• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Testing

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Hypotheses testing of Bayes' theorem for fuzzy prior parameters (퍼지 사전 모수에 관한 베이지안 가설검정)

  • Kang Man-Ki;Chio Gue-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.205-208
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    • 2005
  • We have fuzzy hypotheses testing from Bayesian statistics with ideas from fuzzy sets theory to generalize Bayesian methods both for samples of fuzzy data and for prior distributions with non-precise parameters. Appling the principle of agreement index, the posterior odds ratio in the favor of hypotheses $H_0$ is equal to product of the fuzzy odds ratio and the fuzzy likelihood ratio. If the Posterior odds ratio exceeds the grade judgement, we accept the hypothesis $H_0$ for the degree.

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The Useful Techniques to Determine the Prior Odds and the Likelihood Ratios Bayesian Processor in Built-In-Test System

  • Yoo, Wang-Jin;Kim, Kyeong Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 1996
  • It is very important to determine the likelihood ratios and the prior odds for designing a Bayesian processor in Built-In-Test system. Using traditional statistics, it is not difficult to determine the initial prior odds from the field data. For a newly designed system, development testing data or laboratory testing data could be used to replace field data. The likelihood ratios which playa key role in the Bayesian processor must be carefully determined, based on laboratory testing and statistical techniques. In this paper, expressing and determining the likelihood ratios by Geometric areas, Test, and Analytical method will be presented.

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Bayesian Testing for the Equality of Two Lognormal Populations (로그정규분포의 상등에 관한 베이지안 검정)

  • Moon, Kyoung-Ae;Shin, Im-Hee;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.269-277
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    • 2000
  • We propose the Bayesian testing for the equality of two log-normal population means. Specifically we use the intrinsic Bayes factors suggested by Berger and Perichi (1996, 1998) based on the noninformative priors for the parameters. In order to investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian testing procedures, we compare it with classical tests via both real data analysis and simulation.

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Independent Testing in Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Model Using Fractional Bayes Factor Under Bivariate Type I Censorship

  • Cho, Kil-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik;Choi, Seung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1391-1396
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider two components system which the lifetimes have Marshall and Olkin's bivariate exponential model with bivariate type I censored data. We propose a Bayesian independent test procedure for above model using fractional Bayes factor method by O'Hagan based on improper prior distributions. And we compute the fractional Bayes factor and the posterior probabilities for the hypotheses, respectively. Also we select a hypothesis which has the largest posterior probability. Finally a numerical example is given to illustrate our Bayesian testing procedure.

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The Fractional Bayes Factor Approach to the Bayesian Testing of the Weibull Shape Parameter

  • Cha, Young-Joon;Cho, Kil-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.927-932
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    • 2006
  • The techniques for selecting and evaluating prior distributions are studied over recent years which the primary emphasis is on noninformative priors. But, noninformative priors are typically improper so that such priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants which affect the values of Bayes factors. In this paper, we consider the Bayesian hypotheses testing for the Weibull shape parameter based on fractional Bayes factor which is to remove the arbitrariness of improper priors. Also we present a numerical example to further illustrate our results.

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Development and Comparisons of Bayesian Acceptance Sampling Plans for the Exponential Lifetime Distribution (지수 수명분포에 대한 Bayesian 합격판정 샘플링계획의 개발 및 비교에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Hyun-Seok;Jin, Hwi-Chul;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 1994
  • The Bayesian approach to reliability acceptance sampling has several advantages over the non-Bayesian approach. For instance, the former usually requires less amount of testing time and smaller sample sizes than the latter. In this article, a Bayesian acceptance sampling plan(ASP) based on a failure-free period life test is developed under the assumption of exponential lifetime distribution, and is compared with the corresponding Bayesian hybrid ASP in terms of the expected completion time. It is found that the proposed ASP tends to have a smaller expected completion time than the Bayesian hybrid ASP as the prior assessment of the reliability of a lot becomes optimistic, and vice versa. Tables of failure-free period Bayesian ASP's are also included.

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A Study on Noisy Speech Recognition Using a Bayesian Adaptation Method (Bayesian 적응 방식을 이용한 잡음음성 인식에 관한 연구)

  • 정용주
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.21-26
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    • 2001
  • An expectation-maximization (EM) based Bayesian adaptation method for the mean of noise is proposed for noise-robust speech recognition. In the algorithm, the on-line testing utterances are used for the unsupervised Bayesian adaptation and the prior distribution of the noise mean is estimated using the off-line training data. For the noisy speech modeling, the parallel model combination (PMC) method is employed. The proposed method has shown to be effective compared with the conventional PMC method for the speech recognition experiments in a car-noise condition.

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A Statistical Design of Bayesian Two-Stage Reliability Demonstration Test for Product Qualification in Development Process (개발단계의 제품 인증을 위한 베이지언 2단계 신뢰성 실증시험의 통계적 설계)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2017
  • In order to demonstrate a target reliability with a specified confidence level, a new two-stage Bayesian Reliability Demonstration Test (RDT) plans that is known to be more effective than a corresponding single-stage one is proposed and developed by Bayesian framework with beta prior distribution for Weibull life time distribution. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the proposed RDT plans and compared with other non-Bayesian and Bayesian plans. Comparative results show that the proposed Bayesian two-stage plans have some merits in terms of required and expected testing time and probability of acceptance.

Default Bayesian hypothesis testing for the scale parameters in nonregular Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1299-1308
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    • 2012
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in nonregular Pareto distributions.We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be de ned up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesia hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

Review on Problems with Null Hypothesis Significance Testing in Dental Research and Its Alternatives (치의학 연구에서 귀무가설 유의성 검정의 문제점과 대안에 관한 고찰)

  • Lee, Kwang-Hee
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.223-232
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    • 2013
  • There are many problems in evaluating study results by p value in null hypothesis testing for dental research. It is a logical fallacy to conclude that the null hypothesis is true when the it is not rejected. There are much serious misunderstanding about p value, and researchers should be cautious about interpreting p value in writing papers. As alternatives to complement or replace the null hypothesis significance testing, effect size, confidence interval, and Bayesian statistics are introduced.