• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Loop

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A Study on the Automatic Synthesis of Signed Directed Graph Using Knowledge-based Approach and Loop Verification (지식 기반 접근법과 Loop 검증을 이용한 부호운향그래프 자동합성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Sung-gun;An Dae-Myung;Hwang Kyu Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 1998
  • By knowledge-based approach, the SDG(Signed Directed Graph) is automatically synthesized, which is commonly used to represent the causal effects between process variables. Automatic synthesis of SDG is progressed by two steps : (1)inference step uses knowledge base and (2)verification step uses Loop-Verifier. First, Topology and Knowledge Base are constructed by using the information on equipment. And then, Primary-SDG is synthesized by Character Pattern Matching between Variable-Relation-Representation generated by using Topology and Variable-Tendency-Data contained in Knowledge Base. Finally, a modified SDG is made after the Primary-SDG is verified by Loop-Verifier.

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Systems Thinking Perspective on the Sustainable Growth Strategy of Hedge Funds Market

  • Kim, Tae-Hyun;Chung, Sam-Young;Eom, Jae-Gun
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.91-120
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    • 2016
  • This study explores hedge fund characteristics that affect hedge fund performance, namely, fund size, fund age, and performance fee. Previous studies have examined relationships between hedge fund characteristics and fund performance using singular and static thinking to report inconsistent findings without providing full understanding of the causal relationships among variables. To identify that comprehensive causal relationships between hedge fund characteristics and hedge fund performance, this research applies the system dynamics perspective, which allowed demonstration of the interactions within the overall system beyond the singular causal relationships between hedge fund characteristics and performance found in existing traditional research. This study contributes to existing literature in the following ways. First, it overcomes the limitations of singular research methodologies by looking at the integrated system of hedge fund characteristics and fund performance from a bird's eye view based on their dynamic feedback relationships. Second, policy suggestions in terms of regulation and education are presented as growth strategies for the sustainable development of the Korean hedge fund market.

A Study on Policies for the Activation of WiBro Market (와이브로 시장 활성화를 위한 정책 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Suk;Jung, Jae-Lim;Park, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.37-67
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    • 2011
  • This study first attempted to point out fundamental reasons behind the failure to have WiBro services off the saddle, investigating the previous studies, and second to screen the WiBro promotion policies after reviewing the major steps conducted thus far by the government. In order to put the screened policies in order by the importance, an AHP analysis was conducted targeting WiBro professionals in various fields such as government offices, universities, research institutes, and industry. One step further, causal loop diagramming on the system dynamics methodology was conducted to examine the dynamic structure of the WiBro market in holistic standpoint of view. Finally, a simulation model was developed based on the causal loop diagrams and the results of the AHP analysis in order to examine how various policy scenarios influence the growth of the WiBro market over time, and to compare the mix of policy options. Finally, the study attempted to draw some implications for WiBro vitalization.

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An Exploratory Study on Development of Information Security Manpower (정보보안 인력양성을 위한 탐색적 연구: 정부, 기업, 학계, 인력 관점 기반)

  • Seo, Kyung-Jin;Choi, Jee-Eun;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2015
  • Purpose Information security industry is rapidly growing, but has been confronted with many challenges in a business environment. One of them is the imbalance between supply and demand of information security manpower, which has caused an insecure market situation. Therefore, this study has derived factors of promoting and hindering information security manpower from governance, academics, corporations, and workforce perspectives, and has analyzed a sequence of cause and effect of each factor. Design/methodology/approach This study is an exploratory research based on the interviews. The causal loop diagram (CLD) was developed to deduce key issues and propose alternatives. Findings The result of this study is expected to help the development of information security manpower in Korea, by minimizing the potential negative effects as well as maximizing the positive effects. This study found out the dynamic causes and effects of the security manpower system in each stakeholder's perspective. The cause-and-effect relationships between the stakeholders will be able to contribute to solve the imbalance of supply and demand in security manpower system.

A Systems Thinking Approach for the Success of IPTV Business (시스템 사고 접근 방식을 통한 IPTV 사업 활성화 방안 탐색)

  • Kim, Min-Ju;Lee, Sun-Gyu;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.173-192
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    • 2015
  • Domestic paid broadcasting market is largely classified into cable TV, satellite broadcasting and IPTV. Latest starter IPTV began its commercial service in 2009 and reached 10 million subscribers in August 2014 after 6 years of service. It has been growing rapidly by increasing more than 500 thousand subscribers every quarter and has taken its place firmly as one of core domestic paid broadcasting platforms, second only to cable TV. Even with this quantitative growth, 3 major IPTV companies are still running deficit, attracting attention to issue of the vitalization of IPTV business based on qualitative growth. This study draws out revitalizing and hindering factors of Korean IPTV industry through a case study on 'A' corporation which is leading domestic IPTV market and exploratory study based on interviews with experts and, by developing influencing factors into Causal Loop Diagram through system dynamics research methodology, draws out core issues in vitalization of domestic IPTV industry and suggests alternatives. Therefore, it is expected that this study will provide more diverse practical implications than preceding studies which drew out one-dimensional issues and alternatives and help vitalize Korean IPTV industry by minimizing negative effects and maximizing positive ones.

An Exploratory Study on the Activation of Fintech Payment through the Relation Analysis among Business Operators (사업자간 관계 분석을 통한 핀테크 결제 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Gil, Jin-Se;Kim, Eun-Jin;Kim, So-Dam;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.137-161
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    • 2017
  • Purpose In this study, the difficulties were analyzed with the field data from two domestic and interview with industry practitioners. And We presented initiatives with feasibilities to overcome the hurdle for progress of easy-payment. Design/methodology/approach We collected industry data from two domestic credit card companies and analyzed that data to prove 7 proposition in detail. Also We had interview data from industry practitioners who can understand the relationship between stakeholders. For this analysis, we used the causal loop diagram to find activation inhibition and activation elements about easy-payment. Findings The Fintech easy-payment industry has been organically involved in various partners such as customers, merchants, PGs, VANs, credit card issuers, banks, payment providers, terminal manufacturers, etc. and they have been competing against each other to hold leader position in the easy-payment market. Because of the reasons, the easy-payment does not spread out as much as it expects. In this study, the difficulties were analyzed with the field data and interview with industry practitioners and proposed five initiatives with feasibilities to overcome the hurdle for progress of easy-payment. This study helps to understand current situation and issues of Fintech and easy-payment for related research in future.

A System Dynamics Analysis on Use Diffusion of Rice Wet Direct Seeding Technology - Focused on a Case of Pilot Village - (벼 무논직파재배기술 사용확산의 시스템 다이내믹스 동태분석 -시범단지 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Seongsup;Jeong, U Seok;Ha, Jihee;Seo, Sangtaek
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze potential adoption rates and reusing patterns of the new rice direct seeding technology. The model constructed and employed in this study is a system dynamics model of farmer adoption and reusing patterns for this new technology over time. The model incorporates a causal loop diagram that explains interactions among rice cultivation subsystems with feedback loops and further attempts to build a causal loop model with stock-flow diagram for computer simulation. As one example of how the model can be used to provide insight to rice farmers, simulations are run over varying levels on the cultivation process of rice. The major finding is to demonstrate the utility of system dynamics simulation methodology in aiding the rice wet direct seeding farmers' decision making.

Systems Thinking for the Land Use and Landscape Value of Coastal Dune (해안사구의 토지이용과 경관가치에 대한 시스템 사고)

  • Seok, Youngsun;Song, Kihwan;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.81-104
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    • 2014
  • This study aimed to suggest the directions for the landscape protection of Sindu-ri coastal dune based on its ecological system. The study investigated ecological systems of the coastal dune followed by damage causes of coastal dune according to the land use change, and landscape value of coastal dune in the study area. In order to construct causal-effect feedback loop, systems thinking was performed. Result of this study showed that the area of coastal dune and the amount of sand are maintained by the interaction with sand beach while they are affected by wind direction, wind speed, and dune plants. It was also found that the changes of land use pattern, increasing commercial area, and planted windbreak forest damaged to the coastal dune. In addition, size of coastal dune and growing number of dune plants increased landscape value of coastal dune and tourist draw. However increasing tourists have constantly affected land use changes and have damaged to coastal dune area. In sum, planning for land use regulation, rest-year system areas, promotion and education for coastal dune, dune plants protection, and windbreak management should be taken into account for landscape protection in coastal dune.

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System Thinking in the Resilience of the Ecosystem and Ecotourism of Mt. Gariwang Based on the Controversy around the Venue Construction for PyeongChang 2018 Olympic (가리왕산 스키장 건설을 둘러싼 논쟁과 생태관광의 회복력(resilience)에 대한 시스템 사고)

  • Jeon, Dae Uk;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.61-79
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with system thinking in the resilience of the SES (Social-Ecological Systems) around Mt. Gariwang, located in Jeongseon County, Gangwon Province, in particular with the disturbance that a new ski slope is planned to be built for the PyeongChang 2018 Winter Olympic. It first performs a literature survey and newspaper article search to summarize the controversy with regards to credible environmental and socio-economical impacts of the plan, and then elaborates a series of CLDs (Causal Loop Diagrams) to infer the dynamics of the impacts. The results imply that the natural restoration seems to be hard because the development activities can cause a great deal of damage to the ecosystem mainly due to soil degradation and the mitigation of icy valley effects with water exploitation for making artificial snow and so on. Moreover most of the households near the planned site seem to leave with land compensation, thus more policy efforts are needed to enhance the resilience of the ecosystem and the nearby society based on ecotourism.

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A study on the Causal Feedback Relationship between Special Pardon for Traffic Law Violators and Traffic Accidents (교통법규 위반자에 대한 사면과 교통사고 발생 간의 인과순환적 관계에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.53-72
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    • 2009
  • More than 24.43 million people received a special pardon to mark the anniversary of Liberation Day on Aug. 15 and to commemorate other national event, during 15years(1995-2009), in this period six times of presidential pardon was implemented. The special pardon allows traffic law violator to drive again with their violation records wiped clean. But traffic records show that traffic accidents used to increase very fast in a short period by up to 3-15 percent after implementing the every massive pardons. This study explores the causal feedback relationship between presidential special pardon for traffic law violators and the occurrence of an traffic accidents using a system thinking approach and simulation modelling. Particularly, this study focused on the analysing significant negative impact of the traffic pardon on the occurrence of worrisome traffic accidents. The results of this study show that presidential special pardon have had impact on the traffic accidents as a increasing leverage of positive feedback loop and the obedience of traffic law as a decreasing leverage of negative feedback loop. Finally, this study conclude that the cyclical increasing pattern of traffic accident is resulting from the periodically conducted presidential pardons with political aims.

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