• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Analysis

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Regression discontinuity for survival data

  • Youngjoo Cho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.155-178
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    • 2024
  • Regression discontinuity (RD) design is one of the most widely used methods in causal inference for estimation of treatment effect when the treatment is created by a cutpoint from the covariate of interest. There has been little attention to RD design, although it provides a very useful tool for analysis of treatment effect for censored data. In this paper, we define the causal effect for survival function in RD design when the treatment is assigned deterministically by the covariate of interest. We propose estimators of this causal effect for survival data by using transformation, which leads unbiased estimator of the survival function with local linear regression. Simulation studies show the validity of our approach. We also illustrate our proposed method using the prostate, lung, colorectal and ovarian (PLCO) dataset.

Is Backwards Causation Possible? (후향적인 인과성은 가능한가?)

  • Ahn, Gan-Hun
    • Journal of Korean Philosophical Society
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    • v.105
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    • pp.269-290
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to explore the possibility of backwards causation. For study, this paper was divided into four views as follows: The first view was sometimes suggested by the people such as M. Dummett who distinguished observers from behaviors. According to observers' view, backwards causation is impossible, whereas behaviors' view possible. However, in a real or genuine sense, it is incorrect for us to argue for impossibility of backwards causation from the observer aspect. The second view was supported by J. H. Schmidt. He analyzed the possibility of backwards causation in terms of macro and micro level analysis about the causal events. According to micro level analysis, backwards causation is possible, but macro level analysis impossible. Usually the latter makes the former something miraculous. Under the macro level analysis, backwards causation, at first, seems to be miraculous phenomena which belongs to the micro level analysis. The third view had to do with physical equation, and the fourth view physical phenomena, respectively. John Earman argued for the backwards causation by the transformation from Lorentz­-Dirac equation to a second-order integro-differential one in the field of electrodynamic acceleration. His argument was criticized because of his misunderstanding about the relationship between two equations. On the other hand, Phil Dowe defended a version of Reichenbach's own theory about the direction of causation founded on the fork asymmetrical causal relation. However his view was different from Reichenbach's because the former defended the backwards causation model of Bell phenomena in quantum mechanics. On the contrary, Reichenbach put stressed on the priority of cause in the causal process. Subjectivism has recently been defended by H. Price, under the label of perspectivism. According to him, in a certain sense causal asymmetry is not in the world, but is rather a product of our own asymmetric perspective on the world. He also suggested causal net, the symmetry of microphysics, and so on. As mentioned above, there are many kind of suggestions of backwards causation. However none of them replaced objectively the main streams of the direction of causal process. The main stream has been usually defended by pragmatical ground. That is, effects do not precede their causes although causes cannot be without their effects.

The Measuring Method of Web-Site Flow and Its Simulation Analysis (웹 사이트 플로우(Flow) 측정 방법론 및 시뮬레이션에 대한 연구)

  • Kwon, Soon-Jae
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2009
  • In this study, sub domain of flow was investigated on literature survey, and suggested of the measuring method of web-site flow and its simulation analysis. Constructing of measuring method of flow, and using this method what-if analysis was simulated when several condition changed. Using causal map approach to extract knowledge from web-site domain experts and to derives a causal relationship of knowledge. Specially, in our study, describes method of developing and building causal map, and suggests guide line of this method on practical application. This research results show that web-site flow starts "direct searching" or "interesting of special issue(domain)", and when challenges of web-site were accorded with user's skills web-site flow grows. Further, in the web-site, information searching intention results in increase of user's duration time and experience flow to discovery new interesting issues in this process. If user's web-site of interaction is increased, awareness of environment conditions decreased, finally, user's telepresense results in increased web-site flow. This paper contained thai this method make used of measuring flow in the web-site and developing of practical strategy.

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Call for an Open Discussion on Empirical Viability of Causal Indicators

  • Kim, Gi Mun;Shin, Bong Sik;Grover, Varun;Howell, Roy D.;Kim, Ki Joo
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2017
  • Over the past decade, we have witnessed Serious Debates in MISQ and Other Journals Between Two Camps that have Differing Views on the use of Causal Indicators to Measure Constructs. There is the Camp that advocates Causal Indicators (ADVOCATE) and the Camp that opposes Their Usage (OPPONENT). The Debates have been primarily centered on the OPPONENT's Argument that the Meaning of a Latent Variable is determined by its Outcome Variables. However, Little Effort has been made to Validate the ADVOCATE's Dispute (Against the OPPONENT's Arguments) that the Meaning of a Latent Variable is decided by its Causal Indicators if there is no Misspecification. Our Study precisely examines the Integrity of the Argument. For this, we empirically examine how the two Primary Psychometric Properties-Comprehensiveness and Interrelationship-of Causal Indicators Influence Theory Testing between Latent Variables through Three Different Tests (i.e., Comprehensive Test, Interrelationship Test, and Mixed Test). Conducted on Two Different Datasets, Our Analysis Consistently Reveals that Structural Path Coefficients are Hardly Sensitive to the Changes (i.e., Misspecification) in the Properties of Causal Indicators. The Discovery offers Important Evidence that the Sound Theoretical Logic of a Causal Model is not in Sync with the Empirical Mechanism of Parameter Estimation. This Underscores that a Latent Variable Formed by Causal Indicators is empirically an elusive notion that is Difficult to Operationalize. As Our Results have Significant Implications on the Integrity of Numerous IS studies which have conducted Theory or Hypothesis Testing Using Causal Indicators, we strongly advocate Open Discussions among Methodologists regarding Our Findings and Their Implications for Both Published IS Research and Future Practices.

Analysis for the Causal Relationship of Education Quality Factors in Korea

  • Lee, Jin-Choon;Lee, Hong-Woo
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.147-166
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the causal relationship, in the perspective of Total Quality Management, among the education quality factors, which were suggested in the previous researches. Lee et al. [16] had tried to analyze the relationship among education factors, but they did not estimate the education factor using latent variable concept, which is very reasonable and efficient to represent the constructed concepts. So this study attempts to analyze the causal relationship among education quality factors, represented as latent variables used in structural equation modeling (SEM), and compared with each other. In this study, education quality factors were measured by several measures, constructed as several latent variables, and then processed with AMOS, the most efficient statistical package in the SEM area. In order to analyze the causal relationship among the education quality factors constructed as latent variables, this study designed the structural equation model with suggested factors and established several research hypotheses. This study discovered a prominent causality among the education quality factors, such as education leadership, student scholastic performance and satisfaction of education quality, which is similar to that of previous research. This outcome is really a unique Korean syndrome manifest within our educational career orientation.

Analysis of the Causal Relationship of Perspectives of Balanced Scorecard for SCM (균형성과표의 네 관점에 대한 인과관계 분석 : SCM 추진기업들의 경영성과를 중심으로)

  • Jang, Hyeong-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2006
  • This study constructs a causal relationship model of balance scorecard(BSC) performance in supply chain management(SCM). According to the results, the sample companies show the causal relationship of learning and growth performance, internal process performance, customer performance, and financial Performance indices in SCM. And this study implies that BSC performance indices gives, through direct causal relations among them, impact on the ultimate financial performance of firms.

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Causal effect of urban parks on children's happiness (도시공원 면적이 유아 행복감에 미치는 영향에 대한 인과관계 연구)

  • Nayeon Kwon;Chanmin Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.63-83
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    • 2023
  • Many existing studies have found significant correlations between green spaces, including urban parks, and children's happiness. Furthermore, it was implied that the area/proximity of the urban park would be effective in enhancing infancy happiness. However, inferring causal effects from observed data requires appropriate adjustment of confounding variables, and from this perspective, the causal relationship between the area of urban parks and children's happiness has not been well understood. The causal effect of urban parks on children's happiness was estimated in this study using data from the panel study on Korean children. As methods for adjusting confounding variables, regression adjustment using a regression method, weighting method, and matching method were used, and key concepts of each method were described before the analysis results. Confounders were chosen for the analysis using a directed acyclic graph. In contrast to previous research, the analysis found no significant causal relationship between the size of the city park and children's happiness.

A Research on the Prospect for the Future Energy Society in Korea: Focused on the Complementary Analysis of AHP and Causal Loop Diagram (한국의 미래 에너지사회 전망에 관한 연구 : 계층분석법과 인과지도의 보완적 분석을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Byung-Yong;Choi, Han-Lim;Ahn, Nam-Sung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.61-86
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    • 2010
  • This research analyzed on the future energy society of Korea in 2030 using system thinking approach. Key uncertainty factors determining the future energy society were analyzed in a multi disciplinary view point such as politics, economy, society, ecology and technology. Three causal loop diagrams for the future energy system in Korea and related policy leverages were shown as well. 'Global economic trends', 'change of industrial structure' and 'energy price' were identified as key uncertainty factors determining the Korean energy future. Three causal loop diagrams named as 'rate of energy self-sufficiency and alternative energy production', 'economic activity and energy demand' and 'Excavation of new growth engines' were developed. We integrated those causal loop diagrams into one to understand the entire energy system of the future, proposed three strategic scenarios(optimistic, pessimistic and most likely) and discussed implications and limits of this research.

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PROCESS ANALYSIS OF AUTOMOTIVE PARTS USING GRAPHICAL MODELLING

  • IRIKURA Norio;KUZUYA Kazuyoshi;NISHINA Ken
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 1998
  • Recently graphical modelling is being studied as a useful process analysis tool for exploratory causal analysis. Graphical modelling is a presentation method that uses graphs to describe statistical models of the structures of multivariate data. This paper describes an application of this graphical modeling with two cases from the automotive parts industry. One case is the unbalance problem of the pulley, an automotive generator part. There is multivariate data of the product from each of the processes which are connected in the series. By means of exploratory causal analysis between the variables using graphical modeling, the key processes which causes the variation of the final characteristics and their mechanism of the causal relationship have become clear. Another case is, also, the unbalanced problem of automotive starter parts which consists of many parts and is manufactured by complex machinery and assembling process. By means of the similar technique, the key processes are obtained easily and the results are reasonable from technical knowledge.

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Analysis of the Relationship of Environmental Variables and Children's Verbal Ability II : at Age Five (아동의 언어능력과 환경변인간의 관계분석II:만5세 아동을 대상으로)

  • 장영애
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.171-184
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    • 1994
  • This study examined the characteristics of the relationship of environmental variables that is HOME socio-demographic variables and children's verbal ability at age five. Especially this study investigated causal relationships among the variables which are supposed to affect children's verbal ability. The subjects of this study were 60 children at age five and their mothers. Instruments included inventory of home stimulation(HOME) inventory of socio-demographic variables inventory of the children's verbal ability and intelligence test. The results obtained from study were as follows: 1. For the most part environmental variables had a significant positive correlation with children's verbal ability 2. The variables that significantly predicted boy's verbal ability were aspects of physical environment breadth of experienc. And the variables that significantly predicted girls' verbal ability were developmental stimulation economic status of the home. 3. The results of the analysis of the causal model showed that the kind of variables that affected boy's verbal ability directly were indirect stimulation direct stimulation. And the kind of variables that affected girls' verbal ability directly were direct stimulation econmic status of the home inditect stimulation. 4. Another causal model of the environmental variables affecting children's verbal ability were formulated by exogenous variables(socio-demographic variables) and by endogenous variables (HOME, children's intelligence). The results of the analysis of the causal model showed that only HOME variables significantly affected boy's and girls' verbal ability directly.

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