 적합한 모형은 각각 운동파 모형과 SWMM인 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구에서 수행한 홍수량 산정모형과 합리적인 홍수설계 방안은 국내의 영구저류지 설계 시 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다. 수문학적 분석방법은 영구저류지의 합리적인 용량 및 규모산정에 활용될 것으로 사료된다.

• 한국조경학회지
• /
• 제28권1호
• /
• pp.19-28
• /
• 2000

The purposes of this study are two folds: a) to introduce conjoint choice model to research the choice behavior of theme park users, and b) to suggest the strategies to strengthen the competitiveness of theme parks. The major four theme parks in Seoul metropolitan areas were selected as study areas. A leading polling agency was employed to select 432 respondents by probability sampling and to conduct face-to-face interview. Both alternative generating and choice set generating fractional factorial design were conducted simultaneously to meet the necessary and sufficient conditions for calibration of the conjoint choice model. Dummy coding was used to represent the attribute levels, and the alternative-specific model was calibrated. The goodness-of-fit of the model was quite satisfactory($\rho$$^2$=0.47950), and most parameters values had to expected sign and magnitude. Car was preferred transport mode to shuttle bus for visiting theme parks ; however the most ideal attribute levels only were estimated significantly. Most attribute levels of shuttle bus were estimated significantly except the Dream Land, which is the least attractive park among study areas. Simulation results showed that the shuttle bus was a mode worth providing to switch the current car dominant visiting pattern of theme parks, which will be one the effective strategies to attract more patrons, especially for potential users adjacent to parks. Several ideals were suggested for future researches, in terms of utilization of more general utility function and new base alternative, and inclusion of more salient attributes such as constraints in the model.

• 대한교통학회지
• /
• 제24권6호
• /
• pp.89-102
• /
• 2006

정적 기 종점 통행량을 가정함으로써 갖는 동적 시뮬레이션 모형의 현실 모사 능력의 한계를 극복하기 위하여 동적 기 종점 통행량 추정 모형을 개발하였다 동적 기 종점 통행량 추정은 통행자의 출발시간, 통행수단. 통행경로 선택 행태모형을 결합한 복합통행행태 수요시뮬레이션 모형을 이용하였다 본 연구에서 개발된 수요 시뮬레이션 모형과 기 개발된 공급 시뮬레이션 모형인 LiCROSiM-P를 결합하여 통합 시뮬레이션 모형을 구축하였다. 단속류/연속류가 공존하는 다경로 가로망에서 출발시간/수단선택/통행경로 선택모형은 AGtt(기 종점통행시간의 시뮬레이션 시간과 기대치의 차이 백분율)는 수렴하지 않고, 평균스케줄지체는 안정 상태로 수렴하는 것으로 나타났다. 통합 시뮬레이션 모형은 교통시설공급 변화와 통행자의 속성 변화에 따른 기 종점 통행량 변화 추정과 효과분석이 가능함을 모형의 적용을 통해 제시하였다. 따라서 통합시뮬레이션 모형은 수요관리정책, 교통시설변화, 교통정보제공 등이 가져오는 출발시간, 통행수단, 통행경로변화를 반영한 시스템의 효과분석이 가능하다

• 대한산업공학회지
• /
• 제36권2호
• /
• pp.87-93
• /
• 2010

The partial least squares (PLS) method is popularly used for estimating the structural equation model, but the existing algorithm may not be directly implemented when probabilities are involved in some constructs or manifest variables. We propose a structural equation model including the brand choice as one construct having brand choice probabilities as its manifest variables. Then, we develop a PLS-based algorithm for the structural equation model by utilizing the multinomial logit model. A case is introduced as an application and simulation studies are performed to validate the proposed algorithm.

• 경영과학
• /
• 제30권1호
• /
• pp.1-14
• /
• 2013

We conduct the future studies suggested by Park and Seo [3]. They considered a seat inventory control problem in which flights depart sequentially during a similar time-interval and passengers purchase available seats depending on individual customer choice behavior. Customer choice behavior can lead to one among a horizontal shift, a diversion-up, and a booking loss when a desired fare class is unavailable. We investigate how seat availability calculation method, booking limit control mechanism, seat inventory capacity, number of booking class, type of seat demand influence on revenues in an airline industry through thorough computer simulation experiments.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제2권1호
• /
• pp.99-111
• /
• 1995

It is shown that the adaptive kernel methods can potentially produce superior density estimates to the fixed one. In using the adaptive estimates, problems pertain to the initial choice of the estimate can be solved by iteration. Also, simultaneous recommended for variety of distributions. Some data-based method for the choice of the parameters are suggested based on simulation study.

• 대한가정학회지
• /
• 제33권5호
• /
• pp.167-176
• /
• 1995

This study is to present various curtain design by simulating method of the 32 case's combination of the styles, the patterns, the colors of curtain design for 50 woman collage students by photo shop program. The major findings of this study can be summarized as follow : The evaluation factors of curtains design was classified into three groups ; emotionality, harmoniousness, stimulus. The best choice to emphasize the atmosphere for "emotionality" of the first factor is curtain with the valance of cloud style, mixed Diagram pattern and ivory color(NO.16). The best choice to emphasize the atmosphere for "harmoniousness" as well as "stimulus" is curtain with the valance of two pieces cloud style, flower pattern and pink color(NO.18). The best choice to emphasize the atmosphere for "emotionality" and "stimulus" as well as "emotionality" and "harmoniousness" is curtain with the valance of natural fold style, stripes pattern and pink color(NO.6). The best choice to emphasize the atmosphere for "harmoney" and "stimulus" is curtain with the valance of two pieces cloud style, flower pattern and pink color(NO.18). The best choice to emphasize the atmosphere for "emotionality", "harmoniousness" and "stimulus" is curtain with the valance of two pieces cloud style, flower pattern and pink color(NO.18).

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제17권6호
• /
• pp.811-827
• /
• 2010

본 논문에서는 통계적 역문제로서 이항 선택모형에서의 밀도추정 방법에 대하여 연구하였다. 밀도함수의 추정을 위하여 직교열 기저를 이용하였으며, 모형의 복잡성과 예측의 정확성을 반영한 적절한 절단모수의 선택에 대하여 고려하였다. 이항 선택 모형에서 데이터에 의존하는 절단모수를 선택하는 방법에 대해 제안하고 모의실험, 실자료를 통해 제안한 방법의 성능을 규명하였다.