• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Procedure

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BAYESIAN APPROACH TO MEAN TIME BETWEEN FAILURE USING THE MODULATED POWER LAW PROCESS

  • Na, Myung-Hwa;Kim, Moon-Ju;Ma, Lin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2006
  • The Renewal process and the Non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) process are probably the most popular models for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems. But both these models are based on too restrictive assumptions on the effect of the repair action. For these reasons, several authors have recently proposed point process models which incorporate both renewal type behavior and time trend. One of these models is the Modulated Power Law Process (MPLP). The Modulated Power Law Process is a suitable model for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems when both renewal-type behavior and time trend are present. In this paper we propose Bayes estimation of the next failure time after the system has experienced some failures, that is, Mean Time Between Failure for the MPLP model. Numerical examples illustrate the estimation procedure.

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Modal teat/analysis result correlation of folding fin (접는 날개에 대한 모드시험/해석결과 보정)

  • 양해석
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.305-315
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    • 1996
  • Present paper aims at the correlation of modal characteristics of folding fin between test and analysis using an optimization theory. Folding fin is composed of a movable fin, a base fin, and many functional components related to the folding mechanism. Joint parts of folding fin in FEM are initially modeled as rigid elements resulting some difference between test and analysis in modal characteristics. Therefore, some equivalent springs representing joint parts are introduced to improve the FEM model. The springs were set as design variables, while the frequency difference between test and analysis was set as the object function. Bayesian procedure was ujsed for the minimization.

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A Study on the Extraction of Feature Variables for the Pattern Recognition of Welding Flaws (용접결함의 형상인식을 위한 특징변수 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Yeol;Roh, Byung-Ok;You, Sin;Kim, Chang-Hyun;Ko, Myung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2002
  • In this study, the natural flaws in welding parts are classified using the signal pattern classification method. The storage digital oscilloscope including FFT function and enveloped waveform generator is used and the signal pattern recognition procedure is made up the digital signal processing, feature extraction, feature selection and classifier design. It is composed with and discussed using the distance classifier that is based on euclidean distance the empirical Bayesian classifier. feature extraction is performed using the class-mean scatter criteria. The signal pattern classification method is applied to the signal pattern recognition of natural flaws.

Bayesian analysis of random partition models with Laplace distribution

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.457-480
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    • 2017
  • We develop a random partition procedure based on a Dirichlet process prior with Laplace distribution. Gibbs sampling of a Laplace mixture of linear mixed regressions with a Dirichlet process is implemented as a random partition model when the number of clusters is unknown. Our approach provides simultaneous partitioning and parameter estimation with the computation of classification probabilities, unlike its counterparts. A full Gibbs-sampling algorithm is developed for an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo posterior computation. The proposed method is illustrated with simulated data and one real data of the energy efficiency of Tsanas and Xifara (Energy and Buildings, 49, 560-567, 2012).

A Bayes Test for Equality of Intra-Subject Variabilities in 2$\times$2 Crossover Design

  • Oh, Hyun-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.541-548
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    • 2000
  • Various statistical methods for assessment of equivalence in average bioavailabilities have been developed under the assumption that the intra-subject variabilities for the test and reference formulations are the same. Without the assumption, assessing the equivalence in average bioavailabilites does not imply that the two formulations are therapeutically equivalent and exchangeable. The most commonly used test procedure for equality of variabilites in 2$\times$2 crossover experiment is the so called Pitman-Morgan's adjusted F test based on the model without carryover effects (Chow and Liu(1992)). In this paper, a Bayesian method based on the Intrinsic Bayes Factor is proposed, which can be applied to the model with carryover effects.

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A Study on statistical inference on IL-2 titer (IL-2 역가의 통계적 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 박래현;박석영;이석훈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 1989
  • This article deals with statistical inference on Interleukin-2 titer of which the clinical applications to cancer immunotherapy and some immunodeficiency diseases have been widely tried. A Linear model and the Bayesian approach are used to explain the bioassay which performs the measurements of IL-2 activity from an patient and an inference procedure including confidence intervals for the IL-2 titer of the patient through comparision with the Standard IL-2 is suggested and a real case of example is illustrated.

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Multiple Comparisons for a Bivariate Exponential Populations Based On Dirichlet Process Priors

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.553-560
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider two components system which lifetimes have Freund's bivariate exponential model with equal failure rates. We propose Bayesian multiple comparisons procedure for the failure rates of I Freund's bivariate exponential populations based on Dirichlet process priors(DPP). The family of DPP is applied in the form of baseline prior and likelihood combination to provide the comparisons. Computation of the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses are carried out through Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method, namely, Gibbs sampling, due to the intractability of analytic evaluation. The whole process of multiple comparisons problem for the failure rates of bivariate exponential populations is illustrated through a numerical example.

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The Feature Extraction of Welding Flaw for Shape Recognition (용접결함의 형상인식을 위한 특징추출)

  • Kim, Jae-Yeol;You, Sin;Kim, Chang-Hyun;Song, Kyung-Seok;Yang, Dong-Jo;Lee, Chang-Sun
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.304-309
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    • 2003
  • In this study, natural flaws in welding parts are classified using the signal pattern classification method. The storage digital oscilloscope including FFT function and enveloped waveform generator is used and the signal pattern recognition procedure is made up the digital signal processing, feature extraction, feature selection and classifier design. It is composed with and discussed using the distance classifier that is based on euclidean distance the empirical Bayesian classifier. Feature extraction is performed using the class-mean scatter criteria. The signal pattern classification method is applied to the signal pattern recognition of natural flaws.

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A Study on the Determination of a Minimum Cost Sampling Inspection Plan for Destructive Testing (파괴검사(破壞檢査)에 있어서의 최소비용(最少費用) 샘플링 검사방식(檢査方式)의 결정(決定)에 관한 연구(硏究) - 계수파괴(計數破壞) 1회검사(回檢査)를 중심(中心)으로 -)

  • Hwang, Ui-Cheol;Jeong, Yeong-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 1980
  • This paper deals with the problem of determining a minimum cost sampling inspection plan for a single destructive testing by attribute. The cost for inspection lot is constructed by following three cost factors: (1) cost of inspection, (2) cost of accepted defective, (3) cost of rejected lot Using Hald's Bayesian approach in a single non-destructive testing, procedure's for finding the minimum cost single destructive sampling inspection plan by attribute are given. Assuming the uniform distribution as a prior-distribution and using numerical analysis by computer, a minimum cost single destructive sampling inspection plan by attribute for several lot sizes, unit cost, destructive testing cost, and salvage cost is given.

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Estimation of Gini-Simpson index for SNP data

  • Kang, Joonsung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1557-1564
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    • 2017
  • We take genomic sequences of high-dimensional low sample size (HDLSS) without ordering of response categories into account. When constructing an appropriate test statistics in this model, the classical multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) approach might not be useful owing to very large number of parameters and very small sample size. For these reasons, we present a pseudo marginal model based upon the Gini-Simpson index estimated via Bayesian approach. In view of small sample size, we consider the permutation distribution by every possible n! (equally likely) permutation of the joined sample observations across G groups of (sizes $n_1,{\ldots}n_G$). We simulate data and apply false discovery rate (FDR) and positive false discovery rate (pFDR) with associated proposed test statistics to the data. And we also analyze real SARS data and compute FDR and pFDR. FDR and pFDR procedure along with the associated test statistics for each gene control the FDR and pFDR respectively at any level ${\alpha}$ for the set of p-values by using the exact conditional permutation theory.