• Title/Summary/Keyword: Binary Logistic Model

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A GA-based Classification Model for Predicting Consumer Choice (유전 알고리듬 기반 제품구매예측 모형의 개발)

  • Min, Jae-H.;Jeong, Chul-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a new classification method for predicting consumer choice based on genetic algorithm, and to validate Its prediction power over existing methods. To serve this purpose, we propose a hybrid model, and discuss Its methodological characteristics in comparison with other existing classification methods. Also, we conduct a series of experiments employing survey data of consumer choices of MP3 players to assess the prediction power of the model. The results show that the suggested model in this paper is statistically superior to the existing methods such as logistic regression model, artificial neural network model and decision tree model in terms of prediction accuracy. The model is also shown to have an advantage of providing several strategic information of practical use for consumer choice.

A GA-based Classification Model for Predicting Consumer Choice (유전 알고리듬 기반 제품구매예측 모형의 개발)

  • Min, Jae-Hyeong;Jeong, Cheol-U
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a new classification method for predicting consumer choice based on genetic algorithm, and to validate its prediction power over existing methods. To serve this purpose, we propose a hybrid model, and discuss its methodological characteristics in comparison with other existing classification methods. Also, to assess the prediction power of the model, we conduct a series of experiments employing survey data of consumer choices of MP3 players. The results show that the suggested model in this paper is statistically superior to the existing methods such as logistic regression model, artificial neural network model and decision tree model in terms of prediction accuracy. The model is also shown to have an advantage of providing several strategic information of practical use for consumer choice.

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A Bayesian Threshold Model for Ordered Categorical Traits (순서범주형자료 분석을 위한 베이지안 분계점 모형)

  • Choi Byangsu;Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2005
  • A Bayesian threshold model is considered to analyze binary or ordered categorical traits. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about the category probability as well as the regression coefficients is described. The model can be regarded as an alternative to the ordered logit regression model. Numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the efficiency of the model.

Diet and Lifestyle Factors Affecting Obesity: A Korea National Health and Nutrition Survey Analysis

  • Kwock, Chang-Keun;Lee, Jung-Min;Kim, Eun-Mi;Lee, Min-A
    • Preventive Nutrition and Food Science
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2011
  • This study investigated potential causes of obesity by examining diet and lifestyle factors. The data from the 2008 Korea National Health and Nutrition Survey were statistically analyzed to determine the relative importance of causes of obesity. Because the factors affecting obesity for males and females were significantly different, binary choice logistic models of the male and female subjects were built and estimated separately. Our results show that stress, the irregularity of eating breakfast, and frequency of eating out had the three greatest impacts on male obesity, respectively, and stress, employment status, and age had the greatest impacts on female obesity, in that order.

Determinants of Re-participation for Rural Responsible Tourism (농촌 공정관광의 재참여 결정요인)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hee;Lee, Sun-Min
    • The Korean Journal of Community Living Science
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2016
  • Responsible tourism has become an established area of the tourism industry. This study aims to identify the factors that influence re-participation in responsible tourism in rural Korea. On-site survey was conducted on 436 tourists by seven responsible tourism agencies in Korea. The motivation for responsible tourists was categorized into seven types: family togetherness, escape and relaxation, personal growth, social interaction, various experiences, learning, and natural experience. The estimation of a binary logistic regression model determined the characteristics of responsible tourists who are most likely to opt for re-participation in responsible tourism. Results indicated that important factors for re-participation in responsible tourism were 'age', 'educational level', 'accompany', 'length of stay', and 'motivation'. The results implied that tourists' internal and external factors are important for re-participation in responsible tourism. It is expected that this study will contribute to the market expansion of responsible tourism.

Various Graphical Methods for Assessing a Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱회귀모형의 평가를 위한 그래픽적 방법)

  • Kim, Kyung Jin;Kahng, Myung Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1191-1208
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    • 2015
  • Most statistical methods are dependent on the summary statistic. However, with graphical approaches, it is easier to identify the characteristics of the data and detect information that cannot be obtained by the summary statistic. We present various graphical methods to assess the adequacy of models in logistic regression that include checking log-density ratio, structural dimension, marginal model plot, chi-residual plot, and CERES plot. Through simulation data, we investigate and compare the results of graphical approaches under diverse conditions.

Statistical Analysis for Risk Factors and Prediction of Hypertension based on Health Behavior Information (건강행위정보기반 고혈압 위험인자 및 예측을 위한 통계분석)

  • Heo, Byeong Mun;Kim, Sang Yeob;Ryu, Keun Ho
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a prediction model of hypertension in middle-aged adults using Statistical analysis. Statistical analysis and prediction models were developed using the National Health and Nutrition Survey (2013-2016).Binary logistic regression analysis showed statistically significant risk factors for hypertension, and a predictive model was developed using logistic regression and the Naive Bayes algorithm using Wrapper approach technique. In the statistical analysis, WHtR(p<0.0001, OR = 2.0242) in men and AGE (p<0.0001, OR = 3.9185) in women were the most related factors to hypertension. In the performance evaluation of the prediction model, the logistic regression model showed the best predictive power in men (AUC = 0.782) and women (AUC = 0.858). Our findings provide important information for developing large-scale screening tools for hypertension and can be used as the basis for hypertension research.

Antidumping case in the China's textile industry: A model building approach

  • Zhuo, Jun;Park, Yong H.
    • Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.67-87
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    • 2019
  • Anti-dumping instruments among trading partners have been the subject of research by both academicians and practitioners. This study attempts to establish an early-warning model of anti-dumping against Chinese textile exporting companies, which have suffered from anti-dumping regulations and got arbitration awards. After reviewing theories of anti-dumping arbitration, early-warning and relationship marketing, the measuring items and relationship marketing model of Chinese textiles exporters are investigated. Empirical methods are selected based on early-warning theories of companies. Eighty percent of 156 valid questionnaires by surveys and interviews are used as training data via Binary-Logistic regression while the other twenty percent are validated in the model. As a result, a proper early-warning model has been established.

Comparison of Methodologies for Characterizing Pedestrian-Vehicle Collisions (보행자-차량 충돌사고 특성분석 방법론 비교 연구)

  • Choi, Saerona;Jeong, Eunbi;Oh, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2013
  • The major purpose of this study is to evaluate methodologies to predict the injury severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. Methodologies to be evaluated and compared in this study include Binary Logistic Regression(BLR), Ordered Probit Model(OPM), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Decision Tree(DT) method. Valuable insights into applying methodologies to analyze the characteristics of pedestrian injury severity are derived. For the purpose of identifying causal factors affecting the injury severity, statistical approaches such as BLR and OPM are recommended. On the other hand, to achieve better prediction performance, heuristic approaches such as SVM and DT are recommended. It is expected that the outcome of this study would be useful in developing various countermeasures for enhancing pedestrian safety.

Use of a Driving Simulator to Determine Optimum VMS Locations for Freeway Off-ramp Traffic Diversion (Driving Simulator를 이용한 유출지점 경로안내용 VMS 적정 설치 위치 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Cheol;Kim, Tae-Hyung;Lee, Jae-Joon;Lee, Soo-Beom;Lee, Chung-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.155-164
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    • 2008
  • Variable Message Signs (VMS) is one of the major components for Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) services that provides real-time traffic and incident information to drivers. The objective of this research was to develop a method determining the optimal location of VMS considering safety and driving characteristics of various drivers. A driving simulator was utilized to evaluate how drivers can safely exit to off-ramp depending on various VMS locations while information relating route diversion was provided. The binary logistic regression and factor analysis were applied in developing a probability model that predicts the success of safe off-ramp exiting. Based on the developed probability model, a method to estimate the spacing between VMS and off-ramp is suggested. It is expected that the products of this study would be utilized as a tool in determining VMS locations for ITS planners and designers.