• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Model Analysis

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A Mechanism for Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Reasoning (정량 추론과 정성 추론의 통합 메카니즘 : 주가예측의 적용)

  • Kim, Myoung-Jong
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2009
  • The paper proposes a quantitative causal ordering map (QCOM) to combine qualitative and quantitative methods in a framework. The procedures for developing QCOM consist of three phases. The first phase is to collect partially known causal dependencies from experts and to convert them into relations and causal nodes of a model graph. The second phase is to find the global causal structure by tracing causality among relation and causal nodes and to represent it in causal ordering graph with signed coefficient. Causal ordering graph is converted into QCOM by assigning regression coefficient estimated from path analysis in the third phase. Experiments with the prediction model of Korea stock price show results as following; First, the QCOM can support the design of qualitative and quantitative model by finding the global causal structure from partially known causal dependencies. Second, the QCOM can be used as an integration tool of qualitative and quantitative model to offerhigher explanatory capability and quantitative measurability. The QCOM with static and dynamic analysis is applied to investigate the changes in factors involved in the model at present as well discrete times in the future.

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A Study on Theoretical Improvement of Causal Mapping for Dynamic Analysis and Design (동태적 분석 및 설계를 위한 인과지도 작성법의 한계와 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jae-Un;Kim, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.33-60
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    • 2009
  • This study explores the limitation in making a causal model through an existing case and proposes an alternative plan to improve a theoretical system of causation modeling. To make a dynamic and actual model, several principles are needed such as reality based analysis of system structures and dynamics, consistent expression of causations, conversion of numerical formulas to causal relations, classification and arrangement of variables by size of concept, etc. However, it is hard to find cases to apply these considerations from existing models in System Dynamics. Therefore, this study verifies errors of derived models from literatures and proposes principles and guides that should be considered to make a sound dynamic model on a causal map. It contributes to making an opportunity for exciting public opinion to improve theory about causal maps, yet it has limitation that the study does not advance forward to the experimental step. For future study, it plans to make up by classifying and leveling causal variables, developing a dynamic BSC model.

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Relevant Variables of Children's Self-Esteem: Analysis of the Causal Model (아동의 자아존중감 관련변인의 인과모형 분석)

  • Kim, Moon Hae;Kang, Moon Hee
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.195-211
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    • 1999
  • This study investigated developmental trends and sex differences in the relation between children's self-esteem and relevant variables by proposing and testing the causal model. The 763 children who participated in the study were 3rd, 5th, and 7th grade students. Major findings were that physical appearance was the most powerful determinant of self-esteem. Students with high self-esteem were more learning oriented, used more motivational behaviors and had higher academic achievement. The findings from this analysis of the causal model revealed remarkable developmental differentiation and stability.

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Development of the Performance Measurement Model of Electronic Medical Record System - Focused on Balanced Score Card - (균형성과표를 활용한 전자의무기록시스템의 성과측정 모형개발)

  • Lee, Kyung Hee;Kim, Young Hoon;Boo, Yoo Kyung
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study are suggest to performance measurement model of Electronic Medical Record(EMR) and Key Performance Index(KPI). For data collection, 665 questionnaires were distributed to medical record administrators and insurance reviewers at 31 hospitals, and 580 questionnaires were collected(collection rate: 87.2%). Regarding methodology, Critical Success Factor(CSF) and index of the information system were derived based on previous studies, and these were set as performance measurement factors of EMR system. The performance measurement factors were constructed by perspective using BSC, and analysis on causal relationship between factors was conducted. A model of causal relationship was established, and performance measurement model of EMR system was proposed through model validation. Analysis on causal relationship between performance management factors revealed that utility cognition of the learning & growth perspective factor had causal relationship with job efficiency(${\beta}=0.20$) and decision support(${\beta}=0.66$) of the internal process perspective factors, and security had causal relationship with system satisfaction(${\beta}=0.31$) of the customer perspective factor. System quality had causal relationship with job efficiency(${\beta}=0.66$) and decision support(${\beta}=0.76$) of the internal process perspective factors, all of which were statistically significant(P<0.01). Job efficiency of the internal process perspective had causal relationship with system satisfaction(${\beta}=0.43$), and decision support had causal relationship with decision support satisfaction(${\beta}=0.91$) and job satisfaction (${\beta}=0.74$), all of which were statistically significant(P<0.01). System satisfaction of the customer perspective had causal relationship with job satisfaction(${\beta}=0.12$), job satisfaction had causal relationship with cost reduction(${\beta}=0.53$) of the financial perspective, and decision support satisfaction had causal relationship with productivity improvement(${\beta}=0.40$)of the financial perspective(P<0.01). Also, cost reduction of the financial perspective had causal relationship with productivity improvement(${\beta}=0.37$), all which were statistically significant(P<0.05). Suitability index verification of the performance measurement model whose causal relationship was found to be statistically significant revealed that $X^2/df=2.875$, RMR=0.036, GFI=0.831, AGFI=0.810, CFI=0.887, NFI=0.838, IFI=0.888, RMSEA=0.057, PNFI=0.781, and PCFI=0.827, all of which were in suitable levels. In conclusion, the performance measurement indices of EMR system include utility cognition, security, and system quality of the learning & growth perspective, decision support and job efficiency of the internal process perspective, system satisfaction, decision support satisfaction, and job satisfaction of the customer perspective, and productivity improvement and cost reduction of the financial perspective. In this study, it is expected that the performance measurement indices and model of EMR system which are suggested by the author, will be a measurement tool available for system performance measurement of EMR system in medical institutions.

The Analysis of the Causal Model of Children's Self-Perceived Competence and Related Variables (아동의 역량지각과 관련변인들간의 인과모형분석)

  • 이주리
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.193-208
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    • 1994
  • This study investigated the causality of the children's self-perceived competence and related variables(age, sex, socio-demographic variables, family structure, the number of brother, home environmental process variables and peer group environmental variables.) The subjects of this study were 842 children at age five, seven, nine, eleven and thirteen attending kindergartens. elementary schools and junior high schools and their mothers in Seoul. This study employed children's self-perceived competence scales(The Pictorial scales for 5, 7, Qestionnaire for 9, 11, 13) home environment scales and peer group enviornment scales(the Pictorial scales for 5, 7 Qestionnaire for 9, 11, 13) Freqencies one way-ANOVA Pearson's Cronbach's αmultiple regression and path analysis were used for data-analysis. Major findings were as follows: 1. The results of the analysis of causal model showed that the variables that affected cognitive self-perceived competence directly were age, sex, parent's education economic status of the home the number of brother and peer's emotional support 2. The results of the analysis of causal model showed that the variables that affected social self-perceived competence directly were sex, economic status of the home, peer's emotional support and common activity. 3. The results of the analysis of causal model showed that the variables that affected physical self-perceived competence directly were age, sex, peer's emotional support and common activity.

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Causal model analysis between quantity and quality for deriving ranking model of Online reviews (온라인리뷰의 랭킹모델링을 위한 양과 질의 인과모형 분석)

  • Lee, Changyong;Kim, Keunhyung
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2019
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to analyze causal relationship between quantity and quality for deriving ranking model of Online reviews. Thus, we propose implications for deriving the ranking model for retrieving Online reviews more effectively. Design/methodology/approach We collected Online review from Tripadvisor web sites which might be a kind of world-famous tourism web sites. We transformed the natural text reviews to quantified data which consists of quantified positive opinions, quantified negative opinions, quantified modification opinions, reviews lengths and grade scores by using opinion mining technologies in R package. We executed corelation and regression analysis about the data. Findings According to the empirical analysis result, this study confirmed that the review length influenced positive opinion, negative opinion and modification opinion. We also confirmed that negative opinion and modification opinion influenced the grade score.

A Status Analysis of Middle School Students' Preference for Science

  • Yoon, Jin
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.1010-1029
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this research was to survey middle school students' preference for science and its causal factors, so as to analyze the causal relationships between them. Preference for science and its causal factors were defined theoretically, and a theoretical model was constructed to measure them and analyze the causal relationship by structural equation modeling. According to the theoretical model and a pilot test, a questionnaire was developed with three parts; the background information of a respondent, the preference for science, and the causal factors of preference. The questionnaire was administered to one class per grade of randomly selected 8 middle schools from 4 areas across the country, and 819 students' data were collected. Preference for science was defined as a state of mind. It revealed to what extent, and how, one likes science. It consisted of 3 categories - 'emotional response', 'behavioral volition', 'valuational comprehension', and each category was divided into two subcategories. Causal factors affecting the preference for science consisted of three categories - personal, educational and social factors, and each was divided into 2 or 3 subcategories. Middle school students' preference for science was middling as a total. Curiosity about contents of science and valuation of science were high, comparatively, but behavioral volition about science was especially low. Students' responses to the causal factors were relatively high in every educational factor and sociocultural valuation of social factors, but relatively low in socioeconomic rewards of social factors, and especially low in personal factors. The causal relationship about the preference for science was investigated by multiple regression analysis and path analysis, using the structural equation model. Multiple regression analysis about the preference for science and its causal factors revealed important factors. The important factors were personal ability, the personal traits, rewards in school science, and contents of school science in order of magnitude of standardized regression coefficient ${\beta}$. Stepwise regression analysis with each of the subcategories of the preference for science as dependent variables showed what factors were important in each subcategory. According to the result of structural equation modeling, personal factors affected 'emotional response' and 'behavioral volition' directly, and social factors affected 'valuational comprehension' directly. Educational factors affected all categories of the preference for science by influencing not only 'emotional response' and 'valuational comprehension' directly, but also 'behavioral volition' indirectly. The way to promote middle school students' preference for science was suggested, based on the analysis result.

A Causal Model for UserSatisfaction with City Park Facilities -Case Study of Duryu City in Taegu- (도시공원시설의 이용자 만족 인과모형 -대구시 두류도시공원의 사 례연구-)

  • 현종영;박찬용
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.103-109
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    • 1992
  • This research suggest a causal model to investigate factors and variables which significant effects on user satisfaction with city park recreational facilities in Duryu city park in Taegu, and thereby identifying implications for planning and development of urban parks and open space. For this study the data were gathered by self-adminstered questionnares from 993 households selected by the multi-stage probability sampling method. The analysis of the data consists of two phases. The first involves exploratory factor analysis to draw meaningful factors from the data. Three factors were indentified. The second phase test the causal model of this research employing LISREL methodology. On the base of the analysis results, important implications for planning of city park and open space are recommended.

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Development of Expert System for Diagnosis of Weld Defects (용접 결함 진단 전문가시스템의 개발)

  • 박주용
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 1996
  • Weld defects degrade the strength and safety of astructure and are resulted from the various cases. The complexity of causal relation of weld defects requires an expert for the analysis of weld defects and the measures counter to them. An expert system has the intelligent functions such as the representation of knowledge and the inference. On this research, weld defect are systematically analysed and their causal model is developed. This information is saved to the knowledge base. The suitable inference algorithm for the diagnosis of weld defects is developed and realized with C++ programming.

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Analysis of the Relationship of Environmental Variables and Children's Verbal Ability II : at Age Five (아동의 언어능력과 환경변인간의 관계분석II:만5세 아동을 대상으로)

  • 장영애
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.171-184
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    • 1994
  • This study examined the characteristics of the relationship of environmental variables that is HOME socio-demographic variables and children's verbal ability at age five. Especially this study investigated causal relationships among the variables which are supposed to affect children's verbal ability. The subjects of this study were 60 children at age five and their mothers. Instruments included inventory of home stimulation(HOME) inventory of socio-demographic variables inventory of the children's verbal ability and intelligence test. The results obtained from study were as follows: 1. For the most part environmental variables had a significant positive correlation with children's verbal ability 2. The variables that significantly predicted boy's verbal ability were aspects of physical environment breadth of experienc. And the variables that significantly predicted girls' verbal ability were developmental stimulation economic status of the home. 3. The results of the analysis of the causal model showed that the kind of variables that affected boy's verbal ability directly were indirect stimulation direct stimulation. And the kind of variables that affected girls' verbal ability directly were direct stimulation econmic status of the home inditect stimulation. 4. Another causal model of the environmental variables affecting children's verbal ability were formulated by exogenous variables(socio-demographic variables) and by endogenous variables (HOME, children's intelligence). The results of the analysis of the causal model showed that only HOME variables significantly affected boy's and girls' verbal ability directly.

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