• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
• /
• v.22 no.2
• /
• pp.69-78
• /
• 1994

We obtain the Bayes estimator(BE), the minimum variance unbiased estimator(MVUE) and maximun likelihood estimator(MLE) of the reliability when the distribution of the stress and the strength are Weibull with known shape parameters. The experiment is terminated before all of the items on the test have failed and the failed items are partially replaced. Performance of the three estimators for moderate size samples are compared through Monte Carlo simulation.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• v.26 no.4
• /
• pp.477-491
• /
• 1997

A new predictive classification rule for assigning future cases into one of two multivariate normal population (with unknown normal mixture model) is considered. The development involves calculation of posterior probability of each possible normal-mixture model via a default Bayesian test criterion, called intrinsic Bayes factor, and suggests predictive distribution for future cases to be classified that accounts for model uncertainty by weighting the effect of each model by its posterior probabiliy. In this paper, our interest is focused on constructing the classification rule that takes care of uncertainty about the types of covariance matrices (homogeneity/heterogeneity) involved in the model. For the constructed rule, a Monte Carlo simulation study demonstrates routine application and notes benefits over traditional predictive calssification rule by Geisser (1982).

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.12 no.2
• /
• pp.483-496
• /
• 2005

We consider the power law process which is assumed to have multiple changepoints. We propose a binary segmentation procedure for locating all existing changepoints. We select one model between the no-changepoints model and the single changepoint model by the Bayes factor. We repeat this procedure until no more changepoints are found. Then we carry out a multiple test based on the Bayes factor through the intrinsic priors of Berger and Pericchi (1996) to investigate the system behaviour of failure times. We demonstrate our procedure with a real dataset and some simulated datasets.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
• /
• 2020.01a
• /
• pp.271-272
• /
• 2020

Data mining is known useful in medical area when no availability of evidence favoring a particular treatment option is found. Huge volume of structured/unstructured data is collected by the healthcare field in order to find unknown information or knowledge for effective diagnosis and clinical decision making. The data of 5,179 records considered for analysis has been collected from Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(KHANES) during 2-years. Data splitting, referred as the training and test sets, was applied to predict to fit the model. We analyzed to predict chronic kidney disease (CKD) using data mining method such as naive Bayes, logistic regression, CART and artificial neural network(ANN). This result present to select significant features and data mining techniques for the lifestyle factors related CKD.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.13 no.1
• /
• pp.67-77
• /
• 2002

We propose the Bayesian testing for the equality of K-exponential populations means with Type-II censored data. Specially we use the fractional Bayesian factors suggested by O'Hagan (1995) based on the noninformative priors for the parameters. And, we investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian testing procedures via both real data analysis and simulations and compare the classical likelihood ratio(LR) test with the proposed Bayesian test.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.14 no.2
• /
• pp.313-323
• /
• 2003

For the growth curve model with arbitrary covariance structure, known as unstructured covariance matrix, the problems of detecting outliers are discussed in this paper. In order to detect outliers in the growth curve model, the test statistics using U-distribution is established. After detecting outliers in growth curve model, we test homo and/or hetero-geneous covariance matrices using PSR Quasi-Bayes Criterion. For illustration, one numerical example is discussed, which compares between before and after outlier deleting.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.24 no.2
• /
• pp.115-127
• /
• 2017

This paper proposes a Bayesian test for the equivalence of survival functions in multiple groups. Proposed Bayesian test use the model of Cox's regression with time-varying coefficients. B-spline expansions are used for the time-varying coefficients, and the proposed test use only the partial likelihood, which provides easier computations. Various simulations of the proposed test and typical tests such as log-rank and Fleming and Harrington tests were conducted. This result shows that the proposed test is consistent as data size increase. Specifically, the power of the proposed test is high despite the existence of crossing hazards. The proposed test is based on a Bayesian approach, which is more flexible when used in multiple tests. The proposed test can therefore perform various tests simultaneously. Real data analysis of Larynx Cancer Data was conducted to assess applicability.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.8 no.1
• /
• pp.193-207
• /
• 2001

When designing a test set, we need to consider constraints on items that are deemed important by item developers or test specialists. The constraints are essentially on the components of the test domain or abilities relevant to a given test set. And so if the test domain could be represented in a more refined form, test construction would be made in a more efficient way. We assume that relationships among task abilities are representable by a causal model and that the item response theory (IRT) is not fully available for them. In such a case we can not apply traditional item selection methods that are based on the IRT. In this paper, we use entropy as an uncertainty measure for making inferences on task abilities and developed an optimal item selection algorithm which reduces most the entropy of task abilities when items are selected from an item pool.

• 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 1994.02b
• /
• pp.154-157
• /
• 1994

The evaluation of diagnostic tests attempts to obtain one or more statistical parameters which can indicate the intrinsic diagnostic utility of a test. Sensitivity. specificity and predictive value are not appropriate for this use. The likelihood ratio has been proposed as a useful measure when using a test to diagnose one of two disease states (e.g. disease present or absent). In this paper, we generalize the likelihood ratio concept to a situation in which the goal is to diagnose one of several non-overlapping disease states. A formula is derived to determine the post-test probability of a specific disease state. The post-test odds are shown to be related to the pre-test odds of a disease and to the usual likelihood ratios derived from considering the diagnosis between the target diagnosis and each alternate in turn. Hence, likelihood ratios derived from comparing pairs of diseases can be used to determine test utility in a multiple disease diagnostic situation.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
• /
• v.14 no.11
• /
• pp.1511-1515
• /
• 2001

A prediction of 305 d milk production from early records using an empirical Bayes method (EBM) was performed. The EBM was compared with the best predicted estimation (BPE), test interval method (TIM), and the linearized Wood's model (LWM). Daily milk yields were obtained from 606 first lactation Japanese Holstein cows in three herds. From each file of 305 daily records, 10 random test day records with an interval of approximately one month were taken. The accuracies of these methods were compared using the absolute difference (AD) and the standard deviation (SD) of the differences between the actual and the estimated 305 d milk production. The results showed that in the early stage of the lactation, EBM was superior in obtaining the prediction with high accuracy. When all the herds were analyzed jointly, the AD during the first 5 test day records were on average 373, 590, 917 and 1,042 kg for EBM, BPE, TIM, and LWM, respectively. Corresponding SD for EBM, BPE, TIM, and LWM were on average 488, 733, 747 and 1,605 kg. When the herds were analyzed separately, the EBM predictions retained high accuracy. When more information on the actual lactation was added to the prediction, TIM and LWM gradually achieved better accuracies. Finally, in the last period of the lactation, the accuracy of both of the methods exceeded EBM and BPM. The AD for the last 2 samples analyzing all the herds jointly were on average 141, 142, 164, and 214 kg for LWM, TIM, EBM, and BPE, respectively. In the current practices of collecting monthly records, early prediction of future milk production may be more accurate using EBM. Alternatively, if enough information of the actual lactation is accumulated, TIM may obtain better accuracy in the latter stage of lactation.