• 제목/요약/키워드: Change-point

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고속도로 합류구간 첨단 차로변경 보조 시스템 개발 : 최적 차로변경 시작 지점 Positioning 알고리즘 (Advanced Lane Change Assist System for Automatic Vehicle Control in Merging Sections : An algorithm for Optimal Lane Change Start Point Positioning)

  • 김진수;정진한;유성현;박장현;장경영
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 2015
  • 차로변경은 운전자의 숙련된 주변인식 및 운전기술이 요구되어 심각한 교통사고를 야기한다. 그리하여 우리는 불가피한 차로변경이 대두되는 고속도로 합류구간에서 본선으로 합류하는 차량의 차로변경을 보조하는 차량 자동제어 시스템 (ALCAS; Advanced Lane Change Assist System)을 개발한다. 본 연구에서는 ALCAS 중 조향이 수행되기 이전에 최적 차로변경 시작지점(Optimal Lane Change Start Point; OLCSP)을 생성하고 그 지점까지 도달하는 종방향 제어 알고리즘 개발에 초점을 두었다. 이를 위해 우선 고속도로 합류구간의 차로변경 행태를 분석하였고, 실제 차량의 가속도 함수 형태를 통해 차로변경 특징모형(Lane Change Feature Model)을 설계하였다. 그 후 차로변경 수행 단계를 정립하였으며, 이 알고리즘 성능과 타당성을 검증하기 위하여 다양한 주변차량 주행환경에 따른 시나리오 시험을 수행하였다. 또한 개발된 알고리즘의 효과를 미시적 교통류 시뮬레이션 (VISSIM)을 통해 확인하였다. 개발한 알고리즘을 합류차량에 적용한 결과 안정류 상태에서 합류성능이 두드러지게 개선되는 것을 확인하였다. 이 차량 자동제어 시스템은 교통 자동차 분야 융합기술의 일환으로 개발되었으며, 운전자의 부하와 오류를 감소시켜 효율성과 안전성을 향상시킬 뿐만 아니라 교통류의 안정성, 임계용량, 주행 효율성의 증대로 사회비용 감소를 기대할 수 있다.

Using Artificial Neural Networks to detect Variance Change Point for Data Separation

  • 한영철;오경주;김태윤
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2006년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1214-1220
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    • 2006
  • In this article, it will be shown that a nonparametric and data-adaptive approach to the variance change point (VCP) detection problem is possible by formulating it as a pattern classification problem. Technical aspects of the VCP detector are discussed, which include its training strategy and selection of proper classification tool.

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Effects of Distance Education via Synchronous Video Conferencing on Attitude Changes of Korean and Japanese Students

  • LEE, Sangsoo
    • Educational Technology International
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.107-125
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    • 2009
  • This study seeks to prove three points through the research. The first point is to examine the changes of international attitudes with actual experiences using synchronous international distance learning. The second point is to examine the effectiveness of a synchronous international distance system. And the final point is to compare international attitudes among middle school and undergraduate school students in Korea and Japan. The study used the DVTS for audio and video communication tools and automatic translating chat as a text communication tool. This combination of communication tools was very effective for students from both countries to communicate for international collaborative learning activities. The study found several interesting patterns of attitude change from the results of the study. For whole category analysis, there are positive changes in four categories of international attitudes: consciousness to foreign countries, consideration for other's viewpoints, motivation for international education, and recognition for the counterpart country. However, there was no change in the nationality category.

Le Fort II 골절단술을 이용한 비중안모 개선 효과에 대한 임상적 연구;경조직 이동에 따른 연조직 변화율에 대한 연구 (THE AMOUNT OF SOFT TISSUE CHANGE TO HARD TISSUE MOVEMENT FOLLOWING LE FORT II OSTEOTOMY)

  • 김명진;이안나
    • Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 2000
  • Le fort II osteotomy is much useful technique to correct the midfacial hypoplasia including nasomaxillary complex especilly in patient with dish face appearance. Not in simple orthognathic surgery but in Le Fort II osteotomy, the standardization of prognostic value is essential in treatment planning to achieve satisfactory postoperative results. According to pervious reports, the ratio of soft tissue change to hard tissue movements varies as to different surgical methods and different facial regions. But there are few report about the ratio of soft tissue change to hard tissue movement following Le Fort II osteotomy. So we tried to develop standarized soft tissue surgical treatment objective. We have followed up 16 patients, who had received Le Fort II osteotomy by one operator from 1990 to 1996, one year postoperatively. In cephalometrics, we used Frankfort line as horizontal reference line, and vertical reference line as one drawn from Sella to horizontal line perpendicularly. The landmarks are G to soft tissue G, N on reference line to soft tissue N, ANS to Pn and A to Sn. The results are as follows. 1. The value of soft tissue change to hard tissue movement showed positive correlation, having statistical significancy at G, N2, N3 point. 2. At G, N2, N3 point, the ratio of soft tissue change to hard tissue movement was 0.51, 0.98 and 0.80 respectively and showed statistical significancy, while at N1, ANS, A point, that was 0.72, 0.49 and 0.26 but didn't showed statistical significance. 3. This result shows much the same change of the soft tissue change to hard tissue movement on the upper nasomaxilla, and less the same change on the lower maxilla and so the Le Fort II osteotomy can be recommended as a reliable effective operation method for correction of nasomaxillary retrusion.

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리커트 5점척도에서 자극에 의한 응답결과의 변화 측정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Measuring the Change of the Response Results in Likert 5-Point Scale Measurement)

  • 노영희
    • 정보관리학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.335-353
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 리커트 5점 척도 설문에 참여했던 응답자들이 특정 자극에 의해 동일한 2차 설문이 주어졌을 때, 본인의 처음 응답결과를 어떻게, 어떤 방향으로 바꾸는지를 측정하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 3개 설문지의 1차, 2차 또는 3차에 걸친 재설문 결과들을 집단간 차이, 자극의 종류, 설문목적의 차이, 응답변화의 방향 및 변화정도의 관점에서 분석하였다. 본 연구를 통해 발견된 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 전문가 집단과 일반 집단 중 전문가 집단이 상대적으로 의견을 바꾸지 않는 것으로 유의하게 검증되었다. 둘째, 설문목적에 따른 차이는 없는 것으로 조사되었고, 자극의 종류 중 시스템 사용경험보다는 다른 사람들의 의견이 정보로 주어졌을 때 더 많은 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 최초응답에서 긍정적인 답변에 응답했을수록 답변을 바꾸지 않는 것으로 나타났고 부정적인 답변자는 대부분 긍정적인 방향으로 의견을 바꾸는 것으로 유의하게 검증되었다. 넷째, 최초 응답을 바꾸는 경우 응답변화의 폭이 2단계 이상인 경우는 그다지 많지 않고 대부분 1단계 정도 전후로 바꾸는 경향이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 마지막으로 중간응답자가 의견을 가장 많이 바꾸고 양극단의 경우 의견을 잘 바꾸지 않을 것이라는 예측을 하였으나 부정적인 답변자일수록 의견을 긍정적인 방향으로 바꾸는 것으로 분석되었다.

A Study on the Confidence Region of the Stationary Point in a second Order Response Surface

  • Jorn, Hong S.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 1978
  • When a response surface by a seconde order polynomial regression model, the stationary point is obtained by solving simultaneous linear equations. But the point is a function of random variables. We can find a confidence region for this point as Box and Hunter provided. However, the confidence region is often too large to be useful for the experiments, and it is necessary to augment additional design points in order to obtain a satisfactory confidence region for the stationary point. In this note, the author suggests a method how to augment design points "eficiently", and shows the change of the confidence region of the estimated stationary point in a response surface.e surface.

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골프 드라이버 스윙 시 의도적인 구질 변화에 따른 운동학적 분석 (Kinematic Analysis According to the Intentional Curve Ball at Golf Driver Swing)

  • 홍수영;소재무;김용석
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of This study's aim is to examine the difference in the changes of body segment movement, variables for ball quality, and carry at golf driver swing according to the ball quality using comparative analysis. Regarding the impact variables according to the ball quality using the track man and carry, club speed was the fastest at draw shot, ball speed was the fastest at straight shot, and smash factor was the lowest at draw shot. About the vertical launch angle, the fade shot showed the highest launch angle while the max height of the ground and ball was the highest at fade shot. And carry was the longest at draw shot. For the flight time, it was the longest at draw shot. The landing angle was the largest at fade shot. About the club head position change and trajectory, at the overall event point, the fade shot drew a more outer trajectory at the point of the follow through(E6) than the straight or draw shot. Regarding the angular speed of shoulder rotation, at the overall event point, the fade shot showed the greatest angular speed change in the follow through(E6). Also, about the angular speed of pelvic rotation, at the overall event point, the draw shot showed the greatest angular speed change at the point of down swing(E4). Concerning the stance angle change, both straight and fade shots were open as the concept of open stance whereas the draw shot was close as that of close stance. Regarding the previous study, the most important factor of deciding Ball Quality is the club face angle's open and close state at Impact. In short, the Ball Quality and carry were decided by this factor.

기후 변화에 따른 청미천 유역의 수질 변화 및 저감 대책에 관한 연구 (Effects of climate change and reduction method on water quality in Cheongmicheon watershed)

  • 변지선;손민우
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제51권7호
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    • pp.585-597
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 미래기후변화에 따른 청미천 유역의 향후 수질 변화를 검토하고, 최적관리기법으로의 접근을 이용한 비점오염물질 저감 대책의 유효성을 살펴보는 것을 목적으로 수행되었다. 기후변화에 따른 미래 수문 및 수질변수의 변화를 살펴보기 위하여 Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) 모형을 이용하였으며, SWAT 모형의 매개변수는 SWAT-CUP을 이용하여 보정하였다. 구축된 Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP) 시나리오 중 RCP 4.5 및 8.5 두 개 시나리오를 이용하여 미래 기후를 고려하였다. 모의 결과로부터 기후 변화가 심화될수록 강우 및 비점오염물질의 유출이 증가하는 것으로 예측되었다. 또한 적절한 최적관리기법을 통해 비점오염물질의 총량뿐만 아니라 시간에 따른 변동성도 함께 효과적으로 저감될 수 있는 것으로 판단된다.

수준에서의 변화에 적응하는 구조모형 (An Adaptive Structural Model When There is a Major Level Change)

  • 전덕빈
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 1987
  • In analyzing time series, estimating the level or the current mean of the process plays an important role in understanding its structure and in being able to make forecasts. The studies the class of time series models where the level of the process is assumed to follow a random walk and the deviation from the level follow an ARMA process. The estimation and forecasting problem in a Bayesian framework and uses the Kalman filter to obtain forecasts based on estimates of level. In the analysis of time series, we usually make the assumption that the time series is generated by one model. However, in many situations the time series undergoes a structural change at one point in time. For example there may be a change in the distribution of random variables or in parameter values. Another example occurs when the level of the process changes abruptly at one period. In order to study such problems, the assumption that level follows a random walk process is relaxed to include a major level change at a particular point in time. The major level change is detected by examining the likelihood raio under a null hypothesis of no change and an alternative hypothesis of a major level change. The author proposes a method for estimation the size of the level change by adding one state variable to the state space model of the original Kalman filter. Detailed theoretical and numerical results are obtained for th first order autoregressive process wirth level changes.

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