• The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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• v.13 no.5
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• pp.217-220
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• 2024

Predicting earthquake occurrences accurately is challenging, and preparing all buildings with seismic design for such random events is a difficult task. Analyzing building features to predict potential damage and reinforcing vulnerabilities based on this analysis can minimize damages even in buildings without seismic design. Therefore, research analyzing the efficiency of building damage prediction models is essential. In this paper, we compare the accuracy of earthquake damage prediction models using machine learning classification algorithms, including Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boosting, LightGBM, and CatBoost, utilizing data from buildings damaged during the 2015 Nepal earthquake.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.59-76
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• 2023

Since the COVID-19 era, the rise in apartment prices has been unconventional. In this uncertain real estate market, price prediction research is very important. In this paper, a model is created to predict the actual transaction price of future apartments after building a vast data set of 870,000 from 2015 to 2020 through data collection and crawling on various real estate sites and collecting as many variables as possible. This study first solved the multicollinearity problem by removing and combining variables. After that, a total of five variable selection algorithms were used to extract meaningful independent variables, such as Forward Selection, Backward Elimination, Stepwise Selection, L1 Regulation, and Principal Component Analysis(PCA). In addition, a total of four machine learning and deep learning algorithms were used for deep neural network(DNN), XGBoost, CatBoost, and Linear Regression to learn the model after hyperparameter optimization and compare predictive power between models. In the additional experiment, the experiment was conducted while changing the number of nodes and layers of the DNN to find the most appropriate number of nodes and layers. In conclusion, as a model with the best performance, the actual transaction price of apartments in 2021 was predicted and compared with the actual data in 2021. Through this, I am confident that machine learning and deep learning will help investors make the right decisions when purchasing homes in various economic situations.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.84 no.5
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• pp.605-618
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• 2022

Glass fiber reinforced polymer (GFRP) elastic gridshells consist of long continuous GFRP tubes that form elastic deformations. In this paper, a method for the form-finding of gridshell structures is presented based on the interpretable machine learning (ML) approaches. A comparative study is conducted on several ML algorithms, including support vector regression (SVR), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), AdaBoost, XGBoost, category boosting (CatBoost), and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM). A numerical example is presented using a standard double-hump gridshell considering two characteristics of deformation as objective functions. The combination of the grid search approach and k-fold cross-validation (CV) is implemented for fine-tuning the parameters of ML models. The results of the comparative study indicate that the LightGBM model presents the highest prediction accuracy. Finally, interpretable ML approaches, including Shapely additive explanations (SHAP), partial dependence plot (PDP), and accumulated local effects (ALE), are applied to explain the predictions of the ML model since it is essential to understand the effect of various values of input parameters on objective functions. As a result of interpretability approaches, an optimum gridshell structure is obtained and new opportunities are verified for form-finding investigation of GFRP elastic gridshells during lifting construction.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• v.46 no.2
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• pp.153-173
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• 2023

Rectangular concrete-filled steel tubular (RCFST) column, a type of concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST), is widely used in compression members of structures because of its advantages. This paper proposes a robust machine learning-based framework for predicting the ultimate compressive strength of RCFST columns under both concentric and eccentric loading. The gradient boosting neural network (GBNN), an efficient and up-to-date ML algorithm, is utilized for developing a predictive model in the proposed framework. A total of 890 experimental data of RCFST columns, which is categorized into two datasets of concentric and eccentric compression, is carefully collected to serve as training and testing purposes. The accuracy of the proposed model is demonstrated by comparing its performance with seven state-of-the-art machine learning methods including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), support vector machines (SVM), deep learning (DL), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and categorical gradient boosting (CatBoost). Four available design codes, including the European (EC4), American concrete institute (ACI), American institute of steel construction (AISC), and Australian/New Zealand (AS/NZS) are refereed in another comparison. The results demonstrate that the proposed GBNN method is a robust and powerful approach to obtain the ultimate strength of RCFST columns.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.21-24
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• 2022

최근 통신업계에서는 축적된 빅데이터를 활용하여 고객의 특성을 이해하고 맞춤형 마케팅에 이용하려는 노력이 지속되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 CatBoost 모델을 사용하여 이탈 가능성이 높은 고객을 예측하고 XAI(eXplainable Artificial Intelligence) 기법 중 하나인 SHAP을 적용하여 이탈에 영향을 미치는 요인을 설명하고자 하였다. SHAP의 global explanation 기법을 사용하여 특정 고객 segmentation 에 대한 이해력을 높이고, local explanation 기법을 사용하여 개별 고객에 대한 설명과 개인화 마케팅에 적용 가능성을 제시하였다. 본 연구는 기존의 이탈 예측모델인 블랙박스 모델이 갖는 한계점을 극복하고 고객의 특성을 이해하여 실제 비즈니스에 활용 가능성을 높였다는 점에서 의의를 가진다.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.17-24
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• 2023

Given the surge in the elderly population, and increasing in dementia cases, there is a growing interest in digital therapies that facilitate steady remote treatment. However, in the cognitive assessment of digital therapies through clinical trials, the absence of log data as an essential evaluation factor is a significant issue. To address this, we propose a solution of utilizing weighted derived variables based on high-importance variables' accuracy in log data utilization as an indirect cognitive assessment factor for digital therapies. We have validated the effectiveness of this approach using machine learning techniques such as XGBoost, LGBM, and CatBoost. Thus, we suggest the use of log data as a rapid and indirect cognitive evaluation factor for digital therapy users.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.621-623
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• 2023

전자금융거래 시장이 활발해지며 이에 따라 신용 카드 이상 거래가 증가하고 있다. 따라서 많은 금융 기관은 신용 카드 이상 거래 탐지 시스템을 사용하여 신용 카드 이상 거래를 탐지하고 개인 피해를 줄이는 등 소비자를 보호하기 위해 큰 노력을 하고 있으며, 이에 따라 높은 정확도로 신용 카드 이상 거래를 탐지할 수 있는 실시간 자동화 시스템에 대한 개발이 요구되었다. 이에 본 논문에서는 머신러닝 기법 중 부스팅 알고리즘을 사용하여 더욱 정확한 신용 카드 이상 거래 탐지 시스템을 제안하고자 한다. XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost 부스팅 알고리즘을 사용하여 보다 정확한 신용 카드 이상 거래 탐지 시스템을 개발하였으며, 실험 결과 평균적으로 정밀도 99.95%, 재현율 99.99%, F1-스코어 99.97%를 취득하여 높은 신용 카드 이상 거래 탐지 성능을 보여주는 것을 확인하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2023.11a
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• pp.453-455
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• 2023

본 연구는 은행에서 리스크 관리 자동화를 위해 고객의 대출 상환 여부 예측 모델을 제안하고자 한다. 예측 모델로 금융 데이터 같은 정형데이터에서 전통적으로 높은 성능을 보인 의사결정나무기반 모델 LightGBM, CatBoost, XGB 와 최근 제안된 정형데이터에서 사용할 수 있는 설명 가능한 딥러닝 기반 모델 TabNet 간의 성능 비교를 진행한다. 다만, 대출 상환 여부 데이터는 불균형 클래스 데이터로 구성되어있어 샘플링을 진행한다. SMOTE, Random Under Sampling, 혼합 방식을 비교해 가장 높은 성능의 샘플링 기법을 제안한다. 대출 상환 여부 예측 결과 TabNet 모델이 의사결정나무모델들보다 좋은 성능을 보여 정형데이터에서 의사결정나무 기반 모델을 딥러닝 모델이 대체 할 수 있는 가능성을 확인했다.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.27 no.11
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• pp.147-155
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• 2022

In this study, we developed a system to dynamically balance a daily stock portfolio and performed trading simulations using gradient boosting and genetic algorithms. We collected various stock market data from stocks listed on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets, including investor-specific transaction data. Subsequently, we indexed the data as a preprocessing step, and used feature engineering to modify and generate variables for training. First, we experimentally compared the performance of three popular gradient boosting algorithms in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, including XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost. Based on the results, in a second experiment, we used a LightGBM model trained on the collected data along with genetic algorithms to predict and select stocks with a high daily probability of profit. We also conducted simulations of trading during the period of the testing data to analyze the performance of the proposed approach compared with the KOSPI and KOSDAQ indices in terms of the CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), MDD (Maximum Draw Down), Sharpe ratio, and volatility. The results showed that the proposed strategies outperformed those employed by the Korean stock market in terms of all performance metrics. Moreover, our proposed LightGBM model with a genetic algorithm exhibited competitive performance in predicting stock price movements.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.293-309
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• 2022

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to explore the possibility of predicting the degree of smartphone overdependence based on mobile phone usage patterns. Design/methodology/approach - In this study, a survey conducted by Korea Internet and Security Agency(KISA) called "problematic smartphone use survey" was analyzed. The survey consists of 180 questions, and data were collected from 29,712 participants. Based on the data on the smartphone usage pattern obtained through the questionnaire, the smartphone addiction level was predicted using machine learning techniques. k-NN, gradient boosting, XGBoost, CatBoost, AdaBoost and random forest algorithms were employed. Findings - First, while various factors together influence the smartphone overdependence level, the results show that all machine learning techniques perform well to predict the smartphone overdependence level. Especially, we focus on the features which can be obtained from the smartphone log data (without psychological factors). It means that our results can be a basis for diagnostic programs to detect problematic smartphone use. Second, the results show that information on users' age, marriage and smartphone usage patterns can be used as predictors to determine whether users are addicted to smartphones. Other demographic characteristics such as sex or region did not appear to significantly affect smartphone overdependence levels. Research implications or Originality - While there are some studies that predict smartphone overdependence level using machine learning techniques, but the studies only present algorithm performance based on survey data. In this study, based on the information gain measure, questions that have more influence on the smartphone overdependence level are presented, and the performance of algorithms according to the questions is compared. Through the results of this study, it is shown that smartphone overdependence level can be predicted with less information if questions about smartphone use are given appropriately.