• Title/Summary/Keyword: Binomial distribution

Search Result 216, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

A Ppoisson Regression Aanlysis of Physician Visits (외래이용빈도 분석의 모형과 기법)

  • 이영조;한달선;배상수
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.3 no.2
    • /
    • pp.159-176
    • /
    • 1993
  • The utilization of outpatient care services involves two steps of sequential decisions. The first step decision is about whether to initiate the utilization and the second one is about how many more visits to make after the initiation. Presumably, the initiation decision is largely made by the patient and his or her family, while the number of additional visits is decided under a strong influence of the physician. Implication is that the analysis of the outpatient care utilization requires to specify each of the two decisions underlying the utilization as a distinct stochastic process. This paper is concerned with the number of physician visits, which is, by definition, a discrete variable that can take only non-negative integer values. Since the initial visit is considered in the analysis of whether or not having made any physician visit, the focus on the number of visits made in addition to the initial one must be enough. The number of additional visits, being a kind of count data, could be assumed to exhibit a Poisson distribution. However, it is likely that the distribution is over dispersed since the number of physician visits tends to cluster around a few values but still vary widely. A recently reported study of outpatient care utilization employed an analysis based upon the assumption of a negative binomial distribution which is a type of overdispersed Poisson distribution. But there is an indication that the use of Poisson distribution making adjustments for over-dispersion results in less loss of efficiency in parameter estimation compared to the use of a certain type of distribution like a negative binomial distribution. An analysis of the data for outpatient care utilization was performed focusing on an assessment of appropriateness of available techniques. The data used in the analysis were collected by a community survey in Hwachon Gun, Kangwon Do in 1990. It was observed that a Poisson regression with adjustments for over-dispersion is superior to either an ordinary regression or a Poisson regression without adjustments oor over-dispersion. In conclusion, it seems the most approprite to assume that the number of physician visits made in addition to the initial visist exhibits an overdispersed Poisson distribution when outpatient care utilization is studied based upon a model which embodies the two-part character of the decision process uderlying the utilization.

  • PDF

An Adaptive Estimation for a Tracking System in Hybrid Noise Environments (혼합 잡음 상황에서의 추적 계통의 적응 추정)

  • 박희창;윤현보
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.204-215
    • /
    • 1988
  • This paper deals with the adaptive state estimation which is designed specially for a tracking system containing unknown and/or radomly varying hybride noises to provide an accurate estimate of the system state. The range of discrete vectyor v in finite numbers(N) for this adaptive estimator span the entire possible range of impulse noise levels such as the binomial, the edge, the Tchebyscheff, the binomal-edge and the Tchbyscheff-edge distribution. A feed forward path consisting of zero detector and data selector is incoporated with the conventional adaptive state estimator so as to provide accurate estimations. Despite the large and randomly varying hybrid noises, results of computer simulations for the various discrete vector levels show that this adptive state estimator is turned out to be a good system with relatively small implse errors.

  • PDF

Estimation of the Cure Rate in Iranian Breast Cancer Patients

  • Rahimzadeh, Mitra;Baghestani, Ahmad Reza;Gohari, Mahmood Reza;Pourhoseingholi, Mohamad Amin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.15 no.12
    • /
    • pp.4839-4842
    • /
    • 2014
  • Background: Although the Cox's proportional hazard model is the popular approach for survival analysis to investigate significant risk factors of cancer patient survival, it is not appropriate in the case of log-term disease free survival. Recently, cure rate models have been introduced to distinguish between clinical determinants of cure and variables associated with the time to event of interest. The aim of this study was to use a cure rate model to determine the clinical associated factors for cure rates of patients with breast cancer (BC). Materials and Methods: This prospective cohort study covered 305 patients with BC, admitted at Shahid Faiazbakhsh Hospital, Tehran, during 2006 to 2008 and followed until April 2012. Cases of patient death were confirmed by telephone contact. For data analysis, a non-mixed cure rate model with Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution were employed. All analyses were carried out using a developed Macro in WinBugs. Deviance information criteria (DIC) were employed to find the best model. Results: The overall 1-year, 3-year and 5-year relative survival rates were 97%, 89% and 74%. Metastasis and stage of BC were the significant factors, but age was significant only in negative binomial model. The DIC also showed that the negative binomial model had a better fit. Conclusions: This study indicated that, metastasis and stage of BC were identified as the clinical criteria for cure rates. There are limited studies on BC survival which employed these cure rate models to identify the clinical factors associated with cure. These models are better than Cox, in the case of long-term survival.

Tests for Equality of Dispersions in the Generalized Bivariate Negative Binomial Regression Model with Heterogeneous Dispersions (서로 다른 산포를 갖는 이변량 음이항 회귀모형에서 산포의 동일성에 대한 검정)

  • Han, Sang-Moon;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.219-227
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper, we proposed a generalized bivariate negative binomial distribution allowing heterogeneous dispersions on two dependent variables based on a trivariate reduction technique. In this model, we propose the score and LR tests for testing the equality of dispersions and compare the efficiencies of the proposed tests using a Monte Carlo study. The Monte Carlo study shows that the proposed score and LR tests prove to be an efficient test for the equality of dispersions in the view of the significance level and power. However, the score test is easier to compute than the LR test and it shows a slightly better performance than the LR test from the Monte Carlo study, we suggest the use of score tests for testing the equality of dispersions on two dependent variables. In addition, an empirical example is provided to illustrate the results.

A Study on Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution (이항분포의 정규근사에 대한 고찰)

  • 장대흥
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.671-681
    • /
    • 1999
  • 이항분포의 정규근사는 중심극한정리의 한 예로서 자주 언급되는데 정규근사를 하기 위한 시행회수 n과 성공률 p에 대한 판정기준들이 다수 제시되고 있는 데, 본 논문은 이러한 판정기준들에 대하여 제약조건의 강도와 평균오차한계를 비교, 검토하였다.

  • PDF

Estimating Parameters in Overdispersed Binary Data

  • Lee, Sunho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.269-276
    • /
    • 2000
  • there are several methods available for estimating parameters in overdispersed binary response data with the litter effect. Simulations are performed to compare methods for estimating an overall mean and an overdispersion parameter using moments a maximum likelihood under a beta-binomial distribution a maximum quasi-likelihood and a maximum extended quasi-likelihood.

  • PDF

An Acceptance Sampling Plan for Products from Production Process with Variable Fraction Defective (불량률이 가변적인 공정으로부터 생산된 제품에 대한 수명시험 샘플링 검사방식 설계)

  • 권영일
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.152-159
    • /
    • 2002
  • An acceptance sampling plan for products manufactured from a production process with variable fraction defective is developed. We consider a situation where defective products have short lifetimes and non-defective ones never fail during the technological life of the products. An acceptance criterion which guarantee the out going quality of accepted products is derived using the prior information on the quality of products. Numerical examples are provided.

IAEA사찰표본 할당계산법 비교연구

  • 김현태
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
    • /
    • 1995.05a
    • /
    • pp.1029-1034
    • /
    • 1995
  • IAEA(International Atomic Energy Agency, 국제원자력기구)에서는 사찰활동 수행시, 비복원추출을 기술하는 초기 하분포(hypergeometric distribution) 대신 복원추출을 기술하는 이항분포(binomial distribution)를 사용하여 표본크기 (sample site)를 계산하여 최대 3가지 검증방법들에 할당한다. 본 연구에서는 사찰표본할당과 관련하여 PC사용이 요구되는 반복할당법인 초기하할당법, 개선된 이항할당법, 그리고 표준할당법과 포켓계산기에서 사용 가능한 근사 할당법인 개선된 이항할당근사법과 표준이항할당근사법을 비교 검토하였다.

  • PDF

The Effects of Dispersion Parameters and Test for Equality of Dispersion Parameters in Zero-Truncated Bivariate Generalized Poisson Models (제로절단된 이변량 일반화 포아송 분포에서 산포모수의 효과 및 산포의 동일성에 대한 검정)

  • Lee, Dong-Hee;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.585-594
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study, investigates the effects of dispersion parameters between two response variables in zero-truncated bivariate generalized Poisson distributions. A Monte Carlo study shows that the zero-truncated bivariate Poisson and negative binomial models fit poorly wherein the zero-truncated bivariate count data has heterogeneous dispersion parameters on dependent variables. In addition, we derive the score test for testing the equality of the dispersion parameters and compare its efficiency with the likelihood ratio test.

Partial Miscibility of Binary Solution with Specific Interaction of Binomial Distribution (이항분포의 특정 상호작용을 갖는 이성분 용액에서의 부분혼합도)

  • Jung, Hae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
    • /
    • v.58 no.6
    • /
    • pp.528-534
    • /
    • 2014
  • In some binary solution, closed miscibility loop of temperature-composition phase diagram occurs where both an upper critical solution temperature and a lower critical solution temperature exist. It is known that this phenomena occurs if specific interaction between molecules exists. There are several ways describing the specific interaction. In this work it is assumed that the total number of specific interactions is distributed according to binomial distribution. In this case, exact mathematical conditions for closed miscibility loop phase behavior are derived when the specific interaction is applied to regular solution theory, quasichemical theory and Flory-Huggins lattice theory. And we investigated the effect of parameters on the phase diagram. The phase diagram of water-nicotine is calculated and compared with experimental data.