• 제목/요약/키워드: Chain-Weighted Method

검색결과 22건 처리시간 0.015초

한국의 그린 비즈니스/IT 실태분석을 통한 추진전략 우선순위 도출에 관한 연구 (Development of Korean Green Business/IT Strategies Based on Priority Analysis)

  • 김재경;최주철;최일영
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2010
  • Recently, the CO2 emission and energy consumption have become critical global issues to decide the future of nations. Especially, the spread of IT products and the increased use of internet and web applications result in the energy consumption and CO2 emission of IT industry though information technologies drive global economic growth. EU, the United States, Japan and other developed countries are using IT related environmental regulations such as WEEE(Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment), RoHS(Restriction of the use of Certain Hazardous Substance), REACH(Registration, Evaluation, Authorization and Restriction of CHemicals) and EuP(Energy using Product), and have established systematic green business/IT strategies to enhance the competitiveness of IT industry. For example, the Japan government proposed the "Green IT initiative" for being compatible with economic growth and environmental protection. Not only energy saving technologies but energy saving systems have been developed for accomplishing sustainable development. Korea's CO2 emission and energy consumption continuously have grown at comparatively high rates. They are related to its industrial structure depending on high energy-consuming industries such as iron and steel Industry, automotive industry, shipbuilding industry, semiconductor industry, and so on. In particular, export proportion of IT manufacturing is quite high in Korea. For example, the global market share of the semiconductor such as DRAM was about 80% in 2008. Accordingly, Korea needs to establish a systematic strategy to respond to the global environmental regulations and to maintain competitiveness in the IT industry. However, green competitiveness of Korea ranked 11th among 15 major countries and R&D budget for green technology is not large enough to develop energy-saving technologies for infrastructure and value chain of low-carbon society though that grows at high rates. Moreover, there are no concrete action plans in Korea. This research aims to deduce the priorities of the Korean green business/IT strategies to use multi attribute weighted average method. We selected a panel of 19 experts who work at the green business related firms such as HP, IBM, Fujitsu and so on, and selected six assessment indices such as the urgency of the technology development, the technology gap between Korea and the developed countries, the effect of import substitution, the spillover effect of technology, the market growth, and the export potential of the package or stand-alone products by existing literature review. We submitted questionnaires at approximately weekly intervals to them for priorities of the green business/IT strategies. The strategies broadly classify as follows. The first strategy which consists of the green business/IT policy and standardization, process and performance management and IT industry and legislative alignment relates to government's role in the green economy. The second strategy relates to IT to support environment sustainability such as the travel and ways of working management, printer output and recycling, intelligent building, printer rationalization and collaboration and connectivity. The last strategy relates to green IT systems, services and usage such as the data center consolidation and energy management, hardware recycle decommission, server and storage virtualization, device power management, and service supplier management. All the questionnaires were assessed via a five-point Likert scale ranging from "very little" to "very large." Our findings show that the IT to support environment sustainability is prior to the other strategies. In detail, the green business /IT policy and standardization is the most important in the government's role. The strategies of intelligent building and the travel and ways of working management are prior to the others for supporting environment sustainability. Finally, the strategies for the data center consolidation and energy management and server and storage virtualization have the huge influence for green IT systems, services and usage This research results the following implications. The amount of energy consumption and CO2 emissions of IT equipment including electrical business equipment will need to be clearly indicated in order to manage the effect of green business/IT strategy. And it is necessary to develop tools that measure the performance of green business/IT by each step. Additionally, intelligent building could grow up in energy-saving, growth of low carbon and related industries together. It is necessary to expand the affect of virtualization though adjusting and controlling the relationship between the management teams.

일 강수발생모형을 이용한 월 단위 GCM의 축소기법에 관한 연구 (Downscaling Technique of Monthly GCM Using Daily Precipitation Generator)

  • 경민수;이정기;김형수
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제29권5B호
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 IPCC DDC를 통해서 제공되는 월 단위 기후모형의 결과를 바탕으로 일 강수를 발생할 수 있는 일 강수 발생모형을 제안하고, 이를 이용해 기후변화가 일 강수빈도에 미치는 영향평가 기법을 기상청산하 서울지점을 대상으로 제시하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 일 강수발생모형은 2 state 마코브 체인 모형을 기반으로 개발되었으며, 강수를 발생시키는데 필요한 천이확률과 강수의 양을 결정짓는 Gamma-2 분포의 규모매개변수 및 형상매개변수는 회귀분석에 의한 월총강수량과의 관계를 통해서 산정되었다. 제시된 회귀분석 결과에 기후모형으로부터 K-NN방법에 의해서 서울지점으로 축소된 월 총강수량을 적용하여 기후변화가 고려된 일 강수를 발생시켰다. 기후모형으로는 BCM2모형을 사용하였으며, 20c3m 시나리오를 기준시나리오로 하여 A2 시나리오에서의 일 강우빈도의 차이를 산정하여 관측된 일 강우 빈도에 적용하였다. 빈도해석을 위한 분포형으로는 Gumbel분포를 선정하였으며, 매개변수 추정을 위하여 확률가중모멘트 방법을 적용하였다. 연구결과 미래 서울지역의 빈도별 일 강수량은 2020s에는 다소 감소, 2050s, 2080s 에는 다소 증가하는 것으로 예상 되었다.