• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제42권1호
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• pp.59-74
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• 2022

This study introduces a general reliability-based, performance-based design framework to design frames regarding their uncertainties and user-defined design goals. The Iterative-R method extracted from the main framework can designate a proper R (i.e., response modification factor) satisfying the design goal regarding target reliability index and pre-defined probability of collapse. The proposed methodology is based on FEMA P-695 and can be used for all systems that FEMA P-695 applies. To exemplify the method, multiple three-dimensional, four-story steel special moment-resisting frames are considered. Closed-form relationships are fitted between frames' responses and the modeling parameters. Those fits are used to construct limit state functions to apply reliability analysis methods for design safety assessment and the selection of proper R. The frameworks' unique feature is to consider arbitrarily defined probability density functions of frames' modeling parameters with an insignificant analysis burden. This characteristic enables the alteration in those parameters' distributions to meet the design goal. Furthermore, with sensitivity analysis, the most impactful parameters are identifiable for possible improvements to meet the design goal. In the studied examples, it is revealed that a proper R for frames with different levels of uncertainties could be significantly different from suggested values in design codes, alarming the importance of considering the stochastic behavior of elements' nonlinear behavior.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.87-99
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• 1982

R.C.도로교(道路橋) 상부구조(上部構造)의 신뢰성(信賴性) 설계(設計) 기준(基準) 제안(提案)는 것이 본(本) 연구(硏究)의 주요 내요(內容)이다. T형 및 4각형 단면(斷面)의 저항(抵抗) 불확실량(不確實量)과 교량사하중(橋梁死荷重) 및 교통활하중(交通活荷重)에 대한 불확실량(不確實量) 우리의 현실(現實)을 반영하는 적절(適切)한 값으로 제안(提案)하였다. Cornell의 MFOSM과 Lind Hasofer의 AFOSM을 포함하는 주요 2차(次)모멘트 신뢰성(信賴性) 이론(理論)을 비교(比較) 분석(分析)하므로서 Elllngwood의 반복시행(反復試行) 알고리즘과 대수정규형(對數正規型) 근사공식(近似公式)을 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 제안(提案)하는 신뢰성(信賴性) 해석(解析) 및 설계기준(設計基準)의 유도에 사용함이 적절(適切)하다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 현행(現行) 도로교(道路橋) 설계규준(設計規準)에 따라 Calibration 하므로서 목표신뢰성지수(目標信賴性指數) ${\beta}_0=3.5$를 우리의 현실(現實)을 반영하는 최적치(最適値)로 선택(選擇)하였다. 상기(上記)한 불확실량(不確實量) 해석(解析) 이론(理論)에 의해 ${\beta}_0=3.5$에 대응(對應)하는 하중(荷重) 및 저항계수(抵抗係數)를 유도하였다. 그리고 현행(現行) WSD 도로교(道路橋) 설계(設計) 규준(規準)을 위해 신뢰성(信賴性) 이론(理論)에 의한 공칭안전율(公稱安全率)과 허용응력(許容應力)을 제안(提案)하였다. 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 제안(提案)하는 R.C.도로교(道路橋)의 LRFD 신뢰성(信賴性) 설계기준(設計基準) 현행(現行) R.C.표준설계(標準設計) 시방서(示方書)의 규준(規準)에 대응(對應)하는 설계기준(設計基準)으로 도입(導入)함이 바람직하다는 사실(事實) 확인(確認)할 수 있었다.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제39권6_2호
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• pp.1541-1551
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• 2023

해색위성 원격탐사에서 광학센서에서 측정된 전자기 시그날을 태양광 복사휘도로 산출하는 것은 해양 환경 모니터링의 시작이 되는 중요 단계이다. 일반적으로 광학센서가 임무 기간 수많은 촬영을 하면서 감쇄가 일반적이며 이로 인해 발생하는 복사 보정의 불확도는 해수원격반사도, 엽록소-a 농도, 유색용존유기물 등 최종 산출물에 영향을 미치기 때문에, 국제적으로 해색위성의 임무기간 중 자료 연속성을 위한 복사보정의 중요성을 강조해 왔다. 본 연구는 Geostationary Ocean Color Imager-II (GOCI-II) 위성의 지속적인 품질과 정확성을 확보하기 위해 GOCI-II의 복사 보정 알고리즘을 개선 방법을 제시한다. GOCI-II는 궤도상 복사 보정 장치인 태양광 확산기(Solar Diffuser, SD)를 사용하여 gain을 지속적으로 측정하였다. 시계열 분석 결과 gain이 방위각에 따라 계절적 변동을 보임과 동시에 센서의 노후화 가능성을 고려해야 함을 확인하였다. 본 연구에서는 방위각 보정 모델을 도입하여 계절 주기성을 제거하였고, 센서 감쇄 보정 모델을 통해 복사 이득의 비선형적 추세를 산출하였다. 본 연구에서 개선된 복사 보정 알고리즘을 적용하여 대기 최상층(Top of Atmosphere, TOA) 복사휘도의 스펙트럼에 미치는 영향을 확인하였고, 이는 GOCI-II 데이터의 장기적인 안정성 확보를 통해 신뢰성 있는 위성 산출물을 제공함으로써 장기간 트렌드 분석 및 해양 환경 모니터링에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

• 대한수의학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.139-145
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• 2007

Measurement uncertainty could play an important role in the assessment of test results in laboratories and industries. We investigated measurement uncertainties possibly included in determination of flubendazole, a benzimidazole anthelmintic, in pork by HPLC. The concentration of flubendazole was 62.69 ng/g in a sample of pork. Uncertainty was estimated in the analytical procedure of flubendazole. A model equation was made for determination of flubendazole in pork. The four uncertainty components such as weight of sample, volume of sample, calibration curve, and recovery were selected to estimate measurement uncertainties. Standard uncertainty was calculated for each component and all the standard uncertainties were combined. The combined standard uncertainty was expanded to a sample population as an expanded uncertainty. The expanded uncertainty was calculated using k value on Student's t-table and effective degrees of freedom from Welch-Satterthwaite formula. The expanded uncertainty was calculated as 3.45 with the combined standard uncertainty, 1.584 6 and the k value, 2.18. The final expression can be ($62.69{\pm}3.45$) ng/g (confidence level 95%, k = 2.18). The uncertainty value might be estimated differently depending on the selection of the uncertainty components. It is difficult to estimate all the uncertainty factors. Therefore, it is better to take several big effecting components instead of many small effecting components.

• 한국연초학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.107-114
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• 2005

The uncertainty of measurement in quantitative analysis of ammonia by continuous-flow analysis method was evaluated following internationally accepted guidelines. The sources of uncertainty associated with the analysis of ammonia were the weighing of sample, the preparation of extracting solution, the addition of extracting solution into the sample, the reproducibility of analysis and the determination of water content in tobacco, etc. In calculating uncertainties, Type A of uncertainty was evaluated by the statistical analysis of a series of observation, and Type B by the information based on supplier's catalogue and/or certificated of calibration. It was shown that the main source of uncertainty was caused by the volume measurement of 1 mL and 2 mL, the purity of ammonia reference material in the preparation of standard solution, the reproducibility of analysis and the determination of water content of tobacco. The uncertainty in the addition of extraction solution, the sample weighing, the volume measurement of 50 mL and 100 mL, and the calibration curve of standard solution contributed relatively little to the overall uncertainty. The expanded uncertainty of ammonia determination in burley tobacco at $95\%$ level of confidence was $0.00997\%$.

• 천문학회보
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.210.1-210.1
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• 2012

We report technique used for improved measurement uncertainties for Photon detection efficiency(PDE) of $1mm^2$ single pixel SiPM. It consists of 470nm LED light source, two 2-inch integrating sphere and two NIST calibrated silicon photodiodes that have ${\pm}2.4%$ calibration error. With raytracing simulation of our experimental setup, we predict number of photon into SiPM and measurement uncertainty. For MPPC, Hamamatsu suggested PDE(1600 micro pixel) including crosstalk and afterpulse is 23.5% at 470 nm. By using new low calibration error photodiode and raytracing simulation, our simulation result has ${\pm}3%$ measurement uncertainty. The technical detail of measurement, simulation are presented with the results and implication.

• 천문학회보
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.59.2-59.2
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• 2019

Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) aims to resolve the innermost region to the super massive black hole (SMBH) with its extremely high angular resolution (~20-25 uas) and enhanced sensitivity (down to 1-10 mJy) in concert with the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) at 1.3 mm wavelength. This has a great importance as the first observational probe of the black hole shadow which has been theoretically predicted as a ring-like emission affected by the general relativistic effect under a strong gravitational field of SMBH. During the 2017 April 5-11, four nights of EHT observing campaign were carried out towards its primary targets, M87 and $SgrA{\ast}$. To robustly ensure the data processing, independent pipelines for various radio data calibration softwares (e.g., AIPS, HOPS, CASA) have been developed and cross-compared each other. The EHT has also been developing newer interferometric imaging techniques (e.g., eht-imaging-library, SMILI, dynamical imaging), as well as using an established method (CLEAN). With these, the EHT has designed various strategies which will be adopted for convincing imaging results. In this talk, I review how the robustness of EHT data processing and imaging will be validated so that the results can be ensured against well known uncertainties or biases in the interferometric data calibration and imaging.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.97-106
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• 2011

본 연구에서는 전자패키지에 사용되는 솔더 재료의 점소성 물성치를 규명하였다. 이를 위해 전자패키지와 비슷한 변형을 보이는 시편을 제작하였고 모아레 간섭계를 이용하여 열사이클 하에서의 변형을 측정한 뒤 시편의 굽힘 변위와 솔더의 전단 변형률을 구하였다. 시편에 대해 점소성 유한요소해석을 실시하였고 해석 결과가 실험 결과에 일치하도록 물성치를 역으로 추정하였다. 실험에서 발생한 측정오차와 실험횟수 부족 등의 불확실성을 고려하기 위해 컴퓨터 모델 교정법을 이용하였고, 그 결과 추정된 물성치는 평균 및 신뢰구간으로 표현되었으며, 이로 인한 유한요소해석 결과도 마찬가지로 평균 및 신뢰구간으로 표현되었다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.219-229
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• 2017

A watershed-river linked modeling system was developed to forecast the water quality, particularly weekly changes in chlorophyll-a concentration, of the Yeongsan River, Korea. Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) and Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC) were adopted as the basic model framework. In this study, the EFDC model was modified to effectively simulate the operational condition and flow of multi-functional weirs constructed in the main channel of rivers. The model was tested against hydrologic, water quality and algal data collected at the right upstream sites of two weirs in 2014. The mean absolute errors (MAEs) of the model calibration on the annual variations of river stage, TN, TP, and algal concentration are 0.03 ~ 0.10 m, 0.65 ~ 0.67 mg/L, 0.03 ~ 0.04 mg/L, and $9.7{\sim}10.8mg/m^3$, respectively. On the other hand, the MAE values of forecasting results for chlorophyll-a level at the same sites in 2015 range from 18.7 to $22.4mg/m^3$, which are higher than those of model calibration. The increased errors in forecasting are mainly attributed to the higher uncertainties of weather forecasting data compared to the observed data used in model calibration.

• 대한화학회지
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• 제47권1호
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• pp.31-37
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• 2003

측정 및 화학분석에 많이 이용되는 한 점 교정식에 대하여 측정 불확도 표기 지침서(GUM)의 근사법과 Monte-Carlo Simulation에 의해 계산된 각각의 확장불확도를 비교하였다. 이 비교를 위하여 임의의 자료들을 여러 농도 수준에서 정규 분포 또는 t-분포로 가정하여 계산하였다. 나눗셈에 의한 한 점 교정식의 비선형성과 t-분포 형식을 함에 따른 입력량의 과도한 퍼짐으로 인하여, 경우에 따라서, GUM의 근사법으로 계산된 불확도가 Monte-Carlo Simulation에 의해 계산된 것보다 약 50% 이상의 오류가 있다는 것이 확인되었다. 그러나, 검출 하한을 계산하기 위하여 한 점 교정식을 이용하는 경우, 반응량의 표준불확도가 상대적으로 매우 크고 비선형성에 희한 계산 오류가 상대적으로 무시되므로 근사식에 따른 계산 오류가 발생하지 않았다.