• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Loop Analysis

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Population Ageing Crisis and Causal loop Analysis on the It's Dynamics in Rural County Regions (우리나라 군지역의 고령화 위기와 동태성의 인과순환적 구조분석)

  • Choi, Nam Hee;Lee, Jong Kun;Kim, Keun Sei;Lee, Myung Suk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.75-96
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    • 2014
  • This research primarily aims at analyzing major crises originating from marginalizing population, especially in counties. In addition, based on the system dynamics approaches, it pays attention to divulging causal loop structure which has been rather strengthened by diverse interactions among key variables. Judging from simulation works, even though Korea is exposed to unprecedented aging trends over decades, its counter response seems inadequate and insufficient, mostly dismissing a series of impact embedded in the aging dynamics. This research statistically confirms that demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the villages within Eup and Myon counties. Furthermore, this research pinpoints out the fact that it would be almost impossible for majority of villages within Eup and Myon counties to escape from going out of existence in the course of time, as they tend to be entrapped vicious cycle of marginalization or extinction.

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Analysis of Problems and Causal Relations of Functional Changes of Local Educational Authority Policy(FCLEAP) based on the Systems Thinking (시스템 사고에 기반한 "지역교육청 기능 및 조직개편" 정책의 문제 및 원인 분석)

  • Ha, Jung-Youn;Rah, Minjoo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.75-96
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the functional changes of local educational authority policy based on the systems thinking perspective using causal loop diagrams. In the past, the main function of the local educational authority was to manage and supervise schools. Through this policy, local educational authority would be transformed into a support agency. However, this policy did not achieve the goal, was to cause confusion and require improvement. This study shows structured causes of the problem based on systems thinking. These diagrams make it possible for educational policy makers to provide ideas, although they have some complicated environment. The findings indicate that based on systems thinking in this policy can help those who related to policy decision than existing diagnosis method.

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An Research on Improvement of Eco-Labelling Certification -Focused on Certification System of Biodegradable Resin- (환경표지 인증제도 개선에 대한 연구 -생분해성수지 인증제도를 중심으로-)

  • Koh, Young Hwa;Choi, Kanghwa;Chung, Soong Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.165-177
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study analyzes the strategical priority to improve eco-labelling certification system, focused on biodegradable resin. Methods: This study will come up with measures to operate the eco-Label certification system related to biodegradable products more effectively and efficiently by discovering various problems related to the system, using causal loop diagram and AHP analysis. Results: This study shows that the government should play more important role while firms could also serve their roles in the initial and stabilizing stages of the eco-labelling certification system, in order to vitalize the eco-Label certification system more effective. Conclusion: This study addresses strategic eco-labelling policies on governmental and firm's operation and providers guidance to practitioners in addressing strategic decision relating to eco-labelling certification system.

The Long-Term Effect of Energy R&D Investment Based on Causal Loop Diagramming Analysis (국가 에너지 R&D의 중장기 효과평가를 위한 인과지도 분석)

  • Oh, Youngmin
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.91-112
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    • 2013
  • This article aims at revealing the dynamic relationships between the energy R&D investment and economic growth in Korea. To achieve this goal, we reviewed the effects of energy R&D investments and tried to make the holistic interconnections for describing the feedback loops between energy R&D and economic system. Energy R&D investments develop the renewable energy, energy efficiency and $CO_2$ emission reductions technologies for accomplishing the national strategic targets. The rapid obsolescence of technologies makes the inefficiency and negative effects in governmental energy R&D investments.

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Dynamic Relationship between Social Integration and Social Capital in the Residential Redevelopment Districts Based on the System Thinking Perspectives (시스템사고로 본 주택 재개발 지역의 사회 통합과 사회적 자본과의 동태적 관계)

  • Kim, Byung-Suk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.61-76
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to review relationship between social integration and social capital in the residential redevelopment districts based on the system thinking perspective using causal loop analysis. The results are as follows. First, social exclusion phenomena brings about relative deprivation for rental housing occupants feeling left out and close by area residents. This acts as a motive triggering antisocial activities for the rental housing occupants. Second, rental housing and housing for installment should be mix-developed to improve social exclusion phenomenon issues. Third, increase of creating work program in the relationship between residential redevelopment districts and social capital boosts employments, individual earnings, and local area investments. The conclusion provides some research implications and future research direction.

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A Structural Analysis between Overseas Opening of Geospatial Information and the Promotion of Geospatial Information Industry Using the Systems Thinking (시스템 사고를 통한 지도데이터 국외개방과 공간정보 산업 활성화간 인과구조 분석)

  • Yi, Mi Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.213-221
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    • 2018
  • South Korea has been reluctant to open its geospatial information overseas to ensure security as a divided country. However, this cannot continue as the domestic and international environments related to geospatial information and the industrial ecosystem of information and communication technologies have been changing dramatically. Within this context, this study aims to analyze the causal relations among relevant variables and how they change and interact with time using a systems thinking process. First, causal maps were created for the domains of national security, map-based convergence service, and corporate competition. Then, the causal maps for each domain were integrated, based on which the points for policy intervention and dominant feedback loops were identified. The analysis results showed that securing the self-sufficiency of domestic geospatial businesses is a key element to determine the whole causal map, and the variable that changes the dominant feedback loop from a vicious circle to a virtuous one is the decision to open geospatial information overseas. In this study, I found the policy leverage that is a policy intervention point that can produce a great effect with little input by building a causal map of the interactions between major variables. This study is significant in that it identified and analyzed the dominant feedback loop as to which causal structure would dominate the system in the long term. The results of this study can be used to discuss not only the impacts of map data overseas opening on the national security and geospatial information industry, but also the interactions in the future when Google or other global companies request to release the geospatial information.

An Analysis of Ecosystem Service's trade-off through Systems Thinking (시스템 사고를 통한 생태계서비스의 trade-off 관계 고찰)

  • Ham, Eun Kyung;Kim, Min;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.75-100
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze causation of Ecosystem service's trade-off(ES trade-off) and to establish baseline data for wise spatial planning and management. In order to understand why and how ES trade-off occurs, systems thinking and causal loops were employed. The causal loop of ecosystem service creation cycle includes profits quantification process, decision making process, spatial planning and management process, and ecosystem services creation process. The profits quantification process has a limitation that all ecosystem service categories were not included in profits quantification, because quantification method for cultural services is insufficient. These problems led to unequal discussion opportunity in decision making process. ES trade-off occurs through transition of ecosystem function in spatial scale and temporal scale. In spatial scale, land-use variation and resource-use variation contribute to change an ecosystem function for different ES category by spatial planning and management. In temporal scale, a change of an ecosystem function for different ES category is influenced by ecological succession, seasonal change and land cover variation, which are parameter from environmental features. This study presented that spatial planning and management should ecosystem service assessment in order to enhance balanced ecosystem services.

Research on the Relationship between Movement and Volition of Soldier's Service Using Causal Loop (인과지도 분석을 통한 이주가 직업군인의 복무의지에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Seong-Pil;Lee, Jeong-Dong;Choi, Jeong-Hwan;Jung, Euy-Young
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.69-87
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to explore the relationship between the number of relocation and volition of soldier's service based on system thinking perspective using a causal loop analysis. Research adopting system dynamics concerning on the volition of soldier's service and relocation has not been studied yet. Causal loops are analyzed and evaluated by focusing on soldier's military performance, stress of family members and family members' welfare service. Result of this study is that soldier's periodical movement is indispensable factor maintaining military life. Most of the married soldier's life conditions are worse than ordinary people. As the number of relocation is increasing family of soldier's stress is increased by anxiety for welfare conditions is supposed to relocate. The number of movement to another place of soldier's children is more than two times and the result of learning achievement is worse than ordinary students. This kind of stress can influence the married soldier's military performance and stress. So the welfare service should be expanded to an official residence, education, facility, district network service and so on.

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Management Plan of Whooper Swan(Cygnus cygnus) Habitat Using Causal Loop Analysis : Focused on Eulsukdo (인과순환구조 분석을 통한 큰고니 서식환경 유지방안 -을숙도를 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Yun Eui;You, Soojin;Kang, Sung-Ryong;Choi, Byoungkoo;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.353-367
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    • 2015
  • The goal of this study is to analyze the feedback structure of habitat changes of the Whooper Swan in Eulsukdo using system thinking to suggest a management plan for ecosystem health. Using the causal loop diagrams of population changes between Whooper Swan and other bird species in Eulsukdo, we found that the environmental changes in the roosting and foraging area affect the Whooper Swan's population. The causal loop diagrams of the Whooper Swan's roosting area indicated that the environmental changes (e.g., water level, noise, bird watching, and other experience activities) may influence their population density variation. In addition, the casual loop diagrams of the Whooper Swan's foraging area showed that the Whooper Swan's population was affected by various variables that included area factors such as surface area of freshwater, frozen water, salinity, and density of Scirpus planiculmis. Furthermore, through the integrated causal loop diagram, cumulative discharge of Nakdong estuary weir and building activities were identified as the variables that affect the population of the Whooper Swan. Thus, we selected this area as the strategic point to establish a management plan for the Whooper Swan's habitat. The results of this study will help in decision making of a long-term management plan for sustaining the environmental health of the ecosystem in Eulsukdo.

A Study on Policies for the Activation of WiBro Market (와이브로 시장 활성화를 위한 정책 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Suk;Jung, Jae-Lim;Park, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.37-67
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    • 2011
  • This study first attempted to point out fundamental reasons behind the failure to have WiBro services off the saddle, investigating the previous studies, and second to screen the WiBro promotion policies after reviewing the major steps conducted thus far by the government. In order to put the screened policies in order by the importance, an AHP analysis was conducted targeting WiBro professionals in various fields such as government offices, universities, research institutes, and industry. One step further, causal loop diagramming on the system dynamics methodology was conducted to examine the dynamic structure of the WiBro market in holistic standpoint of view. Finally, a simulation model was developed based on the causal loop diagrams and the results of the AHP analysis in order to examine how various policy scenarios influence the growth of the WiBro market over time, and to compare the mix of policy options. Finally, the study attempted to draw some implications for WiBro vitalization.

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