• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.7 no.2 s.30
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• pp.138-147
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• 2006

The objective of this research is to explore a more precise forecasting method by applying Case-based Reasoning (CBR). The newly suggested method in this study enables project managers to forecast monthly expenditures with less time and effort by retrieving and referring only projects of a similar nature, while filtering out irrelevant cases included in database. For the purpose of accurate forecasting, 1) the choice of the numbers of referring projects and 2) the better selection among three levels ? which include a 20-work package level, a 7-major work package level, and a total sum level analysis, were investigated in detail. It is concluded that selecting similar projects at $12{\sim}19%$ out of the whole database will produce a more precise forecasting. The new forecasting model, which suggests the predicted values based on previous projects, is more than just a forecasting methodology; it provides a bridge that enables current data collection techniques to be used within the context of the accumulated information. This will eventually help all the participants in the construction industry to build up the knowledge derived from invaluable experience.

• Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.400-409
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• 2003

Collaborative filtering (CF) recommendation is a knowledge sharing technology for distribution of opinions and facilitating contacts in network society between people with similar interests. The main concerns of the CF algorithm are about prediction accuracy, speed of response time, problem of data sparsity, and scalability. In general, the efforts of improving prediction algorithms and lessening response time are decoupled. We propose a three-step CF recommendation model which is composed of profiling, inferring, and predicting steps while considering prediction accuracy and computing speed simultaneously. This model combines a CF algorithm with two machine learning processes, SOM (Self-Organizing Map) and CBR (Case Based Reasoning) by changing an unsupervised clustering problem into a supervised user preference reasoning problem, which is a novel approach for the CF recommendation field. This paper demonstrates the utility of the CF recommendation based on SOM cluster-indexing CBR with validation against control algorithms through an open dataset of user preference.

• The Journal of Information Systems
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.277-297
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• 2009

물류 프로세스내의 상황결정은 전문적인 물류지원 연구의 중요한 목표이다. CBR(Case Based Reasoning)는 기존의 사건이나 경험으로 현재 발생한 문제의 해결책을 발견하기 위한 기술이다. CBR의 주요 역할은 현재 사건에 있는 문제의 상태를 인식하며 이 사건과 유사한 기존 사건 중의 하나를 통하여 현재 사건의 해결책을 추론함으로써 기존 시스템을 업데이트하는 것이다. 이러한 과정에서 가장 중요한 이슈는 유용한 사례베이스를 구축하는 것이다. 온토로지를 이용하여 상황을 모델화하면, 여러 개체들이 협업하에서 상황에 대한 인식을 공유할 수 있게 된다. 본 논문에서는 CBR 사례베이스 구축을 위한 참조로서 물류 온토로지를 디자인하였다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.42-52
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• 2013

The aim of this study is to present a prediction model of construction cost for a bridge that has a high reliability using historical data from the planning phase based on a CBR (Case-Based Reasoning) method in order to overcome limitations of existing construction cost prediction methods, which is linearly estimated. To do this, a reasoning model of bridge construction cost by a spreadsheet template was suggested using complexly both CBR and GA (Genetic Algorithm). Besides, this study performed a case study to verify the suggested cost reasoning model for bridge construction projects. Measuring efficiency for a result of the case study was 8.69% on average. Since accuracy of the suggested prediction cost is relatively high compared to the other analysis methods for a prediction of construction cost, reliability of the suggested model was secured. In the case that information for detailed specifications of each bridge type in an initial design phase is difficult to be collected, the suggested model is able to predict the bridge construction cost within the minimized measuring efficiency with only the representative specifications for bridges as an improved correction method. Therefore, it is expected that the model will be used to estimate a reasonable construction cost for a bridge project.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.53-69
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• 2003

Many process variables in modem manufacturing processes have influence on quality of products with complicated relationships. Therefore, it is necessary to control multiple quality variables in order to monitor abnormal signals in the processes. This study proposes an integrated procedure of self-organizing map (SOM) neural network and case-based reasoning (CBR) for multivariate process control. SOM generates patterns of quality variables. The patterns are compared with the reference patterns in order to decide whether their states are normal or abnormal using the goodness-of-fitness test. For validation, it generates artificial datasets consisting of six patterns, normal and abnormal patterns. Experimental results show that the abnormal patterns can be detected effectively. This study also shows that the CBR procedure enables to keep Type 2 error at very low level and reduce Type 1 error gradually, and then the proposed method can be a solution fur multivariate process control.

• Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.338-346
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• 2003

Information Technology (IT) and the internet have been major drivers the changes in all aspects of the business processes and activities. They have brought major changes to the financial statements audit environment as well, which in turn has required modifications in audit procedures. There exist, however, certain difficulties with current audit procedures especially for the assessment of the level of control risk. This assessment is primarily based on the auditors' professional judgment and experiences, not based on the objective hies or criteria. To overcome these difficulties, this paper proposes a prototype decision support model named CRAS-CBR using case based reasoning (CBR) to support auditors in making their professional judgment on the assessment of the level of control risk of the general accounting system in the manufacturing industry. To validate the performance, we compare our proposed model with benchmark performances in terms of classification accuracy for the level of control risk. Our experimental results showed CRAS-CBR outperforms a statistical model (MDA) and staff auditor performance in average hit ratio.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.1-14
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• 2007

Case-based reasoning (CBR) is one of the most widely applied data mining techniques and has proven its effectiveness in various domains. Since CBR is basically based on k-Nearest Neighbors (NN) method, the value of k affects the performance of CBR model directly. Once the value of k is set, it is fixed for the lifetime of the CBR model. However, if the value is set greater or smaller than the optimal value, the performance of CBR model will be deteriorated. In this research, we propose a new method of composing the NN set using similarity scores as themselves, which we shall call s-NN method, rather than using the fixed value of k. In the s-NN method, the different number of nearest neighbors can be selected for each new case. Performance evaluation using the data from UCI Machine Learning Repository shows that the CBR model adopting the s-NN method outperforms the CBR model adopting the traditional k-NN method.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.875-885
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• 2010

CBR (Case-Based Reasoning) is a technique to infer the relationships between existing data and case data, and the method to calculate similarity and Euclidean distance is mostly frequently being used. However, since those methods compare all the existing and case data, it also has a demerit that it takes much time for data search and filtering. Therefore, to solve this problem, various researches have been conducted. This paper suggests the method of SE(Speed Euclidean-distance) calculation that utilizes the patterns discovered in the existing process of computing similarity and Euclidean distance. Because SE calculation applies the patterns and weight found during inputting new cases and enables fast data extraction and short operation time, it can enhance computing speed for temporal or spatial restrictions and eliminate unnecessary computing operation. Through this experiment, it has been found that the proposed method improves performance in various computer environments or processing rate more efficiently than the existing method that extracts data using similarity or Euclidean method does.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.43-57
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• 2012

To enhance the competitive advantage in a constantly changing business environment, an enterprise management must make the right decision in many business activities based on both internal and external information. Thus, providing accurate information plays a prominent role in management's decision making. Intuitively, historical data can provide a feasible estimate through the forecasting models. Therefore, if the service department can estimate the service quantity for the next period, the service department can then effectively control the inventory of service related resources such as human, parts, and other facilities. In addition, the production department can make load map for improving its product quality. Therefore, obtaining an accurate service forecast most likely appears to be critical to manufacturing companies. Numerous investigations addressing this problem have generally employed statistical methods, such as regression or autoregressive and moving average simulation. However, these methods are only efficient for data with are seasonal or cyclical. If the data are influenced by the special characteristics of product, they are not feasible. In our research, we propose a forecasting framework that predicts service demand of manufacturing organization by combining Case-based reasoning (CBR) and leveraging an unsupervised artificial neural network based clustering analysis (i.e., Self-Organizing Maps; SOM). We believe that this is one of the first attempts at applying unsupervised artificial neural network-based machine-learning techniques in the service forecasting domain. Our proposed approach has several appealing features : (1) We applied CBR and SOM in a new forecasting domain such as service demand forecasting. (2) We proposed our combined approach between CBR and SOM in order to overcome limitations of traditional statistical forecasting methods and We have developed a service forecasting tool based on the proposed approach using an unsupervised artificial neural network and Case-based reasoning. In this research, we conducted an empirical study on a real digital TV manufacturer (i.e., Company A). In addition, we have empirically evaluated the proposed approach and tool using real sales and service related data from digital TV manufacturer. In our empirical experiments, we intend to explore the performance of our proposed service forecasting framework when compared to the performances predicted by other two service forecasting methods; one is traditional CBR based forecasting model and the other is the existing service forecasting model used by Company A. We ran each service forecasting 144 times; each time, input data were randomly sampled for each service forecasting framework. To evaluate accuracy of forecasting results, we used Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as primary performance measure in our experiments. We conducted one-way ANOVA test with the 144 measurements of MAPE for three different service forecasting approaches. For example, the F-ratio of MAPE for three different service forecasting approaches is 67.25 and the p-value is 0.000. This means that the difference between the MAPE of the three different service forecasting approaches is significant at the level of 0.000. Since there is a significant difference among the different service forecasting approaches, we conducted Tukey's HSD post hoc test to determine exactly which means of MAPE are significantly different from which other ones. In terms of MAPE, Tukey's HSD post hoc test grouped the three different service forecasting approaches into three different subsets in the following order: our proposed approach > traditional CBR-based service forecasting approach > the existing forecasting approach used by Company A. Consequently, our empirical experiments show that our proposed approach outperformed the traditional CBR based forecasting model and the existing service forecasting model used by Company A. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides some research background information such as summary of CBR and SOM. Section 3 presents a hybrid service forecasting framework based on Case-based Reasoning and Self-Organizing Maps, while the empirical evaluation results are summarized in Section 4. Conclusion and future research directions are finally discussed in Section 5.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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• v.11D no.5
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• pp.1189-1196
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• 2004

It is a major concern of e-shopping mall managers to satisfy a variety of customer's desire by recommending a proper product to the perspective purchaser. Customer information like customer's fondness, age, gender, etc. in shopping has not been used effectively for the customers or the suppliers. Conventionally, e-shopping mall managers have recommended specific items of products to their customers without considering thoroughly in a customer point of view. This study introduces the ways of a choosing and recommending of products using case-based reasoning and rule-based reasoning for customer themselves or others. A similarity measure between one member's idiosyncrasy and the other members' is developed based on the rule base and the case base. The case base is improved for the system intelligence by recognizing and learning the changes of customer's desire and shopping trend.