• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Design

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Relation Based Bayesian Network for NBNN

  • Sun, Mingyang;Lee, YoonSeok;Yoon, Sung-eui
    • Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.204-213
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    • 2015
  • Under the conditional independence assumption among local features, the Naive Bayes Nearest Neighbor (NBNN) classifier has been recently proposed and performs classification without any training or quantization phases. While the original NBNN shows high classification accuracy without adopting an explicit training phase, the conditional independence among local features is against the compositionality of objects indicating that different, but related parts of an object appear together. As a result, the assumption of the conditional independence weakens the accuracy of classification techniques based on NBNN. In this work, we look into this issue, and propose a novel Bayesian network for an NBNN based classification to consider the conditional dependence among features. To achieve our goal, we extract a high-level feature and its corresponding, multiple low-level features for each image patch. We then represent them based on a simple, two-level layered Bayesian network, and design its classification function considering our Bayesian network. To achieve low memory requirement and fast query-time performance, we further optimize our representation and classification function, named relation-based Bayesian network, by considering and representing the relationship between a high-level feature and its low-level features into a compact relation vector, whose dimensionality is the same as the number of low-level features, e.g., four elements in our tests. We have demonstrated the benefits of our method over the original NBNN and its recent improvement, and local NBNN in two different benchmarks. Our method shows improved accuracy, up to 27% against the tested methods. This high accuracy is mainly due to consideration of the conditional dependences between high-level and its corresponding low-level features.

Reliability Analysis Under Input Variable and Metamodel Uncertainty Using Simulation Method Based on Bayesian Approach (베이지안 접근법을 이용한 입력변수 및 근사모델 불확실성 하에 서의 신뢰성 분석)

  • An, Da-Wn;Won, Jun-Ho;Kim, Eun-Jeong;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.1163-1170
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    • 2009
  • Reliability analysis is of great importance in the advanced product design, which is to evaluate reliability due to the associated uncertainties. There are three types of uncertainties: the first is the aleatory uncertainty which is related with inherent physical randomness that is completely described by a suitable probability model. The second is the epistemic uncertainty, which results from the lack of knowledge due to the insufficient data. These two uncertainties are encountered in the input variables such as dimensional tolerances, material properties and loading conditions. The third is the metamodel uncertainty which arises from the approximation of the response function. In this study, an integrated method for the reliability analysis is proposed that can address all these uncertainties in a single Bayesian framework. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is employed to facilitate the simulation of the posterior distribution. Mathematical and engineering examples are used to demonstrate the proposed method.

Collapse risk evaluation method on Bayesian network prediction model and engineering application

  • WANG, Jing;LI, Shucai;LI, Liping;SHI, Shaoshuai;XU, Zhenhao;LIN, Peng
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2017
  • Collapse was one of the typical common geological hazards during the construction of tunnels. The risk assessment of collapse was an effective way to ensure the safety of tunnels. We established a prediction model of collapse based on Bayesian Network. 76 large or medium collapses in China were analyzed. The variable set and range of the model were determined according to the statistics. A collapse prediction software was developed and its veracity was also evaluated. At last the software was used to predict tunnel collapses. It effectively evaded the disaster. Establishing the platform can be subsequent perfect. The platform can also be applied to the risk assessment of other tunnel engineering.

Bayesian Methods for Wavelet Series in Single-Index Models

  • Park, Chun-Gun;Vannucci, Marina;Hart, Jeffrey D.
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.83-126
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    • 2005
  • Single-index models have found applications in econometrics and biometrics, where multidimensional regression models are often encountered. Here we propose a nonparametric estimation approach that combines wavelet methods for non-equispaced designs with Bayesian models. We consider a wavelet series expansion of the unknown regression function and set prior distributions for the wavelet coefficients and the other model parameters. To ensure model identifiability, the direction parameter is represented via its polar coordinates. We employ ad hoc hierarchical mixture priors that perform shrinkage on wavelet coefficients and use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for a posteriori inference. We investigate an independence-type Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to produce samples for the direction parameter. Our method leads to simultaneous estimates of the link function and of the index parameters. We present results on both simulated and real data, where we look at comparisons with other methods.

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Three-dimensional object recognition using efficient indexing:Part I-bayesian indexing (효율적인 인덱싱 기법을 이용한 3차원 물체 인식:Part I-Bayesian 인덱싱)

  • 이준호
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics C
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    • v.34C no.10
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 1997
  • A design for a system to perform rapid recognition of three dimensional objects is presented, focusing on efficient indexing. In order to retrieve the best matched models without exploring all possible object matches, we have employed a bayesian framework. A decision-theoretic measure of the discriminatory power of a feature for a model object is defined in terms of posterior probability. Detectability of a featrue defined as a function of the feature itselt, viewpoint, sensor charcteristics, nd the feature detection algorithm(s) is also considered in the computation of discribminatory power. In order to speed up the indexing or selection of correct objects, we generate and verify the object hypotheses for rfeatures detected in a scene in the order of the discriminatory power of these features for model objects.

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Nonlinear Networked Control Systems with Random Nature using Neural Approach and Dynamic Bayesian Networks

  • Cho, Hyun-Cheol;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.444-452
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    • 2008
  • We propose an intelligent predictive control approach for a nonlinear networked control system (NCS) with time-varying delay and random observation. The control is given by the sum of a nominal control and a corrective control. The nominal control is determined analytically using a linearized system model with fixed time delay. The corrective control is generated online by a neural network optimizer. A Markov chain (MC) dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) predicts the dynamics of the stochastic system online to allow predictive control design. We apply our proposed method to a satellite attitude control system and evaluate its control performance through computer simulation.

Durability Assesment for Concrete Structures Exposed to Chloride Attack Using a Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 염해 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성 평가)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jun;Zi, Goang-Seup
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.589-594
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    • 2007
  • This paper is shown new method for durability assesment and design have been noticed to be very valuable has been successfully applied to predict concrete structures. This paper provides that a new approach for predicting the corrosion durability of reinforced concrete structures exposed to chloride attack. In this method, the prediction can be updated successive1y by the Bayesian theory when additional data are available. The stochastic properties of model parameters are explicitly taken into account into the model the probability of the durability limit is determined from the samples obtained from the Latin hypercube sampling technique. The new method may be very useful in designing important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures under chloride attack environments.

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A Note on Performance of Conditional Akaike Information Criteria in Linear Mixed Models

  • Lee, Yonghee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.507-518
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    • 2015
  • It is not easy to select a linear mixed model since the main interest for model building could be different and the number of parameters in the model could not be clearly defined. In this paper, performance of conditional Akaike Information Criteria and its bias-corrected version are compared with marginal Bayesian and Akaike Information Criteria through a simulation study. The results from the simulation study indicate that bias-corrected conditional Akaike Information Criteria shows promising performance when candidate models exclude large models containing the true model, but bias-corrected one prefers over-parametrized models more intensively when a set of candidate models increases. Marginal Bayesian and Akaike Information Criteria also have some difficulty to select the true model when the design for random effects is nested.

The Effect of Lockdown Repeal on Socialization: Bayesian Multilevel Difference-in-Differences Approach

  • Jung, Hyunwoo;Li, Yiling;Choi, Jeonghye
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2022
  • The COVID-19 lockdown has had an unprecedented impact on people in various ways. This study evaluates the effect of lockdown repeal from both marketing and public-policy perspectives. Combining the Bayesian multilevel model with the difference-in-differences design, we find that a lockdown repeal has had a negative impact on socialization. Furthermore, the results show that those who have a low level of risk perception are less affected by lockdown repeal. Also, the negative effect of lockdown repeal varies depending on past socialization behaviors; that is, the lockdown-repeal effect is attenuated for those who socialized more than others in the past. Our findings contribute to the intersection of public policy and marketing literature and provide both academic and practical implications.

Bayesian-based seismic margin assessment approach: Application to research reactor

  • Kwag, Shinyoung;Oh, Jinho;Lee, Jong-Min;Ryu, Jeong-Soo
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.653-663
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    • 2017
  • A seismic margin assessment evaluates how much margin exists for the system under beyond design basis earthquake events. Specifically, the seismic margin for the entire system is evaluated by utilizing a systems analysis based on the sub-system and component seismic fragility data. Each seismic fragility curve is obtained by using empirical, experimental, and/or numerical simulation data. The systems analysis is generally performed by employing a fault tree analysis. However, the current practice has clear limitations in that it cannot deal with the uncertainties of basic components and accommodate the newly observed data. Therefore, in this paper, we present a Bayesian-based seismic margin assessment that is conducted using seismic fragility data and fault tree analysis including Bayesian inference. This proposed approach is first applied to the pooltype nuclear research reactor system for the quantitative evaluation of the seismic margin. The results show that the applied approach can allow updating by considering the newly available data/information at any level of the fault tree, and can identify critical scenarios modified due to new information. Also, given the seismic hazard information, this approach is further extended to the real-time risk evaluation. Thus, the proposed approach can finally be expected to solve the fundamental restrictions of the current method.